NVRConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering NVR, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $6,150 — -4.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 30 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NVR, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (100): The share price has been relatively steady.
Growth (19): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −4.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $5,058 → $4,864 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $7,400 → $7,425 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Initiates | Underweight | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Initiates | Underweight | $5,058 |
| 25 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $6,600 → $6,400 |
| 24 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 24 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $7,700 → $7,400 |
| 20 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $7,600 → $7,200 |
| 20 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Sell | — |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Truist Securities | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
NVR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, NVR, Inc. returned −10.7% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
NVR, Inc. has a market value of $17.2B and an enterprise value of $16.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.5B. The latest quarter shrank 8.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 12.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $385.59.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B.
NVR, Inc. spent $1.8B on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.7×; forward P/E: 18.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.01%, paying out 0% of earnings.
NVR, Inc. employs 6,300 people — $1.5M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NVR, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Bank of America downgraded NVR, warning that weaker homebuyer demand, rising construction costs, and margin pressure could weigh on earnings through 2027.
Why it matters — The concerns point to potential headwinds for NVR’s earnings and profitability over the coming years.
NVR’s third-quarter earnings and homebuilding revenues missed estimates, as margin pressure, fewer settlements and softer pricing weighed on results. Backlog grew 10%.
Why it matters — The results highlight weaker quarterly performance alongside growth in NVR’s backlog.
NVR reported quarterly earnings of $89.45 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $106.11. Earnings were also lower than the $112.33 per share reported a year earlier.
Why it matters — NVR watchers may note that quarterly earnings missed the consensus estimate and declined year over year.
NVR, Inc. announced third-quarter net income of $248.6 million, or $89.45 per diluted share, for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.
Why it matters — The reported quarterly earnings provide NVR watchers with an update on the company’s financial results.
Zacks Investment Research reports that NVR’s third-quarter earnings are expected to decline. It says the company lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat.
Why it matters — NVR watchers may find the preview relevant as context for the company’s upcoming earnings report.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering NVR, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $6,150, with estimates ranging from $4,864 to $7,425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering NVR, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NVR, Inc. 30 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Nov 2026, NVR, Inc. ranks 30 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies -4.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NVR, Inc. 30 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering NVR, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4,864 to $7,425 over the next 12 months.
NVR, Inc. returned -10.7% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
NVR, Inc. is an American homebuilding and mortgage banking company headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 23 Oct 2026): "NVR Faces Double Squeeze As Homebuyers Retreat and Construction Costs Climb". Bank of America downgraded NVR, warning that weaker homebuyer demand, rising construction costs, and margin pressure could weigh on earnings through 2027.
NVR, Inc. is an American homebuilding and mortgage banking company headquartered in Reston, Virginia. The company operates through two core business segments: homebuilding and mortgage banking. Its homebuilding operations construct and sell single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands. NVR, Inc. serves a broad range of buyers, including first-time, move-up, and luxury customers, and supports them with related mortgage, title, and closing services. The company’s integrated model connects home construction with financing and settlement services, giving it a significant role in residential real estate markets across multiple U.S. regions. As one of the nation’s leading homebuilders, NVR, Inc. is a notable participant in the housing industry and the broader financial market.
CEO Mr. Eugene James Bredow · 6,300 employees · United States · https://www.nvrinc.com
