MAFinancial Services · Credit ServicesThe 40 Wall Street analysts covering Mastercard, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $668 — +17.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mastercard, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (19): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $642 → $696 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Wolfe Research | Maintains | Outperform | $680 → $740 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $554 → $633 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $650 → $695 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $640 → $660 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $665 → $685 |
| 31 July 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $670 → $680 |
| 31 July 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | $665 → $670 |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $679 → $681 |
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $629 → $642 |
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $664 → $667 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MA appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, Mastercard, Inc. returned −1.5% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 2% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mastercard, Inc. has a market value of $483.8B and an enterprise value of $496.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $35.1B. The latest quarter grew 14.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $16.3B, a 46.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.18.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.0B, after $727.0M of capital spending.
Mastercard, Inc. spent $15.8B on share buybacks and $2.9B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 30.4×; forward P/E: 24.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.63%, paying out 18% of earnings.
Mastercard, Inc. employs 39,800 people — $881K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mastercard, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A Barron’s article titled “How to Monetize Mastercard's Weakness Before It Reports Earnings” discusses possible stock-market outcomes, including a decline, a surge, or a narrow trading range, and presents a plan of action.
Why it matters — The article focuses on Mastercard’s weakness ahead of its earnings report, which is relevant to investors following MA.
Zacks Investment Research published an analysis comparing Evertec (EVTC) and Mastercard (MA) as value investment options within the Financial Transaction Services sector. The article evaluates which of the two stocks is more attractive to value-focused investors.
Why it matters — MA watchers may find the comparison useful for understanding how Mastercard is positioned relative to a sector peer in value-oriented stock analysis.
Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, and Coinbase jointly committed $1 billion to launch a new stablecoin called Open USD. Unlike established stablecoins such as Tether, USDC, and RLUSD, this new coin shares its profits with partners rather than retaining them, a design that directly targets an established incumbent in the market.
Why it matters — Mastercard is participating in a $1 billion stablecoin initiative that could reshape the competitive dynamics of the stablecoin market and the digital payments landscape the company operates in.
A weekly roundup of dividend activity among Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, covering companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates for the week of October 4.
Why it matters — For a Mastercard watcher, this item provides context on the broader dividend landscape, useful for benchmarking MA's own dividend activity against other payers.
Mastercard is expanding its Agent Pay offering with new trust services designed to identify AI-led transactions, improve payment decisions, and support the growth of agentic commerce. The new tools are intended to bolster the company's presence in this emerging payments segment.
Why it matters — A Mastercard watcher would care because this expansion positions the company to address the growing market for AI-driven, agent-initiated transactions as agentic commerce evolves.
The 40 Wall Street analysts covering Mastercard, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $668, with estimates ranging from $550 to $740. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 40 analysts covering Mastercard, Inc., 36 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mastercard, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Mastercard, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 40 analysts implies +17.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mastercard, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mastercard, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $550 to $740 over the next 12 months.
Mastercard, Inc. returned -1.5% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mastercard Inc. Class A Common Stock is the primary equity security of Mastercard Incorporated, a global payments technology company headquartered in Purchase, New York.
The most recent item we track (Barrons, 7 Oct 2026): "How to Monetize Mastercard's Weakness Before It Reports Earnings". A Barron’s article titled “How to Monetize Mastercard's Weakness Before It Reports Earnings” discusses possible stock-market outcomes, including a decline, a surge, or a narrow trading range, and presents a plan of action.
Mastercard Inc. Class A Common Stock is the primary equity security of Mastercard Incorporated, a global payments technology company headquartered in Purchase, New York. The company provides transaction processing, payment network infrastructure, and related services that connect consumers, financial institutions, merchants, governments, and businesses across domestic and international markets. Its core offerings include card authorization, clearing, settlement, and fraud management tools, along with digital payment, tokenization, and cybersecurity capabilities that support secure commerce across physical and online channels. Mastercard also serves a broad range of industries through commercial payment solutions, consumer debit and credit network services, and value-added data and analytics products. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in the company and carries voting rights, making it the principal listed share class used in public equity markets.
CEO Mr. Michael Miebach · 39,800 employees · United States · https://www.mastercard.com
