MUSAConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

MUSA Stock Forecast: Murphy USA, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026

$569

+1.06% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Murphy USA, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $622 — +9.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap

$10.5B

Ticker Nerd rank

97 / 100

Median analyst target

$622

Analysts covering

Total return, dividends reinvested

+9.4%

−7.0%

YTD

+41.4%

+47.3%

From 52W high

−8.6%

From 52W low

+60.2%

$355

$623

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

MUSA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Murphy USA, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026

97 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility

Growth

Value

Revisions

Quality

Momentum

Issuance

Accruals

Size

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (48): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MUSA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MUSA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says11 analysts

6 Buy5 Hold0 Sell

Low $550Median $622High $710

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 12 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
7 Aug 2026	JP Morgan	Maintains	Overweight	$655 → $633
20 July 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$520 → $570
10 July 2026	B of A Securities	Maintains	Neutral	$600 → $625
6 July 2026	Goldman Sachs	Upgrade	Neutral	$380 → $550
1 July 2026	Jefferies	Upgrade	Buy	$550 → $625
12 June 2026	Keybanc	Maintains	Overweight	$600 → $680
1 May 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$450 → $520
30 Apr 2026	RBC Capital	Maintains	Sector Perform	$510 → $517
24 Apr 2026	Keybanc	Maintains	Overweight	$560 → $600
23 Apr 2026	B of A Securities	Upgrade	Neutral	$350 → $550
14 Apr 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$400 → $450
26 Mar 2026	JP Morgan	Initiates	Overweight	$539
6 Feb 2026	Stephens & Co.	Maintains	Overweight	$475 → $450
6 Feb 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$410 → $400
5 Feb 2026	RBC Capital	Maintains	Sector Perform	$467 → $445
21 Jan 2026	Stephens & Co.	Maintains	Overweight	$425 → $475
21 Jan 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$375 → $410
23 Oct 2025	Keybanc	Maintains	Overweight	—
15 Oct 2025	Wells Fargo	Downgrade	Equal-Weight	—
1 Aug 2025	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Overweight	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MUSA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Estimates

MUSA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

+7.8%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Murphy USA, Inc. (MUSA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 17.4×
Price / sales: 0.5×
Price / book: 13.4×
EV / EBITDA: 10.5×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 40.8%
Earnings growth (YoY): 43.6%
Gross margin: 11.0%
Operating margin: 4.9%
Net margin: 3.2%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 86.4%
Return on assets: 12.1%
Dividend yield: 0.5%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MUSA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
MUSAMurphy USA, Inc.	$10.5B	97
GMEGameStop Corp.	$8.4B	51
FIVEFive Below, Inc.	$13.5B	69
BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.	$18.1B	92
DKSDick's Sporting Goods, Inc.	$18.1B	35
TSCOTractor Supply Co.	$18.9B	23
ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.	$22.3B	53

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Murphy USA, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MUSA news & analysis

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

A weekly summary from Seeking Alpha reported dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — MUSA watchers would be interested because the report may include Murphy USA if it was among the dividend-paying companies that changed their dividend or had an upcoming ex-dividend date.

Murphy USA Inc. Announces Dividend Increase

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026positive

Murphy USA Inc.'s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.65 per share ($2.60 annualized), representing a 23% increase from the Q3 2025 dividend and 1.6% above the Q2 2026 dividend, payable on September 3, 2026 to stockholders of record as of August 24, 2026.

Why it matters — The 23% dividend increase signals the company's confidence in its financial strength and commitment to returning more capital to shareholders.

Murphy USA Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Fuel Contribution

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Murphy USA reported Q2 earnings that beat estimates, driven by stronger fuel economics, higher volumes, and merchandise gains — with earnings surging 53.1%.

Why it matters — The strong quarterly performance and raised 2026 earnings power signal improving profitability from both fuel and merchandise operations for Murphy USA investors.

Should Investors Buy MUSA as Strong Growth Meets a Premium Valuation?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research examines Murphy USA (MUSA), noting that earnings momentum along with gains in fuel and nicotine products support growth, while a premium valuation, debt, and heavy capital requirements present risks. The article weighs these growth drivers against the company's valuation and financial obligations.

Why it matters — A MUSA watcher would care because the report highlights both the company's growth drivers and the financial risks that could affect its outlook.

Why Murphy USA (MUSA) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research identified Murphy USA as a top value stock for the long term, referencing the Zacks Style Scores feature of its Premium research service as a tool for finding strong stocks.

Why it matters — A Murphy USA watcher would care because the item highlights MUSA as a long-term value stock singled out by Zacks' research methodology.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MUSA stock

What is the MUSA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Murphy USA, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $622, with estimates ranging from $550 to $710. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MUSA stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Murphy USA, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Murphy USA, Inc. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MUSA?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Murphy USA, Inc. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

Will MUSA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +9.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Murphy USA, Inc. 97 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MUSA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Murphy USA, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MUSA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $550 to $710 over the next 12 months.

How has MUSA stock performed over the past year?

Murphy USA, Inc. returned +47.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Murphy USA, Inc. do?

Murphy USA Inc. is a leading retail corporation primarily operating in the energy sector, specializing in the marketing of motor fuels and convenience merchandise through retail stores.

What is the latest news on MUSA?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16". A weekly summary from Seeking Alpha reported dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Company

About Murphy USA, Inc.

Murphy USA Inc. is a leading retail corporation primarily operating in the energy sector, specializing in the marketing of motor fuels and convenience merchandise through retail stores. The company owns and operates a network of high-traffic retail fuel stations located in close proximity to Walmart stores, primarily in the Southern and Midwestern United States. Murphy USA’s business model focuses on offering competitively priced gasoline paired with a selection of convenience items, catering to consumers seeking value and convenience in their fuel purchases. Established as a spin-off from Murphy Oil Corporation, Murphy USA holds a significant presence in the fuel retail market, leveraging strategic locations and a strong operational framework. The company’s role is pivotal in the retail fuel industry, emphasizing efficiency, customer service, and a deep understanding of consumer preferences. Its business performance is often seen as an indicator of consumer spending trends, particularly in the segments of fuel consumption and low-cost retail shopping. Murphy USA's robust infrastructure and strategic alignment with Walmart stores underpin its market relevance and operational success.

CEO Ms. Malynda K. West CPA · 5,900 employees · United States · https://www.murphyusa.com