TRTRConsumer Defensive · Confectioners

TR Stock Forecast: Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$38
−0.24% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$2.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
43 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
0
Revenue$154.2M−0.6% y/y
Operating income−$1.6M
Net income$13.3M
Free cash flow−$34.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.3%
1M
−7.2%
YTD
+6.2%
1Y
−4.6%
From 52W high
−15.9%
From 52W low
+11.6%
$34
$45
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
43 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
97
Issuance
79
Quality
73
Momentum
70
Accruals
40
Growth
37
Size
31
Value
27
Revisions
25

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Revisions (25): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$34$36$38$40$42$44Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TR

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 Jan 2016WedbushInitiatesOutperform$72
9 Dec 2014JP MorganInitiatesNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. returned −4.6% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.6×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.3×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.6%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−23.9%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
34.1%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.9%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
13.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.3%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 20% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. has a market value of $2.8B and an enterprise value of $2.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $734.7M. The latest quarter shrank 0.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $95.4M, a 13.0% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $80.2M, after $44.5M of capital spending.

  • Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. spent $3.8M on share buybacks and $26.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 75.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.6×; forward P/E: −19.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.96%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. employs 2,100 people $350K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelConfectioners
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TRTootsie Roll Industries, Inc.$2.8B
43
HSYThe Hershey Co.$34.4B
80
UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.*$2.9B
94
MZTIThe Marzetti Co.*$2.7B
38
FIZZNational Beverage Corp.*$3.0B
59
FRPTFreshpet, Inc.*$3.0B
61
COCOThe Vita Coco Co., Inc.*$3.2B
86

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few confectioners companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TR news & analysis

The Dividend Kings Ranked By Quality Scores (September 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 18 Sept 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article ranks Dividend Kings—companies with 50+ years of increasing dividends—using the author's 9F Quality Scores, combining qualitative and quantitative factors. The piece identifies ADP as the best total-return candidate among the ranked companies.

Why it matters — Tootsie Roll Industries, as a fellow Dividend King, may be considered within this ranking framework, so the article's quality-score methodology is relevant to watchers of the stock.

Best Dividend Kings: August 2026

Seeking Alpha · 24 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article reports that Dividend Kings are outperforming the S&P 500 year-to-date, with a 14.98% total return versus SPY's 12.89%, and that dividend growth among these companies has accelerated to an average rate of 4.12%.

Why it matters — As Tootsie Roll is itself a Dividend King, this update on the group's performance and dividend growth is context directly relevant to tracking TR among its peers.

Tootsie Roll Industries Has Turned From Sweet To Sour (Rating Downgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026negative

Tootsie Roll Industries was downgraded to a soft 'sell' rating due to persistent underperformance versus the S&P 500 and weakening profitability. The company faces margin pressure from elevated cocoa prices, with net income declining despite modest revenue growth and strong domestic sales.

Why it matters — TR watchers would care because the downgrade signals concern over the company's ability to maintain profitability amid rising input costs and an already stretched valuation.

Tootsie Roll: Still A Treat, Just Not At This Price

Seeking Alpha · 26 July 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reported that Tootsie Roll's recent quarter saw revenue down 1% and EPS drop 21%, pressured by higher cocoa costs, sales timing shifts, and increased trade promotions. The article notes the company remains a defensive, family-run confectioner with a clean balance sheet but trades at premium multiples versus peers.

Why it matters — TR watchers would care because the article highlights near-term earnings pressure from cocoa costs and promotions while affirming the company's defensive characteristics and clean financial position.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TR stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TR?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

What is the TR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has TR stock performed over the past year?

Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. returned -4.6% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. do?

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. is a confectionery company that manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of candy and gum products.

What is the latest news on TR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 18 Sept 2026): "The Dividend Kings Ranked By Quality Scores (September 2026)". A Seeking Alpha article ranks Dividend Kings—companies with 50+ years of increasing dividends—using the author's 9F Quality Scores, combining qualitative and quantitative factors. The piece identifies ADP as the best total-return candidate among the ranked companies.

Company

About Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc.

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. is a confectionery company that manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of candy and gum products. Its lineup includes well-known brands such as Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Pops, Charms, Blow-Pop, Junior Mints, Andes, Dubble Bubble, Dots, Sugar Daddy, Sugar Babies, and Razzles, serving everyday snacking, seasonal treats, and impulse-buy occasions. The company distributes through wholesalers, supermarkets, convenience outlets, mass merchandisers, vending operators, e-commerce merchants, and other retail and food-service channels. Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. focuses on branded confectionery products across North America and selected international markets, making it a recognized participant in the consumer staples sector with a business centered on packaged sweets and long-established household brands.

CEO Ms. Ellen R. Gordon · 2,100 employees · United States · https://www.tootsie.com