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MBIMBIFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

MBI Stock Forecast: MBIA, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$4.52
+2.03% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering MBIA, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $7 — +54.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$226.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
32/ 100
Median analyst target
$7.00
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$27.0M+17.4% y/y
Net income−$43.0M
Free cash flow−$4.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.3%
1M
+2.7%
YTD
−36.9%
1Y
−33.3%
From 52W high
−41.5%
From 52W low
+6.1%
$4.26
$7.72
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MBI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MBIA, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
32/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
77
Growth
69
Size
65
Revisions
63
Issuance
39
Quality
29
Momentum
14
Volatility
13
Value
2

Accruals (77): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Value (2): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MBI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MBI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MBIHigh $7.00Median $7.00Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
1 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $7.00Median $7.00High $7.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$7.50 → $7.00
19 Mar 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
19 Mar 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$8.50 → $7.50
19 Nov 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
29 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
18 Nov 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform—
7 Aug 2024Roth MKMMaintainsNeutral—
31 May 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
1 Apr 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform—
19 Dec 2023Roth MKMMaintainsNeutral—
8 Dec 2023Roth MKMDowngradeNeutral—
17 Nov 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 May 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
21 Apr 2023Compass PointUpgradeBuy—
15 Mar 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
28 Nov 2022Compass PointInitiatesNeutral—
5 Feb 2018Keefe Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform—
5 Feb 2018Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform—
16 June 2016MKM PartnersMaintainsBuy—
25 Apr 2016Keefe Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MBI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MBI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, MBIA, Inc. returned −33.3% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MBI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MBIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MBI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

MBIA, Inc. (MBI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−1.2×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / book
−0.1×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−25.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
17.4%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
22.2%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Net margin
−164.8%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MBIA, Inc. (MBI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MBIA, Inc. has a market value of $226.0M and an enterprise value of $3.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $94.0M. The latest quarter shrank 25.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$150.0M, a −159.6% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $43.0M.

  • MBIA, Inc. spent $1.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 50.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: −1.2×; forward P/E: −10.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • MBIA, Inc. employs 57 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MBI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MBIMBIA, Inc.$226.0M32
OSGOctave Specialty Group, Inc.$219.5M37
JRVRJames River Group Holdings, Inc.$177.4M67
AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc.$385.1M52
ITICInvestors Title Co.$504.1M53
EIGEmployers Holdings, Inc.$863.8M68
AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.$3.3B42

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MBIA, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MBI news & analysis

MBIA Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026neutral

MBIA Inc. posted its third-quarter 2026 financial results on its investor relations website and said it will furnish them to the SEC on Form 8-K. The company also announced a webcast and investor conference call for November 5 at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss the results.

Why it matters — The results and scheduled discussion provide MBI watchers with an update on the company’s financial reporting and an opportunity to hear management discuss it.

MBIA Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

MBIA reported a narrower second-quarter net loss, helped by lower expenses tied to its Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority (PREPA) exposure and favorable foreign-exchange movements. Management reiterated that resolving National Public Finance Guarantee Corp.'s remaining PREPA exposure remains its principal priority as litigation and negotiations over the utility's restructuring continue.

Why it matters — A narrower quarterly loss and improved costs tied to PREPA signal progress on the key driver of MBIA's ongoing losses and restructuring risk, which watchers track closely.

MBIA Inc. (MBI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

MBIA Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and a transcript of the call was published by Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's second-quarter 2026 financial results and related discussion.

Why it matters — MBI watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management commentary.

MBIA (MBI) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026neutral

MBIA reported a second-quarter loss of $0.14 per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.05 loss, though narrower than the $0.17 per-share loss in the same quarter a year ago. The company also topped revenue estimates for the period.

Why it matters — The quarterly results show how MBIA's earnings compare against analyst expectations and prior-year performance, offering MBI watchers a snapshot of the firm's recent financial trajectory.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MBI stock

What is the MBI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering MBIA, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $7, with estimates ranging from $7 to $7. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MBI stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering MBIA, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MBIA, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MBI?

As at 3 Nov 2026, MBIA, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (77 of 100).

Will MBI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +54.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MBIA, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MBI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MBIA, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MBI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $7 over the next 12 months.

How has MBI stock performed over the past year?

MBIA, Inc. returned -33.3% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MBIA, Inc. do?

MBIA Inc. is a financial services holding company headquartered in Purchase, New York.

What is the latest news on MBI?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 4 Nov 2026): "MBIA Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results". MBIA Inc. posted its third-quarter 2026 financial results on its investor relations website and said it will furnish them to the SEC on Form 8-K. The company also announced a webcast and investor conference call for November 5 at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss the results.

Company

About MBIA, Inc.

MBIA Inc. is a financial services holding company headquartered in Purchase, New York. MBIA Inc. and its subsidiaries provide financial guarantee insurance and related specialized services for public finance, corporate, international, and structured finance markets. Through its insurance businesses, the company focuses on credit enhancement for municipal bonds and other public infrastructure-related obligations, helping issuers access financial protection across sectors such as transportation, utilities, education, health care, and housing. MBIA Inc. also operates corporate support functions and portfolio-related services that manage its legacy insurance businesses. The company’s current role in the market centers on servicing existing insurance portfolios and offering financial guarantee solutions through its subsidiaries, including National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation and MBIA Insurance Corporation.

CEO Mr. William Charles Fallon · 57 employees · United States · https://www.mbia.com