AMZNConsumer Cyclical · Internet RetailThe 60 Wall Street analysts covering Amazon.com, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $330 — +27.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 51 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Amazon.com, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (22): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
As of 9 October 2026, our factor model ranks Amazon 49.9 of 100, the middle of the pack. Estimate Revisions is its strongest family at 94, with Quality (82) and Growth (81) close behind. Value (30), Investment/Accruals (22) and the size factor drag the reading, and size sits near zero because Amazon is among the largest companies we follow.
The Street is more bullish than the model. Sixteen analysts rate it strong buy and 42 rate it buy, with two holds, and the median price target of $330 stands against a last close of $262.43. Consensus earnings for the current year have been revised up about 48% in 90 days, to $12.88, which feeds the top Estimate Revisions reading.
The weak Value and Investment readings have one shared cause: heavy capital spending. In the quarter ended 31 March 2026 Amazon spent $43.2 billion on capital expenditures and reported free cash flow of negative $18.2 billion, even as operating income reached $23.9 billion. Whether that spending converts into cash and durable profit is the variable the rest of the rank turns on.
As of 10 Oct 2026The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMZN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | $315 → $385 |
| 5 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $350 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | $335 → $360 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $328 → $338 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Rosenblatt | Assumes | Buy | $335 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $330 → $365 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $370 → $400 |
| 31 July 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | $315 → $320 |
| 31 July 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $330 → $320 |
| 31 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $325 → $350 |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | $315 |
| 31 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $250 |
| 31 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMZN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. returned +19.9% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Amazon.com, Inc. has a market value of $2.8T and an enterprise value of $3.0T.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $742.8B. The latest quarter grew 19.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $90.8B, a 12.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.36.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: −$2.5B, after $147.3B of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: 21.1×; forward P/E: 25.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Amazon.com, Inc. employs 1,595,000 people — $466K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.8T | 51 |
| MELIMercadoLibre, Inc. | $95.9B | 31 |
| DASHDoorDash, Inc. | $84.4B | 47 |
| TSLATesla, Inc.* | $1.5T | 35 |
| EBAYeBay, Inc. | $51.4B | 89 |
| CPNGCoupang, Inc. | $27.9B | 10 |
| HDThe Home Depot, Inc.* | $289.3B | 37 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few internet retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Amazon.com, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Generac’s deal with Amazon includes a $2.4 billion commitment over two years, with potential orders reaching $8 billion through 2033. The excerpt links the opportunity to rising AI data-center power demand and utility capacity constraints.
Why it matters — The deal ties Amazon to a supplier amid growing data-center power demand.
The Motley Fool compares Amazon.com and Alibaba, noting Amazon’s leadership in global e-commerce and high-margin cloud infrastructure through AWS, while Alibaba has a broad presence in China’s digital economy and commerce and AI ecosystem.
Why it matters — The comparison highlights Amazon’s e-commerce and AWS businesses alongside Alibaba’s distinct strengths in China’s digital economy.
Seeking Alpha argues that Amazon is positioned to benefit from AI by integrating advanced intelligence across its physical and cloud infrastructure. It cites Amazon’s scale and partnerships with Anthropic and OpenAI as supporting AI development and monetization through AWS and internal operations.
Why it matters — The article highlights how Amazon’s infrastructure, scale, and AI partnerships could support its ability to develop and monetize AI.
The ETF Trends headline says tokenization is gaining ground and ETFs have room to grow. The excerpt notes that, despite years of attention, most asset management firms are still watching tokenization from the sidelines.
Why it matters — The item provides industry context for AMZN watchers, but the excerpt does not describe a direct connection to Amazon.
Bed Scrunchie founder Jack Nekhala says Amazon deactivated his seller account, sharply hurting sales and leaving the founders in debt. He says he still shops on Amazon several times a week.
Why it matters — The account deactivation highlights how Amazon’s seller platform can affect businesses that rely on it, even as the founder remains a frequent customer.
The 60 Wall Street analysts covering Amazon.com, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $330, with estimates ranging from $230 to $405. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 60 analysts covering Amazon.com, Inc., 58 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Amazon.com, Inc. 51 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Oct 2026, Amazon.com, Inc. ranks 51 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 60 analysts implies +27.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Amazon.com, Inc. 51 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Amazon.com, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMZN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $230 to $405 over the next 12 months.
Amazon.com, Inc. returned +19.9% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Amazon sells goods through online and physical stores, runs a third-party marketplace and an advertising business, and operates Amazon Web Services, a cloud platform for computing, storage and artificial intelligence. It serves shoppers, sellers, developers and advertisers globally.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 13 Oct 2026): "Generac Entered a Massive Deal With Amazon. Is It Time to Buy the Stock?". Generac’s deal with Amazon includes a $2.4 billion commitment over two years, with potential orders reaching $8 billion through 2033. The excerpt links the opportunity to rising AI data-center power demand and utility capacity constraints.
Amazon sells goods through online and physical stores, runs a third-party marketplace and an advertising business, and operates Amazon Web Services, a cloud platform for computing, storage and artificial intelligence. It serves shoppers, sellers, developers and advertisers globally. As of 9 October 2026 its trailing twelve-month revenue was about $776 billion and it employed roughly 1.6 million people.
CEO Mr. Andrew R. Jassy · 1,595,000 employees · United States · https://www.amazon.com
