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ELFELFConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

ELF Stock Forecast: e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$107
+0.05% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $100 — -6.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$6.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
38 / 100
Median analyst target
$100
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$479.4M+35.5% y/y
Operating income$118.5M
Net income$66.6M
Free cash flow$110.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.2%
1M
+30.0%
YTD
+41.3%
1Y
−17.5%
From 52W high
−26.8%
From 52W low
+116.7%
$50
$147
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ELF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
38 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
89
Quality
64
Growth
54
Accruals
51
Momentum
39
Value
37
Size
20
Volatility
18
Issuance
15

Revisions (89): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (15): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ELF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ELF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ELFHigh $123Median $100Low $65

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
12 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $65Median $100High $123

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$110 → $123
19 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$97 → $110
19 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$111 → $106
19 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$85 → $110
10 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$70 → $100
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$113 → $121
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$68 → $90
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
6 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
6 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$94 → $111
6 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$50 → $65
6 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$80 → $89
5 Aug 2026BernsteinUpgradeOutperform$60 → $113

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ELF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ELF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. returned −17.5% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ELF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ELFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ELF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.7%
Analysts raising
16
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
111.3×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / sales
24.0×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Price / book
24.5×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
94.5×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
99.9%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
83.2%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Operating margin
14.3%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.2%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−0.3%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. has a market value of $6.4B and an enterprise value of $6.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.8B. The latest quarter grew 35.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $59.6M, a 3.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.98.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $280.2M.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. spent $100.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 58.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 111.3×; forward P/E: 28.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. employs 849 people — $2.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ELF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHousehold & Personal Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.$6.4B
38
IPARInterparfums, Inc.$3.7B
84
CLXThe Clorox Co.$11.5B
30
COTYCoty, Inc.$2.5B
52
NWLNewell Brands, Inc.$2.5B
70
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.$2.1B
99
CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.$24.2B
70

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ELF news & analysis

4 Cosmetics Stocks Showing Strength Amid Industry Headwinds

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) among four cosmetics stocks showing strength despite industry headwinds. The company, along with EL, COTY and HELE, is navigating cost pressures and selective demand through innovation, digital growth and stronger brand strategies.

Why it matters — The piece positions ELF as one of the cosmetics companies demonstrating resilience amid cost pressures and softer demand, underscoring the strength of its innovation and digital growth strategies.

e.l.f. Beauty Brings Change the Board Game to the University of California, Berkeley, Inspiring the Next Generation of Leaders

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026positive

e.l.f. Beauty announced the expansion of its Change the Board Game initiative with a new 12-week course at the University of California, Berkeley. The program aims to democratize access to leadership positions for women and people of color.

Why it matters — This reflects e.l.f. Beauty's continued commitment to its stated mission of inclusivity and accessibility, extending its social initiative to a new academic setting.

Here's Why e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) as a strong momentum stock, using its Zacks Style Scores feature from the Zacks Premium research service to identify the company as a standout pick.

Why it matters — ELF watchers would care because the piece signals that the stock is being recognized for strong momentum characteristics in a widely used research framework.

e.l.f. Beauty Stock: Buy or Sell?

The Motley Fool · 1 Sept 2026neutral

The Motley Fool published an assessment of e.l.f. Beauty stock discussing whether it is a buy or sell. The article notes that while sales are booming, marketing expenses are also rising.

Why it matters — ELF watchers would care because the article weighs the company's strong sales growth against rising marketing costs, which could affect profitability and how the stock is valued.

Ulta Beauty Climbs 4%, e.l.f. Beauty Rises 5% as Post-Earnings Selloff Reverses

24/7 Wall Street · 31 Aug 2026positive

Beauty and cosmetics stocks reversed Friday's post-earnings decline midday Monday, with Ulta Beauty climbing 4% and e.l.f. Beauty rising 5%, leading the retail sector higher against a softer session for large-cap benchmarks.

Why it matters — e.l.f. Beauty shares rebounding strongly indicates the post-earnings selloff is easing, a meaningful signal for investors watching the stock's near-term momentum.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ELF stock

What is the ELF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $65 to $123. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ELF stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ELF?

As at 2 Sept 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (89 of 100).

Will ELF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies -6.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. 38 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ELF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ELF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $123 over the next 12 months.

How has ELF stock performed over the past year?

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. returned -17.5% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. do?

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

What is the latest news on ELF?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Sept 2026): "4 Cosmetics Stocks Showing Strength Amid Industry Headwinds". Zacks Investment Research highlights e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) among four cosmetics stocks showing strength despite industry headwinds. The company, along with EL, COTY and HELE, is navigating cost pressures and selective demand through innovation, digital growth and stronger brand strategies.

Company

About e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. is a multi-brand beauty company that develops and markets cosmetics and skincare products for everyday consumers. Its portfolio includes makeup and skin care offerings across the eye, lip, face, and skin categories, alongside related beauty accessories and tools. The company emphasizes accessible, inclusive products and serves customers through direct-to-consumer channels, e-commerce, and a broad network of national and international retailers. e.l.f. Beauty also operates through several brand names, including e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. SKIN, Well People, Naturium, and Keys Soulcare. Headquartered in Oakland, California, e.l.f. Beauty plays a visible role in the personal care market by combining trend-driven product development with a wide retail footprint and a focus on clean, vegan, and cruelty-free formulations.

CEO Mr. Tarang P. Amin · 849 employees · United States · https://www.elfbeauty.com