AXSAXSFinancial Services · Insurance - Specialty

AXS Stock Forecast: AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$99
−0.78% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $126 — +27.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 68 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$7.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
68 / 100
Median analyst target
$126
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$1.8B+13.8% y/y
Net income$258.1M
Free cash flow$631.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.0%
1M
−1.5%
YTD
−6.6%
1Y
+3.9%
From 52W high
−16.8%
From 52W low
+13.4%
$88
$119
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AXS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
68 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
88
Value
88
Volatility
87
Growth
83
Quality
63
Momentum
57
Revisions
41
Accruals
25
Size
18

Issuance (88): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AXS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AXS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$90$100$110$120$130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AXSHigh $131Median $126Low $108

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
8 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $108Median $126High $131

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$130$118
25 Aug 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$130
25 Aug 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy
4 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$131$125
4 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
3 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform
3 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$142$130
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$131$126
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$134$126
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$137$142
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$119$134
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$126$131
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$129$131
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AXS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AXS vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. returned +3.9% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AXS vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AXSS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AXS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−7.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
11
Fundamentals

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. (AXS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.1×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
5.9×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.4%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
15.6%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
19.2%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
16.2%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.8%

Higher than 39% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. (AXS) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. has a market value of $7.2B and an enterprise value of $8.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.9B. The latest quarter grew 7.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 16.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $14.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.5B.

  • AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. spent $546.5M on share buybacks and $167.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 73.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 7.1×; forward P/E: 7.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.77%, paying out 13% of earnings.

  • AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. employs 1,966 people $3.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AXS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Specialty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Ltd.$7.2B
68
FAFFirst American Financial Corp.$7.1B
79
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.$6.8B
78
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.$6.4B
81
MTGMGIC Investment Corp.$6.3B
84
RDNRadian Group Inc.$4.7B
56
FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc.$11.4B
23

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AXS news & analysis

Axis Capital Declares Quarterly Dividends

GlobeNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Axis Capital Holdings Limited announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.44 per common share, payable on October 15, 2026 to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 30, 2026.

Why it matters — This declaration confirms a continued quarterly cash return to AXS shareholders, which is relevant to investors tracking the company's dividend income.

AXS Joins AVA Presents to Power the Next Chapter of Colorado Springs' Historic CityAud

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026positive

AXS has joined AVA Presents to support the next chapter of Colorado Springs' historic CityAud venue, according to a joint announcement from Los Angeles and Colorado Springs. The partnership positions AXS as part of the venue's ongoing evolution.

Why it matters — This news highlights AXS expanding its involvement with a historic venue, which could be relevant to investors tracking the company's ticketing business growth.

New Strong Sell Stocks for September 9th

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research added AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. (AXS) to its Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on September 9, 2026, alongside LKQ and AGCO. The company was included in the list based on Zacks' ranking methodology.

Why it matters — AXS watchers would care because the stock has been assigned a Strong Sell rating by Zacks, indicating a negatively-oriented outlook for the company.

AXIS Celebrates 25th Anniversary, Launches Global Brand Campaign Spotlighting Its Focus on Specialty Underwriting Leadership

GlobeNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026positive

AXIS Capital launched a new global brand campaign celebrating its 25th anniversary, highlighting its focus on specialty underwriting leadership. The company noted its growth from a start-up formed after September 11 into a global specialty insurer with $35 billion in total assets and $7.7 billion in total capital as of year-end 2025.

Why it matters — The anniversary campaign and assets figures underscore AXIS's durability and growth in its core specialty insurance and reinsurance markets, reinforcing its position as a specialty underwriting leader.

Why Is Axis Capital (AXS) Down 5.6% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026negative

Axis Capital Holdings Ltd. (AXS) reported earnings approximately 30 days ago, and since that report its stock has declined by 5.6%. The article examines what may come next for the company following this earnings release.

Why it matters — Investors tracking AXS would care about this stock price decline following the company's latest earnings report, as it may signal market reaction to the results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AXS stock

What is the AXS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $126, with estimates ranging from $108 to $131. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AXS stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd., 8 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. 68 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AXS?

As at 19 Sept 2026, AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. ranks 68 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (88 of 100).

Will AXS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +27.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. 68 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AXS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AXS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $108 to $131 over the next 12 months.

How has AXS stock performed over the past year?

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. returned +3.9% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. do?

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer that provides tailored risk-transfer solutions for businesses and institutions.

What is the latest news on AXS?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 16 Sept 2026): "Axis Capital Declares Quarterly Dividends". Axis Capital Holdings Limited announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.44 per common share, payable on October 15, 2026 to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 30, 2026.

Company

About AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd.

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer that provides tailored risk-transfer solutions for businesses and institutions. Through its AXIS Insurance and AXIS Re platforms, the company offers specialty insurance products across professional lines, property, liability, cyber, marine and aviation, accident and health, and credit and political risk. Its reinsurance operations provide treaty coverage to insurers, supporting a broad range of sectors including catastrophe, engineering, agriculture, surety, and marine and aviation. AXIS Capital serves clients in Bermuda, the United States, Europe, Singapore, and Canada, with a focus on niche and complex risks that require specialized underwriting expertise. Headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda, AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd. plays an important role in the global insurance market by helping businesses manage exposures that are often underserved by standard insurance offerings.

CEO Mr. Vincent Christopher Tizzio · 1,966 employees · Bermuda · https://www.axiscapital.com