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STLD Stock Forecast: Steel Dynamics, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$240
+1.14% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Steel Dynamics, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $266 — +10.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$34.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
82 / 100
Median analyst target
$266
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$6.1B+33.4% y/y
Operating income$757.8M
Net income$530.8M
Free cash flow$304.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.5%
1M
−9.1%
YTD
+42.2%
1Y
+81.2%
From 52W high
−15.0%
From 52W low
+85.8%
$129
$282
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

STLD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Steel Dynamics, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Sept 2026
82 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
94
Momentum
92
Revisions
80
Volatility
77
Value
74
Issuance
66
Quality
59
Accruals
26
Size
7

Growth (94): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (26): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

STLD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on STLD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$150$200$250$300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26STLDHigh $310Median $266Low $221

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
9 Buy4 Hold1 Sell
Low $221Median $266High $310

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$260 → $273
24 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$275 → $255
10 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
10 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$165 → $276
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$270 → $272
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$256 → $260
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
22 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$270 → $260
22 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$291 → $275
22 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$262 → $256
15 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$280 → $260
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
24 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
22 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
18 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. STLD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

STLD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Steel Dynamics, Inc. returned +81.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

STLD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180200220Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26STLDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

STLD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+12.1%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.5×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / book
3.6×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.3×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
33.4%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
78.8%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
15.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.6%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.9%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 20% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. has a market value of $34.0B and an enterprise value of $38.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $20.5B. The latest quarter grew 33.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.6B, a 7.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.03.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $955.6M.

  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. spent $766.1M on share buybacks and $296.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 143.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.5×; forward P/E: 12.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.89%, paying out 19% of earnings.

  • Steel Dynamics, Inc. employs 14,400 people — $1.4M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 11 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

STLD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSteel
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.$34.0B
82
RSReliance, Inc.$20.5B
94
NUENucor Corp.$58.5B
93
CLFCleveland-Cliffs, Inc.$6.7B
49
WSWorthington Steel, Inc.$1.7B
45
KGCKinross Gold Corp.*$34.3B
89
VMCVulcan Materials Co.*$33.1B
61

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few steel companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Steel Dynamics, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest STLD news & analysis

Here's Why Steel Dynamics (STLD) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Steel Dynamics (STLD) as a strong value stock, referencing its Zacks Style Scores as a tool for identifying market-beating investment opportunities. The piece positions STLD as a notable value pick among stocks.

Why it matters — The article signals that Steel Dynamics is being recognized for its strong value characteristics, which STLD watchers may find relevant when assessing the stock's positioning.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026negative

Steel Dynamics (STLD) shares settled at $237.08 in the latest trading day, a 1.5% decline from the previous close and a steeper drop than the broader market.

Why it matters — A STLD watcher would care because the stock underperformed the broader market on the day, reflecting weaker near-term share momentum.

4 Steel Producer Stocks to Watch Amid Industry Challenges

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research highlights the steel producers industry, noting sluggishness in China and muted demand in certain key end markets as dampening industry prospects. MT, NUE, STLD and FSTR are named as companies poised to navigate these industry challenges.

Why it matters — The item identifies Steel Dynamics as one of the companies expected to navigate ongoing industry headwinds, giving STLD watchers context on its positioning amid weak demand.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026negative

In the most recent trading session, Steel Dynamics (STLD) closed at $242.06, a -1.61% decline from the previous trading day, falling more than the broader market.

Why it matters — A STLD watcher would note that the stock underperformed the broader market in the latest session, which could reflect shifting investor sentiment for the company.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Aug 2026positive

Steel Dynamics (STLD) rose 2.09% in the latest trading session, closing at $235.90, a gain made even as the broader market declined, according to a Zacks Investment Research report on the company's recent performance.

Why it matters — A Steel Dynamics watcher would note that the stock advanced against a weaker market, signaling relative strength in its trading activity during the session.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about STLD stock

What is the STLD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Steel Dynamics, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $266, with estimates ranging from $221 to $310. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is STLD stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Steel Dynamics, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Steel Dynamics, Inc. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank STLD?

As at 10 Sept 2026, Steel Dynamics, Inc. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (94 of 100).

Will STLD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +10.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Steel Dynamics, Inc. 82 out of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the STLD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Steel Dynamics, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for STLD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $221 to $310 over the next 12 months.

How has STLD stock performed over the past year?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. returned +81.2% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Steel Dynamics, Inc. do?

Steel Dynamics Inc. is a diversified industrial metals company focused on steel production, metal recycling, steel fabrication, and aluminum operations.

What is the latest news on STLD?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Sept 2026): "Here's Why Steel Dynamics (STLD) is a Strong Value Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights Steel Dynamics (STLD) as a strong value stock, referencing its Zacks Style Scores as a tool for identifying market-beating investment opportunities. The piece positions STLD as a notable value pick among stocks.

Company

About Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Steel Dynamics Inc. is a diversified industrial metals company focused on steel production, metal recycling, steel fabrication, and aluminum operations. The company produces a broad range of steel products, including flat-rolled sheet, structural shapes, rail, engineered bar, merchant bar, and specialty sections, serving customers in construction, automotive, manufacturing, transportation, energy, and other industrial markets. Steel Dynamics also processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap through its recycling network, supplying recycled material to its own electric arc furnace steel mills and external customers. In addition, its steel fabrication business supplies structural joist and deck systems for non-residential construction, while its aluminum operations expand its presence in recycled aluminum flat-rolled products. Steel Dynamics plays a significant role in North American metals supply chains through its integrated, circular manufacturing model and broad downstream product portfolio.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Millett · 14,400 employees · United States · https://www.steeldynamics.com