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MFIN Stock Forecast: Medallion Financial Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$12
+0.84% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Medallion Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — -12.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$275.1M
Ticker Nerd rank
67 / 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$57.4M−3.9% y/y
Net income$9.8M
Free cash flow$17.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.6%
1M
+5.7%
YTD
+21.3%
1Y
+17.5%
From 52W high
−2.0%
From 52W low
+54.0%
$8
$12
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MFIN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Medallion Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
67 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
91
Momentum
88
Volatility
81
Revisions
63
Size
63
Quality
54
Issuance
41
Growth
34
Accruals
19

Value (91): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (19): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MFIN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MFIN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$8$9$10$11$12Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MFINHigh $12Median $11Low $11

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
1 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $11Median $11High $12

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −12.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 July 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesMarket Perform—
12 June 2026Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$11
31 July 2025Ladenburg ThalmannUpgradeBuy—
2 Aug 2023B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
3 Apr 2023Ladenburg ThalmannInitiatesNeutral—
5 Oct 2022Northland Capital MarketsDowngradeMarket Perform—
9 Oct 2020Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
30 Apr 2020B. Riley FBRMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2020B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
6 Apr 2020Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
22 Feb 2019BTIGInitiatesBuy—
22 Feb 2019BTIG ResearchInitiatesBuy—
7 Sept 2018B. Riley FBRInitiatesBuy—
7 Sept 2018B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
10 Aug 2016Piper SandlerDowngradeHold—
10 Aug 2016Sandler O'NeillDowngradeHold—
12 July 2016Keefe Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
12 July 2016Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
11 July 2016Keefe Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
11 July 2016Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$9.75 → $8.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MFIN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MFIN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Medallion Financial Corp. returned +17.5% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MFIN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MFINS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MFIN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Medallion Financial Corp. (MFIN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.0×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

Price / book
0.7×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.8×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.5%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−32.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
46.8%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Net margin
9.2%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.7%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.7%

Higher than 80% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Medallion Financial Corp. (MFIN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Medallion Financial Corp. has a market value of $275.1M and an enterprise value of $2.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $233.8M. The latest quarter grew 2.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $45.2M, a 19.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.33.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $174.9M.

  • Medallion Financial Corp. spent $7.7M on share buybacks and $11.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 23.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.0×; forward P/E: 7.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.68%, paying out 38% of earnings.

  • Medallion Financial Corp. employs 179 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 18 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MFIN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCredit Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MFINMedallion Financial Corp.$275.1M
67
PMTSCPI Card Group, Inc.$274.9M
99
RMRegional Management Corp.$289.0M
76
TROOTROOPS, Inc.$246.8M
23
FOAFinance of America Cos., Inc.$355.8M
23
OPRTOportun Financial Corp.$373.2M
83
CPSSConsumer Portfolio Services, Inc.$206.1M
58

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Medallion Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MFIN news & analysis

Medallion Financial: Slowing Growth And Declining Returns On Equity Change Its Outlook

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha rated Medallion Financial a Buy, with a dividend discount model-derived value per share of $10.92 (9.89% upside), even as it flagged declining profitability, ROE below cost of equity, and a projected 38% FY2026 EPS decline. The article noted MFIN's strong capital ratios and growing dividend, and highlighted surging fintech partnership lending that drives fee income and offsets taxi medallion stigma and activist pressure.

Why it matters — A MFIN watcher would care because the piece reframes the outlook around slowing growth and declining returns on equity even while citing strong capital, dividend growth, and fintech-lending momentum.

Medallion Financial Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 30 July 2026positive

Medallion Financial reported record quarterly originations in its home improvement and recreation lending businesses in Q2 2026, driving sequential loan growth of 7% and pushing total assets above $3 billion.

Why it matters — This milestone of surpassing $3 billion in assets and record originations signals strong operational momentum across two of MFIN's core lending segments.

Medallion Financial Corp. (MFIN) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Medallion Financial Corp. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, the transcript of which was published by Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides insight into Medallion Financial's quarterly financial performance and management commentary for the period.

Medallion Financial (MFIN) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

Medallion Financial reported second-quarter earnings of $0.31 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27 per share, though down from $0.46 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat suggests the company performed better than analyst expectations for the quarter, a key metric for investors tracking Medallion Financial's financial health.

Medallion Financial Corp. Reports 2026 Second Quarter Results

GlobeNewsWire · 29 July 2026negative

Medallion Financial Corp. reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $7.4 million ($0.31 per share), down from $11.1 million ($0.46 per share) in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The year-over-year decline in net income signals weaker earnings performance for the specialty finance company in the latest quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MFIN stock

What is the MFIN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Medallion Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $11 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MFIN stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Medallion Financial Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Medallion Financial Corp. 67 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MFIN?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Medallion Financial Corp. ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (91 of 100).

Will MFIN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies -12.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Medallion Financial Corp. 67 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MFIN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Medallion Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MFIN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $12 over the next 12 months.

How has MFIN stock performed over the past year?

Medallion Financial Corp. returned +17.5% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Medallion Financial Corp. do?

Medallion Financial Corp. is a specialty finance company that originates and services consumer and commercial loans through its operating subsidiaries, including Medallion Bank and Medallion Capital.

What is the latest news on MFIN?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Aug 2026): "Medallion Financial: Slowing Growth And Declining Returns On Equity Change Its Outlook". Seeking Alpha rated Medallion Financial a Buy, with a dividend discount model-derived value per share of $10.92 (9.89% upside), even as it flagged declining profitability, ROE below cost of equity, and a projected 38% FY2026 EPS decline. The article noted MFIN's strong capital ratios and growing dividend, and highlighted surging fintech partnership lending that drives fee income and offsets taxi medallion stigma and activist pressure.

Company

About Medallion Financial Corp.

Medallion Financial Corp. is a specialty finance company that originates and services consumer and commercial loans through its operating subsidiaries, including Medallion Bank and Medallion Capital. Medallion Financial Corp. focuses on lending tied to recreational vehicles, boats, home improvement projects, and other consumer finance needs, while also providing commercial lending and mezzanine financing for small to mid-sized businesses. The company also supports loan origination and related services through fintech strategic partners, giving it a diversified role across traditional lending and partner-enabled financing. Its business is centered on asset-based credit and niche lending markets, where it serves individuals and businesses seeking tailored financing solutions. Medallion Financial Corp. operates from New York City, with Medallion Bank headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

CEO Mr. Andrew M. Murstein · 179 employees · United States · https://www.medallion.com