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HDHDConsumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

HD Stock Forecast: The Home Depot, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Nov 2026
$334
−2.20% on the day

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $393 — +17.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 39 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$340.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
39/ 100
Median analyst target
$393
Analysts covering
36
Revenue$47.9B+5.7% y/y
Operating income$6.8B
Net income$4.8B
Free cash flow$4.5B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.8%
1M
+18.0%
YTD
−0.9%
1Y
−9.3%
From 52W high
−12.8%
From 52W low
+18.7%
$281
$383
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Home Depot, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
39/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
85
Revisions
70
Quality
64
Issuance
52
Value
47
Growth
40
Accruals
37
Momentum
36
Size
1

Volatility (85): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (36): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

HD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$300$350$400Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HDHigh $425Median $393Low $310

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says36 analysts
22 Buy14 Hold0 Sell
Low $310Median $393High $425

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 Oct 2026StifelMaintainsHold$346 → $322
9 Sept 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform$354 → $344
9 Sept 2026BernsteinMaintainsMarket Perform—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchReiteratesBuy$400
19 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$377
19 Aug 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy$425
19 Aug 2026GuggenheimReiteratesBuy—
19 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesSector Weight—
19 Aug 2026KeybancReiteratesSector Weight—
19 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
19 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$385 → $390
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
19 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$343 → $342
19 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$369 → $373
19 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$430 → $420
19 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
17 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsHold$320 → $340

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

HD appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

HD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. returned −9.3% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.9×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
20.5×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.3×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
4.7%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Gross margin
33.7%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
8.4%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
104.3%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.1%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. has a market value of $340.4B and an enterprise value of $401.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $169.2B. The latest quarter grew 5.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $14.2B, a 8.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $14.29.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $15.1B, after $3.7B of capital spending.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. spent $9.2B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 998.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.9×; forward P/E: 21.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.73%, paying out 65% of earnings.

  • The Home Depot, Inc. employs 470,000 people — $360K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHome Improvement Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HDThe Home Depot, Inc.$340.4B39
LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.$119.7B41
MCDMcDonald's Corp.*$186.1B62
TJXThe TJX Cos., Inc.*$153.2B56
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.*$121.1B63
SBUXStarbucks Corp.*$119.1B78
MARMarriott International, Inc.*$110.3B81

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few home improvement retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Home Depot, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HD news & analysis

1 Reason to Buy Home Depot Stock During This Historically Weak Housing Market

The Motley Fool · 4 Nov 2026positive

The Motley Fool says housing turnover is at a record low and Home Depot shares are down about 11% over the past year. It cites management’s view that customers can afford large projects but are waiting for greater certainty.

Why it matters — The company’s assessment of customers’ ability and willingness to take on big projects may inform watchers’ view of demand amid a weak housing market.

Home Depot Has Raised Its Dividend 17 Straight Years. Here's What $10,000 Invested Pays Annually.

The Motley Fool · 3 Nov 2026positive

The Motley Fool reports that Home Depot has raised its dividend for 17 consecutive years and says the company could continue increasing payouts even if the housing market remains weak. The excerpt also says Home Depot’s scale could help insulate it from a future market crash.

Why it matters — Dividend growth and the company’s stated resilience to a chilly housing market are relevant to investors tracking Home Depot.

Will Home Depot (HD) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says Home Depot has an impressive history of earnings surprises and currently has two key ingredients it views as supporting the possibility of a beat in its next quarterly report.

Why it matters — HD watchers may note the article’s favorable assessment of factors related to the company’s upcoming earnings report.

Home Depot Stock Could Be Poised for a Turnaround. Here's How High It Could Go

24/7 Wall Street · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Home Depot reported a quarter that beat expectations, while the housing market remained at historical lows and its shares stayed in the red for the year.

Why it matters — HD watchers may weigh the strong quarterly results against continued weakness in the housing market and the stock’s year-to-date decline.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HD stock

What is the HD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 36 Wall Street analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $393, with estimates ranging from $310 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HD stock a buy right now?

Of the 36 analysts covering The Home Depot, Inc., 22 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 39 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HD?

As at 3 Nov 2026, The Home Depot, Inc. ranks 39 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (85 of 100).

Will HD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 36 analysts implies +17.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Home Depot, Inc. 39 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Home Depot, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $310 to $425 over the next 12 months.

How has HD stock performed over the past year?

The Home Depot, Inc. returned -9.3% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Home Depot, Inc. do?

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer that serves do-it-yourself homeowners, professional contractors, and trade specialists across North America.

What is the latest news on HD?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 4 Nov 2026): "1 Reason to Buy Home Depot Stock During This Historically Weak Housing Market". The Motley Fool says housing turnover is at a record low and Home Depot shares are down about 11% over the past year. It cites management’s view that customers can afford large projects but are waiting for greater certainty.

Company

About The Home Depot, Inc.

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer that serves do-it-yourself homeowners, professional contractors, and trade specialists across North America. The company offers a broad assortment of building materials, hardware, appliances, tools, plumbing, electrical, flooring, paint, décor, lawn and garden products, and facilities maintenance supplies. It also provides installation services, equipment rental, and delivery support, combining in-store retail with digital ordering and project assistance. The Home Depot is a major supplier to residential repair, renovation, remodeling, and light construction activity, with operations in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Its business model centers on serving both everyday consumers and professional customers through a wide merchandise selection and service-oriented retail platform.

CEO Mr. Edward P. Decker · 470,000 employees · United States · https://www.homedepot.com