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TREXTREXIndustrials · Building Products & Equipment

TREX Stock Forecast: Trex Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$50
−0.90% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $56 — +12.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 14 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$56
Analysts covering
19
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.9%
1M
+12.4%
YTD
+41.5%
1Y
−23.6%
From 52W high
−23.6%
From 52W low
+64.7%
$30
$65
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TREX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trex Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Aug 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
88
Issuance
75
Quality
73
Accruals
64
Growth
60
Value
41
Size
24
Momentum
14
Volatility
12

Revisions (88): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (12): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TREX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TREX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TREXHigh $61Median $56Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says19 analysts
10 Buy7 Hold2 Sell
Low $42Median $56High $61

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 15 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$47 → $49
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$54 → $56
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $50
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$43 → $52
14 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform$42 → $44
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$36 → $42
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$55
14 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$41 → $51
14 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$44 → $47
14 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$55 → $60
14 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$59 → $61
10 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$49 → $56
22 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$50 → $55
5 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$51
18 May 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform$50
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$35 → $36
11 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$46 → $43
11 May 2026StifelMaintainsHold$40 → $44
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$58 → $59
5 May 2026StifelReiteratesHold$42 → $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TREX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TREX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.3%
Analysts raising
17
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.2×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.2×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
5.2×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.1×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.5%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.9%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.6%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
14.7%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.6%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TREX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TREXTrex Co., Inc.$5.1B
56
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corp.$5.2B
—
GFFGriffon Corp.$4.8B
96
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.$5.7B
47
AAONAAON, Inc.$7.2B
—
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.$7.9B
62
BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.$8.0B
—

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trex Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TREX news & analysis

BlueLinx: Finally, A Housing Market Recovery? Trex Adds Options

Seeking Alpha · 9 Aug 2026neutral

The article covers BlueLinx's strong Q2 2026 results, with net sales up 4.4% and gross profit up 17% year-over-year, while assigning a Hold rating amid persistent macro headwinds and an uncertain housing market. It notes a new Trex partnership, share buybacks, and a solid balance sheet, balanced against ongoing demand and cost pressures.

Why it matters — The mention of a new Trex partnership signals an additional distribution channel for Trex products, which is relevant to TREX watchers tracking market reach.

Trex Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

Trex reported second-quarter net sales of $418 million, up 8% from the prior year. Demand strengthened through May and June, with growth broadening across product categories, distribution channels, and price points.

Why it matters — The 8% sales growth with broadened demand across categories and channels signals improving momentum for Trex heading into the second half of the year.

TREX CEO on ROI with Composite Decking

Schwab Network · 6 Aug 2026positive

Trex CEO Adam Zambanini discussed on Schwab Network the company's accelerated expansion in Arkansas, its latest earnings report, and the reasons consumers choose composite decking over traditional wood. He also highlighted the company's distribution network and national reach, with growing demand from the Sun Belt region.

Why it matters — The CEO's comments provide direct insight into Trex's growth strategy, distribution capabilities, and consumer demand trends that underpin its market performance.

NYSE Content Update: Hadrian Raises $1.37 Billion for 'Factories of the Future'

PRNewsWire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

The New York Stock Exchange released a pre-market daily advisory, reporting that Hadrian raised $1.37 billion for its "Factories of the Future" initiative. The item is an NYSE morning market update rather than news specific to any listed company.

Why it matters — It provides general market context from the NYSE trading floor but contains no information directly related to Trex Co., Inc. or its business.

Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Trex Company, Inc. published its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript on Seeking Alpha. The document contains the proceedings of the company's second-quarter earnings call.

Why it matters — A Trex watcher would care because the transcript offers management's full commentary on the company's latest quarterly results and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TREX stock

What is the TREX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $56, with estimates ranging from $42 to $61. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TREX stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Trex Co., Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TREX?

As at 14 Aug 2026, Trex Co., Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (88 of 100).

Will TREX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +12.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 14 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TREX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trex Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TREX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $61 over the next 12 months.

How has TREX stock performed over the past year?

Trex Co., Inc. returned -23.6% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trex Co., Inc. do?

Trex Company, Inc. is the world's largest manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing systems for residential and commercial outdoor living spaces.

What is the latest news on TREX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 9 Aug 2026): "BlueLinx: Finally, A Housing Market Recovery? Trex Adds Options". The article covers BlueLinx's strong Q2 2026 results, with net sales up 4.4% and gross profit up 17% year-over-year, while assigning a Hold rating amid persistent macro headwinds and an uncertain housing market. It notes a new Trex partnership, share buybacks, and a solid balance sheet, balanced against ongoing demand and cost pressures.

Company

About Trex Co., Inc.

Trex Company, Inc. is the world's largest manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing systems for residential and commercial outdoor living spaces. The company produces composite decking made from a proprietary blend of recycled wood fibers and plastic film, offering enhanced durability, rot resistance, and low-maintenance performance compared to traditional wood. Beyond decking, Trex provides complementary products including aluminum and composite railing systems, fencing, cladding, outdoor lighting, and steel deck framing to create integrated outdoor solutions. The product portfolio spans multiple performance tiers—from the premium Transcend® series with high-definition finishes to the more affordable Select® and Enhance® collections—serving professional contractors, remodelers, homebuilders, and homeowners. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Winchester, Virginia, Trex manufactures products in the United States and distributes through wholesale distributors and retail lumber dealers across North America, Canada, and select European markets. The company emphasizes environmental stewardship by utilizing reclaimed wood and plastic materials, supporting circular-economy principles and reducing landfill waste.

CEO Mr. Adam Dante Zambanini · 1,839 employees · United States · https://www.trex.com