ADPTechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $287 — +9.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Automatic Data Processing, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.
Momentum (42): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $310 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $295 → $310 |
| 30 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $230 → $287 |
| 30 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $270 → $300 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $240 → $286 |
| 30 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $260 → $285 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $248 → $283 |
| 22 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $244 → $295 |
| 22 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $260 → $270 |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | $270 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $214 → $248 |
| 8 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $240 → $260 |
| 6 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 6 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $216 → $223 |
| 18 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ADP appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. returned −7.1% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. has a market value of $104.8B and an enterprise value of $108.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $21.9B. The latest quarter grew 6.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 20.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.94.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.8B, after $196.6M of capital spending.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. spent $2.1B on share buybacks and $2.6B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 24.1×; forward P/E: 19.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.58%, paying out 61% of earnings.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. employs 67,000 people — $328K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
ADP announced that it has nominated David W. Kenny and Nancy McKinstry to its Board of Directors. The announcement was made on Sept. 24, 2026, from the company's Roseland, N.J. headquarters.
Why it matters — A watcher of ADP would care because board composition and new director appointments can signal future governance and strategic direction for the company.
ADP's AI tools, Assist and the Zone, are seeing expanding adoption, which is boosting service efficiency and supporting bookings growth across the company's business. The stock has risen 33% over the past six months.
Why it matters — ADP watchers would care because wider adoption of these AI tools signals improving operational efficiency and continued bookings growth for the company.
ADP released its National Employment Report preliminary estimate for the four weeks ending September 5, 2026, indicating U.S. private employers added an average of 20,000 jobs per week. This data comes from the NER Pulse, a weekly update to the monthly report.
Why it matters — ADP watchers track this preliminary data because it offers an early, weekly glimpse into private-sector employment trends that feed into ADP's widely followed monthly National Employment Report.
A Seeking Alpha article ranks Dividend Kings—companies with 50+ years of consecutive dividend increases—using proprietary 9F Quality Scores that blend qualitative and quantitative factors. The analysis identifies ADP as the best total-return candidate, describing it as undervalued, high-quality, and offering strong projected dividend growth and Adjusted Chowder Number.
Why it matters — For ADP watchers, the article highlights the company as the top-ranked total-return candidate among Dividend Kings, citing its perceived undervaluation, quality, and strong dividend growth outlook.
ADP released a preliminary estimate for its National Employment Report covering the four weeks ending August 29, 2026, indicating that U.S. private employers added an average of 16,250 jobs per week according to the NER Pulse. The figure is part of ADP's weekly update to its monthly employment report.
Why it matters — The ADP National Employment Report is a widely followed indicator of U.S. private-sector labor market conditions, so this preliminary pulse reading offers early insight into hiring trends.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $287, with estimates ranging from $225 to $322. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +9.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 71 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Automatic Data Processing, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $225 to $322 over the next 12 months.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. returned -7.1% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Automatic Data Processing Inc. is a global human capital management and business process outsourcing company that provides cloud-based solutions for payroll, human resources, talent, time tracking, tax, benefits administration, analytics, and compliance.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 24 Sept 2026): "ADP Nominates David W. Kenny and Nancy McKinstry to Board of Directors". ADP announced that it has nominated David W. Kenny and Nancy McKinstry to its Board of Directors. The announcement was made on Sept. 24, 2026, from the company's Roseland, N.J. headquarters.
Automatic Data Processing Inc. is a global human capital management and business process outsourcing company that provides cloud-based solutions for payroll, human resources, talent, time tracking, tax, benefits administration, analytics, and compliance. The company serves businesses of all sizes, from small organizations to large multinational enterprises, through software platforms and outsourced services designed to streamline workforce administration. Its offerings support core HR operations such as employee onboarding, payroll processing, benefits management, and labor compliance, while also helping clients manage data, reporting, and workforce planning. Automatic Data Processing Inc. operates across multiple business segments, including employer services and professional employer organization services, making it a major provider in the broader HR technology and outsourcing market.
CEO Ms. Maria Black · 67,000 employees · United States · https://www.adp.com
