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HDHDConsumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

HD Stock Forecast: The Home Depot, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Aug 2026
$343
−3.12% on the day

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $378 — +9.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 39 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$353.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
39 / 100
Median analyst target
$378
Analysts covering
36
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.7%
1M
+0.0%
YTD
+1.2%
1Y
−11.0%
From 52W high
−17.2%
From 52W low
+16.3%
$295
$415
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Home Depot, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Aug 2026
39 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
84
Quality
67
Revisions
62
Value
59
Issuance
50
Momentum
42
Growth
37
Accruals
36
Size
1

Volatility (84): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (36): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HDHigh $430Median $378Low $310

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says36 analysts
21 Buy15 Hold0 Sell
Low $310Median $378High $430

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$377
20 July 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy$425
23 June 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
23 June 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
20 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
20 May 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
20 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
20 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
20 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
20 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
20 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
20 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
20 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
19 May 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsNeutral—
19 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
19 May 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
18 May 2026OppenheimerMaintainsPerform—
18 May 2026StifelMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

HD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.2×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.1×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
25.5×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.7×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.8%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.2%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.0%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.9%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
8.4%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
128.4%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.5%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.6%

Higher than 59% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

HD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHome Improvement Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.$353.5B
39
LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.$121.1B
54
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$195.1B
63
TJXThe TJX Cos., Inc.*$169.8B
67
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.*$165.2B
77
FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.$6.4B
31
SBUXStarbucks Corp.*$123.4B
89

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few home improvement retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Home Depot, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HD news & analysis

Ahead of Home Depot (HD) Q2 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an earnings preview for The Home Depot's Q2 (quarter ending July 2026), looking beyond top- and bottom-line forecasts to highlight key metrics Wall Street is watching to gauge the company's potential performance.

Why it matters — The piece signals which underlying operational metrics investors should focus on as Home Depot heads into its fiscal second-quarter earnings report.

Retail ETFs: Following the Selective Consumer

ETF Trends · 13 Aug 2026neutral

An ETF Trends report notes that consumers remain resilient but are increasingly shifting their spending toward value, convenience, and frequent everyday purchases, and suggests retail ETFs can bridge staples and discretionary exposure.

Why it matters — For Home Depot watchers, this highlights a consumer trend toward value and everyday spending that could influence demand for home-improvement goods.

Home Depot CFO and VP Step Up As CEO Takes Medical Leave

WSJ · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Home Depot's CFO Richard McPhail and a senior executive vice president will help manage company affairs while CEO Frank Blake takes a medical leave of absence. The report also notes that a U.S. inflation reading gives the Federal Reserve more time to act.

Why it matters — A Home Depot watcher would care because the company's leadership duties are temporarily shifting to its finance chief and a senior VP during the CEO's medical leave.

Should You Buy Home Depot Stock Before Aug. 18?

The Motley Fool · 12 Aug 2026negative

Home Depot is scheduled to report its Q2 2026 results premarket on Aug. 18, with forecasts calling for modest revenue and earnings growth. The report notes that revenue growth is being driven by acquisitions rather than same-store sales, and that an earnings resurgence has so far remained elusive.

Why it matters — Home Depot watchers would care because the upcoming Q2 2026 report will show whether weaker core sales and earnings trends persist amid acquisition-driven growth.

Why Home Depot (HD) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Home Depot has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently has the right combination of factors to beat estimates again in its next quarterly report, positioning it as likely to top expectations.

Why it matters — A Home Depot watcher would care because the company's track record and current fundamentals suggest it may continue to exceed earnings expectations in the coming quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HD stock

What is the HD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $378, with estimates ranging from $310 to $430. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HD stock a buy right now?

Of the 36 analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc., 21 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 39 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HD?

As at 12 Aug 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. ranks 39 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (84 of 100).

Will HD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 36 analysts implies +9.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 39 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Home Depot, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $310 to $430 over the next 12 months.

How has HD stock performed over the past year?

The Home Depot, Inc. returned -11.0% over the 12 months to 12 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Home Depot, Inc. do?

The Home Depot, Inc. is a leading home improvement retailer that serves do-it-yourself customers, professional contractors, and commercial buyers.

What is the latest news on HD?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Ahead of Home Depot (HD) Q2 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics". Zacks Investment Research published an earnings preview for The Home Depot's Q2 (quarter ending July 2026), looking beyond top- and bottom-line forecasts to highlight key metrics Wall Street is watching to gauge the company's potential performance.

Company

About The Home Depot, Inc.

The Home Depot, Inc. is a leading home improvement retailer that serves do-it-yourself customers, professional contractors, and commercial buyers. The Home Depot offers a broad assortment of building materials, tools, appliances, paint, plumbing, electrical, lawn and garden, décor, and maintenance products through its stores and digital channels. It also provides installation services, tool and equipment rental, and specialty trade distribution, supporting projects ranging from household repairs to large-scale construction and renovation work. The company operates across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, with a business model centered on convenient access to everyday home improvement essentials and professional-grade supplies. Based in Atlanta, Georgia, The Home Depot plays a central role in the North American home improvement market by connecting retail, contractor, and supply-chain needs within one integrated platform.

CEO Mr. Edward P. Decker · 470,000 employees · United States · https://www.homedepot.com