TJXConsumer Cyclical · Apparel RetailThe 22 Wall Street analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +27.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The TJX Cos., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.
Value (35): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TJX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $175 → $170 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | $180 → $145 |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $190 → $188 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $190 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | $182 → $154 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $175 → $173 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Downgrade | Accumulate | $155 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Downgrade | Accumulate | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $181 → $178 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $197 → $198 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $160 → $140 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
TJX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, The TJX Cos., Inc. returned −0.8% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The TJX Cos., Inc. has a market value of $151.4B and an enterprise value of $163.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $62.4B. The latest quarter grew 5.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $6.1B, a 9.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.41.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $5.9B.
The TJX Cos., Inc. spent $2.8B on share buybacks and $1.9B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 25.4×; forward P/E: 23.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.39%, paying out 33% of earnings.
The TJX Cos., Inc. employs 377,000 people — $165K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The TJX Cos., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
TJX settled at $137.63 on the latest trading day, down 2.39% from its previous close. The headline notes that the stock fell as the broader market gained.
Why it matters — TJX watchers may note the stock’s daily decline relative to the market’s gains.
TJX is expected to report third-quarter results in mid-November. Ahead of the release, its shares have rebounded over the past month but remain essentially flat for the year, with the excerpt attributing part of the bounce to investor interest in defensive sectors and discount retail.
Why it matters — TJX watchers may note the positive view of discount retail’s appeal as the company approaches its quarterly earnings release.
The Motley Fool describes TJX’s bargain retail model as resilient in difficult economies and says the company plans to grow its store count by about 42%.
Why it matters — TJX watchers may note the stated store expansion plan and the article’s view of the company’s resilience.
TJX closed at $140.20, down 2.44% from the previous trading day, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — TJX watchers may note the stock’s daily decline despite the headline’s reference to an overall market uptick.
Seeking Alpha’s November 2026 monthly options series discusses a strategy for generating potential annual income by selling options, emphasizing discipline, risk management, and due diligence. Its PUT list focuses on high-momentum stocks, while its buy-write call list prioritizes dividend safety and quality.
Why it matters — TJX watchers may note the article’s options-screening approach, though the excerpt does not identify TJX as a featured stock.
The 22 Wall Street analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $136 to $198. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 22 analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The TJX Cos., Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, The TJX Cos., Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +27.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The TJX Cos., Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The TJX Cos., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TJX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $136 to $198 over the next 12 months.
The TJX Cos., Inc. returned -0.8% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer of apparel, footwear, home fashions, and other consumer goods.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Nov 2026): "TJX (TJX) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know". TJX settled at $137.63 on the latest trading day, down 2.39% from its previous close. The headline notes that the stock fell as the broader market gained.
The TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer of apparel, footwear, home fashions, and other consumer goods. The company operates a portfolio of well-known retail banners, including Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International, serving customers across the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. Its merchandising model centers on offering a rapidly changing assortment of brand-name and designer merchandise at prices below traditional full-price retailers. TJX focuses on value-driven shopping across clothing, accessories, beauty, jewelry, home decor, furniture, rugs, lighting, cookware, pet products, and giftware. With a broad store network and diversified product mix, The TJX Companies, Inc. plays a significant role in the global off-price retail segment and remains a major destination for consumers seeking branded merchandise across everyday and seasonal categories.
CEO Mr. Ernie L. Herrman · 377,000 employees · United States · https://www.tjx.com
