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PMPMConsumer Defensive · Tobacco

PM Stock Forecast: Philip Morris International, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Nov 2026
$202
−4.63% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $220 — +9.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$329.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
84/ 100
Median analyst target
$220
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$11.2B+10.4% y/y
Operating income$4.5B
Net income$3.0B
Free cash flow$5.1B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.4%
1M
+6.3%
YTD
+27.8%
1Y
+39.4%
From 52W high
−4.6%
From 52W low
+39.9%
$144
$211
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Philip Morris International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Nov 2026
84/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
89
Momentum
88
Quality
87
Volatility
76
Growth
70
Accruals
68
Revisions
60
Value
57
Size
1

Issuance (89): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (57): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

PM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220$240Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PMHigh $240Median $220Low $175

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
12 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $175Median $220High $240

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 11 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Nov 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$205 → $232
26 Oct 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$210 → $220
22 Oct 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$215 → $220
22 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$193 → $201
23 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
23 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$182 → $193
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$210 → $225
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$205 → $225
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$200 → $215
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$200 → $215
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$195 → $205
23 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$168 → $182
2 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 Apr 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

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PM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

PM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, Philip Morris International, Inc. returned +39.4% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Philip Morris International, Inc. (PM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.8×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.6×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Price / book
−49.5×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.5×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.5%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.7%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Gross margin
68.4%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Operating margin
41.9%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
24.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−141.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Return on assets
16.9%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.8%

Higher than 85% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Philip Morris International, Inc. (PM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Philip Morris International, Inc. has a market value of $329.3B and an enterprise value of $372.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $42.5B. The latest quarter grew 5.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $11.4B, a 26.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.96.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.7B, after $1.5B of capital spending.

  • Philip Morris International, Inc. spent $9.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.6B.

  • Trailing P/E: 30.8×; forward P/E: 23.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.78%, paying out 88% of earnings.

  • Philip Morris International, Inc. employs 84,900 people — $501K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTobacco
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PMPhilip Morris International, Inc.$329.3B84
MOAltria Group, Inc.$130.2B97
PGProcter & Gamble Co.*$389.1B62
KOThe Coca-Cola Co.*$411.8B91
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.*$473.0B61
PEPPepsiCo, Inc.*$195.1B67
WMTWalmart, Inc.*$1.0T50

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few tobacco companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Philip Morris International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PM news & analysis

Altria vs. Philip Morris: Higher Yield or Faster Dividend Growth for Retirees?

24/7 Wall Street · 3 Nov 2026neutral

The article compares Altria and Philip Morris, noting that both beat earnings estimates, raised dividends, and gained more than 30% this year. It frames their appeal to retirees as a choice between higher income now and faster dividend growth over time.

Why it matters — PM watchers may care how the company’s dividend profile is presented relative to Altria for retirees weighing current income against future growth.

5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Raised Their Payouts in 2026

24/7 Wall Street · 30 Oct 2026neutral

24/7 Wall Street reports that five income stocks raised their dividend payouts in 2026, despite interest rates weighing on yield-focused investors. The excerpt does not identify the stocks.

Why it matters — A PM watcher may note the report’s focus on dividend increases, but the excerpt does not establish whether Philip Morris International is among the five stocks.

Philip Morris Reports Q3 Earnings: ETFs in Focus

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Oct 2026positive

Philip Morris reported better-than-expected third-quarter results, while geopolitical risks remain. The article also highlights ETFs with significant exposure to the company.

Why it matters — PM watchers may consider both the company’s quarterly results and the geopolitical risks noted in the article.

Philip Morris Q3: ZYN Is Growing Again, But It's Costing More

Seeking Alpha · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Philip Morris reported Q3 revenue and EPS above expectations and raised its dividend by 8.8% to $1.60 per share. Smoke-free revenue exceeded 40%, while IQOS growth slowed and higher marketing costs to defend ZYN weighed on U.S. profit growth.

Why it matters — PM watchers may note the balance between smoke-free growth and dividend increases, and the costs and regulatory pressures affecting profit growth.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PM stock

What is the PM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $220, with estimates ranging from $175 to $240. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PM stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Philip Morris International, Inc. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PM?

As at 5 Nov 2026, Philip Morris International, Inc. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (89 of 100).

Will PM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +9.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Philip Morris International, Inc. 84 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Philip Morris International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $175 to $240 over the next 12 months.

How has PM stock performed over the past year?

Philip Morris International, Inc. returned +39.4% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Philip Morris International, Inc. do?

Philip Morris International Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on cigarettes and a broad portfolio of smoke-free products.

What is the latest news on PM?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 3 Nov 2026): "Altria vs. Philip Morris: Higher Yield or Faster Dividend Growth for Retirees?". The article compares Altria and Philip Morris, noting that both beat earnings estimates, raised dividends, and gained more than 30% this year. It frames their appeal to retirees as a choice between higher income now and faster dividend growth over time.

Company

About Philip Morris International, Inc.

Philip Morris International Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on cigarettes and a broad portfolio of smoke-free products. Philip Morris International Inc. offers heated tobacco, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under brands such as IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN, alongside traditional combustible cigarettes and related accessories. The company also includes wellness products within its current portfolio, reflecting its emphasis on categories beyond conventional tobacco. Its business is organized across major geographic segments including Europe, the Americas, East Asia and Australia, South and Southeast Asia, the Commonwealth of Independent States, the Middle East and Africa, and global travel retail. Philip Morris International Inc. serves adult consumers through a diversified product mix that plays a significant role in the global nicotine market and the wider consumer non-durables sector.

CEO Mr. Jacek Olczak · 84,900 employees · United States · https://www.pmi.com