MTGMTGFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

MTG Stock Forecast: MGIC Investment Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$29
+1.68% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering MGIC Investment Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $30 — +1.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 77 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
77/ 100
Median analyst target
$30
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$295.4M−2.9% y/y
Net income$182.1M
Free cash flow$184.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.0%
1M
+8.1%
YTD
+1.3%
1Y
+6.1%
From 52W high
−7.5%
From 52W low
+17.8%
$25
$31
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MGIC Investment Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
77/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
85
Quality
80
Value
76
Revisions
74
Momentum
59
Accruals
59
Volatility
58
Growth
43
Size
20

Issuance (85): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (43): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MTG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$24$26$28$30$32$34$36Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTGHigh $35Median $30Low $28

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $28Median $30High $35

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +1.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$28 → $29
31 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$29 → $30
31 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$28 → $32
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesSector Perform—
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesSector Perform$28
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
6 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 Dec 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
6 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 July 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 May 2025Compass PointMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
19 Feb 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MTG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MTG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, MGIC Investment Corp. returned +6.1% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
859095100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.0×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.0×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.9×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−2.9%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−5.4%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
80.9%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
59.2%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.8%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.3%

Higher than 82% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MGIC Investment Corp. has a market value of $5.9B and an enterprise value of $6.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter shrank 2.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $707.9M, a 59.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.20.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $706.5M.

  • MGIC Investment Corp. spent $754.1M on share buybacks and $134.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 211.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.0×; forward P/E: 8.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.35%, paying out 19% of earnings.

  • MGIC Investment Corp. employs 542 people — $2.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTGMGIC Investment Corp.$5.9B77
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.$6.4B78
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.$6.6B79
FAFFirst American Financial Corp.$6.6B58
RDNRadian Group Inc.$4.8B59
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Ltd.$7.8B68
FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc.$11.1B22

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MGIC Investment Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTG news & analysis

MGIC Investment Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

PRNewsWire · 4 Nov 2026positive

MGIC Investment Corporation reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $175.0 million, or $0.85 per diluted share. Adjusted net operating income, a non-GAAP measure, was $174.7 million, or $0.85 per diluted share.

Why it matters — The results provide MTG watchers with a snapshot of the company’s reported and adjusted earnings for the quarter.

MGIC Investment Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend

PRNewsWire · 29 Oct 2026positive

MGIC Investment Corporation’s Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.17 per share. It is payable November 23, 2026, to shareholders of record as of November 12, 2026.

Why it matters — MTG watchers may note the dividend amount and the payment and record dates.

Analysts Estimate MGIC Investment (MTG) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says MGIC lacks the combination of two key factors associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report, and highlights expectations to watch.

Why it matters — The item signals that investors following MTG may want to note the expectations and the assessment ahead of its upcoming earnings report.

Why a Trump Executive Order Is Sending Some Housing Stocks Higher

Barrons · 23 Oct 2026positive

President Donald Trump’s housing executive order may have limited effect on home affordability, but the article says it is a relief for mortgage insurance stocks.

Why it matters — MGIC Investment is a mortgage insurer, so the reported relief for mortgage insurance stocks is relevant to MTG watchers.

Why MGIC Investment (MTG) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Oct 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research headline frames MGIC Investment (MTG) as a potentially attractive dividend stock and asks whether it meets the criteria. The excerpt provides no supporting details or conclusion.

Why it matters — MTG watchers may be interested in the article’s focus on the company’s dividend, though the excerpt does not provide specifics.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTG stock

What is the MTG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering MGIC Investment Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $30, with estimates ranging from $28 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTG stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering MGIC Investment Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MGIC Investment Corp. 77 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTG?

As at 3 Nov 2026, MGIC Investment Corp. ranks 77 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (85 of 100).

Will MTG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +1.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MGIC Investment Corp. 77 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MGIC Investment Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $28 to $35 over the next 12 months.

How has MTG stock performed over the past year?

MGIC Investment Corp. returned +6.1% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MGIC Investment Corp. do?

MGIC Investment Corp. is a financial services company focused on private mortgage insurance and related mortgage credit risk management solutions.

What is the latest news on MTG?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 4 Nov 2026): "MGIC Investment Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results". MGIC Investment Corporation reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $175.0 million, or $0.85 per diluted share. Adjusted net operating income, a non-GAAP measure, was $174.7 million, or $0.85 per diluted share.

Company

About MGIC Investment Corp.

MGIC Investment Corp. is a financial services company focused on private mortgage insurance and related mortgage credit risk management solutions. Through its principal subsidiary, it helps lenders manage the risk of losses on low-down-payment residential mortgages by providing primary mortgage insurance, reinsurance, contract underwriting, and other ancillary services. The company’s products support residential housing finance by giving lenders additional protection while helping borrowers access home loans with smaller down payments. MGIC Investment Corp. primarily serves mortgage originators, including banks, credit unions, mortgage bankers, brokers, and other lending institutions across the United States, as well as Puerto Rico and Guam. Headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, MGIC Investment Corp. plays a specialized role in the U.S. mortgage market as a provider of credit protection and mortgage insurance expertise.

CEO Mr. Timothy James Mattke CPA · 542 employees · United States · https://www.mgic.com