MCDConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 34 Wall Street analysts covering McDonald's Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $320 — +20.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores McDonald's Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (100): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own McDonald's Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $300 → $290 |
| 27 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $365 → $340 |
| 24 July 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $370 → $350 |
| 23 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $350 → $320 |
| 23 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | $385 → $390 |
| 17 July 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $331 → $322 |
| 16 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $320 → $300 |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $375 → $335 |
| 29 June 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MCD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
McDonald's is set to report its second-quarter earnings before the market opens on Tuesday. The company's stock has fallen more than 11% this year, bringing its market capitalization down to roughly $191 billion.
Why it matters — MCD watchers will be watching the upcoming earnings report closely, given the stock's year-to-date decline and reduced market value.
McDonald's is scheduled to release its latest earnings report before the opening bell on Tuesday, and traders anticipate the stock could hit a new two-year low following the results.
Why it matters — A McDonald's watcher would care because the upcoming earnings report could drive the stock to a fresh two-year low, a notable downside signal for investors tracking MCD.
Schwab Network's Alex Coffey and Kevin Hincks discussed McDonald's ahead of its upcoming earnings report, examining the stock from both bull and bear perspectives.
Why it matters — The segment previews the bulls' and bears' key arguments before McDonald's next earnings release, giving investors a framework for the report.
The article previews Monday's stock market open, noting stock futures were pointing to a higher start for August trading as investors looked ahead to a week of earnings reports. It also highlights falling oil prices after the U.S. paused strikes on Iran, first-time earnings from SpaceX, Palantir's post-bell report, and merger-talk share moves for AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb.
Why it matters — The item does not mention McDonald's, so it carries no company-specific news for MCD investors, though the broader market and oil-price backdrop it describes could indirectly influence the stock's trading day.
An article features three dividend stocks recommended to buy before August ends and hold indefinitely. The accompanying commentary notes that August tends to unsettle investors, with the VIX at 17.09 versus its March 2026 peak of 31.05, citing quiet summer trading, thin liquidity, and sensitivity to headlines.
Why it matters — Since McDonald's is a well-known dividend payer, the piece is relevant to MCD watchers as it frames dividend-paying stocks as long-term buy-and-hold candidates heading into a potentially volatile August.
The 34 Wall Street analysts covering McDonald's Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $320, with estimates ranging from $250 to $407. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 34 analysts covering McDonald's Corp., 18 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks McDonald's Corp. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, McDonald's Corp. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 34 analysts implies +20.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks McDonald's Corp. 47 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering McDonald's Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $250 to $407 over the next 12 months.
McDonald's Corp. returned -10.3% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
McDonald's Corporation operates and franchises McDonald's restaurants worldwide, serving as a global leader in the quick-service restaurant industry. The company offers a core menu of hamburgers, cheeseburgers, chicken sandwiches, fries, breakfast items, shakes, desserts, soft drinks, coffee, and beverages, alongside limited-time promotions to keep offerings fresh.
The most recent item we track (CNBC, 4 Aug 2026): "McDonald's is about to report earnings. Here's what to expect". McDonald's is set to report its second-quarter earnings before the market opens on Tuesday. The company's stock has fallen more than 11% this year, bringing its market capitalization down to roughly $191 billion.
McDonald's Corporation operates and franchises McDonald's restaurants worldwide, serving as a global leader in the quick-service restaurant industry. The company offers a core menu of hamburgers, cheeseburgers, chicken sandwiches, fries, breakfast items, shakes, desserts, soft drinks, coffee, and beverages, alongside limited-time promotions to keep offerings fresh. It generates revenue primarily through franchise royalties and rent from about 61% of its systemwide sales, complemented by company-operated restaurants. McDonald's organizes its business into three key segments: U.S., International Operated Markets, and International Developmental Licensed Markets and Corporate, enabling tailored strategies across diverse geographies. Franchise structures include conventional franchises, developmental licenses, and affiliates, supporting extensive global reach. Founded in 1955 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, McDonald's Corporation plays a pivotal role in the consumer services sector, providing convenient, affordable dining options to millions daily and maintaining a strong presence in both mature and emerging markets.
CEO Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski · 150,000 employees · United States · https://www.mcdonalds.com