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TREXTREXIndustrials · Building Products & Equipment

TREX Stock Forecast: Trex Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$43
−0.92% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $56 — +29.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 57 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
57 / 100
Median analyst target
$56
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$418.0M+7.8% y/y
Operating income$86.2M
Net income$61.9M
Free cash flow$181.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.4%
1M
−8.6%
YTD
+23.2%
1Y
−14.8%
From 52W high
−19.3%
From 52W low
+43.4%
$30
$54
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TREX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trex Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
57 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
86
Issuance
75
Quality
74
Accruals
64
Growth
61
Value
39
Size
25
Momentum
19
Volatility
12

Revisions (86): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (12): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TREX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TREX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TREXHigh $61Median $56Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
10 Buy7 Hold2 Sell
Low $42Median $56High $61

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +29.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 15 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$47 → $49
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$54 → $56
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $50
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$43 → $52
14 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform$42 → $44
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$36 → $42
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$55
14 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$41 → $51
14 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$44 → $47
14 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$55 → $60
14 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$59 → $61
10 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$49 → $56
22 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$50 → $55
5 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$51
18 May 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform$50
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$35 → $36
11 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$46 → $43
11 May 2026StifelMaintainsHold$40 → $44
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$58 → $59
5 May 2026StifelReiteratesHold$42 → $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TREX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TREX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Trex Co., Inc. returned −14.8% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TREX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TREXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TREX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.4%
Analysts raising
20
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
26.0×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / book
4.6×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.2×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.5%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.9%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.6%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
14.7%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.7%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.6%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Trex Co., Inc. has a market value of $4.4B and an enterprise value of $4.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 7.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $177.4M, a 14.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $198.4M, after $150.1M of capital spending.

  • Trex Co., Inc. spent $204.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 101.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 26.0×; forward P/E: 21.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Trex Co., Inc. employs 1,839 people — $657K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TREX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TREXTrex Co., Inc.$4.4B
57
GFFGriffon Corp.$4.5B
96
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.$4.7B
46
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corp.$4.8B
18
BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.$6.5B
39
AAONAAON, Inc.$6.8B
34
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.$7.1B
63

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trex Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TREX news & analysis

Retension Pharmaceuticals, TRex Bio file for US IPO as biotech momentum continues

Reuters · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Drug developers Retension Pharmaceuticals and TRex Bio filed paperwork for U.S. initial public offerings on Friday. The filings reinforce the biotech pipeline for the fall IPO window, according to Reuters.

Why it matters — A TREX watcher would care because TRex Bio's IPO filing signals momentum in the biotech IPO pipeline that may be relevant to the broader sector landscape around the company.

Zacks Industry Outlook Trex and Worthington

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article that highlights Trex and Worthington. The article features both companies in its industry outlook coverage.

Why it matters — A Trex watcher would care because the company has been singled out for coverage in Zacks' industry outlook, drawing attention to Trex within its sector.

2 Wood Stocks Positioned to Weather Industry Challenges

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights TREX and other wood industry players as well positioned to weather a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, citing their focus on product innovation and efficient cost management as encouraging factors.

Why it matters — The report indicates that TREX's emphasis on innovation and cost discipline could help it navigate difficult market conditions in the building products wood sector.

Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) Presents at Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Trex Company, Inc. presented at the Goldman Sachs Global Consumer and Retail Conference, and a transcript of the presentation was published by Seeking Alpha. The presentation covers commentary made by the company at the event.

Why it matters — A TREX watcher would care because conference presentations often offer direct insight into management's views on the company's business and market conditions.

Trex Company: I Should Have Upgraded Sooner Despite Profitability Issues

Seeking Alpha · 8 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha upgraded Trex Company to a soft "buy," citing favorable long-term risk/reward despite near-term profitability pressures. The article highlights TREX's strong exposure to the resilient repair and remodeling market and management's $2B annual revenue target by 2030, with $1.8–$2.2B in planned capital deployment.

Why it matters — A TREX watcher would care because the upgrade signals improving analyst sentiment on the company's long-term outlook and growth strategy even while profitability pressures persist in the near term.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TREX stock

What is the TREX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $56, with estimates ranging from $42 to $61. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TREX stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Trex Co., Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 57 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TREX?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Trex Co., Inc. ranks 57 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (86 of 100).

Will TREX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +29.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 57 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TREX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trex Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TREX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $61 over the next 12 months.

How has TREX stock performed over the past year?

Trex Co., Inc. returned -14.8% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trex Co., Inc. do?

Trex Company, Inc. is a building products manufacturer focused on wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living solutions.

What is the latest news on TREX?

The most recent item we track (Reuters, 18 Sept 2026): "Retension Pharmaceuticals, TRex Bio file for US IPO as biotech momentum continues". Drug developers Retension Pharmaceuticals and TRex Bio filed paperwork for U.S. initial public offerings on Friday. The filings reinforce the biotech pipeline for the fall IPO window, according to Reuters.

Company

About Trex Co., Inc.

Trex Company, Inc. is a building products manufacturer focused on wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living solutions. The company provides composite and PVC-based products used in residential and commercial projects, including deck boards, railing systems, deck framing, drainage, lighting, furniture, fencing, pergolas, and outdoor kitchen components. Trex Company, Inc. also serves contractors, builders, and distributors through a broad product portfolio designed for low-maintenance outdoor spaces. Its operations are centered on materials and systems that support deck construction, renovation, and expanded exterior living environments. Headquartered in Winchester, Virginia, Trex Company, Inc. is recognized as a major participant in the outdoor building materials market, with a business model built around branded products for homeowners and professionals.

CEO Mr. Adam Dante Zambanini · 1,839 employees · United States · https://www.trex.com