VELVELFinancial Services · Mortgage Finance

VEL Stock Forecast: Velocity Financial, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$18
+0.55% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Velocity Financial, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $22 — +19.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 79 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$724.1M
Ticker Nerd rank
79 / 100
Median analyst target
$22
Analysts covering
3
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.0%
1M
+5.9%
YTD
−11.2%
1Y
−3.9%
From 52W high
−11.2%
From 52W low
+8.7%
$17
$21
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VEL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Velocity Financial, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
79 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
95
Quality
90
Volatility
86
Revisions
81
Value
79
Momentum
60
Size
49
Issuance
15
Accruals
14

Growth (95): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (14): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VEL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VEL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$16$18$20$22$24Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VELHigh $24Median $22Low $19

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Low $19Median $22High $24

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$20$19
17 June 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy
17 June 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$23$22
7 May 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform
17 Mar 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy
21 Nov 2025BTIGReiteratesBuy
7 Nov 2025CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform
10 June 2025JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Outperform
7 Mar 2025Citizens Capital MarketsReiteratesMarket Outperform
12 Nov 2024BTIGMaintainsBuy
20 Sept 2024Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight
16 Sept 2024JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Outperform
2 Aug 2024BTIGMaintainsBuy
2 Aug 2024JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform
30 May 2024Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform
30 Apr 2024JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform
15 Mar 2024Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform
11 Mar 2024BTIGMaintainsBuy
11 Mar 2024CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
8 Mar 2024JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VEL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

VEL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.9%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.6×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.5×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.7%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.2%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
52.1%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Net margin
37.9%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.3%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.5%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

VEL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelMortgage Finance
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VELVelocity Financial, Inc.$724.1M
79
WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc.$1.4B
20
ONITOnity Group, Inc.$307.0M
77
LDIloanDepot, Inc.$299.0M
11
UWMCUWM Holdings Corp.$2.2B
9
BETRBetter Home & Finance Holding Co.$216.6M
20
PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc.$3.9B
32

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Velocity Financial, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VEL news & analysis

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, published via Seeking Alpha. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings discussion.

Why it matters — VEL watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's recent quarterly performance and management commentary.

Velocity Financial, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Velocity Financial reported second quarter 2026 results, with net income of $25.2 million and core net income of $27.9 million, compared to $26.0 million and $27.5 million respectively in the prior-year quarter. Diluted earnings per share were $0.64 and core earnings per share were $0.71, versus $0.69 and $0.73 in 2Q25.

Why it matters — VEL watchers would be interested in the company's latest quarterly earnings and per-share figures, which show a slight decline in net income but a modest rise in core net income year over year.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VEL stock

What is the VEL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Velocity Financial, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $22, with estimates ranging from $19 to $24. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VEL stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Velocity Financial, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Velocity Financial, Inc. 79 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VEL?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Velocity Financial, Inc. ranks 79 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (95 of 100).

Will VEL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +19.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Velocity Financial, Inc. 79 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VEL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Velocity Financial, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VEL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $19 to $24 over the next 12 months.

How has VEL stock performed over the past year?

Velocity Financial, Inc. returned -3.9% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Velocity Financial, Inc. do?

Velocity Financial Inc. operates as a leading real estate finance company, specializing in loans for residential investment properties.

What is the latest news on VEL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 6 Aug 2026): "Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, published via Seeking Alpha. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings discussion.

Company

About Velocity Financial, Inc.

Velocity Financial Inc. operates as a leading real estate finance company, specializing in loans for residential investment properties. Its primary function is to provide tailored financing solutions to professional investors acquiring, refinancing, or upgrading residential properties. The firm's comprehensive loan products are designed to support single-family residences, two-to-four-unit small residential properties, and apartment buildings, offering flexible terms that meet diverse investment needs. Velocity Financial plays a vital role in the real estate and mortgage finance sectors by enabling efficient capital flow into the property market, thus facilitating the growth and stability of housing investments. The company is distinguished by its focus on the underserved segment of real estate investors, leveraging its expertise and scale to address unique borrower needs that traditional lenders may overlook. With its strategic emphasis on customer service and market knowledge, Velocity Financial Inc. enhances liquidity in the real estate market, contributing to overall economic vitality.”} ulieren to the constantly evolving needs of professional real estate investors.

CEO Mr. Christopher D. Farrar · 364 employees · United States · https://www.velfinance.com