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MTGMTGFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

MTG Stock Forecast: MGIC Investment Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$31
+1.04% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering MGIC Investment Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $31 — -0.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$6.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
83 / 100
Median analyst target
$31
Analysts covering
5
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.2%
1M
+9.7%
YTD
+8.4%
1Y
+14.3%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+26.0%
$25
$31
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MGIC Investment Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
83 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
85
Revisions
80
Quality
79
Momentum
74
Value
70
Volatility
69
Accruals
58
Growth
42
Size
21

Issuance (85): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (42): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (21): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$24$26$28$30$32$34$36Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTGHigh $35Median $31Low $28

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says5 analysts
1 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $28Median $31High $35

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$29 → $30
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$28 → $32
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesSector Perform—
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesSector Perform$28
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
6 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 Dec 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
6 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 July 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 May 2025Compass PointMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
19 Feb 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
5 Feb 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Feb 2025Compass PointDowngradeNeutral—
8 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MTG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

MGIC Investment Corp. (MTG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.7×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.3×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.4×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−2.9%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−5.4%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
80.9%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
59.2%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.8%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.2%

Higher than 49% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MTG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTGMGIC Investment Corp.$6.4B
83
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.$6.6B
83
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.$7.0B
77
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Ltd.$7.5B
69
FAFFirst American Financial Corp.$7.5B
81
RDNRadian Group Inc.$5.0B
52
RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.$11.0B
56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MGIC Investment Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTG news & analysis

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published its weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers for the week ending August 16, highlighting companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — MTG watchers would care because the report tracks dividend changes and ex-dividend dates among a group of companies that includes MGIC Investment Corp. if it is classified as a Dividend Champion, Contender, or Challenger.

MGIC Investment Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026positive

MGIC Investment reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $182 million, or $0.86 per diluted share, supported by favorable reserve development and lower operating expenses. The company recorded an annualized return on equity of 14.5% and said book value per share rose 10% year over year to $24.27.

Why it matters — The earnings report shows continued profitability and a double-digit increase in book value per share, key metrics for mortgage-insurance investors.

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) released its Q2 2026 earnings call transcript via Seeking Alpha, detailing the company's second-quarter financial results and management commentary.

Why it matters — MTG watchers would care because the earnings call provides direct insight into the company's quarterly financial performance and management's outlook.

MGIC (MTG) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026neutral

MGIC (MTG) reported its Q2 earnings for the quarter ended June 2026, with the Zacks article noting that key metrics should be compared to Wall Street estimates and the prior year's actuals.

Why it matters — The comparison of MGIC's key metrics to analyst estimates and year-ago figures helps shareholders gauge the company's performance relative to expectations and its own recent history.

MGIC Investment (MTG) Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

MGIC Investment reported Q2 earnings of $0.87 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.74 per share and exceeding the $0.82 per share earned in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat signals stronger-than-expected quarterly performance for MTG compared to both analyst forecasts and year-ago results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTG stock

What is the MTG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering MGIC Investment Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $31, with estimates ranging from $28 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTG stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering MGIC Investment Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MGIC Investment Corp. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTG?

As at 15 Aug 2026, MGIC Investment Corp. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (85 of 100).

Will MTG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies -0.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MGIC Investment Corp. 83 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MGIC Investment Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $28 to $35 over the next 12 months.

How has MTG stock performed over the past year?

MGIC Investment Corp. returned +14.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MGIC Investment Corp. do?

MGIC Investment Corporation is a leading provider in the mortgage insurance industry. Its primary function is to facilitate home ownership by offering private mortgage insurance to lenders and borrowers, protecting against losses from borrower defaults.

What is the latest news on MTG?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16". Seeking Alpha published its weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers for the week ending August 16, highlighting companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Company

About MGIC Investment Corp.

MGIC Investment Corporation is a leading provider in the mortgage insurance industry. Its primary function is to facilitate home ownership by offering private mortgage insurance to lenders and borrowers, protecting against losses from borrower defaults. Key sectors impacted by MGIC Investment Corporation include residential real estate, banking, and financial services. Mortgage insurance provided by MGIC is crucial during times of economic volatility, ensuring the stability of lending markets by enabling borrowers with smaller down payments to secure home loans. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, MGIC has established itself as a pivotal player in enhancing mortgage credit access while maintaining risk management practices. This corporation plays a significant role in the U.S. housing market by fostering both accessibility for new homeowners and confidence among lenders.

CEO Mr. Timothy James Mattke CPA · 542 employees · United States · https://www.mgic.com