ADPTechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $287 — +1.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 72 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Automatic Data Processing, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.
Momentum (41): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +1.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $310 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $295 → $310 |
| 30 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $230 → $287 |
| 30 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $270 → $300 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $240 → $286 |
| 30 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $260 → $285 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $248 → $283 |
| 22 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $244 → $295 |
| 22 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $260 → $270 |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | $270 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $214 → $248 |
| 8 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $240 → $260 |
| 6 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 6 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $216 → $223 |
| 18 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADP appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. returned −2.4% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. has a market value of $111.7B and an enterprise value of $113.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $21.9B. The latest quarter grew 6.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 20.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.94.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.8B, after $196.6M of capital spending.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. spent $2.1B on share buybacks and $2.6B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 25.9×; forward P/E: 21.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.40%, paying out 61% of earnings.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. employs 67,000 people — $328K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Weekly jobless claims increased marginally, according to the latest report. Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose slightly week over week.
Why it matters — ADP watchers follow labor-market data such as jobless claims to gauge trends in employment conditions, which are relevant to the company's payroll and human-capital services.
Pre-market indexes traded mixed as rising bond yields coincided with higher oil prices. The morning's news agenda included weekly jobless claims, Federal Reserve speakers, and the trade deficit report.
Why it matters — Employment-related data such as jobless claims and Fed commentary can influence labor-market conditions and economic signals relevant to ADP's payroll and HCM businesses.
The article highlights three Dividend Aristocrats — in payroll processing, supplemental insurance, and integrated energy — that have each delivered 25-plus years of annual dividend increases through different cash-generation engines. Automated Data Processing is cited as one of these companies with a long, unbroken streak of dividend raises.
Why it matters — ADP watchers would care because the article highlights ADP's track record of consistent dividend growth spanning more than two decades, reinforcing its status as a reliable income-paying company.
ADP reported that only +38K new private-sector jobs were added in August, below the +47K that was expected and lower than the unrevised +44K from the prior month.
Why it matters — ADP watchers track this monthly employment figure as a key indicator of labor-market conditions and a gauge of ADP's payroll-data signal.
ADP reported that US private payrolls rose by 38,000 in August, according to its research. This fell short of the 47,000 gain economists had expected.
Why it matters — The reading reflects the health of the labor market and is closely watched by ADP investors as a signal of broader economic conditions.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $287, with estimates ranging from $225 to $322. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 72 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Sept 2026, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ranks 72 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +1.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 72 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $225 to $322 over the next 12 months.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. returned -2.4% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Automatic Data Processing Inc. is a global human capital management and business process outsourcing company that provides cloud-based solutions for payroll, human resources, talent, time tracking, tax, benefits administration, analytics, and compliance.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Sept 2026): "Weekly Jobless Claims Increase Marginally". Weekly jobless claims increased marginally, according to the latest report. Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose slightly week over week.
Automatic Data Processing Inc. is a global human capital management and business process outsourcing company that provides cloud-based solutions for payroll, human resources, talent, time tracking, tax, benefits administration, analytics, and compliance. The company serves businesses of all sizes, from small organizations to large multinational enterprises, through software platforms and outsourced services designed to streamline workforce administration. Its offerings support core HR operations such as employee onboarding, payroll processing, benefits management, and labor compliance, while also helping clients manage data, reporting, and workforce planning. Automatic Data Processing Inc. operates across multiple business segments, including employer services and professional employer organization services, making it a major provider in the broader HR technology and outsourcing market.
CEO Ms. Maria Black · 67,000 employees · United States · https://www.adp.com
