DHIConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering D.R. Horton, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $151 — +8.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores D.R. Horton, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (76): The share price has been relatively steady.
Growth (26): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DHI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $141 → $130 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Melius Research | Initiates | Sell | $128 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Initiates | Equal-Weight | $151 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $177 → $166 |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 22 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $167 → $160 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $150 → $140 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $155 → $145 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $170 → $155 |
| 22 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $171 → $177 |
| 22 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $175 → $167 |
| 22 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Underperform | $123 → $125 |
| 22 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $140 → $141 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DHI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, D.R. Horton, Inc. returned −7.8% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
D.R. Horton, Inc. has a market value of $37.4B and an enterprise value of $43.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $33.3B. The latest quarter grew 22.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.1B, a 9.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.51.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.2B, after $150.4M of capital spending.
D.R. Horton, Inc. spent $3.0B on share buybacks and $506.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.7×; forward P/E: 11.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.35%, paying out 17% of earnings.
D.R. Horton, Inc. employs 14,341 people — $2.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own D.R. Horton, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha’s October 2026 list of 50 high-quality dividend growth stocks said D.R. Horton improved its ranking, citing upgraded EPS growth estimates and/or a favorable valuation shift.
Why it matters — DHI watchers may note the improved ranking as part of the article’s assessment of dividend-growth stocks and valuation.
Ray Dalio warned at the Milken Institute Asia Summit on Oct. 8 that strong corporate earnings have helped stocks withstand rising interest rates, while their advantage over bonds is narrowing.
Why it matters — D.R. Horton watchers may note the broader concern about rising rates and the changing relative appeal of stocks and bonds.
Home sellers are beginning to lower their price expectations as competition for buyers heats up. The excerpt says builders such as Lennar and KB Home will need to increase incentives.
Why it matters — The tougher competition and potential need for stronger incentives may affect D.R. Horton as a homebuilder.
D.R. Horton stock closed its recent trading session at $133.23, down 1.31% from the previous day's close, even as the broader market gained. The decline occurred despite overall market strength.
Why it matters — DHI watchers would note that the company's shares underperformed the broader market in a single trading session, reflecting a day of relative weakness for the stock.
D.R. Horton (DHI) shares declined on the latest trading day, settling at $139.42, a -1.48% change from the previous close. This decline was greater than that of the broader market.
Why it matters — A DHI watcher would note that the stock underperformed the wider market in this session, marking a notable daily price movement for the homebuilder.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering D.R. Horton, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $151, with estimates ranging from $125 to $206. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering D.R. Horton, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks D.R. Horton, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Oct 2026, D.R. Horton, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (76 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +8.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks D.R. Horton, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering D.R. Horton, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DHI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $206 over the next 12 months.
D.R. Horton, Inc. returned -7.8% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
D.R. Horton, Inc.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 11 Oct 2026): "Top 50 High-Quality Dividend Growth Stocks For October 2026". Seeking Alpha’s October 2026 list of 50 high-quality dividend growth stocks said D.R. Horton improved its ranking, citing upgraded EPS growth estimates and/or a favorable valuation shift.
D.R. Horton, Inc. is a major homebuilding company in the United States, focused on the construction and sale of residential housing across a broad range of regional markets. The company offers single-family detached homes as well as attached housing such as townhomes and duplexes, serving a wide mix of buyers including entry-level, move-up, luxury, and active-adult households. Its operations also include land acquisition and development, residential lot development, and rental property activities, along with related financial services such as mortgage financing, title agency services, and insurance operations. D.R. Horton, Inc. serves homebuyers through multiple brands and sales channels, with a business model centered on delivering homes and related services in numerous communities nationwide. Headquartered in Arlington, Texas, and founded in 1978, the company remains a significant participant in the U.S. residential construction market.
CEO Mr. Paul J. Romanowski · 14,341 employees · United States · https://www.drhorton.com
