TFINTFINFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TFIN Stock Forecast: Triumph Financial, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$69
−0.17% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $88 — +27.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 44 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
44 / 100
Median analyst target
$88
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$122.1M+12.9% y/y
Net income$11.4M
Free cash flow$37.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.3%
1M
−10.2%
YTD
+9.9%
1Y
+10.7%
From 52W high
−15.1%
From 52W low
+46.6%
$47
$81
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TFIN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Triumph Financial, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
44 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
91
Revisions
83
Issuance
81
Momentum
72
Size
39
Accruals
17
Quality
16
Volatility
6
Value
3

Growth (91): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Value (3): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TFIN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TFIN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TFINHigh $89Median $88Low $82

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
1 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $82Median $88High $89

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
24 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
23 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight
23 Apr 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform
22 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
29 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
28 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
12 Jan 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral
20 Oct 2025B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
17 Oct 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight
16 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
18 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
23 Apr 2025B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesNeutral
21 Apr 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
21 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
27 Feb 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeMarket Perform
28 Jan 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
24 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesUnderperform
23 Jan 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TFIN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TFIN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +10.7% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TFIN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TFINS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TFIN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.3%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
46.6×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.6×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.9%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
157.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
21.3%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
8.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.6%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. has a market value of $1.6B and an enterprise value of $965.7M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $441.1M. The latest quarter grew 11.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $38.6M, a 8.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $78.1M, after $19.6M of capital spending.

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. spent $2.2M on share buybacks and $3.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 23.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 46.6×; forward P/E: 21.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Triumph Financial, Inc. employs 1,441 people $306K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TFIN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TFINTriumph Financial, Inc.$1.6B
44
OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.$1.7B
72
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky)$1.7B
76
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B
80
QCRHQCR Holdings, Inc.$1.7B
83
BFCBank First Corp.$1.7B
54
CASHPathward Financial, Inc.$1.7B
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Triumph Financial, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TFIN news & analysis

Insider Sale Alert: Triumph Financial EVP Nelson Sells 3,750 Shares

The Motley Fool · 15 Aug 2026neutral

Triumph Financial EVP Nelson sold approximately 3,750 shares in a transaction worth about $300,000. This insider sale follows a strong stock run, with shares climbing roughly 25% so far in 2026.

Why it matters — Insider sales can draw attention from TFIN watchers because they may offer insight into executive sentiment, especially after a notable stock-price rise.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TFIN stock

What is the TFIN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $88, with estimates ranging from $82 to $89. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TFIN stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 44 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TFIN?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. ranks 44 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (91 of 100).

Will TFIN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +27.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 44 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TFIN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Triumph Financial, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TFIN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $89 over the next 12 months.

How has TFIN stock performed over the past year?

Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +10.7% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Triumph Financial, Inc. do?

Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial holding company that focuses on banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services.

What is the latest news on TFIN?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 15 Aug 2026): "Insider Sale Alert: Triumph Financial EVP Nelson Sells 3,750 Shares". Triumph Financial EVP Nelson sold approximately 3,750 shares in a transaction worth about $300,000. This insider sale follows a strong stock run, with shares climbing roughly 25% so far in 2026.

Company

About Triumph Financial, Inc.

Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial holding company that focuses on banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services. Through its subsidiaries and brands, including TBK Bank, TriumphPay, and LoadPay, the company provides deposit accounts, lending solutions, treasury and cash management services, electronic banking, and truck-related payment services. It also offers factoring and working-capital solutions designed for transportation and other commercial clients, along with data-driven tools that help customers manage freight transactions and improve operational visibility. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Triumph Financial Inc. serves businesses across the United States with a mix of traditional banking products and specialized financial technology services tailored to the freight and commercial finance markets.

CEO Mr. Aaron P. Graft J.D. · 1,441 employees · United States · https://triumph.io