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HDHDConsumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

HD Stock Forecast: The Home Depot, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$300
−0.84% on the day

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $379 — +26.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 39 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$299.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
39 / 100
Median analyst target
$379
Analysts covering
36
Revenue$47.9B+5.7% y/y
Operating income$6.8B
Net income$4.8B
Free cash flow$4.5B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.8%
1M
−10.5%
YTD
−10.9%
1Y
−26.1%
From 52W high
−26.1%
From 52W low
+2.3%
$293
$406
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Home Depot, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
39 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
87
Quality
67
Revisions
65
Value
56
Issuance
51
Growth
39
Momentum
38
Accruals
37
Size
1

Volatility (87): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (37): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HDHigh $425Median $379Low $310

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says36 analysts
21 Buy15 Hold0 Sell
Low $310Median $379High $425

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +26.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 Sept 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform$354 → $344
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$400
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy—
19 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$377
19 Aug 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy$425
19 Aug 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
19 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesSector Weight—
19 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesSector Weight—
19 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$385 → $390
19 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$343 → $342
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
19 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$369 → $373
19 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$430 → $420
17 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$320 → $340
17 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
12 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$340 → $343

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. returned −26.1% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.4%
Analysts raising
21
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.2×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / book
18.0×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.6×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
4.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.7%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
8.4%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
104.3%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.1%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. has a market value of $299.3B and an enterprise value of $360.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $169.2B. The latest quarter grew 5.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $14.2B, a 8.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $14.29.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $15.1B, after $3.7B of capital spending.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. spent $9.2B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 998.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.2×; forward P/E: 18.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.11%, paying out 65% of earnings.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. employs 470,000 people — $360K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHome Improvement Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.$299.3B
39
LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.$108.0B
42
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$175.7B
62
TJXThe TJX Cos., Inc.*$141.6B
63
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.*$130.7B
78
SBUXStarbucks Corp.*$109.0B
87
FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.$5.1B
31

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few home improvement retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Home Depot, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HD news & analysis

GameStop vs. Home Depot: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 18 Sept 2026positive

The Motley Fool published a comparison of GameStop and Home Depot as potential consumer stock investments for 2026, highlighting that Home Depot dominates the home improvement market through its scale and professional contractor services, while GameStop pivots toward high-margin collectibles with a large cash position.

Why it matters — The piece reinforces Home Depot's market leadership and competitive moat in the home improvement sector, which is relevant for investors tracking the company's positioning.

The Highest-Returning Stock of the Last 45 Years Is Home Depot

WSJ · 18 Sept 2026positive

The WSJ reports that, according to an episode of the 'Acquired' podcast that ran the numbers, Home Depot is the highest-returning stock of the last 45 years. The piece examines how the home improvement sector grew far larger than anyone anticipated.

Why it matters — This highlights HD's long-term outperformance and the sector's unexpected expansion, underscoring the company's enduring market strength for investors tracking the stock.

Home Depot vs. Spotify Technology: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 18 Sept 2026neutral

An article compares Home Depot and Spotify Technology as potential consumer stock investments for 2026. It highlights Home Depot's dominant position in the home improvement market, including its network of over 2,300 stores, alongside Spotify's continued global streaming growth.

Why it matters — The piece underscores Home Depot's leading market position and scale in the home improvement sector, offering context on how it fares versus a widely followed consumer stock.

Path to Pro Programs will Deliver 15 Million Introductions to High-Demand Construction Careers

PRNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026positive

The Home Depot announced its Path to Pro Skills Explorers program, a new hands-on training initiative for students ages 11-17 that provides free career exploration resources to educators, parents, and youth leaders, aiming to deliver 15 million introductions to high-demand construction careers.

Why it matters — Home Depot watchers would care because the program helps build awareness and pipeline of skilled trade workers, which addresses the growing labor demand relevant to the home-improvement industry.

Home Depot Sees Broad Strength as Pro Sales, Delivery and AI Drive Share Gains

MarketBeat · 15 Sept 2026positive

Home Depot reported that its second-quarter performance exceeded its original forecast, driven by broad strength in core home-improvement categories, delivery investments, and continued gains with professional customers despite pressure on consumer sentiment.

Why it matters — A watcher would care because Home Depot's better-than-expected results signal resilience in its core business and momentum with pro customers even amid challenging consumer conditions.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HD stock

What is the HD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $379, with estimates ranging from $310 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HD stock a buy right now?

Of the 36 analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc., 21 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 39 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HD?

As at 19 Sept 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. ranks 39 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (87 of 100).

Will HD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 36 analysts implies +26.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 39 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Home Depot, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $310 to $425 over the next 12 months.

How has HD stock performed over the past year?

The Home Depot, Inc. returned -26.1% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Home Depot, Inc. do?

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retail company that supplies products and services for building, repairing, renovating, and maintaining homes and commercial properties.

What is the latest news on HD?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 18 Sept 2026): "GameStop vs. Home Depot: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?". The Motley Fool published a comparison of GameStop and Home Depot as potential consumer stock investments for 2026, highlighting that Home Depot dominates the home improvement market through its scale and professional contractor services, while GameStop pivots toward high-margin collectibles with a large cash position.

Company

About The Home Depot, Inc.

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retail company that supplies products and services for building, repairing, renovating, and maintaining homes and commercial properties. The company serves do-it-yourself consumers, professional contractors, and trade specialists through a broad assortment that includes tools, lumber, hardware, appliances, plumbing, electrical, flooring, paint, garden supplies, and seasonal merchandise. It also provides installation services, tool and equipment rentals, and support for larger home projects, making it a central destination for both everyday repairs and major construction needs. The Home Depot, Inc. operates across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, combining physical stores with e-commerce to reach a wide customer base in residential and professional markets. Based in Atlanta, Georgia, it is one of the most important names in the home improvement and specialty retail sector.

CEO Mr. Edward P. Decker · 470,000 employees · United States · https://www.homedepot.com