COFFinancial Services · Credit ServicesThe 24 Wall Street analysts covering Capital One Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $255 — +15.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 6 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Capital One Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (76): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (13): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Capital One Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on COF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $275 → $280 |
| 28 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $310 → $295 |
| 28 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $222 → $230 |
| 22 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $242 → $240 |
| 13 July 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | $226 → $229 |
| 13 July 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $215 → $245 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $234 → $231 |
| 7 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $260 → $253 |
| 7 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $270 → $275 |
| 7 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 June 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 June 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. COF appears on the weeks it earns a place.
CNBC's Jim Cramer cited five investing themes from earnings season and named Capital One among the stocks he recommends buying for those themes.
Why it matters — COF watchers would note that the stock received a positive mention from a prominent market commentator as part of a curated list of buying opportunities.
In its Q2 2026 portfolio activity report, Brown Advisory's Flexible Equity Strategy said it initiated a position in Capital One Financial, citing what it saw as a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-quality financial franchise with meaningful long-term growth potential.
Why it matters — COF watchers may note that an institutional investment manager chose to build a new position in the stock on favorable risk-reward and long-term growth grounds.
Capital One closed more than 300 accounts tied to the Trump family organization after detecting suspicious money movements. The bank said the account closures were due to unusual transaction patterns rather than political motivations.
Why it matters — This item matters for COF watchers because it highlights regulatory and reputational risk associated with the bank's anti-money laundering and suspicious-activity monitoring practices.
Zacks Investment Research identifies Capital One (COF) as a strong momentum stock, noting that stocks like this can be found using its Zacks Style Scores feature in the Zacks Premium research service.
Why it matters — A COF watcher would care because this indicates the stock is being highlighted by a research service for strong momentum, which is a factor some investors track.
Goldman Sachs has added Capital One Financial Corp. to its August Conviction List of top stock picks, signaling a strong endorsement from the investment bank.
Why it matters — A COF watcher would care because inclusion on Goldman Sachs' Conviction List suggests the firm sees notable potential in the stock relative to other investment opportunities.
The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Capital One Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $255, with estimates ranging from $214 to $300. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 24 analysts covering Capital One Financial Corp., 20 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Capital One Financial Corp. 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Aug 2026, Capital One Financial Corp. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (76 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +15.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Capital One Financial Corp. 26 out of 100 as at 6 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Capital One Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for COF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $214 to $300 over the next 12 months.
Capital One Financial Corp. returned +4.8% over the 12 months to 6 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. The company operates primarily through three business segments: credit card, consumer banking, and commercial banking.
The most recent item we track (CNBC, 6 Aug 2026): "Jim Cramer highlights 5 investing themes — and the stocks to buy for each". CNBC's Jim Cramer cited five investing themes from earnings season and named Capital One among the stocks he recommends buying for those themes.
Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. The company operates primarily through three business segments: credit card, consumer banking, and commercial banking. In its credit card segment, Capital One provides a broad range of branded and co-branded credit card products to consumers and small businesses, serving both prime and subprime customer segments. Its consumer banking operations offer checking and savings accounts, money market deposits, certificates of deposit, auto loans, and other retail lending products, delivered through digital platforms, physical branches, and café-style locations in selected U.S. markets. The commercial banking segment focuses on lending, treasury management, deposit services, and capital markets solutions for mid-sized and large corporate clients, as well as real estate and industrial borrowers. Capital One Financial Corporation serves customers across the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, with a strong emphasis on digital banking and data-driven risk management. Founded in 1988, it is recognized today as a major player in consumer credit and broader retail and commercial banking services.
CEO Mr. Richard D. Fairbank · 78,400 employees · United States · https://www.capitalone.com