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BOW Stock Forecast: Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$34
−0.03% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $34 — +1.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
35 / 100
Median analyst target
$34
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$163.9M+23.0% y/y
Net income$16.1M
Free cash flow$92.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
−0.1%
YTD
+17.9%
1Y
+7.5%
From 52W high
−0.7%
From 52W low
+56.9%
$21
$34
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BOW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
35 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
83
Growth
66
Momentum
57
Size
44
Volatility
37
Quality
37
Issuance
29
Value
22
Accruals
12

Revisions (83): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BOW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BOW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BOWHigh $36Median $34Low $34

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
2 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $34Median $34High $36

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +1.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$30 → $34
4 Aug 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
4 Aug 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$38 → $34
20 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
20 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$30 → $33
15 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$32 → $36
13 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$30 → $38
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$34 → $36
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$28 → $30
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
12 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
7 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
6 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BOW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BOW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. returned +7.5% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BOW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BOWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BOW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. (BOW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.2×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.0%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
30.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
15.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Net margin
10.1%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.5%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. (BOW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $1.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $615.1M. The latest quarter grew 23.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $62.2M, a 10.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.85.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $328.8M.

  • Shares outstanding: 32.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.2×; forward P/E: 13.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. employs 296 people — $2.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BOW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc.$1.1B
35
HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.$1.1B
96
TRUPTrupanion, Inc.$1.2B
36
UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc.$1.2B
93
ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings$1.3B
47
HIPOHippo Holdings, Inc.$894.6M
74
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.$1.4B
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BOW news & analysis

BOW Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholders

Business Wire · 29 Aug 2026negative

Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, announced it is investigating the sale of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. to American Family Mutual Insurance Company for $34.00 per share in cash, examining whether Bowhead is obtaining a fair price for its shareholders. The firm is encouraging Bowhead shareholders to learn about their rights and options.

Why it matters — BOW watchers would care because the investigation raises questions about the fairness of the $34.00 per share cash acquisition price being offered to shareholders in the pending sale to American Family.

BOW Alert: Monsey Firm of Wohl & Fruchter Investigating Fairness of the Proposed Sale of Bowhead Specialty Holdings to American Family Mutual Insurance

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

A law firm, Wohl & Fruchter LLP, has announced it is investigating the fairness of the proposed acquisition of Bowhead Specialty Holdings by American Family Mutual Insurance Company for $34.00 per share in cash.

Why it matters — The investigation could affect whether the proposed sale at $34.00 per share proceeds as planned, which is of direct interest to Bowhead shareholders.

Bowhead Specialty Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. - BOW

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026negative

Law firm Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC, led by former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti Jr., announced it is investigating the proposed sale of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. to American Family Mutual Insurance Company. Under the proposed transaction, Bowhead shareholders would receive $34.00 in cash per share, and the firm is examining whether that consideration and the sale process are adequate.

Why it matters — A BOW watcher would care because the investigation signals potential shareholder scrutiny of the $34.00 per-share price and the process behind the proposed takeover.

AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of American Family Insurance Group's Affiliates and Its Subsidiaries Following Announced Acquisition of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

AM Best commented that the Credit Ratings of American Family Insurance Group's affiliates and its subsidiaries remain unchanged following the announced acquisition of the remaining outstanding shares of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc., a specialty property/casualty insurer operating in both admitted and non-admitted markets. The transaction is expected to complement American Family's operations.

Why it matters — A BOW watcher would care because AM Best stated the credit ratings of the acquiring American Family group are unchanged in connection with the pending acquisition of Bowhead.

BOW Investors Have Opportunity to Join Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. Fraud Investigation with SBS Law

PRNewsWire · 5 Aug 2026negative

Shareholder-rights law firm Schall, Brown & Schwartz LLP announced it is investigating Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. for potential breaches of fiduciary duty by its directors and management, and invited investors to join. The investigation focuses on whether the BOW board breached its fiduciary duties to shareholders.

Why it matters — A BOW watcher would care because the company now faces an active shareholder-rights investigation into its board and management's conduct.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BOW stock

What is the BOW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $34, with estimates ranging from $34 to $36. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BOW stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BOW?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (83 of 100).

Will BOW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +1.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BOW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BOW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $36 over the next 12 months.

How has BOW stock performed over the past year?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. returned +7.5% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. do?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides commercial property and casualty insurance products in the United States.

What is the latest news on BOW?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 29 Aug 2026): "BOW Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholders". Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, announced it is investigating the sale of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. to American Family Mutual Insurance Company for $34.00 per share in cash, examining whether Bowhead is obtaining a fair price for its shareholders. The firm is encouraging Bowhead shareholders to learn about their rights and options.

Company

About Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc.

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides commercial property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company focuses on underwriting solutions for casualty, professional liability, and healthcare-related risks, serving businesses and organizations with complex coverage needs. Its casualty offerings address sectors such as construction, distribution, heavy manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality. Its professional liability portfolio includes directors and officers liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices liability, fiduciary liability, fidelity liability, miscellaneous professional liability, crime insurance, and cyber coverage for financial institutions. Bowhead Specialty also provides healthcare-focused solutions for hospitals, senior care providers, managed care organizations, miscellaneous medical facilities, and management liability exposures. Through these specialty lines, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. plays a targeted role in the U.S. insurance market by covering niche and hard-to-place commercial risks.

CEO Mr. Stephen Jay Sills · 296 employees · United States · https://bowheadspecialty.com