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HDHDConsumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

HD Stock Forecast: The Home Depot, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 28 Aug 2026
$330
+0.48% on the day

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $379 — +14.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 28 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$329.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
40 / 100
Median analyst target
$379
Analysts covering
36
Revenue$41.8B+4.8% y/y
Operating income$5.0B
Net income$3.3B
Free cash flow$5.2B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.6%
1M
−4.1%
YTD
−2.7%
1Y
−16.8%
From 52W high
−20.4%
From 52W low
+11.8%
$295
$415
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Home Depot, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 28 Aug 2026
40 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
87
Quality
67
Revisions
65
Value
56
Issuance
51
Momentum
41
Growth
39
Accruals
37
Size
1

Volatility (87): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (37): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HDHigh $425Median $379Low $310

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says36 analysts
21 Buy15 Hold0 Sell
Low $310Median $379High $425

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$400
19 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$377
19 Aug 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy$425
19 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesSector Weight—
19 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$385 → $390
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$343 → $342
19 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$369 → $373
19 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$430 → $420
17 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$320 → $340
12 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$340 → $343
11 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$360 → $400
11 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
27 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
27 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$377
20 July 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
20 July 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy$425
23 June 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
23 June 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
20 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 28 Aug 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. returned −16.8% against +19.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.0×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.9×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / book
19.8×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.8×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
4.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.0%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
8.4%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
104.3%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.1%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.8%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. has a market value of $329.4B and an enterprise value of $390.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $166.6B. The latest quarter grew 5.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $14.0B, a 8.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $14.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $14.3B, after $3.7B of capital spending.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. spent $9.2B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 997.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.0×; forward P/E: 20.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.82%, paying out 65% of earnings.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. employs 470,000 people — $354K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 30 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHome Improvement Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.$329.4B
40
LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.$116.7B
44
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$187.5B
64
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.*$160.0B
78
TJXThe TJX Cos., Inc.*$150.4B
64
SBUXStarbucks Corp.*$122.6B
87
FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.$5.7B
32

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few home improvement retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Home Depot, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HD news & analysis

Prediction: Home Depot's Turnaround Could Be Bigger Than Investors Expect

24/7 Wall Street · 27 Aug 2026positive

Home Depot has flashed its clearest turnaround signal in two years, according to the article, yet its stock remains about 20% below its 52-week high even as analysts issue buy ratings. The piece suggests the market may be underestimating what comes next.

Why it matters — A HD watcher would care because the article points to a potentially sizable turnaround that may not yet be fully reflected in the stock's valuation.

The Home Depot Expands Magic Apron to Deliver Personalized & Localized In-Store Guidance

PRNewsWire · 27 Aug 2026positive

The Home Depot has expanded its AI assistant, Magic Apron, to include localized store knowledge across all U.S. stores to help customers and associates navigate stores, find products, ask product-specific questions, and receive personalized project guidance. The assistant, already handling millions of questions per month, now supports questions via text, voice-to-text, image uploads, and multiple languages.

Why it matters — This expansion highlights The Home Depot's continued investment in AI-driven tools to improve the in-store customer and associate experience.

Home Depot vs. Lowe's: One Housing Recovery Play Stands Out

24/7 Wall Street · 26 Aug 2026neutral

Home Depot and Lowe's both reported fiscal Q2 results in mid-August, and their earnings reports tell two different stories about the same frozen housing market.

Why it matters — A Home Depot watcher would care because the comparison highlights how the two home-improvement retailers fared differently amid a stalled housing market, offering insight into Home Depot's relative performance.

An Unloved 6.9% Dividend For Home Reno Boom 2.0

Forbes · 26 Aug 2026positive

An article argues Home Depot's stock is undervalued because investors link it mainly to new home sales. High mortgage rates and an aging housing stock are instead fuelling renovation demand, with recent earnings showing growth in smaller projects and Pro contractor services.

Why it matters — A HD watcher would care because the article highlights renovation demand and a growing dividend as catalysts that could support the share price independent of new-home sales trends.

If You'd Invested $1,000 in Home Depot 15 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

The Motley Fool · 25 Aug 2026positive

The Motley Fool reports that a $1,000 investment in Home Depot stock made in August 2011 would be worth roughly $13,900 today. The article attributes the retailer's share price gains over the past 15 years to strong earnings growth supported by share repurchases.

Why it matters — The item highlights Home Depot's long-term shareholder value creation, giving HD watchers a historical view of how earnings growth and buybacks have driven returns.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HD stock

What is the HD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $379, with estimates ranging from $310 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HD stock a buy right now?

Of the 36 analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc., 21 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 28 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HD?

As at 28 Aug 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (87 of 100).

Will HD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 36 analysts implies +14.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 28 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Home Depot, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $310 to $425 over the next 12 months.

How has HD stock performed over the past year?

The Home Depot, Inc. returned -16.8% over the 12 months to 28 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Home Depot, Inc. do?

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retail company that supplies products and services for building, repairing, renovating, and maintaining homes and commercial properties.

What is the latest news on HD?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 27 Aug 2026): "Prediction: Home Depot's Turnaround Could Be Bigger Than Investors Expect". Home Depot has flashed its clearest turnaround signal in two years, according to the article, yet its stock remains about 20% below its 52-week high even as analysts issue buy ratings. The piece suggests the market may be underestimating what comes next.

Company

About The Home Depot, Inc.

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retail company that supplies products and services for building, repairing, renovating, and maintaining homes and commercial properties. The company serves do-it-yourself consumers, professional contractors, and trade specialists through a broad assortment that includes tools, lumber, hardware, appliances, plumbing, electrical, flooring, paint, garden supplies, and seasonal merchandise. It also provides installation services, tool and equipment rentals, and support for larger home projects, making it a central destination for both everyday repairs and major construction needs. The Home Depot, Inc. operates across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, combining physical stores with e-commerce to reach a wide customer base in residential and professional markets. Based in Atlanta, Georgia, it is one of the most important names in the home improvement and specialty retail sector.

CEO Mr. Edward P. Decker · 470,000 employees · United States · https://www.homedepot.com