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UFCS Stock Forecast: United Fire Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Oct 2026
$55
+0.40% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $59 — +6.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
80 / 100
Median analyst target
$59
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$383.7M+14.0% y/y
Net income$33.4M
Free cash flow$33.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.5%
1M
−2.0%
YTD
+52.9%
1Y
+78.7%
From 52W high
−2.0%
From 52W low
+85.9%
$30
$56
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

UFCS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores United Fire Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
80 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
99
Revisions
93
Growth
85
Quality
72
Value
56
Issuance
45
Size
40
Volatility
28
Accruals
20

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

UFCS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UFCS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26UFCSHigh $60Median $59Low $57

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $57Median $59High $60

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$57 → $60
7 May 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy$40 → $45
7 May 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$45 → $57
7 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$41 → $45
6 May 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight—
2 Mar 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
12 Feb 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
22 Dec 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
12 Nov 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
11 Aug 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
12 May 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy—
5 Mar 2025Jones TradingInitiatesBuy—
13 Feb 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
18 Nov 2024Piper SandlerUpgradeNeutral—
8 Aug 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight—
1 Apr 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight—
6 Oct 2023Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight—
6 July 2023Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UFCS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

UFCS vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. returned +78.7% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

UFCS vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26UFCSS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

UFCS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+39.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.1×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.0×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
45.4%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
11.8%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
9.6%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.5%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 74% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • United Fire Group, Inc. has a market value of $1.4B and an enterprise value of $1.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 14.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $141.0M, a 9.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.38.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $268.4M.

  • United Fire Group, Inc. spent $2.0M on share buybacks and $18.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 25.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.1×; forward P/E: 11.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.47%, paying out 13% of earnings.

  • United Fire Group, Inc. employs 846 people — $1.7M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

UFCS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.$1.4B
80
KMPRKemper Corp.$1.5B
36
STCStewart Information Services Corp.$1.5B
29
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.$1.5B
39
ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings$1.2B
44
UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc.$1.2B
97
BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc.$1.1B
35

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own United Fire Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest UFCS news & analysis

Should Value Investors Buy United Fire Group (UFCS) Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether United Fire Group (UFCS) presents a value opportunity for investors. The piece outlines Zacks' methodology, which focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, alongside value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — UFCS watchers may gain insight into how the stock is evaluated through Zacks' estimation-based and value-oriented screening criteria.

Global Commercial Pricing Soft: 4 P&C Insurers to Protect Portfolio

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026positive

Global commercial insurance rates are softening, according to Zacks Investment Research. The report identifies United Fire Group, along with TRV, UVE and AII, as insurers positioned for portfolio resilience through disciplined underwriting and diversification.

Why it matters — The article presents UFCS as a company with disciplined underwriting and diversification that can help protect its portfolio amid falling global commercial insurance rates.

Are Investors Undervaluing United Fire Group (UFCS) Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether investors are currently undervaluing United Fire Group (UFCS), noting that its focus is on the Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions. The piece also indicates that Zacks monitors value, growth, and momentum trends to identify strong stock picks.

Why it matters — A UFCS watcher would care because the article frames whether the stock is undervalued, which could attract investor attention and prompt broader valuation scrutiny.

United Fire Group, Inc (UFCS) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026neutral

United Fire Group's stock has reached a 52-week high, and the article examines the company's fundamentals to assess whether further gains are likely.

Why it matters — UFCS watchers would care because the company's stock price has reached a new high, prompting an analysis of whether its underlying fundamentals can sustain the momentum.

United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share and announces new board appointment

GlobeNewsWire · 21 Aug 2026positive

United Fire Group, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable September 18, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 4, 2026. The company also announced a new board appointment.

Why it matters — UFCS watchers would care because the dividend declaration reaffirms the company's shareholder-return policy, while the new board appointment could signal changes in governance and strategic direction.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about UFCS stock

What is the UFCS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $59, with estimates ranging from $57 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is UFCS stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks United Fire Group, Inc. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank UFCS?

As at 6 Oct 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

Will UFCS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +6.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks United Fire Group, Inc. 80 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the UFCS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering United Fire Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UFCS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $57 to $60 over the next 12 months.

How has UFCS stock performed over the past year?

United Fire Group, Inc. returned +78.7% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does United Fire Group, Inc. do?

United Fire Group Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

What is the latest news on UFCS?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Sept 2026): "Should Value Investors Buy United Fire Group (UFCS) Stock?". Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether United Fire Group (UFCS) presents a value opportunity for investors. The piece outlines Zacks' methodology, which focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, alongside value, growth, and momentum trends.

Company

About United Fire Group, Inc.

United Fire Group Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Through its insurance subsidiaries, the company provides commercial and specialty coverage solutions across the United States, primarily distributed through independent agents. Its product suite includes commercial property, general liability, workers’ compensation, commercial auto, surety bonds, inland marine, umbrella, and other related lines of business. United Fire Group also serves small business owners, middle-market companies, and other commercial customers in industries such as construction, retail, services, manufacturing, and financial services. In addition to standard commercial offerings, the company writes specialty and surplus lines coverage and participates in reinsurance activities, giving it a broad role in the property and casualty market. United Fire Group focuses on underwriting insurance protection for businesses and organizations, making it a recognized participant in the U.S. commercial insurance sector.

CEO Mr. Kevin James Leidwinger · 846 employees · United States · https://www.ufginsurance.com