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TVRDHealthcare · Biotechnology

TVRD Stock Forecast: Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$2.02
−3.81% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $9.5 — +370.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 22 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$19.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
22 / 100
Median analyst target
$9.50
Analysts covering
9
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−20.5%
1M
0.0%
YTD
−53.0%
1Y
−92.3%
From 52W high
−95.3%
From 52W low
+34.7%
$2
$43
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TVRD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
22 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
88
Issuance
60
Growth
48
Accruals
39
Quality
35
Revisions
34
Momentum
17
Volatility
15
Value
10

Size (88): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Value (10): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

TVRD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TVRD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$0$10$20$30$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TVRDHigh $13.00Median $9.50Low $3.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says9 analysts
7 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $3.00Median $9.50High $13.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +370.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$15 → $5.00
8 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
8 July 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform$10
7 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
7 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$15
8 June 2026HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy—
20 Apr 2026BarclaysDowngradeUnderweight—
1 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Apr 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
1 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
14 Oct 2025Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
13 Oct 2025BarclaysInitiatesOverweight—
13 Oct 2025BTIGMaintainsBuy—
14 July 2025Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform—
11 July 2025Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight—
12 June 2025Piper SandlerInitiatesOverweight—
21 May 2025OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—
28 Apr 2025Jones TradingInitiatesBuy—
13 June 2024Canaccord GenuityDowngradeHold$10 → $1.00
13 June 2024HC Wainwright & Co.DowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

TVRD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. (TVRD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−0.9×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / sales
—
Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
0.2×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
—
Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
—
Operating margin
0.0%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−87.0%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Return on assets
−68.6%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TVRD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBiotechnology
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TVRDTvardi Therapeutics, Inc.$19.7M
22
SKYESkye Bioscience, Inc.$20.0M
27
ALLRAllarity Therapeutics, Inc.$19.4M
39
GRDXGridAI Technologies Corp.$19.3M
34
CVMCEL-SCI Corp.$20.3M
38
CLRBCellectar Biosciences, Inc.$20.5M
40
MRKRMarker Therapeutics, Inc.$18.8M
58
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TVRD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest TVRD news & analysis

Tvardi Therapeutics Selects Ulcerative Colitis as Initial Indication for TTI-109

GlobeNewsWire · 30 July 2026positive

Tvardi Therapeutics announced it has selected ulcerative colitis as the initial indication for its drug candidate TTI-109. STAT3, the target of TTI-109, acts as a convergent node downstream of multiple signaling pathways implicated in the condition.

Why it matters — This update gives TVRD watchers clarity on the company's clinical development path for TTI-109, its pipeline candidate targeting STAT3.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TVRD stock

What is the TVRD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $9.5, with estimates ranging from $3 to $13. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TVRD stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. 22 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TVRD?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. ranks 22 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (88 of 100).

Will TVRD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +370.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. 22 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TVRD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TVRD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3 to $13 over the next 12 months.

How has TVRD stock performed over the past year?

Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. returned -92.3% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. do?

Cara Therapeutics Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for fibrosis-driven diseases.

What is the latest news on TVRD?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 30 July 2026): "Tvardi Therapeutics Selects Ulcerative Colitis as Initial Indication for TTI-109". Tvardi Therapeutics announced it has selected ulcerative colitis as the initial indication for its drug candidate TTI-109. STAT3, the target of TTI-109, acts as a convergent node downstream of multiple signaling pathways implicated in the condition.

Company

About Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc.

Cara Therapeutics Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for fibrosis-driven diseases. The company’s current portfolio centers on novel, oral small-molecule treatments that target STAT3, a signaling pathway involved in inflammatory and fibrotic processes. Through this work, Cara Therapeutics addresses conditions where abnormal tissue scarring can drive serious organ damage and limited treatment options. The company operates in the biotechnology and drug-development sectors, where it advances compounds through research and clinical evaluation with the aim of creating targeted therapeutic options for underserved patient populations. Based in Houston, Texas, the business now operates under the Tvardi Therapeutics name following its merger, while the Cara Therapeutics legacy remains associated with its prior biopharmaceutical programs.

CEO Dr. Imran Alibhai Ph.D. · 12 employees · United States · https://tvarditherapeutics.com