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PHMPHMConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

PHM Stock Forecast: PulteGroup, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$124
+0.11% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $146 — +16.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 51 of 100 as at 3 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$23.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
51 / 100
Median analyst target
$146
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$4.0B−9.6% y/y
Operating income$613.1M
Net income$472.0M
Free cash flow−$12.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−5.5%
YTD
+6.6%
1Y
−8.8%
From 52W high
−12.3%
From 52W low
+13.3%
$110
$142
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PHM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PulteGroup, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Sept 2026
51 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
92
Issuance
75
Quality
69
Momentum
66
Value
63
Revisions
61
Accruals
35
Growth
18
Size
9

Volatility (92): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (18): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PHM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PHM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PHMHigh $166Median $146Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
9 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $146High $166

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Aug 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradeOutperform$129
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$138 → $134
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
23 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$123 → $124
23 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$151 → $162
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
23 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
23 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$115 → $116
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$112 → $123
6 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
24 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
24 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
24 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
20 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
16 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupUpgradeOutperform—
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PHM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PHM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. returned −8.8% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PHM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PHMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PHM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.5%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.6×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.9×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−9.6%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−22.4%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.0%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.7%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
11.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 18% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. has a market value of $23.7B and an enterprise value of $24.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.4B. The latest quarter shrank 9.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.9B, a 11.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B, after $113.9M of capital spending.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. spent $1.3B on share buybacks and $188.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 190.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.6×; forward P/E: 11.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.84%, paying out 10% of earnings.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. employs 6,506 people — $2.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PHM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.$23.7B
51
LENLennar Corp.$20.7B
16
NVRNVR, Inc.$17.8B
42
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.$40.4B
40
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.$13.1B
60
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$6.4B
73
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$4.7B
78

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PulteGroup, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PHM news & analysis

PulteGroup Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend of $0.26 Per Share

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026neutral

PulteGroup announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per common share, payable October 2, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 15, 2026. The company, based in Atlanta, is one of America's largest homebuilders operating in more than 45 markets.

Why it matters — PHM watchers would note this declaration confirms the company's continued dividend payout schedule for its shareholders.

PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026negative

PulteGroup (PHM) shares fell 2.52% to close at $126.75 in the latest trading day, declining even as the broader market gained. The stock's performance trailed the market on the session.

Why it matters — A PHM watcher would note the stock's decline against a rising market as a sign of relative weakness on the day.

PulteGroup's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Webcast Conference Call Scheduled for October 22, 2026

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026neutral

PulteGroup announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on Thursday, October 22, 2026, and will hold a conference call that same day at 8:30 a.m. (ET). A live audio webcast of the call will be available on the company's website.

Why it matters — PHM watchers will be able to tune in to the scheduled earnings release and webcast to hear the company's third quarter 2026 results directly from management.

Zacks Industry Outlook PulteGroup, M/I Homes and Century

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting PulteGroup, M/I Homes, and Century. The article focuses on the homebuilding sector and includes PulteGroup among the companies featured in the industry analysis.

Why it matters — The article places PulteGroup within a broader industry outlook from a major research firm, which PHM watchers may follow for sector context.

3 Homebuilder Stocks Built to Benefit From Housing Market Tailwinds

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Aug 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research piece highlights homebuilders PHM, MHO, and CCS as positioned to benefit from housing market tailwinds. It notes that while affordability challenges and land/labor costs pose risks, better operating leverage and marketing strategies are likely to drive these companies.

Why it matters — PHM watchers would note the report's view that PHM could be among homebuilders poised to gain from favorable housing market conditions despite affordability and cost pressures.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PHM stock

What is the PHM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $146, with estimates ranging from $100 to $166. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PHM stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 51 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PHM?

As at 3 Sept 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. ranks 51 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (92 of 100).

Will PHM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +16.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 51 out of 100 as at 3 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PHM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering PulteGroup, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PHM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $166 over the next 12 months.

How has PHM stock performed over the past year?

PulteGroup, Inc. returned -8.8% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?

PulteGroup, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on PHM?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 2 Sept 2026): "PulteGroup Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend of $0.26 Per Share". PulteGroup announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per common share, payable October 2, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 15, 2026. The company, based in Atlanta, is one of America's largest homebuilders operating in more than 45 markets.

Company

About PulteGroup, Inc.

PulteGroup, Inc. is a U.S. residential homebuilding company that designs, constructs, and sells homes for a range of buyers, including first-time purchasers, move-up families, and active-adult customers. Its portfolio includes single-family detached homes as well as attached housing such as townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes, supported by well-known brands including Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods. The company also acquires and develops land for residential communities, helping shape neighborhoods and master-planned developments across the United States. Beyond home construction, PulteGroup provides financial services that include mortgage banking, title insurance, and closing-related services, creating an integrated homebuying experience. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and founded in 1950, PulteGroup plays a significant role in the U.S. housing market through its broad product mix and end-to-end residential offerings.

CEO Mr. Ryan R. Marshall · 6,506 employees · United States · https://pultegroupinc.com