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TREXTREXIndustrials · Building Products & Equipment

TREX Stock Forecast: Trex Co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$44
−0.09% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $56 — +28.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$56
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$418.0M+7.8% y/y
Operating income$86.2M
Net income$61.9M
Free cash flow$181.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.2%
1M
−2.5%
YTD
+24.5%
1Y
−26.9%
From 52W high
−32.4%
From 52W low
+45.0%
$30
$65
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TREX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Trex Co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
86
Issuance
75
Quality
74
Accruals
64
Growth
61
Value
40
Size
25
Volatility
14
Momentum
11

Revisions (86): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Momentum (11): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TREX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TREX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TREXHigh $61Median $56Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
10 Buy7 Hold2 Sell
Low $42Median $56High $61

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 15 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$47 → $49
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$54 → $56
28 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $50
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$43 → $52
14 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform$42 → $44
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$36 → $42
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$55
14 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$41 → $51
14 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$44 → $47
14 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$55 → $60
14 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$59 → $61
10 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$49 → $56
22 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$50 → $55
5 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$51
18 May 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform$50
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$35 → $36
11 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$46 → $43
11 May 2026StifelMaintainsHold$40 → $44
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$58 → $59
5 May 2026StifelReiteratesHold$42 → $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TREX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TREX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Trex Co., Inc. returned −26.9% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TREX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TREXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TREX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
20
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.5×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / book
4.5×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.8×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.8%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.5%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.9%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.6%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
14.7%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.6%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Trex Co., Inc. (TREX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Trex Co., Inc. has a market value of $4.4B and an enterprise value of $4.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 7.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $177.4M, a 14.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $198.4M, after $150.1M of capital spending.

  • Trex Co., Inc. spent $204.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 101.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 25.5×; forward P/E: 21.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Trex Co., Inc. employs 1,839 people — $657K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TREX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TREXTrex Co., Inc.$4.4B
56
GFFGriffon Corp.$4.4B
95
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corp.$4.8B
17
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.$5.1B
45
AAONAAON, Inc.$6.2B
36
BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.$7.0B
37
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.$7.3B
63

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Trex Co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TREX news & analysis

BlueLinx and Trex® Announce New Distribution Relationship and Inventory Landing Across Key U.S. Growth Markets

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026positive

BlueLinx Holdings announced a new strategic distribution partnership with Trex Company, under which BlueLinx will distribute Trex decking and railing products across a broad service territory supported by its distribution centers in Indianapolis, St. Louis, and Cincinnati.

Why it matters — The expanded distribution relationship gives Trex access to additional U.S. growth markets through a major building-products wholesaler, potentially broadening its reach and availability.

Trex Celebrates 30 Years of Innovation with Vision to Own the Backyard

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026positive

Trex Company is celebrating its 30th anniversary and entering a new growth phase, expanding beyond its composite decking business with a vision to become the defining brand in outdoor living and double its business size over the next four years. The growth strategy centers on continued investment in the outdoor living category.

Why it matters — Trex watchers would care because the company's stated ambition to double its business and expand beyond decking signals a significant strategic shift in its growth trajectory.

Trex Company Appoints Brian J. Taylor as Chief Commercial Officer

Business Wire · 24 Aug 2026positive

Trex Company announced the appointment of Brian J. Taylor as its first Chief Commercial Officer, a newly created role in which he will lead the company's commercial organization, overseeing sales, marketing, and information technology. Trex said consolidating these functions supports a more integrated, customer-focused approach.

Why it matters — TREX watchers would care because this leadership appointment signals a strategic reorganization of the company's commercial operations that could shape how it drives demand and serves customers going forward.

Buy 3 Outdoor Industry Stocks Amid Short-Term Double-Digit Potential

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted TREX, along with PII and YETI, as one of three outdoor industry stocks offering double-digit upside potential, citing supportive growth estimates and earnings outlooks for the picks.

Why it matters — TREX watchers would note that a research firm has singled out the company as having attractive growth prospects among outdoor industry peers.

Trex Company Announces September 2026 Investor Conference Schedule

Business Wire · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Trex Company announced its participation in the 2026 Jefferies Industrials Conference in New York on Wednesday, September 9, 2026, with President and CEO Adam Zambanini and Vice President Lee Coker slated to attend on behalf of the company.

Why it matters — The announcement gives TREX watchers a scheduled opportunity to hear directly from the company's leadership at a major investor conference.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TREX stock

What is the TREX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering Trex Co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $56, with estimates ranging from $42 to $61. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TREX stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering Trex Co., Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TREX?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Trex Co., Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (86 of 100).

Will TREX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +28.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Trex Co., Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TREX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Trex Co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TREX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $61 over the next 12 months.

How has TREX stock performed over the past year?

Trex Co., Inc. returned -26.9% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Trex Co., Inc. do?

Trex Company, Inc. is a building products manufacturer focused on wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living solutions.

What is the latest news on TREX?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 3 Sept 2026): "BlueLinx and Trex® Announce New Distribution Relationship and Inventory Landing Across Key U.S. Growth Markets". BlueLinx Holdings announced a new strategic distribution partnership with Trex Company, under which BlueLinx will distribute Trex decking and railing products across a broad service territory supported by its distribution centers in Indianapolis, St. Louis, and Cincinnati.

Company

About Trex Co., Inc.

Trex Company, Inc. is a building products manufacturer focused on wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living solutions. The company provides composite and PVC-based products used in residential and commercial projects, including deck boards, railing systems, deck framing, drainage, lighting, furniture, fencing, pergolas, and outdoor kitchen components. Trex Company, Inc. also serves contractors, builders, and distributors through a broad product portfolio designed for low-maintenance outdoor spaces. Its operations are centered on materials and systems that support deck construction, renovation, and expanded exterior living environments. Headquartered in Winchester, Virginia, Trex Company, Inc. is recognized as a major participant in the outdoor building materials market, with a business model built around branded products for homeowners and professionals.

CEO Mr. Adam Dante Zambanini · 1,839 employees · United States · https://www.trex.com