MCDConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

MCD Stock Forecast: McDonald's Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026

$271

+0.67% on the day

The 34 Wall Street analysts covering McDonald's Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $306 — +12.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap

$191.7B

Ticker Nerd rank

64 / 100

Median analyst target

$306

Analysts covering

Total return, dividends reinvested

−0.7%

+2.7%

YTD

−10.3%

−11.4%

From 52W high

−19.6%

From 52W low

+3.1%

$263

$337

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

MCD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores McDonald's Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026

64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility

Issuance

Quality

Growth

Value

Revisions

Accruals

Momentum

Size

Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (39): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MCD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says34 analysts

19 Buy14 Hold1 Sell

Low $250Median $306High $407

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
6 Aug 2026	Guggenheim	Maintains	Neutral	$320 → $290
5 Aug 2026	BTIG	Reiterates	Buy	$350
5 Aug 2026	Citigroup	Maintains	Buy	$335 → $345
5 Aug 2026	Keybanc	Maintains	Overweight	$315 → $305
5 Aug 2026	RBC Capital	Maintains	Sector Perform	$305 → $295
31 July 2026	Mizuho	Maintains	Neutral	$300 → $290
27 July 2026	UBS	Maintains	Buy	$365 → $340
27 July 2026	UBS	Maintains	Buy	—
24 July 2026	BTIG	Maintains	Buy	$370 → $350
24 July 2026	BTIG	Maintains	Buy	—
23 July 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintains	Outperform	$350 → $320
23 July 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintains	Outperform	—
17 July 2026	Tigress Financial	Maintains	Buy	$385 → $390
17 July 2026	Tigress Financial	Maintains	Buy	—
16 July 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$331 → $322
16 July 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	—
16 July 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Overweight	$320 → $300
16 July 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Overweight	—
15 July 2026	Citigroup	Maintains	Buy	—
15 July 2026	Citigroup	Maintains	Buy	$375 → $335

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MCD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Estimates

MCD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

−0.4%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

McDonald's Corp. (MCD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 22.0×
Price / sales: 6.9×
Price / book: −187.2×
EV / EBITDA: 16.4×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 3.7%
Earnings growth (YoY): 4.8%
Gross margin: 58.0%
Operating margin: 46.5%
Net margin: 31.7%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: −478.1%
Return on assets: 13.3%
Dividend yield: 2.7%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MCD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
MCDMcDonald's Corp.	$191.7B	64
SBUXStarbucks Corp.	$121.8B	88
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.	$47.3B	51
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.	$42.5B	53
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.	$36.8B	63
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.	$25.4B	73
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.	$17.5B	88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own McDonald's Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MCD news & analysis

Trump's 90-Day Inflation Band-Aid: Why His Beef Tariff Pause Won't Help Consumers

24/7 Wall Street · 21 Aug 2026negative

President Trump announced a 90-day pause on beef tariffs as an inflation measure, but the article argues this "band-aid" will not meaningfully lower food costs for consumers. Food inflation remains persistent despite political claims of progress.

Why it matters — Persistent food inflation and tariff uncertainty could keep McDonald's input costs and menu prices elevated, affecting margins and consumer demand.

Which Restaurant Stock Has Dominated in 2026: McDonald's, Chipotle, or Starbucks?

24/7 Wall Street · 20 Aug 2026neutral

The article compares the 2026 performance of restaurant stocks including McDonald's, Chipotle, and Starbucks, noting that the year's scoreboard has favored companies pursuing structural change over stability.

Why it matters — MCD watchers would care because the piece positions McDonald's relative to peers on a key performance metric for the year.

Can MCD's Value Reset Turn U.S. Traffic Weakness Into Sales Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026positive

McDonald's is implementing a U.S. value reset aimed at strengthening customer traffic through sharper pricing, digital offers, and improved franchise execution, as the company seeks to address U.S. traffic weakness. The article questions whether this reset can convert that weakness into sales growth.

Why it matters — A McDonald's watcher would care because the company's value strategy in the U.S. is central to addressing recent traffic softness and driving its domestic sales performance.

McDonald's Stock Down 19% in 6 Months: Is This a Buying Opportunity?

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Aug 2026neutral

McDonald's stock has fallen 19% over the past six months, with U.S. traffic weakness and execution issues weighing on the company. The report notes potential upside from international growth, beverages, and a recovery plan.

Why it matters — A McDonald's watcher would care because the report highlights both the current U.S. headwinds and the company's potential avenues for recovery through international expansion and its turnaround plan.

Worried About a Market Crash? These 3 Stocks Beat the S&P 500 in 2008 and 2022

The Motley Fool · 19 Aug 2026positive

The Motley Fool highlighted McDonald's as one of three stocks with strong underlying businesses that outperformed the S&P 500 during the market crashes of 2008 and 2022, alongside Walmart and Gilead Sciences.

Why it matters — For McDonald's watchers, this signals that the company's business model has historically demonstrated resilience during major market downturns.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MCD stock

What is the MCD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 34 Wall Street analysts covering McDonald's Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $306, with estimates ranging from $250 to $407. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MCD stock a buy right now?

Of the 34 analysts covering McDonald's Corp., 19 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks McDonald's Corp. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MCD?

As at 22 Aug 2026, McDonald's Corp. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).

Will MCD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 34 analysts implies +12.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks McDonald's Corp. 64 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MCD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering McDonald's Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $250 to $407 over the next 12 months.

How has MCD stock performed over the past year?

McDonald's Corp. returned -11.4% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does McDonald's Corp. do?

What is the latest news on MCD?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 21 Aug 2026): "Trump's 90-Day Inflation Band-Aid: Why His Beef Tariff Pause Won't Help Consumers". President Trump announced a 90-day pause on beef tariffs as an inflation measure, but the article argues this "band-aid" will not meaningfully lower food costs for consumers. Food inflation remains persistent despite political claims of progress.

Company

About McDonald's Corp.

McDonald's Corporation is a global restaurant company that operates and franchises quick-service restaurants under the McDonald’s brand. Its business centers on serving a broad menu of burgers, chicken, breakfast items, beverages, and desserts through a large network of company-operated and franchised locations. The company’s current model emphasizes convenience, consistency, and broad customer reach, supported by digital ordering, delivery, and loyalty programs that connect its restaurants with everyday consumers across urban, suburban, and travel markets. McDonald’s also plays a significant role in the food service industry through its scale, standardized operations, and relationships with suppliers, franchisees, and local markets. Founded in 1940 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, McDonald’s Corporation remains one of the most recognizable names in global dining.

CEO Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.mcdonalds.com