STLDSTLDBasic Materials · Steel

STLD Stock Forecast: Steel Dynamics, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$229
+4.42% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Steel Dynamics, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $271 — +18.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$32.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
78 / 100
Median analyst target
$271
Analysts covering
14
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−10.6%
1M
−2.1%
YTD
+35.6%
1Y
+84.1%
From 52W high
−18.9%
From 52W low
+84.1%
$124
$282
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

STLD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Steel Dynamics, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
78 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
95
Momentum
84
Volatility
78
Value
76
Revisions
74
Issuance
66
Quality
60
Accruals
26
Size
7

Growth (95): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (26): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

STLD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on STLD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26STLDHigh $310Median $271Low $221

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says14 analysts
9 Buy4 Hold1 Sell
Low $221Median $271High $310

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$165$276
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$270$272
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$256$260
22 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
22 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$270$260
22 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$291$275
22 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
15 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$262$256
15 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$280$260
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
24 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight
22 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
18 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
18 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
10 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
4 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
22 Apr 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. STLD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

STLD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+11.0%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.8×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.6×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / book
3.5×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.7×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
33.4%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
78.8%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
15.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.6%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.9%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 21% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

STLD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSteel
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.$32.8B
78
RSReliance, Inc.$20.3B
91
NUENucor Corp.$55.8B
93
CLFCleveland-Cliffs, Inc.$6.4B
43
WSWorthington Steel, Inc.$1.8B
45
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.*$32.3B
23
NTRNutrien Ltd.*$35.9B
89

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few steel companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Steel Dynamics, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest STLD news & analysis

U.S. Steel Stocks Nucor, Steel Dynamics: Big Winners As Canada Trade Talks Collapse?

Investors Business Daily · 22 Aug 2026negative

Nucor and Steel Dynamics fell last week amid expectations of lower steel tariffs, following reports that Canada trade talks had collapsed. The headline frames U.S. steel stocks as potential beneficiaries of the breakdown in negotiations.

Why it matters — A Steel Dynamics watcher would care because tariff developments directly affect the company's steel pricing and demand outlook.

Which Steel Stock Has Dominated in 2026: Nucor, Steel Dynamics, or Worthington Steel?

24/7 Wall Street · 21 Aug 2026neutral

A 24/7 Wall Street article compares the 2026 performance of steel stocks Nucor, Steel Dynamics, and Worthington Steel, highlighting that returns within the industry have varied widely depending on which company an investor held.

Why it matters — Steel Dynamics watchers would care because the piece assesses how STLD's 2026 stock performance stacks up against its main steel-sector peers.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Up 7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Aug 2026neutral

Steel Dynamics (STLD) reported earnings about 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 7% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the stock following the earnings release.

Why it matters — STLD watchers would care because the article assesses the stock's post-earnings performance and outlook following the company's latest quarterly report.

Steel Dynamics Announces Third Quarter 2026 Cash Dividend

PRNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Steel Dynamics announced that its board of directors declared a third quarter cash dividend of $0.53 per common share. The announcement was made on Aug. 14, 2026, from the company's Fort Wayne, Indiana headquarters.

Why it matters — STLD watchers would care because it confirms the company's board has approved a steady quarterly dividend payout to shareholders.

L.B. Foster's Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates in Q2

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026neutral

L.B. Foster reported second-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed analyst estimates, supported by stronger margins, cash flow, and backlog, which back its 2026 outlook, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — As a Steel Dynamics watcher, this item carries no direct bearing on STLD, but it offers incidental insight into broader industrial and steel-consuming sector demand conditions.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about STLD stock

What is the STLD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Steel Dynamics, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $271, with estimates ranging from $221 to $310. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is STLD stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Steel Dynamics, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Steel Dynamics, Inc. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank STLD?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Steel Dynamics, Inc. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (95 of 100).

Will STLD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +18.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Steel Dynamics, Inc. 78 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the STLD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Steel Dynamics, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for STLD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $221 to $310 over the next 12 months.

How has STLD stock performed over the past year?

Steel Dynamics, Inc. returned +84.1% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Steel Dynamics, Inc. do?

Steel Dynamics Inc. is a U.S.-based steel producer and metal recycler headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana.

What is the latest news on STLD?

The most recent item we track (Investors Business Daily, 22 Aug 2026): "U.S. Steel Stocks Nucor, Steel Dynamics: Big Winners As Canada Trade Talks Collapse?". Nucor and Steel Dynamics fell last week amid expectations of lower steel tariffs, following reports that Canada trade talks had collapsed. The headline frames U.S. steel stocks as potential beneficiaries of the breakdown in negotiations.

Company

About Steel Dynamics, Inc.

Steel Dynamics Inc. is a U.S.-based steel producer and metal recycler headquartered in Fort Wayne, Indiana. The company operates through four primary segments: steel operations, metals recycling operations, steel fabrication operations, and aluminum operations. Its steel operations manufacture products such as hot rolled sheet, cold rolled sheet, hot rolled plate, painted sheet, and various coated steel products for use in construction, automotive, industrial, and energy applications. The metals recycling operations focus on processing and selling recycled ferrous and nonferrous metals, supplying both internal mills and external customers. Steel fabrication operations produce steel joists, joist girders, and decking products used in nonresidential construction projects. The aluminum operations segment is developing capabilities around aluminum flat rolled products, enhancing the company’s presence across metals markets. Steel Dynamics Inc. plays a significant role in the basic materials sector by providing essential steel and metal products to a broad range of manufacturing, infrastructure, and construction end markets across North America.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Millett · 14,400 employees · United States · https://www.steeldynamics.com