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TJXTJXConsumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

TJX Stock Forecast: The TJX Cos., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$158
+0.10% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +11.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 74 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$173.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
74 / 100
Median analyst target
$175
Analysts covering
21
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.7%
1M
+2.1%
YTD
+3.2%
1Y
+26.5%
From 52W high
−6.5%
From 52W low
+23.8%
$127
$168
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TJX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The TJX Cos., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
74 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Quality
92
Revisions
89
Momentum
73
Growth
70
Issuance
55
Accruals
36
Value
36
Size
1

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (36): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The TJX Cos., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

TJX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TJX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TJXHigh $197Median $175Low $125

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says21 analysts
19 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $125Median $175High $197

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$172 → $175
21 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$183 → $190
21 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$185 → $190
21 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$168 → $182
21 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$171 → $175
21 May 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$175 → $185
21 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$175 → $190
21 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$193 → $197
21 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$155 → $160
18 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$173 → $174
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy$175
26 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
26 Feb 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
26 Feb 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
23 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
18 Feb 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform—
8 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
16 Dec 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Dec 2025GuggenheimInitiatesBuy—
4 Dec 2025BairdMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

TJX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.2%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

The TJX Cos., Inc. (TJX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.6×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.8×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / book
16.7×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.6×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
28.6%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.3%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
9.4%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
61.3%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
13.9%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 29% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TJX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelApparel Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TJXThe TJX Cos., Inc.$173.8B
74
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.$81.2B
92
BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.$23.2B
60
LULUlululemon athletica, Inc.$14.3B
31
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$192.3B
47
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.*$150.1B
72
GAPGap, Inc.$7.5B
63

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few apparel retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TJX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest TJX news & analysis

Will TJX (TJX) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

Zacks reports that TJX has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly earnings report.

Why it matters — A TJX watcher would care because the article highlights the company's record of beating estimates and indicates favorable conditions for another earnings beat in the upcoming report.

Why TJX (TJX) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights TJX as a top momentum stock for the long term, using the Zacks Style Scores feature of its Zacks Premium research service to identify the company.

Why it matters — A TJX watcher would care because the item signals that the company is recognized by a major research service for strong long-term momentum.

Zacks Industry Outlook The TJX, Ross Stores, Target and Dollar Tree

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting The TJX Companies, along with Ross Stores, Target and Dollar Tree. The four retailers are featured together in the outlook piece.

Why it matters — The article places TJX within an analyst-followed group of discount and off-price retailers, which is relevant to the company's industry coverage.

Target & 3 More Discount Retail Stocks Investors Should Buy in H2 2026

Zacks Investment Research · 31 July 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted TJX among four discount retail stocks (along with ROST, TGT, and DLTR) that it believes investors should buy in the second half of 2026, citing shoppers' search for value and the companies' investments in digital, supply chains, and private labels as growth drivers.

Why it matters — A positive analyst mention from a major research firm can influence investor perception and draw attention to TJX's positioning in the discount retail space.

TJX (TJX) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026negative

TJX shares closed at $159.26 in the latest trading session, a decrease of 1.47% from the prior day, even as the broader market showed improvement.

Why it matters — TJX watchers track daily price movements as an indicator of how the stock is performing relative to market trends.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TJX stock

What is the TJX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $125 to $197. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TJX stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The TJX Cos., Inc. 74 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TJX?

As at 1 Aug 2026, The TJX Cos., Inc. ranks 74 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will TJX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +11.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The TJX Cos., Inc. 74 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TJX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The TJX Cos., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TJX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $197 over the next 12 months.

How has TJX stock performed over the past year?

The TJX Cos., Inc. returned +26.5% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The TJX Cos., Inc. do?

The TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home fashion merchandise, headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts since its founding in 1962.

What is the latest news on TJX?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Aug 2026): "Will TJX (TJX) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?". Zacks reports that TJX has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly earnings report.

Company

About The TJX Cos., Inc.

The TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home fashion merchandise, headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts since its founding in 1962. The company operates through four main business segments: Marmaxx, which includes TJ Maxx and Marshalls stores; HomeGoods, featuring home furnishings and décor; TJX Canada; and TJX International. The TJX Companies, Inc. serves value-conscious consumers by offering brand-name and designer merchandise at discounted prices through its diverse store formats. The company operates a substantial network of retail locations across multiple markets, distributing apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods to shoppers seeking quality products at reduced prices. With an extensive physical retail presence and a commitment to the off-price retail segment, The TJX Companies, Inc. plays a significant role in the apparel and home retail industries, serving both individual consumers and contributing substantially to the retail landscape across North America and internationally.

CEO Mr. Ernie L. Herrman · 377,000 employees · United States · https://www.tjx.com