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RDN Stock Forecast: Radian Group Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$35
+0.60% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Radian Group Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $45 — +28.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$45
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$575.0M+80.9% y/y
Net income$115.9M
Free cash flow$342.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.7%
1M
−4.3%
YTD
−0.6%
1Y
−3.1%
From 52W high
−11.2%
From 52W low
+13.0%
$31
$39
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RDN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Radian Group Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
99
Value
75
Growth
63
Volatility
62
Momentum
58
Quality
56
Revisions
39
Size
24
Accruals
24

Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (24): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RDN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RDN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RDNHigh $48Median $45Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $45High $48

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$46 → $44
10 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$39 → $35
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
25 June 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$43 → $46
22 May 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
10 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
6 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
11 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform—
2 Jan 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy—
18 Dec 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
15 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
19 Sept 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform—
23 May 2025Compass PointDowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RDN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RDN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Radian Group Inc. returned −3.1% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RDN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RDNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RDN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−7.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.6×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.8×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
5.8×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
93.5%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.3%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
31.6%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
32.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.9%

Higher than 61% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Radian Group Inc. (RDN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Radian Group Inc. has a market value of $4.6B and an enterprise value of $5.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 93.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $536.3M, a 32.9% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.4B.

  • Radian Group Inc. spent $130.3M on share buybacks and $142.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 133.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 8.6×; forward P/E: 6.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.91%, paying out 25% of earnings.

  • Radian Group Inc. employs 900 people — $1.8M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RDN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RDNRadian Group Inc.$4.6B
56
MTGMGIC Investment Corp.$6.3B
84
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.$6.4B
81
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.$6.8B
78
NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc.$3.3B
77
AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd.$3.2B
52
FAFFirst American Financial Corp.$7.1B
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Radian Group Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RDN news & analysis

Radian Expands Digital Quoting Capabilities Through Integration With Lender Price

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Radian Guaranty announced that its mortgage insurance quotes, powered by its RADAR® Rates risk-based pricing model, are now available through Lender Price, a cloud-native, AI-driven mortgage pricing engine used by banks, lenders, credit unions, and mortgage brokers. The integration gives Lender Price users seamless access to these quotes without leaving their existing workflow.

Why it matters — Expanding digital quoting through a widely used lender platform could broaden Radian's reach and streamline access to its mortgage insurance products.

Radian (RDN) Up 1.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Radian (RDN) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 1.5% since that report. The article considers what might come next for the company's shares.

Why it matters — For investors tracking Radian, the recent post-earnings stock movement and outlook could signal how the company is performing in the current period.

RDN's Underwriting Discipline Key to Navigating Softer Pricing

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Radian Group's disciplined specialty underwriting and diversification are helping it offset softer pricing as competition in the market increases, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — RDN watchers would care because the company's underwriting discipline could help it maintain performance amid rising competition and softer pricing.

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, noting companies that changed their dividends and upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — RDN watchers would care because the report may include Radian Group's dividend activity or its status among dividend-paying stocks.

Mike Weinbach Assumes CEO Role at Radian and Joins Board of Directors

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Radian Group announced that Mike Weinbach has assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer and joined its Board of Directors, completing the planned leadership transition first announced on May 21, 2026. Weinbach succeeds Rick Thornberry, who will serve as a strategic advisor until his retirement on December 31, 2026.

Why it matters — Radian watchers would follow this change because it marks the completion of the company's top leadership transition, with a new CEO now guiding the mortgage insurer.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RDN stock

What is the RDN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Radian Group Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $35 to $48. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RDN stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Radian Group Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Radian Group Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RDN?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Radian Group Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).

Will RDN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +28.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Radian Group Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RDN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Radian Group Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RDN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $48 over the next 12 months.

How has RDN stock performed over the past year?

Radian Group Inc. returned -3.1% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Radian Group Inc. do?

Radian Group Inc. is a mortgage insurance and specialty insurance company that provides risk management solutions across the residential real estate and mortgage finance markets.

What is the latest news on RDN?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 10 Sept 2026): "Radian Expands Digital Quoting Capabilities Through Integration With Lender Price". Radian Guaranty announced that its mortgage insurance quotes, powered by its RADAR® Rates risk-based pricing model, are now available through Lender Price, a cloud-native, AI-driven mortgage pricing engine used by banks, lenders, credit unions, and mortgage brokers. The integration gives Lender Price users seamless access to these quotes without leaving their existing workflow.

Company

About Radian Group Inc.

Radian Group Inc. is a mortgage insurance and specialty insurance company that provides risk management solutions across the residential real estate and mortgage finance markets. Through its subsidiaries, the company offers private mortgage insurance, credit risk transfer solutions, and contract underwriting services that help lenders manage default risk and support low-down-payment home financing. Radian also provides a range of real estate and title services, including title insurance, closing and settlement support, escrow, document preparation, valuation, and brokerage-related services. Its products and services are designed to help mortgage lenders, investors, and housing market participants operate with greater confidence while streamlining transactions and managing credit exposure. Radian Group Inc. serves as a diversified financial services platform focused on mortgage credit protection and related workflow services in the United States.

CEO Mr. Michael Scott Weinbach · 900 employees · United States · https://www.radian.com