TFINTFINFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TFIN Stock Forecast: Triumph Financial, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$78
−0.27% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $88 — +12.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
42 / 100
Median analyst target
$88
Analysts covering
5
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.9%
1M
−0.0%
YTD
+24.9%
1Y
+41.7%
From 52W high
−3.5%
From 52W low
+66.6%
$47
$81
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TFIN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Triumph Financial, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
42 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
90
Revisions
84
Issuance
81
Momentum
66
Size
37
Accruals
17
Quality
16
Volatility
5
Value
3

Growth (90): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Value (3): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TFIN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TFIN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80$90Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TFINHigh $89Median $88Low $82

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says5 analysts
1 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $82Median $88High $89

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
24 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
23 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight
23 Apr 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform
22 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
29 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
28 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
12 Jan 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral
20 Oct 2025B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
17 Oct 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight
16 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
18 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
23 Apr 2025B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesNeutral
21 Apr 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
21 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
27 Feb 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeMarket Perform
28 Jan 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral
24 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesUnderperform
23 Jan 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TFIN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TFIN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.3%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
53.0×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.9%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
157.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
21.3%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Net margin
8.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.6%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TFIN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TFINTriumph Financial, Inc.$1.9B
42
TCBKTriCo Bancshares$1.9B
88
HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.$1.9B
52
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.$1.9B
13
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.$1.9B
86
CASHPathward Financial, Inc.$1.8B
60
GABCGerman American Bancorp, Inc.$1.9B
91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Triumph Financial, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TFIN stock

What is the TFIN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $88, with estimates ranging from $82 to $89. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TFIN stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Triumph Financial, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TFIN?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Triumph Financial, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (90 of 100).

Will TFIN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +12.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Triumph Financial, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TFIN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Triumph Financial, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TFIN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $89 over the next 12 months.

How has TFIN stock performed over the past year?

Triumph Financial, Inc. returned +41.7% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Triumph Financial, Inc. do?

Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial services entity specializing in providing a broad range of banking solutions focused on the transportation sector.

Company

About Triumph Financial, Inc.

Triumph Financial Inc. is a financial services entity specializing in providing a broad range of banking solutions focused on the transportation sector. The company plays a pivotal role in financing and supporting small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) involved in freight transportation and logistics. Triumph Financial Inc.'s key offerings include factoring, equipment financing, and treasury management services, which are critical to sustaining cash flow and operational efficiencies for its clientele. The firm actively works to bridge gaps in cash flow for transportation companies by purchasing accounts receivables, thus offering much-needed liquidity. With its headquarters in Dallas, Texas, Triumph Financial has established itself as a significant player in the niche market of transportation finance. The company's robust network and technology-driven solutions enhance its service delivery, ensuring it remains a vital cog in the financial and transportation sectors. Triumph Financial's niche focus and innovative financial products contribute to its importance in facilitating growth and stability within its targeted market, directly impacting the transportation industry's operational capital and development.

CEO Mr. Aaron P. Graft J.D. · 1,441 employees · United States · https://triumph.io