BOWBOWFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

BOW Stock Forecast: Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$34
−0.18% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $34 — -0.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
32/ 100
Median analyst target
$34
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$163.9M+23.0% y/y
Net income$16.1M
Free cash flow$92.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
+1.0%
YTD
+19.5%
1Y
+34.0%
From 52W high
−0.6%
From 52W low
+59.0%
$21
$34
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BOW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
32/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
83
Growth
63
Revisions
60
Size
43
Quality
36
Volatility
35
Issuance
29
Value
22
Accruals
13

Momentum (83): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (13): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

BOW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BOW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BOWHigh $36Median $34Low $34

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
1 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $34Median $34High $36

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026CitizensDowngradeMarket Perform—
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$30 → $34
4 Aug 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
4 Aug 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$38 → $34
20 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
20 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$30 → $33
15 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$32 → $36
13 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$30 → $38
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$34 → $36
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$28 → $30
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
12 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

BOW appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

BOW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. returned +34.0% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BOW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BOWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BOW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.9%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. (BOW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.5×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.3%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−14.7%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
15.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
9.3%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.6%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. (BOW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $1.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $615.1M. The latest quarter grew 19.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $62.2M, a 10.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.85.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $328.8M.

  • Shares outstanding: 32.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.3×; forward P/E: 14.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. employs 296 people — $2.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BOW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc.$1.1B32
HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.$1.1B95
ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings$1.2B34
OIGOrion180 Insurance Group, Inc.$997.8M0
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.$1.3B78
HIPOHippo Holdings, Inc.$946.9M43
UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc.$1.3B88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BOW news & analysis

Compared to Estimates, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026neutral

The article says Bowhead Specialty Holdings’ third-quarter 2026 top- and bottom-line results provide one view of performance, and focuses on how key metrics compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt does not provide the comparison results.

Why it matters — BOW watchers may find the key-metric comparisons useful alongside headline earnings, though the excerpt gives no specific figures or outcomes.

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) Q3 Earnings Top Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026positive

Bowhead Specialty Holdings reported Q3 earnings of $0.54 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.51. Earnings were $0.47 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — The quarterly earnings comparison indicates how BOW performed against analyst consensus and its year-ago result.

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 3 Nov 2026positive

Bowhead Specialty Holdings reported third-quarter 2026 results, including gross written premiums of $256.4 million, up 10.8%. The excerpt also notes net income but provides no figure.

Why it matters — The results give BOW watchers an update on premium growth for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Riverwater Micro Opportunities Strategy Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 30 Oct 2026neutral

Riverwater Micro Opportunities Strategy reported initiating a position in Bowhead Specialty Holdings during Q3 2026. The excerpt describes Bowhead as a specialty insurer founded in 2020 by Stephen Sills.

Why it matters — The portfolio activity notes a new position in BOW, a detail relevant to investors following institutional interest in the company.

Bowhead Specialty to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Earnings on November 3, 2026

Business Wire · 13 Oct 2026neutral

Bowhead Specialty announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results at approximately 7:00 a.m. Eastern Time on November 3, 2026, before the market opens. Earnings documents will be posted on the company’s Investor Relations website.

Why it matters — BOW watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s quarterly results and where to find the documents.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BOW stock

What is the BOW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $34, with estimates ranging from $34 to $36. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BOW stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BOW?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (83 of 100).

Will BOW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies -0.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BOW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BOW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $36 over the next 12 months.

How has BOW stock performed over the past year?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. returned +34.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. do?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides commercial property and casualty insurance products in the United States.

What is the latest news on BOW?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Nov 2026): "Compared to Estimates, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics". The article says Bowhead Specialty Holdings’ third-quarter 2026 top- and bottom-line results provide one view of performance, and focuses on how key metrics compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt does not provide the comparison results.

Company

About Bowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc.

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides commercial property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company focuses on underwriting solutions for casualty, professional liability, and healthcare-related risks, serving businesses and organizations with complex coverage needs. Its casualty offerings address sectors such as construction, distribution, heavy manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality. Its professional liability portfolio includes directors and officers liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices liability, fiduciary liability, fidelity liability, miscellaneous professional liability, crime insurance, and cyber coverage for financial institutions. Bowhead Specialty also provides healthcare-focused solutions for hospitals, senior care providers, managed care organizations, miscellaneous medical facilities, and management liability exposures. Through these specialty lines, Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. plays a targeted role in the U.S. insurance market by covering niche and hard-to-place commercial risks.

CEO Mr. Stephen Jay Sills · 296 employees · United States · https://bowheadspecialty.com