UFCSUFCSFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

UFCS Stock Forecast: United Fire Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$56
+2.32% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $59 — +4.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
82 / 100
Median analyst target
$59
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$383.7M+14.0% y/y
Net income$33.4M
Free cash flow$33.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.2%
1M
+7.7%
YTD
+55.8%
1Y
+86.9%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+89.5%
$30
$56
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

UFCS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores United Fire Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
82 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
99
Revisions
88
Growth
85
Quality
72
Value
62
Issuance
45
Volatility
44
Size
41
Accruals
19

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (19): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

UFCS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UFCS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26UFCSHigh $60Median $59Low $57

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $57Median $59High $60

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$57$60
7 May 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy$40$45
7 May 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy
7 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$45$57
7 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight
6 May 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight$41$45
6 May 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight
2 Mar 2026Jones TradingMaintainsBuy
12 Feb 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
22 Dec 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
12 Nov 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy
11 Aug 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy
12 May 2025Jones TradingMaintainsBuy
5 Mar 2025Jones TradingInitiatesBuy
13 Feb 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
18 Nov 2024Piper SandlerUpgradeNeutral
8 Aug 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight
1 Apr 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight
6 Oct 2023Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight
6 July 2023Piper SandlerMaintainsUnderweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UFCS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

UFCS vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. returned +86.9% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

UFCS vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26UFCSS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

UFCS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+39.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.0×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 71% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.9×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
45.4%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
11.8%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
9.6%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.5%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 34% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • United Fire Group, Inc. has a market value of $1.4B and an enterprise value of $1.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 14.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $141.0M, a 9.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.38.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $268.4M.

  • United Fire Group, Inc. spent $2.0M on share buybacks and $18.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 25.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.0×; forward P/E: 11.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.48%, paying out 13% of earnings.

  • United Fire Group, Inc. employs 846 people $1.7M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

UFCS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.$1.4B
82
ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings$1.3B
47
SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc.$1.5B
38
UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc.$1.2B
93
TRUPTrupanion, Inc.$1.2B
36
KMPRKemper Corp.$1.7B
38
BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc.$1.1B
35

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own United Fire Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest UFCS news & analysis

United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share and announces new board appointment

GlobeNewsWire · 21 Aug 2026positive

United Fire Group, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable September 18, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 4, 2026. The company also announced a new board appointment.

Why it matters — UFCS watchers would care because the dividend declaration reaffirms the company's shareholder-return policy, while the new board appointment could signal changes in governance and strategic direction.

Is United Fire Group (UFCS) Stock Undervalued Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether United Fire Group (UFCS) stock is currently undervalued, framed around its Zacks Rank system that emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — UFCS watchers would care because this analysis places the company within Zacks' valuation framework based on earnings estimates and revisions, which could inform how the stock is currently being assessed.

United Fire Group, Inc (UFCS) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026neutral

United Fire (UFCS) has reached a 52-week high, according to a Zacks Investment Research article. The piece looks at the company's fundamentals to consider whether further gains may be possible.

Why it matters — UFCS watchers would care because the article assesses the company's fundamentals to gauge whether there is still upside after the stock's fresh 52-week high.

United Fire Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 4 Aug 2026positive

United Fire Group reported what its president and CEO Kevin Leidwinger described as an exceptional second quarter, citing record net income, record net written premium, its strongest second-quarter combined ratio in more than 15 years, and the highest quarterly investment income in over a decade. The remarks came during the company's Q2 earnings call.

Why it matters — The results point to strong underlying underwriting performance, historically strong premium growth, and elevated investment income in the quarter, which UFCS watchers would see as a notable operational milestone.

United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026neutral

United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) issued the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, published by Seeking Alpha. The item presents the company's management commentary from the second-quarter 2026 earnings discussion.

Why it matters — A UFCS watcher would care because the transcript provides direct insight into the company's Q2 2026 performance and management's perspective.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about UFCS stock

What is the UFCS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $59, with estimates ranging from $57 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is UFCS stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks United Fire Group, Inc. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank UFCS?

As at 2 Sept 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

Will UFCS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +4.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks United Fire Group, Inc. 82 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the UFCS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering United Fire Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UFCS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $57 to $60 over the next 12 months.

How has UFCS stock performed over the past year?

United Fire Group, Inc. returned +86.9% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does United Fire Group, Inc. do?

United Fire Group Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

What is the latest news on UFCS?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 21 Aug 2026): "United Fire Group, Inc. declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share and announces new board appointment". United Fire Group, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable September 18, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 4, 2026. The company also announced a new board appointment.

Company

About United Fire Group, Inc.

United Fire Group Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Through its insurance subsidiaries, the company provides commercial and specialty coverage solutions across the United States, primarily distributed through independent agents. Its product suite includes commercial property, general liability, workers’ compensation, commercial auto, surety bonds, inland marine, umbrella, and other related lines of business. United Fire Group also serves small business owners, middle-market companies, and other commercial customers in industries such as construction, retail, services, manufacturing, and financial services. In addition to standard commercial offerings, the company writes specialty and surplus lines coverage and participates in reinsurance activities, giving it a broad role in the property and casualty market. United Fire Group focuses on underwriting insurance protection for businesses and organizations, making it a recognized participant in the U.S. commercial insurance sector.

CEO Mr. Kevin James Leidwinger · 846 employees · United States · https://www.ufginsurance.com