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TJXTJXConsumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

TJX Stock Forecast: The TJX Cos., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$127
+3.02% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +38.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$135.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$175
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$15.2B+5.4% y/y
Operating income$2.0B
Net income$1.5B
Free cash flow$1.7B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
−16.1%
YTD
−16.9%
1Y
−8.5%
From 52W high
−24.6%
From 52W low
+3.0%
$123
$168
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TJX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The TJX Cos., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
96
Quality
91
Revisions
76
Growth
71
Issuance
54
Momentum
53
Value
43
Accruals
37
Size
2

Volatility (96): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (37): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TJX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TJX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TJXHigh $198Median $175Low $136

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
18 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $136Median $175High $198

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +38.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 Aug 2026JefferiesDowngradeHold$180 → $145
20 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$190 → $188
20 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$190
20 Aug 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$182 → $154
20 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$175 → $173
20 Aug 2026Gordon HaskettDowngradeAccumulate$155
20 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$181 → $178
20 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$197 → $198
20 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$160 → $140
21 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
21 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$172 → $175
21 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$183 → $190
21 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
21 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$185 → $190
21 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
21 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
21 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$168 → $182
21 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$171 → $175
21 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
21 May 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainsOutperform$175 → $185

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TJX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TJX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, The TJX Cos., Inc. returned −8.5% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TJX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TJXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TJX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

The TJX Cos., Inc. (TJX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.1×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / book
13.0×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.1×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.4%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
22.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.4%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.9%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
9.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
62.2%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
13.5%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 35% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The TJX Cos., Inc. (TJX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The TJX Cos., Inc. has a market value of $135.1B and an enterprise value of $143.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $62.4B. The latest quarter grew 5.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $6.1B, a 9.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.41.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $5.9B.

  • The TJX Cos., Inc. spent $2.8B on share buybacks and $1.9B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.1×; forward P/E: 21.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.54%, paying out 33% of earnings.

  • The TJX Cos., Inc. employs 377,000 people — $165K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TJX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelApparel Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TJXThe TJX Cos., Inc.$135.1B
64
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.$74.2B
90
BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.$15.1B
52
LULUlululemon athletica, Inc.$11.9B
31
GAPGap, Inc.$7.3B
71
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.*$132.7B
77
URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.$6.5B
70

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few apparel retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The TJX Cos., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TJX news & analysis

The TJX Companies, Inc. Elects Craig A. Pintoff to Board of Directors

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026neutral

On September 16, 2026, the Board of Directors of The TJX Companies, Inc. elected Craig A. Pintoff as a director, effective immediately. Pintoff serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer of United Rentals, Inc.

Why it matters — A TJX watcher would care because this brings a new executive from a major global company onto the board, potentially influencing corporate governance and strategic oversight.

The TJX Companies, Inc. Announces Quarterly Common Stock Dividend

Business Wire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

The TJX Companies, Inc. announced a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.48 per share, payable December 3, 2026, to shareholders of record on November 12, 2026. The company is described as a Fortune 100 off-price retailer of apparel and home fashions in the U.S. and worldwide.

Why it matters — TJX watchers would note this as an update on the company's ongoing dividend payout schedule and shareholder returns.

TJX Raises Fiscal 2027 Outlook as Q2 Results Show Broad-Based Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026positive

TJX raised its fiscal 2027 profit outlook after a Q2 earnings beat, driven by broad divisional gains and an increased store target. Marmaxx execution is cited as a key test going forward.

Why it matters — The raised fiscal 2027 outlook and higher store target signal strengthening performance and growth momentum that a TJX watcher would track closely.

TJX Falls 17.4% in the Past Month as Strong Results Meet Key Risks

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026neutral

TJX shares declined 17.4% over the past month, even as the company raised its profit guidance and reported improving trends at its Marmaxx division. These positive developments are being weighed against risks including wage pressures, fuel costs, and valuation concerns.

Why it matters — A TJX watcher would care because the stock's sharp decline highlights the tension between the company's improving fundamentals and the external cost pressures and valuation factors affecting its near-term trajectory.

Should Investors Buy TJX as Growth Improves but Valuation Stays Rich?

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026neutral

TJX has raised its fiscal 2027 sales and earnings guidance and expanded its store-opening target, though the company faces a premium valuation and continued cost pressures. These factors raise the bar for execution going forward.

Why it matters — A TJX watcher would care because the higher guidance and larger store plan signal confidence in growth, while valuation and cost pressures could affect how well the company delivers on those targets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TJX stock

What is the TJX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $136 to $198. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TJX stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering The TJX Cos., Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The TJX Cos., Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TJX?

As at 17 Sept 2026, The TJX Cos., Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (96 of 100).

Will TJX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +38.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The TJX Cos., Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TJX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The TJX Cos., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TJX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $136 to $198 over the next 12 months.

How has TJX stock performed over the past year?

The TJX Cos., Inc. returned -8.5% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The TJX Cos., Inc. do?

The TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer of apparel, footwear, home fashions, and other consumer goods.

What is the latest news on TJX?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 17 Sept 2026): "The TJX Companies, Inc. Elects Craig A. Pintoff to Board of Directors". On September 16, 2026, the Board of Directors of The TJX Companies, Inc. elected Craig A. Pintoff as a director, effective immediately. Pintoff serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer of United Rentals, Inc.

Company

About The TJX Cos., Inc.

The TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer of apparel, footwear, home fashions, and other consumer goods. The company operates a portfolio of well-known retail banners, including Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International, serving customers across the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. Its merchandising model centers on offering a rapidly changing assortment of brand-name and designer merchandise at prices below traditional full-price retailers. TJX focuses on value-driven shopping across clothing, accessories, beauty, jewelry, home decor, furniture, rugs, lighting, cookware, pet products, and giftware. With a broad store network and diversified product mix, The TJX Companies, Inc. plays a significant role in the global off-price retail segment and remains a major destination for consumers seeking branded merchandise across everyday and seasonal categories.

CEO Mr. Ernie L. Herrman · 377,000 employees · United States · https://www.tjx.com