RDNRDNFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

RDN Stock Forecast: Radian Group Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$37
+1.06% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Radian Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $45 — +20.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$45
Analysts covering
5
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.9%
1M
+1.0%
YTD
+5.1%
1Y
+9.2%
From 52W high
−6.2%
From 52W low
+19.4%
$31
$40
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RDN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Radian Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
99
Value
74
Momentum
62
Growth
62
Quality
56
Volatility
52
Revisions
33
Size
24
Accruals
23

Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (23): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RDN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RDN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RDNHigh $48Median $45Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $45High $48

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$46$44
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$39$35
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$43$46
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
29 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
10 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
6 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
11 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform
2 Jan 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy
18 Dec 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
15 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral
6 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
19 Sept 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral
14 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral
8 July 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight
7 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform
23 May 2025Compass PointDowngradeNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RDN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

RDN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−8.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.2×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
93.5%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.3%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
31.6%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
32.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 61% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

RDN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RDNRadian Group Inc.$5.0B
52
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.$6.6B
83
MTGMGIC Investment Corp.$6.6B
83
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.$7.0B
77
AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.$3.5B
57
NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc.$3.5B
77
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Ltd.$7.5B
69

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Radian Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RDN news & analysis

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, noting companies that changed their dividends and upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — RDN watchers would care because the report may include Radian Group's dividend activity or its status among dividend-paying stocks.

Mike Weinbach Assumes CEO Role at Radian and Joins Board of Directors

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Radian Group announced that Mike Weinbach has assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer and joined its Board of Directors, completing the planned leadership transition first announced on May 21, 2026. Weinbach succeeds Rick Thornberry, who will serve as a strategic advisor until his retirement on December 31, 2026.

Why it matters — Radian watchers would follow this change because it marks the completion of the company's top leadership transition, with a new CEO now guiding the mortgage insurer.

Radian Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend

Business Wire · 12 Aug 2026positive

Radian Group Inc. announced that its Board of Directors approved a regular quarterly dividend of $0.255 per share, payable on September 9, 2026, to stockholders of record as of August 24, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration of a regular quarterly dividend signals continued shareholder returns and confidence in the company's financial position.

Radian Appoints Barry C. McCarthy to Board of Directors

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026positive

Radian Group Inc. announced the appointment of Barry C. McCarthy to its Board of Directors. McCarthy is President, Chief Executive Officer and a board member of Deluxe Corporation, where he led its transformation from a legacy check-printing business into a payments and data company.

Why it matters — A RDN watcher would care because adding a director with public-company leadership and transformation experience could bring valuable perspective to the board's oversight.

Radian Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026neutral

Radian Group reported second-quarter results in its first full quarter including specialty insurer Inigo. Executives highlighted continued strength in mortgage insurance, progress on divestitures, and disciplined capital deployment amid a softer specialty insurance market.

Why it matters — This update offers RDN watchers insight into how the company is integrating Inigo and navigating its capital and divestiture plans within an evolving insurance market.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RDN stock

What is the RDN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Radian Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $35 to $48. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RDN stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Radian Group Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Radian Group Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RDN?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Radian Group Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).

Will RDN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +20.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Radian Group Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RDN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Radian Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RDN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $48 over the next 12 months.

How has RDN stock performed over the past year?

Radian Group Inc. returned +9.2% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Radian Group Inc. do?

Radian Group Inc. is a prominent provider of mortgage insurance and related services, primarily operating in the United States.

What is the latest news on RDN?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16". Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, noting companies that changed their dividends and upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Company

About Radian Group Inc.

Radian Group Inc. is a prominent provider of mortgage insurance and related services, primarily operating in the United States. Its primary function is to offer risk management products, enhancing the ability of mortgage lenders to issue loans to potential homeowners by mitigating default risks. The company's services are critical in bolstering the residential mortgage sector, which in turn supports the housing market and broader economic stability. Radian Group also extends its impact through its ancillary services, including risk-based pricing and underwriting solutions, which enable clients to better manage their lending portfolios. Radian's influence spans various stakeholders within the real estate and financial services industries, including homebuyers, lenders, and investors. By providing essential insurance coverage to lenders, the company plays a key role in enabling home ownership for individuals who may not meet the traditional standards for down payments and credit scores, thus expanding access to home financing. Headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Radian Group continues to be a significant player in the housing finance ecosystem, contributing to financial resilience and facilitating smoother mortgage market operations across the nation.

CEO Mr. Richard Gerald Thornberry CPA · 1,000 employees · United States · https://www.radian.com