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BHRBBHRBFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

BHRB Stock Forecast: Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$69
+0.58% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $82 — +18.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
28 / 100
Median analyst target
$82
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$105.5M+23.0% y/y
Net income$9.5M
Free cash flow−$1.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
−3.7%
YTD
+13.4%
1Y
+18.9%
From 52W high
−6.9%
From 52W low
+23.8%
$56
$74
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BHRB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
28 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
76
Volatility
66
Value
48
Quality
43
Issuance
41
Size
40
Revisions
37
Growth
30
Accruals
13

Momentum (76): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (13): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BHRB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BHRB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$65$70$75$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BHRBHigh $82Median $82Low $75

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
3 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $75Median $82High $82

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$80 → $81
15 May 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeBuy$74
15 May 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeBuy—
27 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
25 Feb 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesNeutral—
25 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerDowngradeHold—
7 Nov 2025Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
9 Oct 2025Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
28 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
28 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
10 July 2025Janney Montgomery ScottInitiatesBuy—
29 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
27 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform—
4 Dec 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
29 Oct 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
16 Oct 2024DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy$76
29 July 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BHRB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BHRB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. returned +18.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BHRB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120125130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BHRBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BHRB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−10.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.3×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.9×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.3%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−68.3%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
19.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
26.9%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.8%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.0%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.2%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. (BHRB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. has a market value of $1.4B and an enterprise value of $1.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $358.7M. The latest quarter grew 22.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $97.0M, a 27.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.24.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $86.5M.

  • Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. spent $36.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 20.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.3×; forward P/E: 7.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.21%, paying out 36% of earnings.

  • Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. employs 1,051 people — $341K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BHRB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BHRBBurke Herbert Financial Services Corp.$1.4B
28
TMPTompkins Financial Corp.$1.4B
84
WABCWestamerica Bancorporation$1.4B
79
AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.$1.4B
77
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky)$1.4B
75
LKFNLakeland Financial Corp. (Indiana)$1.4B
62
ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.$1.4B
57

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BHRB news & analysis

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Prices $100.0 Million Subordinated Notes Offering

GlobeNewsWire · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. announced the pricing of its public offering of $100.0 million aggregate principal amount of 7.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2036. The notes mature on October 1, 2036, carry a fixed 7.00% rate until October 1, 2031, after which they convert to a floating rate based on Three-Month Term SOFR plus 222 basis points, and are intended to qualify as Tier 2 capital.

Why it matters — This offering represents a capital-raising move for BHRB, with the notes intended to qualify as Tier 2 regulatory capital at the holding company level.

Burke & Herbert Financial Services (BHRB) Lags Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 23 July 2026negative

Burke & Herbert Financial Services reported quarterly earnings of $2.03 per share, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.10 per share. The result compares to earnings of $1.97 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — The earnings miss relative to analyst expectations may signal near-term headwinds or performance challenges for the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BHRB stock

What is the BHRB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $82, with estimates ranging from $75 to $82. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BHRB stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BHRB?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (76 of 100).

Will BHRB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +18.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. 28 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BHRB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BHRB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $75 to $82 over the next 12 months.

How has BHRB stock performed over the past year?

Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. returned +18.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp. do?

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is a bank holding company headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia.

What is the latest news on BHRB?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 28 Sept 2026): "Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Prices $100.0 Million Subordinated Notes Offering". Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. announced the pricing of its public offering of $100.0 million aggregate principal amount of 7.00% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2036. The notes mature on October 1, 2036, carry a fixed 7.00% rate until October 1, 2031, after which they convert to a floating rate based on Three-Month Term SOFR plus 222 basis points, and are intended to qualify as Tier 2 capital.

Company

About Burke Herbert Financial Services Corp.

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. is a bank holding company headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia. Through Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company, it provides community banking products and financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, professional corporations, non-profits, and individuals. Its offerings include consumer and commercial deposit accounts, lending solutions across commercial real estate, residential, commercial and industrial, and construction segments, as well as cash management, online and mobile banking, wealth and trust services, and treasury management solutions. The company focuses on relationship-based banking in the Mid-Atlantic region, serving households and organizations with everyday banking, financing, and business banking needs. Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as a regional financial institution with a broad mix of retail and commercial banking services.

CEO Mr. David P. Boyle CPA · 1,051 employees · United States · https://www.burkeandherbertbank.com