SPOTSPOTCommunication Services · Internet Content & Information

SPOT Stock Forecast: Spotify Technology SA Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 13 Nov 2026
$613
+2.38% on the day

The 41 Wall Street analysts covering Spotify Technology SA hold a median 12-month price target of $649 — +6.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 13 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$123.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
71/ 100
Median analyst target
$649
Analysts covering
41
Revenue$4.8B+13.9% y/y
Operating income$655.0M
Net income$545.0M
Free cash flow$796.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.6%
1M
+16.2%
YTD
+5.5%
1Y
−5.1%
From 52W high
−5.1%
From 52W low
+48.5%
$413
$645
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SPOT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Spotify Technology SA on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Nov 2026
71/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
95
Issuance
93
Volatility
93
Accruals
67
Growth
60
Value
59
Momentum
49
Revisions
42
Size
2

Quality (95): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Revisions (42): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

SPOT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SPOT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$400$500$600$700$800Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SPOTHigh $741Median $649Low $454

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says41 analysts
32 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $454Median $649High $741

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$565 → $650
23 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$490 → $550
23 Oct 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Outperform$625
23 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$700 → $750
23 Oct 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$575 → $650
23 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$650 → $700
23 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$640 → $700
23 Oct 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$550 → $650
23 Oct 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesNeutral$540 → $580
23 Oct 2026RosenblattMaintainsNeutral$527 → $576
23 Oct 2026TD CowenReiteratesHold$525
23 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$570 → $660
20 Oct 2026RosenblattMaintainsNeutral$527
15 Oct 2026StoneXDowngradeHold—
15 Oct 2026StoneXDowngradeHold—
12 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$530 → $490
12 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
8 Oct 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral$540
8 Oct 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral—
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$690 → $675

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

SPOT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track on one page, with the model's Top picks in all four parts.

Free. Unsubscribe any time. Privacy

The AI build-out map
PDF
  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and servers

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

SPOT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 13 Nov 2026, Spotify Technology SA returned −5.1% against +13.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SPOT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SPOTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SPOT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.0%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
22
Fundamentals

Spotify Technology SA (SPOT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.5×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.5×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / book
12.5×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
42.1×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−42.4%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.4%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Operating margin
14.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
15.7%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
35.8%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Spotify Technology SA (SPOT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Spotify Technology SA has a market value of $123.0B and an enterprise value of $128.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $18.1B. The latest quarter grew 16.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $3.3B, a 18.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.77.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.3B.

  • Spotify Technology SA spent $977.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 205.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 36.5×; forward P/E: 35.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Spotify Technology SA employs 7,000 people — $2.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SPOT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInternet Content & Information
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SPOTSpotify Technology SA$123.0B71
NBISNebius Group NV$31.5B43
RDDTReddit, Inc.$19.0B54
PINSPinterest, Inc.$11.0B57
METAMeta Platforms, Inc.$1.6T48
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.$9.5B98
SNAPSnap, Inc.$8.7B84

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Spotify Technology SA — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SPOT news & analysis

Here is What to Know Beyond Why Spotify Technology (SPOT) is a Trending Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Nov 2026neutral

Zacks reports that users of Zacks.com have recently been watching Spotify Technology (SPOT) closely. The article says it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock’s prospects.

Why it matters — SPOT watchers may find the article relevant for its focus on factors that could shape the stock’s prospects.

Is Spotify (SPOT) a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic?

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Nov 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research asks whether Wall Street analysts’ recommendations for Spotify matter to investors considering a stock decision. The excerpt provides no specific analyst ratings or rating changes.

Why it matters — SPOT watchers may consider how analyst recommendations feature in stock research, though the excerpt reports no specific change in views on Spotify.

VictoriaMetrics Expands in North America as Spotify and MongoDB Use Its Open-Source Stack to Run Observability at Scale

Business Wire · 5 Nov 2026neutral

VictoriaMetrics announced plans to increase its North American investment as it expands adoption of its open-source observability technology. The headline identifies Spotify and MongoDB as users of its stack for observability at scale.

Why it matters — The item mentions Spotify as a user of VictoriaMetrics’ observability stack, offering context on technology it uses to monitor systems.

Price Prediction: Spotify Will Hit $1,000 on This Date

24/7 Wall Street · 3 Nov 2026positive

A 24/7 Wall Street headline predicts Spotify could reach $1,000 on a specific date. The excerpt points to subscriber growth and rising margins as factors behind that outlook, while noting the result depends on what goes right.

Why it matters — SPOT watchers may care about the bullish outlook and the subscriber and margin trends cited in support of it.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SPOT stock

What is the SPOT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 41 Wall Street analysts covering Spotify Technology SA have a median 12-month price target of $649, with estimates ranging from $454 to $741. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SPOT stock a buy right now?

Of the 41 analysts covering Spotify Technology SA, 32 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Spotify Technology SA 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SPOT?

As at 13 Nov 2026, Spotify Technology SA ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (95 of 100).

Will SPOT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 41 analysts implies +6.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Spotify Technology SA 71 out of 100 as at 13 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SPOT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Spotify Technology SA publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SPOT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $454 to $741 over the next 12 months.

How has SPOT stock performed over the past year?

Spotify Technology SA returned -5.1% over the 12 months to 13 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Spotify Technology SA do?

Spotify Technology S.A. is a digital audio streaming company that provides subscription-based and ad-supported access to music, podcasts, video, lossless audio, and audiobooks in select markets.

What is the latest news on SPOT?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 12 Nov 2026): "Here is What to Know Beyond Why Spotify Technology (SPOT) is a Trending Stock". Zacks reports that users of Zacks.com have recently been watching Spotify Technology (SPOT) closely. The article says it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock’s prospects.

Company

About Spotify Technology SA.

Spotify Technology S.A. is a digital audio streaming company that provides subscription-based and ad-supported access to music, podcasts, video, lossless audio, and audiobooks in select markets. The company serves listeners through its Premium and Ad-Supported offerings, with features designed for online and offline playback across computers, tablets, mobile devices, and other smart devices. Spotify Technology S.A. also supports creators and partners through sales, distribution, marketing, contract research and development, and customer support services. Its platform is used globally by consumers seeking personalized listening experiences, curated playlists, and broad catalog access. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden, Spotify Technology S.A. plays a central role in the global shift toward on-demand digital audio consumption.

CEO Mr. Alex Norström · 7,000 employees · Sweden · https://www.spotify.com