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RDNRDNFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

RDN Stock Forecast: Radian Group Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$37
+2.01% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Radian Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $44 — +20.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 59 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
59/ 100
Median analyst target
$44
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$575.0M+80.9% y/y
Net income$115.9M
Free cash flow$342.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.6%
1M
+12.3%
YTD
+3.9%
1Y
+9.7%
From 52W high
−7.3%
From 52W low
+19.4%
$31
$39
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RDN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Radian Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
59/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Value
77
Growth
65
Quality
57
Momentum
53
Revisions
53
Volatility
39
Accruals
24
Size
23

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (24): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (23): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

RDN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RDN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RDNHigh $48Median $44Low $36

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
5 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $36Median $44High $48

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$35 → $36
11 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$46 → $44
11 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$39 → $35
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$43 → $46
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
10 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
6 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
11 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform—
2 Jan 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy—
18 Dec 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
15 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
19 Sept 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

RDN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

RDN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Radian Group Inc. returned +9.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RDN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RDNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RDN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−8.0%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.8×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.0×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
93.5%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.3%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
31.6%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
32.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.8%

Higher than 85% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Radian Group Inc. has a market value of $4.7B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 93.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $536.3M, a 32.9% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.4B.

  • Radian Group Inc. spent $130.3M on share buybacks and $142.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 133.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 8.8×; forward P/E: 6.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.85%, paying out 25% of earnings.

  • Radian Group Inc. employs 900 people — $1.8M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RDN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RDNRadian Group Inc.$4.7B59
MTGMGIC Investment Corp.$6.1B77
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.$6.4B78
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.$6.6B79
FAFFirst American Financial Corp.$6.6B58
NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc.$3.3B75
AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.$3.3B42

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Radian Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RDN news & analysis

Radian Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026positive

Radian reported third-quarter 2026 net income from continuing operations of $172 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, compared with $153 million, or $1.11 per diluted share, a year earlier. Pretax income from continuing operations was $228 million, versus $199 million in the prior-year quarter.

Why it matters — The reported year-over-year increases in net and pretax income provide RDN watchers with an update on the company's quarterly financial results.

Radian Announces Executive Leadership Appointments to Advance Growth Strategy

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026positive

Radian announced executive leadership appointments to support its growth strategy, including naming Dan Kobell Chief Financial Officer. Kobell reports to CEO Mike Weinbach and has held finance leadership roles at Radian since joining in 2015.

Why it matters — The appointments reflect leadership changes intended to support Radian’s mortgage insurance and specialty insurance businesses and its disciplined growth strategy.

Radian (RDN) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says Radian does not have the right combination of two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report and highlights key expectations.

Why it matters — RDN watchers may note the article’s assessment of the company’s prospects for an earnings beat ahead of the upcoming report.

Why a Trump Executive Order Is Sending Some Housing Stocks Higher

Barrons · 23 Oct 2026positive

Barrons reports that President Donald Trump’s housing executive order may do little to improve home affordability but is providing relief for mortgage insurance stocks.

Why it matters — Radian Group is a mortgage insurance company, so the reported relief for mortgage insurance stocks is relevant to RDN watchers.

RDN vs. ALIZY: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Radian Group (RDN) and Allianz SE (ALIZY) as potential undervalued stocks in the Insurance - Multi line sector. The excerpt frames the question of which company may be the better value option but gives no conclusion.

Why it matters — RDN watchers may find the article relevant as a value-focused comparison with Allianz, though the excerpt does not state which stock is more attractive.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RDN stock

What is the RDN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Radian Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $44, with estimates ranging from $36 to $48. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RDN stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Radian Group Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Radian Group Inc. 59 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RDN?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Radian Group Inc. ranks 59 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will RDN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +20.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Radian Group Inc. 59 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RDN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Radian Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RDN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $36 to $48 over the next 12 months.

How has RDN stock performed over the past year?

Radian Group Inc. returned +9.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Radian Group Inc. do?

Radian Group Inc. is a mortgage insurance and specialty insurance company that provides risk management solutions across the residential real estate and mortgage finance markets.

What is the latest news on RDN?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 4 Nov 2026): "Radian Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results". Radian reported third-quarter 2026 net income from continuing operations of $172 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, compared with $153 million, or $1.11 per diluted share, a year earlier. Pretax income from continuing operations was $228 million, versus $199 million in the prior-year quarter.

Company

About Radian Group Inc.

Radian Group Inc. is a mortgage insurance and specialty insurance company that provides risk management solutions across the residential real estate and mortgage finance markets. Through its subsidiaries, the company offers private mortgage insurance, credit risk transfer solutions, and contract underwriting services that help lenders manage default risk and support low-down-payment home financing. Radian also provides a range of real estate and title services, including title insurance, closing and settlement support, escrow, document preparation, valuation, and brokerage-related services. Its products and services are designed to help mortgage lenders, investors, and housing market participants operate with greater confidence while streamlining transactions and managing credit exposure. Radian Group Inc. serves as a diversified financial services platform focused on mortgage credit protection and related workflow services in the United States.

CEO Mr. Michael Scott Weinbach · 900 employees · United States · https://www.radian.com