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PMPMConsumer Defensive · Tobacco

PM Stock Forecast: Philip Morris International, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$206
+3.16% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $211 — +2.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$314.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
90 / 100
Median analyst target
$211
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$11.2B+10.4% y/y
Operating income$4.5B
Net income$3.0B
Free cash flow$5.1B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.7%
1M
+6.4%
YTD
+31.5%
1Y
+33.8%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+47.4%
$139
$206
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Philip Morris International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
90 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
92
Issuance
88
Quality
86
Revisions
85
Volatility
73
Growth
72
Accruals
58
Value
49
Size
1

Momentum (92): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (49): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220$240Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PMHigh $230Median $211Low $175

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
12 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $175Median $211High $230

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$182 → $193
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$210 → $225
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$205 → $225
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$200 → $215
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$200 → $215
23 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$195 → $205
23 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
2 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$168 → $182
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 Apr 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
17 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
13 Apr 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
10 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Philip Morris International, Inc. returned +33.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Philip Morris International, Inc. (PM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.1×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.4×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / book
−47.3×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.0×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.3%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Gross margin
68.4%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Operating margin
40.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Net margin
25.6%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−141.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.6%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.2%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Philip Morris International, Inc. (PM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Philip Morris International, Inc. has a market value of $314.8B and an enterprise value of $359.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $42.5B. The latest quarter grew 10.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $11.4B, a 26.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.96.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.7B, after $1.5B of capital spending.

  • Philip Morris International, Inc. spent $9.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.6B.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.1×; forward P/E: 22.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.17%, paying out 84% of earnings.

  • Philip Morris International, Inc. employs 84,900 people — $501K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTobacco
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PMPhilip Morris International, Inc.$314.8B
90
MOAltria Group, Inc.$122.8B
94
PGProcter & Gamble Co.*$364.5B
69
KOThe Coca-Cola Co.*$394.8B
92
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.*$435.9B
57
PEPPepsiCo, Inc.*$176.8B
66
WMTWalmart, Inc.*$925.8B
46

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few tobacco companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Philip Morris International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PM news & analysis

Philip Morris International Announces EU Economic Footprint Study 2021-2025: Transformation Made in Europe

Business Wire · 15 Oct 2026positive

Philip Morris International published the second edition of its EU Economic Footprint Study, prepared by EY-Parthenon, covering 2021–2025. The study describes the company’s contribution across the EU and capabilities developed through its transformation.

Why it matters — The study offers PM watchers information about the company’s reported economic footprint and transformation activity in Europe.

Philip Morris International to Host Webcast of 2026 Third-Quarter and First Nine-Months Results

Business Wire · 14 Oct 2026neutral

Philip Morris International will host a live audio webcast on October 21, 2026, to discuss its third-quarter and first nine-months financial results, which are scheduled to be issued earlier that morning. The event will be hosted by Group CFO Massimo Andolina and include a Q&A.

Why it matters — PM watchers can use the webcast to hear management discuss the company’s reported results and respond to questions.

Philip Morris (PM) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research says Philip Morris lacks the combination of two key factors associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The headline frames earnings as expected to grow and raises whether investors should buy.

Why it matters — PM watchers may note the article's caution about the likelihood of an earnings beat ahead of the company's upcoming report.

PM vs. MO: Which Tobacco Dividend to Trust for the Next Decade

24/7 Wall Street · 12 Oct 2026neutral

The article compares Philip Morris International and Altria, noting that both recently raised their dividends and that both stocks are up more than 28% this year. It says the company with nearly twice the yield may carry greater risk for retirees seeking income over the next decade.

Why it matters — PM investors may find the comparison relevant when weighing the company’s dividend against Altria’s yield and the risks described for long-term income.

Here's Why Philip Morris (PM) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights its Style Scores as a tool for finding stocks that rank highly according to an investor’s style, and presents Philip Morris as a strong momentum stock.

Why it matters — The item frames PM positively on momentum, which may interest investors tracking the stock’s style-based ratings.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PM stock

What is the PM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $211, with estimates ranging from $175 to $230. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PM stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Philip Morris International, Inc. 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PM?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Philip Morris International, Inc. ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (92 of 100).

Will PM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +2.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Philip Morris International, Inc. 90 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Philip Morris International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $175 to $230 over the next 12 months.

How has PM stock performed over the past year?

Philip Morris International, Inc. returned +33.8% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Philip Morris International, Inc. do?

Philip Morris International Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on cigarettes and a broad portfolio of smoke-free products.

What is the latest news on PM?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 15 Oct 2026): "Philip Morris International Announces EU Economic Footprint Study 2021-2025: Transformation Made in Europe". Philip Morris International published the second edition of its EU Economic Footprint Study, prepared by EY-Parthenon, covering 2021–2025. The study describes the company’s contribution across the EU and capabilities developed through its transformation.

Company

About Philip Morris International, Inc.

Philip Morris International Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on cigarettes and a broad portfolio of smoke-free products. Philip Morris International Inc. offers heated tobacco, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under brands such as IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN, alongside traditional combustible cigarettes and related accessories. The company also includes wellness products within its current portfolio, reflecting its emphasis on categories beyond conventional tobacco. Its business is organized across major geographic segments including Europe, the Americas, East Asia and Australia, South and Southeast Asia, the Commonwealth of Independent States, the Middle East and Africa, and global travel retail. Philip Morris International Inc. serves adult consumers through a diversified product mix that plays a significant role in the global nicotine market and the wider consumer non-durables sector.

CEO Mr. Jacek Olczak · 84,900 employees · United States · https://www.pmi.com