ARDXARDXHealthcare · Biotechnology

ARDX Stock Forecast: Ardelyx, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$3.58
−1.10% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Ardelyx, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +277.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$924.3M
Ticker Nerd rank
50 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$120.9M+23.8% y/y
Operating income−$12.4M
Net income−$16.7M
Free cash flow−$6.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−9.1%
YTD
−38.6%
1Y
−46.4%
From 52W high
−55.2%
From 52W low
0.0%
$3.58
$7.99
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARDX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ardelyx, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
50 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Value
95
Volatility
73
Accruals
61
Growth
47
Size
46
Revisions
30
Momentum
23
Issuance
18

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (18): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ARDX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARDX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$10.00$15.00$20.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARDXHigh $18Median $14Low $8

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
11 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $8Median $14High $18

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +277.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform$9.00
18 Aug 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform$9.00
17 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$16$15
10 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$14$11
10 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
7 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$17$14
7 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$13$10
16 June 2026Ladenburg ThalmannAssumesBuy$16
23 Feb 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform
20 Feb 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy
20 Feb 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
29 Jan 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy
21 Jan 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform
9 Jan 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy
9 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
9 Jan 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight
4 Nov 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
3 Nov 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ARDX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ARDX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Ardelyx, Inc. returned −46.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ARDX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARDXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ARDX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−13.8×

Cheaper than 94% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / book
6.0×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−27.8×

Cheaper than 91% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.8%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
23.8%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Gross margin
95.2%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Operating margin
−10.3%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Net margin
−12.4%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−38.6%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Return on assets
−4.3%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ardelyx, Inc. has a market value of $924.3M and an enterprise value of $892.8M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $450.9M. The latest quarter grew 23.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$55.7M, a −12.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.22.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$17.9M.

  • Shares outstanding: 249.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: −13.8×; forward P/E: 12.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Ardelyx, Inc. employs 395 people $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ARDX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBiotechnology
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARDXArdelyx, Inc.$924.3M
50
RIGLRigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$874.0M
77
GERNGeron Corp.$864.7M
52
IMMXImmix Biopharma, Inc.$864.2M
34
WVEWave Life Sciences, Inc.$883.0M
14
TBPHTheravance Biopharma, Inc.$856.6M
89
LXRXLexicon Pharmaceuticals, Inc.$889.9M
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ardelyx, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ARDX news & analysis

Ardelyx to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences

GlobeNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Ardelyx, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, announced its participation in upcoming investor conferences. The announcement was made on September 1, 2026, from the company's headquarters in Waltham, Massachusetts.

Why it matters — ARDX watchers may see the company's conference appearances as opportunities for management to present its pipeline and commercial progress to the investment community.

ARDX Investor Alert: Levi & Korsinsky Notifies Investors of Investigation Into Ardelyx (ARDX)

Business Wire · 17 Aug 2026negative

Levi & Korsinsky notified investors of an investigation into Ardelyx after its stock fell 17.86% to close at $4.00, with every 100 shares held into August 7, 2026 losing about $87 in value following the company's second quarter report. The firm is inviting shareholders who lost money to submit their loss information for review or to contact Joseph E. Levi.

Why it matters — ARDX watchers would care because the announcement of an investigation following a sharp stock decline may signal heightened legal and financial scrutiny of the company.

Ardelyx Investigation Notice: Levi & Korsinsky Notifies Investors of Pending Investigation Into Ardelyx (ARDX)

PRNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026negative

Levi & Korsinsky issued a notice informing investors of a pending investigation into Ardelyx (ARDX). The notice follows the company's stock closing at $4.00 on August 7, 2026, down 17.86%, after its second-quarter 2026 product revenue of $118.1 million and a loss of about $(0.07) per share both came in below consensus estimates.

Why it matters — ARDX watchers would care because the investigation notice adds a legal/regulatory element on top of the sharp single-day share decline triggered by weaker-than-expected second-quarter results.

Ardelyx Q2: Strong Demand, But Payer Friction Clouds The Story

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Ardelyx reported Q2 revenue up 31% year-over-year, driven by IBSRELA and XPHOZAH, but payer friction is limiting near-term monetization and led to a guidance cut. Management is addressing access bottlenecks with expanded reimbursement teams, pharmacy network optimization, and a larger sales force.

Why it matters — ARDX watchers would care because the company's strong underlying demand is being offset by payer and access hurdles that have prompted a guidance cut and raised near-term execution uncertainty.

Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Ardelyx, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The item makes the call transcript available for review but contains no details of the actual results or discussion.

Why it matters — A transcript of the Q2 2026 earnings call gives investors and analysts direct access to management's commentary on the company's latest quarterly performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARDX stock

What is the ARDX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Ardelyx, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $8 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARDX stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Ardelyx, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ardelyx, Inc. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARDX?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Ardelyx, Inc. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will ARDX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +277.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ardelyx, Inc. 50 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARDX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ardelyx, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARDX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $18 over the next 12 months.

How has ARDX stock performed over the past year?

Ardelyx, Inc. returned -46.4% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ardelyx, Inc. do?

Ardelyx Inc. is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing medicines for gastrointestinal and cardiorenal diseases.

What is the latest news on ARDX?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 1 Sept 2026): "Ardelyx to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences". Ardelyx, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, announced its participation in upcoming investor conferences. The announcement was made on September 1, 2026, from the company's headquarters in Waltham, Massachusetts.

Company

About Ardelyx, Inc.

Ardelyx Inc. is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing medicines for gastrointestinal and cardiorenal diseases. The company’s current portfolio centers on tenapanor-based therapies, including IBSRELA for adults with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation and XPHOZAH for reducing serum phosphorus in adults with chronic kidney disease on dialysis. Ardelyx also works on therapies for related metabolic and kidney disorders, using its gut-targeted science platform to address conditions that often have limited treatment options. Headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, and founded in 2007, Ardelyx serves patients in the United States through direct commercialization and supports broader reach through select partnerships. The company operates in the biotechnology and specialty pharmaceuticals markets, where it contributes prescription treatments designed for chronic, specialist-managed conditions.

CEO Mr. Michael G. Raab · 395 employees · United States · https://www.ardelyx.com