JRVRJRVRFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

JRVR Stock Forecast: James River Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$4.19
+3.20% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering James River Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4.73 — +12.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$193.3M
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.73
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$151.4M−12.1% y/y
Net income−$8.9M
Free cash flow−$766K
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.7%
1M
−8.9%
YTD
−33.9%
1Y
−24.4%
From 52W high
−41.0%
From 52W low
+9.6%
$3.82
$7.10
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

JRVR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores James River Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
96
Growth
95
Accruals
73
Size
69
Volatility
63
Issuance
52
Momentum
35
Revisions
26
Quality
19

Value (96): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Quality (19): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

JRVR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on JRVR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26JRVRHigh $5.00Median $4.73Low $4.45

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $4.45Median $4.73High $5.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$4.75$4.45
12 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$6.00$5.00
19 May 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral$8.00$4.75
19 May 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral
5 May 2026CitizensDowngradeMarket Perform
4 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
16 Dec 2025Compass PointDowngradeNeutral
6 May 2025JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Outperform
13 Mar 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
11 Mar 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
10 Mar 2025Compass PointMaintainsBuy
20 Dec 2024JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform
7 Aug 2024Compass PointMaintainsBuy
7 Aug 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
6 Aug 2024JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform
17 July 2024JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform
15 Apr 2024JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Outperform
22 Mar 2024Compass PointUpgradeBuy
7 Mar 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
5 Mar 2024UBSMaintainsBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. JRVR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

JRVR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, James River Group Holdings, Inc. returned −24.4% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

JRVR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26JRVRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

JRVR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.5×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / book
0.4×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.2×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.7%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
34.5%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
8.7%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
4.7%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.9%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.6%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 22% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • James River Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $193.3M and an enterprise value of $451.1M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $666.7M. The latest quarter shrank 7.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $28.9M, a 4.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.34.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $28.3M, after $3.7M of capital spending.

  • James River Group Holdings, Inc. spent $9.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 46.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.5×; forward P/E: 4.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.95%, paying out 9% of earnings.

  • James River Group Holdings, Inc. employs 576 people $1.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

JRVR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
JRVRJames River Group Holdings, Inc.$193.3M
63
OSGOctave Specialty Group, Inc.$196.7M
34
MBIMBIA, Inc.$242.4M
37
AMSFAMERISAFE, Inc.$491.3M
53
ITICInvestors Title Co.$550.6M
58
EIGEmployers Holdings, Inc.$900.1M
60
NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc.$3.4B
76

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own James River Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest JRVR news & analysis

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of James River Group Holdings, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The document covers management's discussion of the company's second-quarter results.

Why it matters — A JRVR watcher would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance.

James River Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 11 Aug 2026neutral

James River Group reported second-quarter 2026 net income available to common shareholders of $4.4 million, up from $2.8 million a year earlier, while operating earnings declined to $10 million, or $0.20 per diluted share, from $11.7 million, or $0.23 per share, in the prior-year quarter.

Why it matters — JRVR watchers would note the mixed quarter, with net income rising but operating earnings falling year over year.

James River to Hold Its Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call on Tuesday, August 11, 2026

GlobeNewsWire · 31 July 2026neutral

James River Group Holdings will release its second quarter 2026 earnings after the market closes on August 10, 2026, and host an earnings conference call on the morning of August 11, 2026.

Why it matters — This notification provides the scheduled date and time for the company's quarterly financial results and the opportunity for investors to hear management's commentary on the quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about JRVR stock

What is the JRVR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering James River Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4.73, with estimates ranging from $4.45 to $5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is JRVR stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering James River Group Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks James River Group Holdings, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank JRVR?

As at 2 Sept 2026, James River Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (96 of 100).

Will JRVR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +12.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks James River Group Holdings, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the JRVR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering James River Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for JRVR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4.45 to $5 over the next 12 months.

How has JRVR stock performed over the past year?

James River Group Holdings, Inc. returned -24.4% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does James River Group Holdings, Inc. do?

James River Group Holdings, Inc. is an insurance holding company that owns and operates specialty insurance businesses focused on commercial property and casualty coverage.

What is the latest news on JRVR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 11 Aug 2026): "James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published the transcript of James River Group Holdings, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The document covers management's discussion of the company's second-quarter results.

Company

About James River Group Holdings, Inc.

James River Group Holdings, Inc. is an insurance holding company that owns and operates specialty insurance businesses focused on commercial property and casualty coverage. James River Group offers excess and surplus lines insurance for hard-to-place risks, along with specialty admitted insurance for selected niche markets within the standard insurance framework. Its operations are organized around underwriting, policy distribution, claims handling, and related support functions that serve program administrators, wholesale brokers, managing general agents, and other commercial insurance partners. The company’s core role in the market is to provide tailored coverage solutions where standard insurance products are less suited, with an emphasis on specialty underwriting expertise and disciplined risk management. James River Group Holdings, Inc. serves a broad range of U.S. commercial insurance customers through its specialty insurance platforms.

CEO Mr. Frank N. D'Orazio · 576 employees · United States · https://jrvrgroup.com