The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Octave Specialty Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +198.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Octave Specialty Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (99): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (9): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OSG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +198.0% from it.
Of the 19 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 July 2025 | Truist Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 6 May 2014 | Imperial Capital | Downgrade | In-Line | — |
| 1 Apr 2014 | Imperial Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 7 Nov 2012 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 23 Oct 2012 | Credit Suisse | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 23 Oct 2012 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 22 Oct 2012 | Clarkson Capital Markets | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 22 Oct 2012 | Clarksons Platou | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 22 Oct 2012 | Dahlman Rose | Downgrade | Sell | — |
| 22 Oct 2012 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 22 Oct 2012 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 13 Sept 2012 | Global Hunter Securities | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 2 Aug 2012 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 2 Aug 2012 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 24 July 2012 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 30 Apr 2012 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | $9.00 → $10 |
| 29 Feb 2012 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Underweight | $14 → $8.00 |
| 29 Feb 2012 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | $12 → $9.00 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OSG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 88% of US stocks
Cheaper than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. has a market value of $205.0M and an enterprise value of $567.8M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $318.1M. The latest quarter grew 51.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$156.4M, a −49.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−3.65.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$62.1M.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. spent $26.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.4×; forward P/E: 8.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. employs 483 people — $659K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Octave Specialty Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
OSG reported Q2 revenues up 51%, driven by strong Insurance Distribution growth and improved Everspan results, though earnings missed estimates. The company raised its 2026 distribution outlook.
Why it matters — Revenue growth across OSG's core segments and an upgraded distribution forecast signal accelerating momentum in the business.
OSG raised its 2026 Distribution growth and EBITDA guidance as MGA momentum accelerates, while simultaneously cutting its EPS and Everspan outlooks. The earnings call reflected these mixed revisions across its business lines.
Why it matters — The mixed guidance revisions point to diverging performance across OSG's segments, which watchers would track to gauge where growth is strengthening versus weakening.
Octave Specialty Group (NYSE: OSG) reported improved second-quarter results, with growth in its Insurance Distribution segment and progress at its Everspan specialty insurance platform narrowing its net loss and lifting adjusted EBITDA.
Why it matters — The narrowing net loss and improved adjusted EBITDA signal that OSG's strategic focus on its Insurance Distribution segment and Everspan platform is gaining traction.
Seeking Alpha published the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript for Octave Specialty Group, Inc. (OSG). The item announces the availability of the transcript from the company's second-quarter earnings call.
Why it matters — OSG watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's quarterly results and management's commentary.
Octave Specialty Group (OSG) reported a second-quarter loss of $0.04 per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.01 loss but narrower than the $0.22 per share loss a year earlier, while beating revenue estimates.
Why it matters — OSG watchers would care because the quarter shows the company's loss narrowed sharply year over year even as it came in above consensus expectations on both earnings and revenue.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Octave Specialty Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $12 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering Octave Specialty Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Octave Specialty Group, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Octave Specialty Group, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +198.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Octave Specialty Group, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Octave Specialty Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OSG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $15 over the next 12 months.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company primarily engaged in the property and casualty insurance sector.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 10 Aug 2026): "OSG Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Beat on Distribution Growth". OSG reported Q2 revenues up 51%, driven by strong Insurance Distribution growth and improved Everspan results, though earnings missed estimates. The company raised its 2026 distribution outlook.
Octave Specialty Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company primarily engaged in the property and casualty insurance sector. Founded in 1971, it focuses on providing innovative insurance products through a managing general agent (MGA) platform that leverages expertise, artificial intelligence, and technological solutions to serve diverse client needs. The company operates within the financial services industry, managing specialty insurance businesses that address unique risks across various industries. Headquartered in New York, Octave Specialty Group holds a market capitalization of several hundred million dollars and plays a significant role in the insurance market by offering tailored coverage solutions designed to meet emerging marketplace demands and leveraging advanced analytics to optimize underwriting and claims management.
CEO Mr. Claude LeBlanc CPA · 483 employees · United States · https://www.octavegroup.com
