TCBXFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $47 — +3.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (81): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.3% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 July 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 29 Jan 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Raymond James | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2024 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 29 July 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 11 Jan 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 27 Oct 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 July 2023 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| TCBXThird Coast Bancshares, Inc. | $758.5M | 63 |
| WASHWashington Trust Bancorp, Inc. | $755.9M | 91 |
| SHBIShore Bancshares, Inc. | $780.9M | 84 |
| AROWArrow Financial Corp. | $712.8M | 56 |
| RCBCRiver City Bank (Sacramento, California) | $711.2M | 41 |
| PGCPeapack-Gladstone Financial Corp. | $800.3M | 58 |
| PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp. | $702.1M | 55 |
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Third Coast Bancshares reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.95, beating expectations by $0.03, with growth in loan and deposit portfolios and a 16-point improvement in net interest margin compared to Q1.
Why it matters — The earnings beat and improving net interest margin signal continued operational momentum for TCBX heading into the second half of 2026.
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. announced that Founder, Chairman, President, and CEO Bart Caraway, along with board members, executives, and employees, will ring the New York Stock Exchange Closing Bell.
Why it matters — Ring the NYSE Closing Bell is a ceremonial milestone that raises the company's public profile and acknowledges its listing on the exchange.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $47, with estimates ranging from $40 to $48. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Third Coast Bancshares, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (81 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +3.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $48 over the next 12 months.
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. returned +18.5% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company primarily serving as the parent of Third Coast Bank.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 5 Aug 2026): "Third Coast Bancshares Still Looks Like A Buy". Third Coast Bancshares reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.95, beating expectations by $0.03, with growth in loan and deposit portfolios and a 16-point improvement in net interest margin compared to Q1.
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company primarily serving as the parent of Third Coast Bank. Established in Texas, the company focuses on providing a comprehensive suite of commercial banking solutions targeted at small and medium-sized businesses as well as professionals within its operational markets. Its core offerings include an array of deposit products such as checking, money market, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. The company also delivers a broad range of services including retail and commercial online banking, mobile banking applications, debit and credit cards, treasury management, and merchant services. Through a portfolio comprising state and municipal securities, mortgage-backed securities, agency collateralized mortgage obligations, U.S. Treasury bonds, and corporate bonds, Third Coast Bancshares manages integrated investment strategies. With its branch network focused in the largest metropolitan areas of Texas, the company plays a notable role in financing and supporting economic activity in key business corridors. Its market presence reflects a commitment to stable growth and service diversification within the regional banking sector.
CEO Mr. Bart O. Caraway CPA · 477 employees · United States · https://www.thirdcoast.bank