TFINFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $75 — +22.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 36 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Triumph Financial, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (92): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Volatility (4): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TFIN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.4% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 Jan 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 12 Jan 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 20 Oct 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 Oct 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 July 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Apr 2025 | B. Riley Securities | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 21 Apr 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 28 Jan 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TFIN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +26.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Triumph Financial, Inc. has a market value of $1.5B and an enterprise value of $796.6M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $441.1M. The latest quarter grew 11.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $38.6M, a 8.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.48.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $78.1M, after $19.6M of capital spending.
Triumph Financial, Inc. spent $2.2M on share buybacks and $3.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 41.4×; forward P/E: 18.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Triumph Financial, Inc. employs 1,441 people — $306K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Triumph Financial, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research says Triumph Financial has two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat ahead of its upcoming report, and highlights key expectations.
Why it matters — The item previews expectations for TFIN’s upcoming earnings release, which investors may follow for an update on the company’s results.
Triumph Financial (TFIN) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade could potentially drive the stock higher in the near term.
Why it matters — A TFIN watcher would care because the upgrade signals increased analyst confidence in the company's earnings outlook, which may influence near-term stock performance.
Triumph released its inaugural "Triumph Mile Marker" report, a freight market analysis suggesting the trucking industry is shifting toward "defensible capacity" — capacity that can be deployed with confidence — based on transaction-level data from the Triumph Network, one of North America's largest freight transaction networks.
Why it matters — The report draws on Triumph's proprietary network data and provides freight market insights that could inform expectations for the trucking industry in which TFIN operates.
Triumph Financial, Inc. COO Edward Schreyer sold 2,900 shares in a transaction valued at $213,875. The disposition reduced his total direct equity holdings by 16%.
Why it matters — TFIN watchers monitor insider transactions because selling by a senior executive can indicate a shift in management's view of the company's outlook.
Triumph Financial EVP Nelson sold approximately 3,750 shares in a transaction worth about $300,000. This insider sale follows a strong stock run, with shares climbing roughly 25% so far in 2026.
Why it matters — Insider sales can draw attention from TFIN watchers because they may offer insight into executive sentiment, especially after a notable stock-price rise.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $75, with estimates ranging from $67 to $84. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 36 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. ranks 36 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +22.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 36 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Triumph Financial, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TFIN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $67 to $84 over the next 12 months.
Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +26.7% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial holding company that focuses on banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "Triumph Financial (TFIN) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release". Zacks Investment Research says Triumph Financial has two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat ahead of its upcoming report, and highlights key expectations.
Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial holding company that focuses on banking, factoring, payments, and intelligence services. Through its subsidiaries and brands, including TBK Bank, TriumphPay, and LoadPay, the company provides deposit accounts, lending solutions, treasury and cash management services, electronic banking, and truck-related payment services. It also offers factoring and working-capital solutions designed for transportation and other commercial clients, along with data-driven tools that help customers manage freight transactions and improve operational visibility. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Triumph Financial Inc. serves businesses across the United States with a mix of traditional banking products and specialized financial technology services tailored to the freight and commercial finance markets.
CEO Mr. Aaron P. Graft J.D. · 1,441 employees · United States · https://triumph.io
