ELFELFConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

ELF Stock Forecast: e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$105
+0.59% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $106 — +0.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 39 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$6.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
39 / 100
Median analyst target
$106
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$479.4M+35.5% y/y
Operating income$118.5M
Net income$66.6M
Free cash flow$110.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.2%
1M
−2.5%
YTD
+37.7%
1Y
−23.0%
From 52W high
−27.8%
From 52W low
+111.2%
$50
$145
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ELF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
39 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
88
Quality
65
Growth
54
Accruals
52
Momentum
44
Value
40
Size
20
Issuance
15
Volatility
13

Revisions (88): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ELF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ELF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140$160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ELFHigh $127Median $106Low $65

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
12 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $65Median $106High $127

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Sept 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$121 → $127
16 Sept 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy$100 → $115
15 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$100 → $118
14 Sept 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$100 → $118
27 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
27 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$110 → $123
19 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$97 → $110
19 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$111 → $106
19 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$85 → $110
10 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$70 → $100
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$113 → $121
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$68 → $90
6 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$94 → $111
6 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ELF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ELF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. returned −23.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ELF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ELFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ELF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+9.2%
Analysts raising
18
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
103.1×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.5×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / book
5.2×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
32.1×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
99.9%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
83.2%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Operating margin
14.3%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
3.4%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.1%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. has a market value of $6.1B and an enterprise value of $6.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.8B. The latest quarter grew 35.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $59.6M, a 3.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.98.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $280.2M.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. spent $100.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 58.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 103.1×; forward P/E: 26.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. employs 849 people — $2.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ELF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHousehold & Personal Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.$6.1B
39
CLXThe Clorox Co.$9.8B
29
IPARInterparfums, Inc.$3.7B
83
COTYCoty, Inc.$2.3B
55
NWLNewell Brands, Inc.$2.3B
68
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.$1.8B
99
CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.$22.4B
70

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ELF news & analysis

How Helen of Troy Is Building a More Consumer-Led Brand Strategy

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026neutral

The article describes how Helen of Troy is refining its strategy to become more consumer-led, focusing on faster decision-making, targeted innovation, and better alignment across its brands, products, and markets. This reflects an internal organisational shift toward closer consumer responsiveness.

Why it matters — A competitor's move toward a consumer-led strategy may be relevant for watchers of e.l.f. Beauty, which operates in the same consumer products space.

rhode Launches at Sephora in Europe, Marking Its First Retail Presence Across 19 New Markets

Business Wire · 30 Sept 2026positive

rhode, the beauty brand founded by Hailey Rhode Bieber and part of e.l.f. Beauty, launched at Sephora online and in over 500 stores across Europe, marking its first physical retail presence across 19 new markets. This follows the 2025 Sephora rollout in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K.

Why it matters — The expansion gives the e.l.f. Beauty-owned rhode brand broader global physical retail access, advancing its retail presence beyond the earlier Sephora launches.

e.l.f. Cosmetics Conjures Up “The e.l.f.ing Magical Sisters” a Spooky Season Campaign Highlighting Soft Glam Cream Blush & Bronzer Sticks

Business Wire · 30 Sept 2026positive

e.l.f. Cosmetics, a brand of e.l.f. Beauty, has launched a Halloween-season entertainment-led brand awareness campaign called "The e.l.f.ing Magical Sisters," which spotlights its Soft Glam Cream Blush & Bronzer Sticks. The cinematic, comedy-themed campaign features three modern-day witches discovering that glam doesn't require magic.

Why it matters — The campaign marks another entertainment-led marketing push by e.l.f. Beauty, which could draw attention to a specific product line and reinforce brand awareness during the seasonal retail period.

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Sept 2026neutral

e.l.f. Beauty has attracted significant attention from Zacks.com users recently. The article highlights that investors should be aware of the facts that could impact the stock's prospects before betting on it.

Why it matters — The item signals that e.l.f. Beauty is a trending stock among investors, making it relevant for those tracking the company's near-term prospects.

e.l.f. Cosmetics Drops Second Original Album, “Mirror Mix,” to Champion Next Generation of Breakthrough Artists

Business Wire · 25 Sept 2026positive

e.l.f. Cosmetics, a brand from e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF), announced the launch of "Mirror Mix," its second original music compilation album featuring seven rising artists across pop, R&B, Latin and rock. The release continues the brand's commitment through its e.l.f. Made entertainment arm to empower the next generation of artists across music, entertainment, sports and gaming.

Why it matters — This shows e.l.f. expanding its brand engagement beyond cosmetics through its entertainment initiative, which could strengthen consumer connection and reinforce its marketing-driven growth strategy.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ELF stock

What is the ELF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $106, with estimates ranging from $65 to $127. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ELF stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. 39 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ELF?

As at 2 Oct 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. ranks 39 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (88 of 100).

Will ELF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +0.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. 39 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ELF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ELF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $127 over the next 12 months.

How has ELF stock performed over the past year?

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. returned -23.0% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. do?

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

What is the latest news on ELF?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Oct 2026): "How Helen of Troy Is Building a More Consumer-Led Brand Strategy". The article describes how Helen of Troy is refining its strategy to become more consumer-led, focusing on faster decision-making, targeted innovation, and better alignment across its brands, products, and markets. This reflects an internal organisational shift toward closer consumer responsiveness.

Company

About e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. is a multi-brand beauty company that develops and markets cosmetics and skincare products for everyday consumers. Its portfolio includes makeup and skin care offerings across the eye, lip, face, and skin categories, alongside related beauty accessories and tools. The company emphasizes accessible, inclusive products and serves customers through direct-to-consumer channels, e-commerce, and a broad network of national and international retailers. e.l.f. Beauty also operates through several brand names, including e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. SKIN, Well People, Naturium, and Keys Soulcare. Headquartered in Oakland, California, e.l.f. Beauty plays a visible role in the personal care market by combining trend-driven product development with a wide retail footprint and a focus on clean, vegan, and cruelty-free formulations.

CEO Mr. Tarang P. Amin · 849 employees · United States · https://www.elfbeauty.com