TFINTFINFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TFIN Stock Forecast: Triumph Financial, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$65
+2.75% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $72 — +10.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 41 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
41/ 100
Median analyst target
$72
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$122.1M+12.9% y/y
Net income$11.4M
Free cash flow$37.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.1%
1M
+4.4%
YTD
+3.6%
1Y
+19.7%
From 52W high
−20.0%
From 52W low
+28.4%
$51
$81
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TFIN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Triumph Financial, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
41/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
95
Issuance
84
Revisions
73
Momentum
68
Size
39
Quality
18
Accruals
15
Value
5
Volatility
2

Growth (95): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (2): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

TFIN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TFIN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TFINHigh $86Median $72Low $70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
2 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $70Median $72High $86

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
23 Oct 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Oct 2026B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
25 Sept 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
29 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
23 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Apr 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
22 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
28 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
12 Jan 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
20 Oct 2025B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
17 Oct 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
18 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
23 Apr 2025B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesNeutral—
21 Apr 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
21 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

TFIN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

TFIN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +19.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TFIN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TFINS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TFIN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
33.2×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.3×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
686.2%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
21.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Net margin
10.7%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
5.3%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.7%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. has a market value of $1.5B and an enterprise value of $679.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $441.1M. The latest quarter grew 19.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $38.6M, a 8.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $78.1M, after $19.6M of capital spending.

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. spent $2.2M on share buybacks and $3.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 23.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 33.2×; forward P/E: 18.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. employs 1,440 people — $306K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TFIN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TFINTriumph Financial, Inc.$1.5B41
ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.$1.5B47
AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.$1.5B79
LKFNLakeland Financial Corp. (Indiana)$1.5B72
TMPTompkins Financial Corp.$1.4B78
BHRBBurke Herbert Financial Services Corp.$1.4B26
LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc.$1.6B33

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Triumph Financial, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TFIN news & analysis

Triumph Financial: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 30 Oct 2026positive

Triumph Financial targeted $20 million in operational efficiency by 2027, while invoice processing volume in payments grew 7% year over year.

Why it matters — These details highlight the company’s stated efficiency goal and recent growth in payment activity for TFIN watchers.

Diamond Hill Small Cap Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 28 Oct 2026neutral

The excerpt describes Q3 2026 activity by Diamond Hill Small Cap Fund: Utz Brands shares rose after an acquisition agreement, Astrana Health shares declined, and the fund initiated a position in Bank7. It contains no mention of Triumph Financial, Inc.

Why it matters — The excerpt provides no TFIN-specific developments for a Triumph Financial watcher.

Triumph Financial Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Triumph Financial said it is moving from a multiyear investment phase toward a greater focus on operating leverage and earnings performance. It will continue building its transportation-focused factoring, payments, intelligence and LoadPay businesses.

Why it matters — The shift in focus and continued business development may be relevant to TFIN watchers assessing the company’s operating priorities.

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Triumph Financial held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 22, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and analysts participating and begins the presentation, but provides no earnings results or management commentary.

Why it matters — The excerpt confirms the call and its participants, but does not include substantive financial or operating information for TFIN watchers.

Triumph Financial (TFIN) Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Oct 2026negative

Triumph Financial reported third-quarter earnings of $0.54 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.60. Earnings were $0.19 per share in the year-ago quarter.

Why it matters — TFIN watchers may note the earnings miss alongside the increase in per-share earnings compared with a year ago.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TFIN stock

What is the TFIN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $72, with estimates ranging from $70 to $86. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TFIN stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 41 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TFIN?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. ranks 41 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (95 of 100).

Will TFIN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +10.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 41 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TFIN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Triumph Financial, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TFIN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $86 over the next 12 months.

How has TFIN stock performed over the past year?

Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +19.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Triumph Financial, Inc. do?

Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial holding company that focuses on banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services.

What is the latest news on TFIN?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 30 Oct 2026): "Triumph Financial: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". Triumph Financial targeted $20 million in operational efficiency by 2027, while invoice processing volume in payments grew 7% year over year.

Company

About Triumph Financial, Inc.

Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial holding company that focuses on banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services. Through its subsidiaries and brands, including TBK Bank, TriumphPay, and LoadPay, the company provides deposit accounts, lending solutions, treasury and cash management services, electronic banking, and truck-related payment services. It also offers factoring and working-capital solutions designed for transportation and other commercial clients, along with data-driven tools that help customers manage freight transactions and improve operational visibility. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Triumph Financial Inc. serves businesses across the United States with a mix of traditional banking products and specialized financial technology services tailored to the freight and commercial finance markets.

CEO Mr. Aaron P. Graft J.D. · 1,440 employees · United States · https://triumph.io