AMSFFinancial Services · Insurance - SpecialtyAMSF Stock Forecast: AMERISAFE, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering AMERISAFE, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +19.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
AMSF stock analysis: one number for the whole business
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AMERISAFE, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (82): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Momentum (9): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
AMSF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMSF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.3% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $34 → $32 |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $36 → $34 |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 Oct 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 15 Apr 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 12 July 2023 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 27 Apr 2023 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 18 Apr 2023 | JMP Securities | Reinstates | Market Outperform | $65 |
| 24 Feb 2023 | Janney Montgomery Scott | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 4 Mar 2022 | Truist Securities | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 15 Oct 2021 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 1 May 2020 | SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMSF appears on the weeks it earns a place.
AMSF analyst estimate revisions
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) financial data
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
- Trailing P/E
- 11.2×
- Price / sales
- 1.5×
- Price / book
- 2.1×
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.3×
Cheaper than 57% of US stocks
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- 13.4%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- 4.6%
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- 19.9%
- Net margin
- 14.0%
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
- Return on equity
- 18.2%
- Return on assets
- 3.2%
- Dividend yield
- 5.9%
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
AMSF vs competitors
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AMERISAFE, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Frequently asked questions about AMSF stock
What is the AMSF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering AMERISAFE, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $32 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Is AMSF stock a buy right now?
Of the 3 analysts covering AMERISAFE, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AMERISAFE, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AMSF?
As at 13 Aug 2026, AMERISAFE, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (82 of 100).
Will AMSF stock go up?
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +19.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AMERISAFE, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
What is the AMSF stock forecast for 2030?
No analyst covering AMERISAFE, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMSF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $42 over the next 12 months.
How has AMSF stock performed over the past year?
AMERISAFE, Inc. returned -35.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
What does AMERISAFE, Inc. do?
Amerisafe Inc. is a specialty provider of workers’ compensation insurance, focusing on small to mid-sized employers in high-hazard industries.
About AMERISAFE, Inc.
Amerisafe Inc. is a specialty provider of workers’ compensation insurance, focusing on small to mid-sized employers in high-hazard industries. The company underwrites policies that cover benefits for injured employees, including temporary or permanent disability, death, and medical expenses, serving sectors such as construction, trucking, logging and lumber, agriculture, manufacturing, telecommunications, and maritime. Amerisafe Inc. actively markets its products in 27 U.S. states through retail and wholesale brokers, agents, and direct relationships with employers. Its operations emphasize disciplined underwriting, risk management, and comprehensive service from policy application through claims settlement. The company generates revenues primarily from gross premiums written, net premiums earned, and investment income, while managing key metrics like loss ratios, underwriting expenses, and combined ratios. Amerisafe Inc. also engages in capital management activities, including regular quarterly cash dividends and occasional special dividends, alongside a share repurchase program. Founded in 1985 and headquartered in DeRidder, Louisiana, Amerisafe Inc. holds an 'A' (Excellent) financial strength rating from A.M. Best and has been recognized on Ward’s 50 top-performing property-casualty companies list for multiple years.
CEO Ms. Gerry Janelle Frost · 362 employees · United States · https://www.amerisafe.com