UFCSFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $59 — +18.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores United Fire Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UFCS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $57 → $60 |
| 7 May 2026 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | $40 → $45 |
| 7 May 2026 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $45 → $57 |
| 7 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Upgrade | Overweight | $41 → $45 |
| 6 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Nov 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Aug 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 May 2025 | Jones Trading | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Mar 2025 | Jones Trading | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2025 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 Nov 2024 | Piper Sandler | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 8 Aug 2024 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 Oct 2023 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 July 2023 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Underweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
UFCS appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. returned +62.8% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 68% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
United Fire Group, Inc. has a market value of $1.5B and an enterprise value of $1.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter grew 14.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $141.0M, a 9.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.38.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $268.4M.
United Fire Group, Inc. spent $2.0M on share buybacks and $18.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.6×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.41%, paying out 13% of earnings.
United Fire Group, Inc. employs 846 people — $1.7M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc. | $1.5B | 78 |
| UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $1.4B | 86 |
| SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc. | $1.6B | 42 |
| TRUPTrupanion, Inc. | $1.3B | 37 |
| STCStewart Information Services Corp. | $1.3B | 20 |
| ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings | $1.2B | 36 |
| BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings, Inc. | $1.1B | 31 |
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own United Fire Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
United Fire Group held its Q3 2026 earnings conference call on November 4, 2026, with company executives and analysts participating. The supplied excerpt contains the call opening and participant list, but no earnings results or discussion.
Why it matters — UFCS watchers can note the date and participants, though this excerpt provides no financial or operational details to assess.
United Fire Group reported a 94.6% combined ratio for the third quarter of 2026. The company said the results extended strong operating performance through the first nine months and contributed to record nine-month earnings and a 14% return on equity.
Why it matters — The reported combined ratio, earnings, and return on equity provide UFCS watchers a snapshot of the company’s operating performance through the first nine months of 2026.
United Fire Group reported Q3 earnings of $1.34 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19. Earnings were $1.50 per share in the same quarter a year ago.
Why it matters — The results show UFCS exceeded the consensus earnings estimate, while per-share earnings were lower than a year earlier.
United Fire Group reported third-quarter 2026 net income and adjusted operating income of $1.34 per diluted share. Net income fell $4.1 million to $35.1 million versus the third quarter of 2025, while net investment income rose 13% to $29.3 million.
Why it matters — The results show UFCS’s quarterly earnings alongside growth in investment income and a year-over-year decline in net income.
United Fire Group announced that it will release third-quarter 2026 results after market close on November 3, 2026, and hold an earnings call the following morning at 9 a.m. CT.
Why it matters — UFCS watchers can note the scheduled dates for the company's third-quarter results and management discussion.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $59, with estimates ranging from $57 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering United Fire Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks United Fire Group, Inc. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, United Fire Group, Inc. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +18.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks United Fire Group, Inc. 78 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering United Fire Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UFCS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $57 to $60 over the next 12 months.
United Fire Group, Inc. returned +62.8% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
United Fire Group Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Nov 2026): "United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". United Fire Group held its Q3 2026 earnings conference call on November 4, 2026, with company executives and analysts participating. The supplied excerpt contains the call opening and participant list, but no earnings results or discussion.
United Fire Group Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. Through its insurance subsidiaries, the company provides commercial and specialty coverage solutions across the United States, primarily distributed through independent agents. Its product suite includes commercial property, general liability, workers’ compensation, commercial auto, surety bonds, inland marine, umbrella, and other related lines of business. United Fire Group also serves small business owners, middle-market companies, and other commercial customers in industries such as construction, retail, services, manufacturing, and financial services. In addition to standard commercial offerings, the company writes specialty and surplus lines coverage and participates in reinsurance activities, giving it a broad role in the property and casualty market. United Fire Group focuses on underwriting insurance protection for businesses and organizations, making it a recognized participant in the U.S. commercial insurance sector.
CEO Mr. Kevin James Leidwinger · 846 employees · United States · https://www.ufginsurance.com
