DHIConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering D.R. Horton, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $155 — +10.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 41 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores D.R. Horton, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (73): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (26): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DHI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $150 → $140 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $155 → $145 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $170 → $155 |
| 22 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $171 → $177 |
| 22 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $175 → $167 |
| 22 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Underperform | $123 → $125 |
| 22 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $140 → $141 |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DHI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, D.R. Horton, Inc. returned −15.2% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
D.R. Horton, Inc. has a market value of $40.3B and an enterprise value of $46.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $33.3B. The latest quarter grew 22.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.1B, a 9.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.51.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.2B, after $150.4M of capital spending.
D.R. Horton, Inc. spent $3.0B on share buybacks and $506.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 13.4×; forward P/E: 12.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.28%, paying out 17% of earnings.
D.R. Horton, Inc. employs 14,341 people — $2.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own D.R. Horton, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Existing home sales fell below 4 million annually, a decline attributed by economist Julia Coronado to the "pain that comes with bringing inflation down." The comment was made on Marketplace on September 21.
Why it matters — A drop in home sales signals cooling housing demand, which could affect a homebuilder like D.R. Horton.
Lennar, the nation's third-largest home builder, reported an earnings miss last week. The article examines why Lennar is being hit worse than D.R. Horton in the current housing market, noting that the miss was not driven by inflation, tariffs, or construction-material costs.
Why it matters — This is relevant to D.R. Horton investors because it highlights competitive and housing-market conditions affecting the sector and how home builders are faring relative to one another.
In the latest trading session, D.R. Horton (DHI) closed at $138.32, a -1.34% change from the previous trading day. The stock declined more steeply than the broader market.
Why it matters — The report indicates DHI underperformed the broader market in the session, a notable development for those tracking the company's share performance.
President Donald Trump has disclosed over 20,000 stock trades made over the past 12 months. The trades span a wide range of sectors and dollar amounts, and the White House says Trump has no knowledge of them.
Why it matters — D.R. Horton investors may track holdings disclosed by high-profile investors, though the item does not directly address the company.
Homebuilder stocks are down for the year following two recent market data points: the 10-year Treasury note briefly hit 5%, and the rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage climbed back to 7%, shaking the sector.
Why it matters — A DHI watcher would care because rising mortgage and Treasury rates directly affect housing demand and homebuilder performance.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering D.R. Horton, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $155, with estimates ranging from $125 to $206. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering D.R. Horton, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks D.R. Horton, Inc. 41 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, D.R. Horton, Inc. ranks 41 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +10.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks D.R. Horton, Inc. 41 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering D.R. Horton, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DHI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $206 over the next 12 months.
D.R. Horton, Inc. returned -15.2% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
D.R. Horton, Inc.
The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 23 Sept 2026): "‘This Is the Pain That Comes With Bringing Inflation Down': Home Sales Drop Below 4 Million". Existing home sales fell below 4 million annually, a decline attributed by economist Julia Coronado to the "pain that comes with bringing inflation down." The comment was made on Marketplace on September 21.
D.R. Horton, Inc. is a U.S. homebuilding company focused on the construction and sale of residential properties across a broad national footprint. Its core business includes single-family detached homes as well as attached housing such as townhomes and duplexes, serving a range of buyers from first-time homeowners to move-up, luxury, and active-adult customers. The company also provides related financial services, including mortgage financing, title agency, and insurance services, which support the homebuying process. In addition, D.R. Horton operates residential land development and rental housing businesses, giving it a vertically integrated role in the housing market. Based in Arlington, Texas, D.R. Horton is a major participant in U.S. residential construction and housing supply, with operations spanning many local markets and regions.
CEO Mr. Paul J. Romanowski · 14,341 employees · United States · https://www.drhorton.com
