PHMPHMConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

PHM Stock Forecast: PulteGroup, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Nov 2026
$135
−0.60% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $136 — +0.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$25.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
38/ 100
Median analyst target
$136
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$4.0B−9.6% y/y
Operating income$613.1M
Net income$472.0M
Free cash flow−$12.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+8.7%
1M
+18.6%
YTD
+16.0%
1Y
+14.1%
From 52W high
−4.6%
From 52W low
+23.6%
$109
$142
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PHM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PulteGroup, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Nov 2026
38/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
84
Issuance
76
Quality
67
Momentum
67
Value
63
Accruals
33
Revisions
32
Growth
18
Size
8

Volatility (84): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (18): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

PHM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PHM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PHMHigh $162Median $136Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
10 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $136High $162

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Nov 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$128 → $120
26 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
26 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$122 → $127
23 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$110 → $109
23 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$154 → $143
23 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
23 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
23 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$111 → $110
23 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$166 → $162
23 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
15 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$134 → $122
15 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
15 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$116 → $111
15 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
6 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$124 → $110
6 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatesEqual-Weight$128
1 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatesEqual-Weight—
25 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

PHM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

PHM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. returned +14.1% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PHM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120125Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PHMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PHM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−8.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.4×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.6×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.9×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−9.8%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.8%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.0%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.0%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Net margin
11.2%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.6%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 68% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. has a market value of $25.7B and an enterprise value of $25.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.4B. The latest quarter shrank 9.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.9B, a 11.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B, after $113.9M of capital spending.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. spent $1.3B on share buybacks and $188.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 190.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.4×; forward P/E: 14.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.77%, paying out 11% of earnings.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. employs 6,506 people — $2.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PHM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.$25.7B38
LENLennar Corp.$22.4B20
NVRNVR, Inc.$17.0B30
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.$14.3B58
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.$44.1B39
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$6.0B49
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$5.1B66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PulteGroup, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PHM news & analysis

Bear of the Day: PulteGroup (PHM)

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research describes PulteGroup as still waiting for a housing recovery and assigns it a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). It says earnings are expected to decline in 2026 for a second consecutive year.

Why it matters — The report highlights an expected continued earnings decline, a key consideration for PHM watchers.

PulteGroup: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 1 Nov 2026negative

PulteGroup reported that community traffic fell 14% year over year in Q3, while home sale revenues declined 9% to $3.9 billion.

Why it matters — These figures provide PHM watchers with a snapshot of lower customer traffic and home sale revenues in the quarter.

Is Most-Watched Stock PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Worth Betting on Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says users of Zacks.com have recently been watching PulteGroup (PHM) closely and highlights the importance of understanding factors that could affect the stock’s prospects.

Why it matters — PHM watchers may find the item relevant as it frames the factors that could shape the stock’s prospects.

New Strong Sell Stocks for October 27th

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Oct 2026negative

PulteGroup (PHM) was added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) list on October 27, 2026, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — The item reports a Strong Sell ranking for PHM, which is relevant to investors following the stock.

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 25 Oct 2026neutral

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund said it initiated positions in Scentre Group and Home Depot, trimmed WESCO and Freddie Mac preferred, and exited D.R. Horton during the quarter. It also extended its British pound and Hong Kong dollar hedges for portfolio management purposes.

Why it matters — The fund’s exit from D.R. Horton, a homebuilder, may be relevant to PHM watchers as portfolio activity in a housing-sector peer.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PHM stock

What is the PHM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $136, with estimates ranging from $100 to $162. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PHM stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PHM?

As at 5 Nov 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (84 of 100).

Will PHM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +0.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 38 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PHM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering PulteGroup, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PHM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $162 over the next 12 months.

How has PHM stock performed over the past year?

PulteGroup, Inc. returned +14.1% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?

PulteGroup, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on PHM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Nov 2026): "Bear of the Day: PulteGroup (PHM)". Zacks Investment Research describes PulteGroup as still waiting for a housing recovery and assigns it a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). It says earnings are expected to decline in 2026 for a second consecutive year.

Company

About PulteGroup, Inc.

PulteGroup, Inc. is a U.S. residential homebuilding company that designs, constructs, and sells homes for a range of buyers, including first-time purchasers, move-up families, and active-adult customers. Its portfolio includes single-family detached homes as well as attached housing such as townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes, supported by well-known brands including Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods. The company also acquires and develops land for residential communities, helping shape neighborhoods and master-planned developments across the United States. Beyond home construction, PulteGroup provides financial services that include mortgage banking, title insurance, and closing-related services, creating an integrated homebuying experience. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and founded in 1950, PulteGroup plays a significant role in the U.S. housing market through its broad product mix and end-to-end residential offerings.

CEO Mr. Ryan R. Marshall · 6,506 employees · United States · https://pultegroupinc.com