MCHBMCHBFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

MCHB Stock Forecast: Mechanics Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$15
+1.90% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Mechanics Bancorp hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +9.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 48 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$3.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
48/ 100
Median analyst target
$17
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$201.0M+40.1% y/y
Net income$57.7M
Free cash flow$49.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.6%
1M
+0.9%
YTD
+12.2%
1Y
+26.9%
From 52W high
−11.1%
From 52W low
+26.9%
$12
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MCHB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mechanics Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
48/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
100
Accruals
78
Momentum
68
Quality
64
Issuance
39
Revisions
30
Value
28
Size
28
Volatility
12

Growth (100): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (12): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MCHB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCHB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$12$13$14$15$16$17Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MCHBHigh $17Median $17Low $16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
2 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $16Median $17High $17

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
5 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
29 May 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform—
4 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
10 Apr 2026Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight—
20 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
7 May 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
1 Apr 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MCHB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MCHB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Mechanics Bancorp returned +26.9% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MCHB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MCHBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MCHB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.8%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.1×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.2×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
45.6%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−16.6%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
40.4%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Net margin
33.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.7%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.4%

Higher than 88% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Mechanics Bancorp has a market value of $3.3B and an enterprise value of $3.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $771.0M. The latest quarter grew 45.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $281.3M, a 36.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.23.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $183.7M.

  • Mechanics Bancorp spent $303.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 221.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.1×; forward P/E: 13.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.39%, paying out 101% of earnings.

  • Mechanics Bancorp employs 1,768 people — $436K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MCHB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MCHBMechanics Bancorp$3.3B48
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp (Ohio)$3.5B48
CBUCommunity Financial System, Inc.$3.5B52
TOWNTowneBank$3.4B78
SFNCSimmons First National Corp.$3.4B57
SBCFSeacoast Banking Corp. of Florida$3.3B20
PRKPark National Corp.$3.3B39

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mechanics Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MCHB news & analysis

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 Oct 2026neutral

The provided text identifies a Seeking Alpha transcript of Mechanics Bancorp’s Q3 2026 earnings call but includes no details about the call.

Why it matters — MCHB watchers can note the transcript’s availability, but the excerpt does not provide information about the company’s results or outlook.

Compared to Estimates, Mechanics Bank (MCHB) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says Mechanics Bank’s Q3 headline results for the quarter ended September 2026 can be assessed alongside key metrics, Wall Street estimates, and year-ago actuals. The excerpt does not provide specific results or comparisons.

Why it matters — Comparing the bank’s key metrics with estimates and prior-year actuals can give MCHB watchers additional context on quarterly performance.

Mechanics Bank (MCHB) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026positive

Mechanics Bank reported quarterly earnings of $0.35 per share, above the Zacks consensus estimate of $0.27. Earnings were $0.26 per share a year ago.

Why it matters — MCHB watchers may note the quarterly earnings beat and the year-over-year increase in earnings per share.

Mechanics Bancorp Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Mechanics Bancorp reported third-quarter 2026 results for the quarter ended September 30, including net income of $46.0 million, total assets of $20.9 billion, a 14.73% CET1 ratio, and book value per share of $11.59.

Why it matters — The reported results give MCHB watchers a snapshot of the company’s quarterly earnings, asset base, capital ratio, and per-share book values.

Mechanics Bank (MCHB) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says Mechanics Bank lacks the two key ingredients it considers necessary for a likely earnings beat in the upcoming report and outlines key expectations ahead of the release.

Why it matters — MCHB watchers may note the report presents a cautious view of the prospects for an earnings beat ahead of the upcoming release.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MCHB stock

What is the MCHB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Mechanics Bancorp have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $16 to $17. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MCHB stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Mechanics Bancorp, 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mechanics Bancorp 48 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MCHB?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Mechanics Bancorp ranks 48 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (100 of 100).

Will MCHB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +9.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mechanics Bancorp 48 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MCHB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Mechanics Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCHB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $16 to $17 over the next 12 months.

How has MCHB stock performed over the past year?

Mechanics Bancorp returned +26.9% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Mechanics Bancorp do?

Mechanics Bank is a regional financial institution providing a comprehensive range of banking services. Established in 1905 and headquartered in Walnut Creek, California, the bank primarily serves individual consumers, small businesses, and communities across various counties in Northern California.

What is the latest news on MCHB?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 29 Oct 2026): "Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". The provided text identifies a Seeking Alpha transcript of Mechanics Bancorp’s Q3 2026 earnings call but includes no details about the call.

Company

About Mechanics Bancorp.

Mechanics Bank is a regional financial institution providing a comprehensive range of banking services. Established in 1905 and headquartered in Walnut Creek, California, the bank primarily serves individual consumers, small businesses, and communities across various counties in Northern California. Mechanics Bank offers an array of financial products, including personal and business checking and savings accounts, mortgage and business loans, and investment and wealth management services. It positions itself as a community bank with a focus on personalized customer service and local decision-making. The bank plays a crucial role in supporting economic activities within the regions it operates, contributing to the financial well-being and growth of local communities. Through its network of branches and digital banking platforms, Mechanics Bank aims to provide accessible, convenient, and secure financial solutions to its clients.

CEO Mr. C. J. Johnson · 1,768 employees · United States · https://www.mechanicsbank.com