TMPFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering Tompkins Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $105 — +8.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Tompkins Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TMP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 2 Oct 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 3 May 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 2 Oct 2023 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 July 2023 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 Sept 2020 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 July 2017 | Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 25 July 2017 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 1 Nov 2016 | Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 1 Nov 2016 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 13 June 2016 | Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 13 June 2016 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 18 Apr 2016 | Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 18 Apr 2016 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 20 Dec 2012 | Macquarie | Initiates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TMP appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Tompkins Financial Corp. returned +52.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Tompkins Financial Corp. has a market value of $1.4B and an enterprise value of $2.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $260.6M. The latest quarter grew 7.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $175.3M, a 67.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $12.21.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $47.8M.
Tompkins Financial Corp. spent $37.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.0×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.87%, paying out 21% of earnings.
Tompkins Financial Corp. employs 813 people — $320K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| TMPTompkins Financial Corp. | $1.4B | 84 |
| BHRBBurke Herbert Financial Services Corp. | $1.4B | 28 |
| WABCWestamerica Bancorporation | $1.4B | 79 |
| AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp. | $1.4B | 77 |
| CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky) | $1.4B | 75 |
| LKFNLakeland Financial Corp. (Indiana) | $1.4B | 62 |
| ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | $1.4B | 57 |
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Tompkins Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Tompkins (TMP) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock could move higher in the near term.
Why it matters — A buy-rank upgrade signals improved earnings expectations for TMP, which watchers may see as an encouraging outlook for the company.
Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether Tompkins Financial (TMP) has what it takes to be a great dividend stock, highlighting dividends as one of the key benefits of being a shareholder. The piece poses the question of whether TMP qualifies as a strong dividend pick.
Why it matters — TMP watchers would care because the article evaluates the company's dividend appeal, a factor often central to investor interest in the stock.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece posing the question of whether Tompkins (TMP) qualifies as a high-growth dividend stock for investors seeking shareholder dividends. The article raises the general consideration of whether TMP meets the criteria for such a stock.
Why it matters — TMP watchers would care because the piece evaluates whether Tompkins holds up as a potentially attractive dividend-paying stock among its peers.
Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether Tompkins Financial (TMP) could be a strong dividend stock choice for shareholders. The piece raises the question of whether the company has what it takes to be a great dividend pick.
Why it matters — TMP watchers would care because the article evaluates the company's attractiveness as a dividend-paying stock, a key consideration for income-focused investors.
A Zacks Investment Research article highlights dividends as a key shareholder benefit and poses the question of whether Tompkins (TMP) qualifies as a high-growth dividend stock.
Why it matters — TMP watchers would care because the piece evaluates the company's profile as a dividend-paying stock, a factor relevant to income-focused investors.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Tompkins Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $105, with estimates ranging from $104 to $105. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering Tompkins Financial Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Tompkins Financial Corp. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Tompkins Financial Corp. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +8.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Tompkins Financial Corp. 84 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Tompkins Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TMP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $104 to $105 over the next 12 months.
Tompkins Financial Corp. returned +52.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Tompkins Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company headquartered in Ithaca, New York. Tompkins Financial Corporation provides commercial and consumer banking, lending, leasing, trust and investment management, financial planning, wealth management, and insurance services through its banking and wealth management segments.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Sept 2026): "Tompkins (TMP) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know". Tompkins (TMP) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock could move higher in the near term.
Tompkins Financial Corporation is a financial services holding company headquartered in Ithaca, New York. Tompkins Financial Corporation provides commercial and consumer banking, lending, leasing, trust and investment management, financial planning, wealth management, and insurance services through its banking and wealth management segments. Its banking operations serve individuals, businesses, and municipalities with deposit accounts, loans, cash management, and digital banking tools, while its wealth management businesses offer advisory, estate, and investment services. The company also supports insurance solutions that complement its broader client relationships. Tompkins Financial Corporation plays a regional role in the U.S. financial market by combining community banking with specialized financial services across personal, business, and institutional needs.
CEO Mr. Stephen S. Romaine · 813 employees · United States · https://www.tompkinsfinancial.com
