PHMPHMConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

PHM Stock Forecast: PulteGroup, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$129
+1.04% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $145 — +12.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 48 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$24.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
48 / 100
Median analyst target
$145
Analysts covering
15
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.9%
1M
+3.8%
YTD
+10.5%
1Y
+3.7%
From 52W high
−9.1%
From 52W low
+17.4%
$110
$142
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PHM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores PulteGroup, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
48 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
87
Issuance
75
Quality
66
Value
64
Momentum
60
Revisions
60
Accruals
35
Growth
18
Size
9

Volatility (87): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (18): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PHM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PHM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PHMHigh $166Median $145Low $100

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says15 analysts
8 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $100Median $145High $166

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$138$134
23 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$123$124
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$151$162
23 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$115$116
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
14 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$112$123
6 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
24 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
24 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
24 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
20 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
16 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
13 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupUpgradeOutperform
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
7 Apr 2026Seaport GlobalDowngradeSell
3 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
3 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
30 Jan 2026OppenheimerReiteratesOutperform
30 Jan 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PHM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PHM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.5%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.1×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−9.6%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−22.4%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.0%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.7%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
11.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 18% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PHM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.$24.6B
48
LENLennar Corp.$21.3B
15
NVRNVR, Inc.$17.8B
40
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.$41.5B
38
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.$14.2B
58
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$6.6B
73
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$5.0B
70

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own PulteGroup, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PHM news & analysis

Why Is PulteGroup (PHM) Up 2.4% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026neutral

PulteGroup reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 2.4% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares following the earnings release.

Why it matters — PHM watchers would care because the article assesses the stock's post-earnings movement and outlook after the company's most recent quarterly report.

Home Builder Stocks Are Holding Up as Bonds Drop. Maybe Not For Long.

Barrons · 17 Aug 2026negative

The article notes that home builder stocks have been holding up even as Treasury prices drop, which pushes yields higher. Rising yields typically lead to higher mortgage rates and increased costs for homebuyers, suggesting this resilience may not persist.

Why it matters — As a home builder, PulteGroup could face headwinds if higher mortgage rates dampen housing demand and affordability.

Luxury Homes Are Hot but Cheap Builder Stocks Are Hotter

Barrons · 16 Aug 2026neutral

The article notes that while luxury homes remain in demand, the stocks of smaller homebuilders are attracting attention because they trade near or below book value and have relatively small market capitalizations.

Why it matters — A PulteGroup watcher would care because the piece highlights a value-oriented contrast between larger builders like PHM and smaller builders trading at depressed valuations.

PulteGroup Earns 2026-2027 Great Place To Work Certification™

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026positive

PulteGroup was certified as a Great Place To Work for the eighth time, based on its latest employee survey. In the 2026-2027 certification period, 92% of employees said the company is a great place to work, versus 57% at a typical U.S. company.

Why it matters — The high employee satisfaction and repeated workplace certification signal positive company culture, which can matter to investors tracking PulteGroup's ability to attract and retain talent.

PulteGroup Expands Operations into Northwest Florida

Business Wire · 3 Aug 2026positive

PulteGroup announced it is expanding its operations into Northwest Florida and launching a new Florida Panhandle Division to support that growth. The company named Taylor Larza as Vice President and Market Manager for the new division.

Why it matters — PHM watchers would care because the expansion signals the company is investing in a region where it reports strong demand for new homes in Florida, a key market for PulteGroup.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PHM stock

What is the PHM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $145, with estimates ranging from $100 to $166. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PHM stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering PulteGroup, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 48 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PHM?

As at 22 Aug 2026, PulteGroup, Inc. ranks 48 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (87 of 100).

Will PHM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +12.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks PulteGroup, Inc. 48 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PHM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering PulteGroup, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PHM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $166 over the next 12 months.

How has PHM stock performed over the past year?

PulteGroup, Inc. returned +3.7% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does PulteGroup, Inc. do?

PulteGroup Inc. is a homebuilding and residential construction company that develops and sells single-family homes across the United States.

What is the latest news on PHM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Aug 2026): "Why Is PulteGroup (PHM) Up 2.4% Since Last Earnings Report?". PulteGroup reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 2.4% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares following the earnings release.

Company

About PulteGroup, Inc.

PulteGroup Inc. is a homebuilding and residential construction company that develops and sells single-family homes across the United States. The company serves a broad range of buyers through brands such as Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods, addressing the needs of entry-level, move-up, and active-adult customers. Its operations also include financial services such as mortgage banking, title, and insurance brokerage, which support the homebuying process. PulteGroup Inc. operates in multiple states and major markets, making it an important participant in the U.S. housing sector and a provider of integrated homebuilding and homeownership services.

CEO Mr. Ryan R. Marshall · 6,793 employees · United States · https://www.pultegroup.com