VNDAVNDAHealthcare · Biotechnology

VNDA Stock Forecast: Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 28 Oct 2026
$4.00
+0.25% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +175.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 28 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$241.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
64/ 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$50.5M−3.9% y/y
Operating income−$63.8M
Net income−$62.5M
Free cash flow−$31.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−22.6%
YTD
−54.6%
1Y
−28.3%
From 52W high
−58.2%
From 52W low
+1.5%
$3.94
$9.56
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VNDA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 28 Oct 2026
64/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
92
Volatility
88
Size
64
Quality
61
Revisions
58
Value
51
Growth
44
Momentum
42
Issuance
31

Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Issuance (31): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

VNDA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VNDA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VNDAHigh $20Median $11Low $5

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $5Median $11High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +175.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy$20
23 Sept 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—
23 Sept 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform$10
10 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
10 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$17 → $12
10 Aug 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$21 → $20
10 Aug 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
11 May 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy$24 → $21
11 May 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
5 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
23 Feb 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
5 Jan 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy—
31 Dec 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
31 Dec 2025JefferiesMaintainsHold—
19 Nov 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
5 Nov 2025B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
30 Oct 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
21 Aug 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
14 May 2025Cantor FitzgeraldAssumesOverweight$13
7 May 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

VNDA appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

VNDA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 28 Oct 2026, Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. returned −28.3% against +13.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VNDA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VNDAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VNDA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (VNDA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
126.0×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−0.5×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−3.9%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.9%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
93.0%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Operating margin
−126.3%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Net margin
−127.4%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−77.8%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Return on assets
−22.4%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (VNDA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has a market value of $241.2M and an enterprise value of $94.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $215.7M. The latest quarter shrank 3.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$274.9M, a −127.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−4.63.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$153.0M.

  • Shares outstanding: 60.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 126.0×; forward P/E: 19.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. employs 533 people — $405K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 28 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VNDA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBiotechnology
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VNDAVanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$241.2M64
PYXSPyxis Oncology, Inc.$236.5M78
ACIUAC Immune SA$241.2M29
CAMPCAMP4 Therapeutics Corp.$229.0M56
KROSKeros Therapeutics, Inc.$228.9M72
LXEOLexeo Therapeutics, Inc.$245.8M27
EVMNEvommune, Inc.$227.3M11

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VNDA news & analysis

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 29 Oct 2026positive

Vanda Pharmaceuticals reported third-quarter revenue growth of 24% year over year, supported by higher Fanapt sales and a sequential increase in HETLIOZ revenue partly tied to specialty-pharmacy purchasing and shipment timing. Operating expenses fell 18% from the second quarter as certain late-stage development and launch-preparation activities concluded.

Why it matters — The results highlight revenue growth alongside lower quarterly operating expenses, while noting that HETLIOZ’s sequential increase was partly affected by purchasing and shipment timing.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026positive

Vanda Pharmaceuticals reported a third-quarter loss of $0.37 per share, compared with the Zacks consensus estimate of a $0.72 loss. It reported a loss of $0.38 per share in the year-ago quarter.

Why it matters — The report gives VNDA watchers a quarterly earnings result that was a smaller loss per share than the cited consensus estimate and the year-ago result.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

PRNewsWire · 28 Oct 2026positive

Vanda Pharmaceuticals reported Q3 2026 revenue of $69.8 million, up 24% year over year and 38% from Q2, while operating expenses fell 18% from Q2 to $93.3 million. The company also reported positive Phase III NEREUS results for prevention of GLP-1-induced vomiting and provided updates on NEREUS availability, BYSANTI launch timing, and Quimilza’s FDA review.

Why it matters — The results and product-program updates provide VNDA watchers with information on quarterly financial performance and the progress of its commercial and development programs.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Targets Major GLP-1 Market Challenge with Positive Trial Outcomes

Benzinga · 27 Oct 2026positive

Vanda Pharmaceuticals reported results from a Phase 3 trial evaluating Nereus, an oral therapy intended to prevent vomiting associated with GLP-1 receptor agonist treatments. The headline describes the trial outcomes as positive.

Why it matters — VNDA watchers may note the reported Phase 3 results for the company’s candidate targeting vomiting associated with GLP-1 treatments.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VNDA stock

What is the VNDA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $4.5 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VNDA stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 28 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VNDA?

As at 28 Oct 2026, Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).

Will VNDA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +175.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 28 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VNDA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VNDA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4.5 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has VNDA stock performed over the past year?

Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. returned -28.3% over the 12 months to 28 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for high unmet medical needs.

What is the latest news on VNDA?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 29 Oct 2026): "Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call.

Company

About Vanda Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for high unmet medical needs. Its current portfolio centers on treatments for sleep-wake disorders, schizophrenia, and other central nervous system conditions, supported by a selective pipeline that includes additional clinical and preclinical programs. The company’s marketed products include HETLIOZ and Fanapt, while PONVORY adds a presence in immune-related therapeutics. Vanda also works on specialty medicines for rare diseases and other targeted indications, using genetics and genomics to guide drug discovery and clinical development. With a concentrated product mix and a research-driven model, Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. plays a specialized role in the biopharmaceutical market by addressing niche patient populations where treatment options may be limited.

CEO Dr. Mihael H. Polymeropoulos M.D. · 533 employees · United States · https://www.vandapharma.com