MCDMCDConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

MCD Stock Forecast: McDonald's Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Aug 2026
$274
+0.16% on the day

The 34 Wall Street analysts covering McDonald's Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $306 — +11.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$195.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
46 / 100
Median analyst target
$306
Analysts covering
34
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.2%
1M
−0.2%
YTD
−9.2%
1Y
−7.8%
From 52W high
−18.6%
From 52W low
+4.3%
$263
$337
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MCD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores McDonald's Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Aug 2026
46 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
100
Issuance
92
Growth
63
Value
56
Quality
52
Revisions
50
Momentum
42
Accruals
23
Size
1

Volatility (100): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (23): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Wall Street

MCD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MCDHigh $407Median $306Low $250

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says34 analysts
19 Buy14 Hold1 Sell
Low $250Median $306High $407

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsNeutral$320$290
5 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$350
5 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$335$345
5 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$315$305
5 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$305$295
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$300$290
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$365$340
27 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
24 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$370$350
24 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$350$320
23 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
17 July 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy$385$390
17 July 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$331$322
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$320$300
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$375$335

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MCD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MCD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
12
Fundamentals

McDonald's Corp. (MCD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.1×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.3×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / book
−151.0×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
4.8%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Gross margin
55.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Operating margin
46.5%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Net margin
31.7%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−478.1%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Return on assets
13.3%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 60% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MCD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MCDMcDonald's Corp.$195.0B
46
SBUXStarbucks Corp.$119.0B
88
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$41.2B
48
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$40.4B
53
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.$33.1B
62
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$25.0B
73
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$17.0B
88

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own McDonald's Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MCD news & analysis

McDonald's Stock Analysis: Buy or Sell?

The Motley Fool · 12 Aug 2026negative

The Motley Fool published a stock analysis piece on McDonald's discussing the buy-or-sell question. The report notes that McDonald's revenue growth rate is decelerating.

Why it matters — A slowdown in McDonald's revenue growth is a key development for investors tracking the company's operating momentum.

McDonald's Pushes 50,000-Store Goal to 2028: Is It Slowing Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

McDonald's has pushed back its goal of reaching 50,000 stores to 2028, citing softening U.S. traffic. The company still plans about 2,600 store openings in 2026 as part of a disciplined expansion strategy.

Why it matters — A delay in the flagship store-count target signals a change in McDonald's growth pace amid softer U.S. demand, giving watchers a gauge of near-term expansion expectations.

For McDonald's and rivals, cheap deals no longer do the trick

Reuters · 11 Aug 2026negative

U.S. fast-food chains including McDonald's, which spent the second quarter competing to attract price-conscious diners, found that discounts alone were no longer sufficient to keep customers returning.

Why it matters — For McDonald's watchers, this suggests that relying on value deals may no longer be an effective way to maintain customer traffic.

The Dow Is Outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in 2026. 3 Unstoppable Dow Stocks to Buy in August.

The Motley Fool · 11 Aug 2026positive

The Motley Fool reports that the Dow is outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in 2026, and highlights McDonald's alongside Procter & Gamble and Home Depot as Dow stocks with resilient businesses that generate cash and return it to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, even as tech stocks get shaky.

Why it matters — The piece presents McDonald's as a steady, cash-generating Dow stock whose strong brand and shareholder returns offer an alternative when tech falters, which is relevant for those following MCD.

McDonald's & Restaurant Brands International: A 'Flipping Burgers' Comparison

Seeking Alpha · 10 Aug 2026negative

A Seeking Alpha comparison notes that Restaurant Brands International continues to outperform McDonald's in earnings growth and market share gains, posting 8.5% US same-store sales growth versus MCD's 0.8%. Despite QSR's superior business momentum, McDonald's maintains a valuation premium of over 25% on free cash flow and 17% on forward price-to-earnings.

Why it matters — McDonald's watchers would note that the company is lagging a key competitor on growth metrics while retaining a higher valuation, a dynamic that could warrant scrutiny of how its business momentum compares.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MCD stock

What is the MCD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 34 Wall Street analysts covering McDonald's Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $306, with estimates ranging from $250 to $407. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MCD stock a buy right now?

Of the 34 analysts covering McDonald's Corp., 19 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks McDonald's Corp. 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MCD?

As at 10 Aug 2026, McDonald's Corp. ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (100 of 100).

Will MCD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 34 analysts implies +11.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks McDonald's Corp. 46 out of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MCD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering McDonald's Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $250 to $407 over the next 12 months.

How has MCD stock performed over the past year?

McDonald's Corp. returned -7.8% over the 12 months to 11 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does McDonald's Corp. do?

McDonald's Corporation is a global restaurant company that operates and franchises quick-service restaurants under the McDonald’s brand. Its business centers on serving a broad menu of burgers, chicken, breakfast items, beverages, and desserts through a large network of company-operated and franchised locations.

What is the latest news on MCD?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 12 Aug 2026): "McDonald's Stock Analysis: Buy or Sell?". The Motley Fool published a stock analysis piece on McDonald's discussing the buy-or-sell question. The report notes that McDonald's revenue growth rate is decelerating.

Company

About McDonald's Corp.

McDonald's Corporation is a global restaurant company that operates and franchises quick-service restaurants under the McDonald’s brand. Its business centers on serving a broad menu of burgers, chicken, breakfast items, beverages, and desserts through a large network of company-operated and franchised locations. The company’s current model emphasizes convenience, consistency, and broad customer reach, supported by digital ordering, delivery, and loyalty programs that connect its restaurants with everyday consumers across urban, suburban, and travel markets. McDonald’s also plays a significant role in the food service industry through its scale, standardized operations, and relationships with suppliers, franchisees, and local markets. Founded in 1940 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, McDonald’s Corporation remains one of the most recognizable names in global dining.

CEO Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.mcdonalds.com