ELFELFConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

ELF Stock Forecast: e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$97
+1.20% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $100 — +3.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$5.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
38 / 100
Median analyst target
$100
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$479.4M+35.5% y/y
Operating income$118.5M
Net income$66.6M
Free cash flow$110.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−9.8%
1M
+2.0%
YTD
+27.4%
1Y
−29.8%
From 52W high
−33.9%
From 52W low
+95.5%
$50
$147
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ELF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 11 Sept 2026
38 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
88
Quality
64
Growth
54
Accruals
51
Value
41
Momentum
39
Size
21
Issuance
15
Volatility
12

Revisions (88): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (12): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ELF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ELF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ELFHigh $123Median $100Low $65

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
12 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $65Median $100High $123

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$110$123
19 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$97$110
19 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
19 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$111$106
19 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
10 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$85$110
10 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
6 Aug 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$70$100
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform
6 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$113$121
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$68$90
6 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line
6 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
6 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$94$111
6 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$50$65
6 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
6 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$80$89
5 Aug 2026BernsteinUpgradeOutperform$60$113

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ELF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ELF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. returned −29.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ELF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ELFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ELF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.8%
Analysts raising
18
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
97.9×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
21.3×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / book
21.8×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
85.0×

Cheaper than 3% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
99.9%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
83.2%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Operating margin
14.3%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.2%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−0.3%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. has a market value of $5.7B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.8B. The latest quarter grew 35.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $59.6M, a 3.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.98.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $280.2M.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. spent $100.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 58.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 97.9×; forward P/E: 25.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. employs 849 people $2.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ELF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHousehold & Personal Products
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.$5.7B
38
IPARInterparfums, Inc.$3.6B
81
CLXThe Clorox Co.$10.7B
29
NWLNewell Brands, Inc.$2.5B
70
COTYCoty, Inc.$2.4B
54
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.$2.0B
99
CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc.$22.3B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ELF news & analysis

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026negative

e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) closed the most recent trading session at $95.76, a decline of 4.32% from the prior trading day, which was a larger fall than the broader market experienced.

Why it matters — The share price fell more sharply than the overall market, which may be relevant to those tracking short-term performance of the stock.

An e.l.f. Beauty Insider Sells 5,512 Shares for $606,320

The Motley Fool · 10 Sept 2026neutral

An e.l.f. Beauty insider sold 5,512 shares at $110 per share, for a total transaction value of $606,320. The sale represented 4% of the equity stake the insider held prior to the filing.

Why it matters — ELF watchers would track insider activity, as a notable sale of a portion of an insider's stake may signal their perspective on the stock's valuation.

Chief Future Officer: Mandy Fields, e.l.f. Beauty

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · 10 Sept 2026neutral

A Bloomberg Markets and Finance episode profiles e.l.f. Beauty, featuring CFO Mandy Fields and examining how chief financial officers now play a critical role in shaping corporate strategy and positioning organizations for future challenges.

Why it matters — The profile highlights e.l.f. Beauty's leadership and strategic direction, giving investors insight into how the company is positioning itself for future growth.

Innovation Propels e.l.f. Beauty's Success

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · 10 Sept 2026positive

Bloomberg reports that quickly developing and launching new products has been a key driver of e.l.f. Beauty's rapid growth. Innovation is highlighted as an important ingredient in the company's success.

Why it matters — ELF watchers would note that the company's product-innovation pipeline is a core factor behind its growth momentum.

e.l.f. Beauty Sees Skincare as Growth Engine

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · 10 Sept 2026positive

e.l.f. Beauty is expanding its skincare portfolio, which it views as a growth engine. Since 2022, the company has launched an in-house skincare line and acquired two skincare brands, most recently Hailey Bieber's Rhode for $1 billion in 2025.

Why it matters — A watcher would care because skincare is being positioned as a key growth driver for e.l.f., marking a strategic expansion beyond its color cosmetics roots with significant acquisitions.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ELF stock

What is the ELF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $100, with estimates ranging from $65 to $123. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ELF stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ELF?

As at 11 Sept 2026, e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (88 of 100).

Will ELF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +3.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. 38 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ELF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ELF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $123 over the next 12 months.

How has ELF stock performed over the past year?

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. returned -29.8% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. do?

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

What is the latest news on ELF?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 10 Sept 2026): "e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note". e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) closed the most recent trading session at $95.76, a decline of 4.32% from the prior trading day, which was a larger fall than the broader market experienced.

Company

About e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. is a multi-brand beauty company that develops and markets cosmetics and skincare products for everyday consumers. Its portfolio includes makeup and skin care offerings across the eye, lip, face, and skin categories, alongside related beauty accessories and tools. The company emphasizes accessible, inclusive products and serves customers through direct-to-consumer channels, e-commerce, and a broad network of national and international retailers. e.l.f. Beauty also operates through several brand names, including e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. SKIN, Well People, Naturium, and Keys Soulcare. Headquartered in Oakland, California, e.l.f. Beauty plays a visible role in the personal care market by combining trend-driven product development with a wide retail footprint and a focus on clean, vegan, and cruelty-free formulations.

CEO Mr. Tarang P. Amin · 849 employees · United States · https://www.elfbeauty.com