TMHCTMHCConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

TMHC Stock Forecast: Taylor Morrison Home Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 July 2026
$72

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Taylor Morrison Home Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $73 — +0.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 23 July 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$6.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$73
Analysts covering
7
Ticker Nerd rank

TMHC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Taylor Morrison Home Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 July 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
80
Value
79
Revisions
79
Issuance
69
Momentum
61
Quality
40
Accruals
29
Size
20
Growth
17

Volatility (80): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (17): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Taylor Morrison Home Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

TMHC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TMHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

We don’t hold enough price history for this company yet.

What Wall Street says7 analysts
0 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $49Median $73High $73

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 July 2026BarclaysDowngradeEqual-Weight$69$73
26 June 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform
26 June 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform
10 June 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform
2 June 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform
2 June 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold
1 June 2026CitizensDowngradeMarket Perform
1 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
1 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
23 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
23 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
20 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
16 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
7 Apr 2026Seaport GlobalDowngradeSell
4 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy
12 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
12 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
16 Jan 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral
7 Jan 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

TMHC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (TMHC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.8×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.1×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−26.8%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−53.8%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Gross margin
21.0%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.1%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Net margin
8.8%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.1%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.6%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TMHC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TMHCTaylor Morrison Home Corp.$6.7B
52
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$6.0B
61
MTHMeritage Homes Corp.$4.7B
31
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$4.4B
62
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.$4.3B
43
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.$3.8B
41
KBHKB Home$3.5B
50
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TMHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest TMHC news & analysis

Taylor Morrison CEO: 'Lot of runway' with Berkshire

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · 27 July 2026neutral

Berkshire Hathaway has acquired homebuilder Taylor Morrison for an enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, and CEO Sheryl Palmer will remain in her role to continue leading the company.

Why it matters — The acquisition by Berkshire Hathaway marks a major corporate event for Taylor Morrison, with the CEO staying on to guide the company through its transition under new ownership.

Taylor Morrison CEO: Strong housing sales data speaks to desire and need for today's housing

CNBC Television · 24 July 2026positive

Taylor Morrison CEO Sheryl Palmer appeared on CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the company's merger with Berkshire Hathaway and strong housing demand, noting that robust sales data reflects both consumer desire and need for housing.

Why it matters — The CEO's positive assessment of housing demand and the strategic Berkshire Hathaway merger directly addresses key factors influencing Taylor Morrison's growth outlook.

Berkshire Hathaway Completes Acquisition of Taylor Morrison

Business Wire · 24 July 2026neutral

Berkshire Hathaway completed its acquisition of Taylor Morrison for $72.50 per share in cash, representing a total equity value of approximately $6.8 billion. CEO Sheryl Palmer will continue to lead Taylor Morrison under Berkshire ownership.

Why it matters — TMHC shareholders have been bought out at the announced price, and the company will now operate as a private subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway rather than a publicly traded homebuilder.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TMHC stock

What is the TMHC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Taylor Morrison Home Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $73, with estimates ranging from $49 to $73. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TMHC stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Taylor Morrison Home Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Taylor Morrison Home Corp. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 July 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TMHC?

As at 23 July 2026, Taylor Morrison Home Corp. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (80 of 100).

Will TMHC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +0.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Taylor Morrison Home Corp. 52 out of 100 as at 23 July 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TMHC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Taylor Morrison Home Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TMHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $49 to $73 over the next 12 months.

What does Taylor Morrison Home Corp. do?

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation is a U.S. homebuilder and community developer based in Scottsdale, Arizona.

What is the latest news on TMHC?

The most recent item we track (Bloomberg Markets and Finance, 27 July 2026): "Taylor Morrison CEO: 'Lot of runway' with Berkshire". Berkshire Hathaway has acquired homebuilder Taylor Morrison for an enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, and CEO Sheryl Palmer will remain in her role to continue leading the company.

Company

About Taylor Morrison Home Corp.

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation is a U.S. homebuilder and community developer based in Scottsdale, Arizona. The company builds and sells new homes through a range of brands and community formats designed for entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers, while also developing rental communities. Its operations focus on land development, residential construction, and neighborhood planning across multiple U.S. housing markets, giving it a broad role in the domestic residential real estate sector. Taylor Morrison serves individual homebuyers and renters through its Taylor Morrison, Esplanade, and Yardly brands, combining homebuilding with community-oriented development and lifestyle-focused residential offerings.

CEO Ms. Sheryl Denise Palmer · 2,800 employees · United States · https://www.taylormorrison.com