TREXTREXIndustrials · Building Products & Equipment

TREX Stock Forecast: Trex Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$57
+14.26% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $57 — -0.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
55/ 100
Median analyst target
$57
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$418.0M+7.8% y/y
Operating income$86.2M
Net income$61.9M
Free cash flow$181.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+15.3%
1M
+31.2%
YTD
+62.9%
1Y
+21.4%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+89.6%
$30
$57
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TREX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trex Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
55/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
90
Quality
75
Issuance
65
Accruals
56
Growth
49
Momentum
44
Value
30
Size
21
Volatility
14

Revisions (90): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (14): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

TREX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TREX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TREXHigh $62Median $57Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
12 Buy5 Hold2 Sell
Low $42Median $57High $62

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 Oct 2026StifelUpgradeBuy$49 → $55
8 Oct 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeBuy$53 → $57
8 Oct 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeBuy—
11 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$47 → $49
11 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$54 → $56
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $50
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$43 → $52
14 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform—
14 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform$42 → $44
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$36 → $42
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$55
14 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$41 → $51
14 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
14 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$44 → $47

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

TREX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

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The AI build-out map
PDF
  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

TREX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Trex Co., Inc. returned +21.4% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TREX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TREXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TREX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.4×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.2×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / book
5.0×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.4×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.5%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.9%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.6%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
14.7%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.6%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Trex Co., Inc. has a market value of $5.1B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 7.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $177.4M, a 14.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $198.4M, after $150.1M of capital spending.

  • Trex Co., Inc. spent $204.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 101.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.4×; forward P/E: 24.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Trex Co., Inc. employs 1,839 people — $657K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TREX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TREXTrex Co., Inc.$5.1B55
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.$5.7B45
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corp.$5.5B28
MODModine Manufacturing Co.$5.2B29
GFFGriffon Corp.$4.9B94
AAONAAON, Inc.$4.8B36
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.$7.4B57

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trex Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TREX news & analysis

Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Trex Company held its Q3 2026 earnings call on November 4, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or outlook.

Why it matters — The excerpt confirms the call took place, but offers no financial or operating details for TREX watchers to assess.

Trex (TREX) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Nov 2026positive

Trex reported Q3 earnings of $0.55 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.49. Earnings were $0.51 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — TREX watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the consensus estimate and were higher than a year ago.

Trex Company Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results, Delivering Back-to-back Record Quarters

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026positive

Trex Company reported third-quarter 2026 results, citing record third-quarter revenue and a second consecutive record quarter. The company also said it executed its enhanced distribution strategy and began ramping up its Arkansas manufacturing facility.

Why it matters — The update highlights revenue performance and progress at the Arkansas facility, two developments relevant to TREX watchers.

Trex (TREX) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says Trex has a combination of two key ingredients that it considers supportive of a likely earnings beat in the company’s upcoming report. The item presents key expectations ahead of that report.

Why it matters — TREX watchers may note the article’s favorable earnings-beat outlook as they follow the company’s upcoming report.

5 Construction Stocks That May Surprise This Earnings Season

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research names TREX among five construction stocks that may surprise this earnings season, citing data center and power demand and mission-critical projects as sources of growth momentum for the group.

Why it matters — TREX is included in a group described as having strong growth momentum, which may be relevant to investors following the company ahead of earnings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TREX stock

What is the TREX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $57, with estimates ranging from $42 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TREX stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Trex Co., Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TREX?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Trex Co., Inc. ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (90 of 100).

Will TREX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies -0.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 55 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TREX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trex Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TREX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $62 over the next 12 months.

How has TREX stock performed over the past year?

Trex Co., Inc. returned +21.4% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trex Co., Inc. do?

Trex Company, Inc. is a building products manufacturer focused on wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living solutions.

What is the latest news on TREX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Nov 2026): "Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Trex Company held its Q3 2026 earnings call on November 4, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or outlook.

Company

About Trex Co., Inc.

Trex Company, Inc. is a building products manufacturer focused on wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living solutions. The company provides composite and PVC-based products used in residential and commercial projects, including deck boards, railing systems, deck framing, drainage, lighting, furniture, fencing, pergolas, and outdoor kitchen components. Trex Company, Inc. also serves contractors, builders, and distributors through a broad product portfolio designed for low-maintenance outdoor spaces. Its operations are centered on materials and systems that support deck construction, renovation, and expanded exterior living environments. Headquartered in Winchester, Virginia, Trex Company, Inc. is recognized as a major participant in the outdoor building materials market, with a business model built around branded products for homeowners and professionals.

CEO Mr. Adam Dante Zambanini · 1,839 employees · United States · https://www.trex.com