AMSFFinancial Services · Insurance - SpecialtyThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering AMERISAFE, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +62.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AMERISAFE, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (82): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Momentum (6): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMSF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +62.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $27 → $25 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $40 → $35 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $32 → $27 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $42 → $40 |
| 23 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $34 → $32 |
| 23 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $36 → $34 |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 Oct 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 15 Apr 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
AMSF appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, AMERISAFE, Inc. returned −45.5% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 59% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
AMERISAFE, Inc. has a market value of $379.7M and an enterprise value of $284.8M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $335.7M. The latest quarter shrank 2.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $47.0M, a 14.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.48.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $19.3M, after $1.1M of capital spending.
AMERISAFE, Inc. spent $19.0M on share buybacks and $49.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 9.6×; forward P/E: 11.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 8.00%, paying out 75% of earnings.
AMERISAFE, Inc. employs 362 people — $927K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AMERISAFE, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
AMERISAFE held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 29, 2026. The excerpt identifies company executives and analysts who participated but provides no discussion of results or business developments.
Why it matters — The call is relevant to AMSF watchers, but the excerpt alone does not convey earnings details or management commentary.
AMERISAFE reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $7.2 million, or $0.39 per diluted share, compared with $13.8 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, in the prior-year quarter. Operating net income was $7.4 million, or $0.40 per diluted share, down from $10.6 million, or $0.55 per diluted share.
Why it matters — The year-over-year declines in both net income measures provide AMSF watchers an update on the company’s reported quarterly results.
Amerisafe reported quarterly earnings of $0.40 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.47. Earnings were $0.55 per share in the same period a year ago.
Why it matters — AMSF watchers may note the earnings shortfall against estimates and the year-over-year decline in per-share earnings.
AMERISAFE announced its results for the third quarter of 2026, according to a Business Wire release.
Why it matters — AMSF watchers may review the company’s quarterly results for an update on its reported performance.
Seeking Alpha highlights Invesco Mortgage Capital, MFA Financial and five other stocks on its October Dividend Power list for high yields and dividends described as backed by free cash flow. It says the ten stocks are projected to average 86.23% net gains by October 2027, based on analyst targets.
Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention Amerisafe, so it offers no company-specific information for an AMSF watcher.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering AMERISAFE, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $25 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering AMERISAFE, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AMERISAFE, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, AMERISAFE, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (82 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +62.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AMERISAFE, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering AMERISAFE, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMSF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $25 to $35 over the next 12 months.
AMERISAFE, Inc. returned -45.5% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Amerisafe Inc. is a specialty workers’ compensation insurance company that serves small to mid-sized employers in hazardous industries.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 29 Oct 2026): "AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". AMERISAFE held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 29, 2026. The excerpt identifies company executives and analysts who participated but provides no discussion of results or business developments.
Amerisafe Inc. is a specialty workers’ compensation insurance company that serves small to mid-sized employers in hazardous industries. The company focuses on underwriting and managing coverage for businesses in sectors such as construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, maritime, and telecommunications. Its core offering includes workers’ compensation policies that provide statutory benefits for injured employees, along with related claims management, loss-control, safety, and premium audit services. Amerisafe distributes its products through independent agencies and its own general agency, supporting employers that operate in higher-risk environments. As a public insurer headquartered in DeRidder, Louisiana, Amerisafe occupies a focused niche within the U.S. property and casualty market, where its specialized underwriting approach and service model are central to its role in the insurance landscape.
CEO Ms. Gerry Janelle Frost · 362 employees · United States · https://www.amerisafe.com
