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NVRNVRConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

NVR Stock Forecast: NVR, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$6,359
+0.93% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering NVR, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $7,000 — +10.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$17.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
40 / 100
Median analyst target
$7,000
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.8%
1M
+0.5%
YTD
−12.8%
1Y
−20.1%
From 52W high
−25.6%
From 52W low
+14.3%
$5,564
$8,543
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NVR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NVR, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
40 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Issuance
80
Quality
80
Revisions
63
Accruals
46
Value
35
Growth
20
Momentum
17
Size
11

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (17): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NVR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5,000$6,000$7,000$8,000$9,000Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NVRHigh $7,446Median $7,000Low $5,664

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
2 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $5,664Median $7,000High $7,446

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$6,600 → $6,400
24 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$7,700 → $7,400
20 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$7,600 → $7,200
7 July 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeBuy—
7 July 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeBuy—
23 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
23 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
20 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
16 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 Apr 2026Seaport GlobalDowngradeSell—
4 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
29 Jan 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeHold—
29 Jan 2026Zelman& AssocUpgradeHold—
6 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
23 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
10 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
24 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
23 Apr 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NVR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

NVR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.7%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

NVR, Inc. (NVR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.5×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
5.0×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.0×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.9%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−29.1%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Gross margin
21.0%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Operating margin
13.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
11.8%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
31.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Return on assets
16.5%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

NVR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NVRNVR, Inc.$17.0B
40
LENLennar Corp.$21.3B
15
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.$14.2B
58
PHMPulteGroup, Inc.$25.1B
48
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.$41.5B
38
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$6.6B
73
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$5.0B
70

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NVR, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NVR news & analysis

NVR Director George Oliver Buys $405K in Stock -- Should Investors Buy Too?

The Motley Fool · 13 Aug 2026positive

NVR director George Oliver purchased 63 shares of stock, totaling approximately $405,185 in capital commitment. The transaction establishes his inaugural direct equity position in the company, representing 100% of his current stock holdings.

Why it matters — A director establishing a first direct equity stake in NVR signals insider confidence that NVR watchers may track when assessing the company.

PHM or NVR: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 31 July 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing PulteGroup (PHM) and NVR (NVR), asking which of the two home builder stocks offers the better value opportunity right now.

Why it matters — NVR watchers would care because the article positions NVR against a peer in a value comparison, which could influence how the stock is perceived by value-focused investors.

Is NVR Stock Attractive After Its 2026 Earnings & Revenue Miss?

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026neutral

After NVR reported earnings and revenue that missed 2026 expectations, Zacks Investment Research noted that the company's asset-light model and share buybacks support long-term value, but falling earnings, weaker revenues and a premium valuation suggest investors should be patient.

Why it matters — NVR watchers would care because the analysis highlights both structural strengths in the business model and near-term financial weaknesses that could influence the stock's performance.

NVR Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates on Margin Pressure, Stock Down

Zacks Investment Research · 24 July 2026negative

NVR's second-quarter earnings and homebuilding revenues declined due to fewer settlements, softer pricing, and margin pressure, though orders and backlog showed growth.

Why it matters — The results signal near-term headwinds from cost and pricing pressures despite underlying demand strength, which may weigh on NVR's profitability outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NVR stock

What is the NVR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering NVR, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $7,000, with estimates ranging from $5,664 to $7,446. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NVR stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering NVR, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NVR, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NVR?

As at 22 Aug 2026, NVR, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will NVR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +10.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NVR, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NVR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering NVR, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $5,664 to $7,446 over the next 12 months.

How has NVR stock performed over the past year?

NVR, Inc. returned -20.1% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does NVR, Inc. do?

NVR, Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on NVR?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 13 Aug 2026): "NVR Director George Oliver Buys $405K in Stock -- Should Investors Buy Too?". NVR director George Oliver purchased 63 shares of stock, totaling approximately $405,185 in capital commitment. The transaction establishes his inaugural direct equity position in the company, representing 100% of his current stock holdings.

Company

About NVR, Inc.

NVR, Inc. is a U.S. homebuilding and mortgage banking company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. Through its Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands, the company designs and builds newly constructed single-family homes, townhomes, and selected condominiums in targeted metropolitan markets across the eastern United States. Its homebuilding operations are complemented by mortgage origination, title, and settlement services that support the homebuying process. NVR focuses on for-sale residential housing and operates through two main business segments: Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. The company serves individual homebuyers seeking new homes in planned communities, while its integrated service model helps streamline financing and closing activities within its core markets.

CEO Mr. Eugene James Bredow · 6,300 employees · United States · https://www.nvrinc.com