PHMPHMConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

PHM Stock Forecast: PulteGroup, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$114
+0.50% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $138 — +21.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$21.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
47 / 100
Median analyst target
$138
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$4.0B−9.6% y/y
Operating income$613.1M
Net income$472.0M
Free cash flow−$12.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.3%
1M
−3.4%
YTD
−2.5%
1Y
−7.6%
From 52W high
−19.8%
From 52W low
+3.8%
$109
$142
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PHM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PulteGroup, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Oct 2026
47 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
90
Issuance
75
Value
71
Quality
70
Momentum
58
Revisions
52
Accruals
35
Growth
18
Size
9

Volatility (90): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (18): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PHM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PHM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PHMHigh $166Median $138Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
10 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $138High $166

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$124 → $110
1 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatesEqual-Weight$128
25 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
25 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$162 → $154
16 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$145 → $136
16 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$150 → $145
11 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
4 Sept 2026StoneXInitiatesBuy—
4 Sept 2026StoneXInitiatesBuy$148
24 Aug 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradeOutperform$129
24 Aug 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradeOutperform—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$138 → $134
23 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
23 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$123 → $124
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$151 → $162
23 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
23 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$115 → $116

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PHM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PHM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. returned −7.6% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PHM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PHMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PHM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.4%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.4×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.0×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−9.6%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−22.4%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.0%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.7%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
11.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 70% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. has a market value of $21.3B and an enterprise value of $22.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.4B. The latest quarter shrank 9.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.9B, a 11.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B, after $113.9M of capital spending.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. spent $1.3B on share buybacks and $188.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 190.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.4×; forward P/E: 10.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.93%, paying out 10% of earnings.

  • PulteGroup, Inc. employs 6,506 people — $2.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PHM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.$21.3B
47
LENLennar Corp.$19.0B
19
NVRNVR, Inc.$16.6B
39
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.$39.0B
43
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.$12.3B
56
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$5.1B
62
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$4.4B
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PulteGroup, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PHM news & analysis

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that users on Zacks.com have recently been paying considerable attention to PulteGroup (PHM). The article says it is worth knowing the facts that could affect the stock’s prospects.

Why it matters — PHM watchers may find the article relevant as it focuses on factors that could shape the stock’s prospects.

Earnings Preview: PulteGroup (PHM) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says PulteGroup lacks the two key ingredients it identifies as supporting a likely earnings beat ahead of its Q3 report. The headline says Q3 earnings are expected to decline.

Why it matters — PHM watchers may note the negative earnings outlook as they follow the company’s upcoming Q3 report.

PulteGroup (PHM) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Oct 2026negative

PulteGroup (PHM) closed at $109.13 in the latest trading session, down 2.2% from the prior day. The headline characterizes the decline as more significant than the broader market’s.

Why it matters — PHM watchers may note the stock’s latest session decline and its comparison with the broader market.

Home Sellers Are Starting to Blink on Prices. That's Bad for Builders.

WSJ · 11 Oct 2026negative

Home sellers are beginning to lower prices as competition for buyers increases. The pressure is expected to lead builders such as Lennar and KB Home to increase incentives.

Why it matters — A PHM watcher may care because intensifying buyer competition and builder incentives could indicate pressure on homebuilders.

Explore by Del Webb Expands into Utah with New Community Near Park City

Business Wire · 8 Oct 2026positive

PulteGroup is expanding its Explore by Del Webb brand into Utah with a new community at Jordanelle Ridge near Park City. Launched in 2025, the brand builds on Del Webb’s 65 years of experience with resort-style communities.

Why it matters — The expansion adds a Utah community to PulteGroup’s newest brand and broadens its Explore by Del Webb presence.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PHM stock

What is the PHM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $138, with estimates ranging from $100 to $166. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PHM stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PHM?

As at 15 Oct 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (90 of 100).

Will PHM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +21.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 47 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PHM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering PulteGroup, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PHM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $166 over the next 12 months.

How has PHM stock performed over the past year?

PulteGroup, Inc. returned -7.6% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?

PulteGroup, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on PHM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 16 Oct 2026): "PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know". Zacks Investment Research reports that users on Zacks.com have recently been paying considerable attention to PulteGroup (PHM). The article says it is worth knowing the facts that could affect the stock’s prospects.

Company

About PulteGroup, Inc.

PulteGroup, Inc. is a U.S. residential homebuilding company that designs, constructs, and sells homes for a range of buyers, including first-time purchasers, move-up families, and active-adult customers. Its portfolio includes single-family detached homes as well as attached housing such as townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes, supported by well-known brands including Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods. The company also acquires and develops land for residential communities, helping shape neighborhoods and master-planned developments across the United States. Beyond home construction, PulteGroup provides financial services that include mortgage banking, title insurance, and closing-related services, creating an integrated homebuying experience. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and founded in 1950, PulteGroup plays a significant role in the U.S. housing market through its broad product mix and end-to-end residential offerings.

CEO Mr. Ryan R. Marshall · 6,506 employees · United States · https://pultegroupinc.com