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PMPMConsumer Defensive · Tobacco

PM Stock Forecast: Philip Morris International, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$190
+0.78% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $210 — +10.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$294.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
76 / 100
Median analyst target
$210
Analysts covering
16
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.4%
1M
+8.2%
YTD
+20.7%
1Y
+19.3%
From 52W high
−4.9%
From 52W low
+35.4%
$141
$200
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Philip Morris International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
76 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
89
Issuance
88
Volatility
77
Growth
75
Momentum
65
Revisions
62
Accruals
58
Value
49
Size
1

Quality (89): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Value (49): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220$240Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PMHigh $225Median $210Low $175

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says16 analysts
12 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $175Median $210High $225

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$210 → $225
29 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$205 → $225
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$200 → $215
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$200 → $215
23 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$195 → $205
23 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$168 → $182
2 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
23 Apr 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
17 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
13 Apr 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
10 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
10 Feb 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
20 Jan 2026JefferiesDowngradeHold—
26 Nov 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
9
Fundamentals

Philip Morris International, Inc. (PM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.7×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.0×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / book
−44.5×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.8×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.3%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Gross margin
68.4%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Operating margin
40.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Net margin
25.6%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−141.0%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.6%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 67% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTobacco
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PMPhilip Morris International, Inc.$294.4B
76
MOAltria Group, Inc.$109.2B
93
PGProcter & Gamble Co.*$335.9B
60
KOThe Coca-Cola Co.*$376.0B
90
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp.*$426.9B
52
PEPPepsiCo, Inc.*$192.3B
62
WMTWalmart, Inc.*$922.3B
48

* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few tobacco companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Philip Morris International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PM news & analysis

Wolfe says buy these three quality stocks into post-earnings strength

Invezz · 29 July 2026neutral

Wolfe Research advised buying three quality stocks into post-earnings strength amid a turbulent July for Wall Street, with US stocks drifting lower due to geopolitical risks, rising oil prices, and anxiety over rising AI capital expenditure.

Why it matters — PM watchers would care because Wolfe Research's recommendation of quality stocks may include or reflect broader analyst sentiment toward defensive, stable names like Philip Morris during market turbulence.

ZYN growth EXPLODES as Philip Morris International expands US manufacturing

Fox Business · 28 July 2026positive

Philip Morris International announced a $1.2 billion investment in a new ZYN nicotine pouch manufacturing plant in Aurora, Colorado, as the company sees surging growth in the ZYN product line.

Why it matters — A PM watcher would care because the massive manufacturing investment signals PMI's commitment to expanding its smoke-free portfolio, particularly the fast-growing ZYN brand, in the US market.

Philip Morris Opens $1.2 Billion Manufacturing Campus to Grow Zyn Brand

WSJ · 27 July 2026positive

Philip Morris International opened a $1.2 billion manufacturing campus in Colorado to expand its Zyn portfolio and meet rising demand for nicotine pouches.

Why it matters — The investment signals PM's commitment to scaling its smokeless Zyn brand as demand for nicotine pouches grows.

Philip Morris doubles Colorado campus investment to $1.2 billion

Reuters · 27 July 2026positive

Philip Morris International doubled its planned investment in its Colorado manufacturing campus to about $1.2 billion through 2028, expanding production capacity for its Zyn nicotine pouch business.

Why it matters — The increased investment signals PM's growing commitment and production capacity for Zyn, a key product in its smoke-free portfolio.

Philip Morris: Firing On All Cylinders

Seeking Alpha · 27 July 2026positive

Philip Morris reported strong Q2 results with double-digit net revenue and gross profit growth, driven by IQOS and VEEV products. The company's heated tobacco and vape brands are fueling significant top-line expansion and margin uplift through strong shipment growth.

Why it matters — PM watchers would note that the company's focus on reduced-risk products like IQOS and VEEV is delivering strong revenue and margin growth, distinguishing PM from competitors.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PM stock

What is the PM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $210, with estimates ranging from $175 to $225. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PM stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Philip Morris International, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Philip Morris International, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PM?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Philip Morris International, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (89 of 100).

Will PM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +10.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Philip Morris International, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Philip Morris International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $175 to $225 over the next 12 months.

How has PM stock performed over the past year?

Philip Morris International, Inc. returned +19.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Philip Morris International, Inc. do?

Philip Morris International Inc. is a global tobacco and nicotine company focused on manufacturing and marketing smoke-free and combustible products worldwide.

What is the latest news on PM?

The most recent item we track (Invezz, 29 July 2026): "Wolfe says buy these three quality stocks into post-earnings strength". Wolfe Research advised buying three quality stocks into post-earnings strength amid a turbulent July for Wall Street, with US stocks drifting lower due to geopolitical risks, rising oil prices, and anxiety over rising AI capital expenditure.

Company

About Philip Morris International, Inc.

Philip Morris International Inc. is a global tobacco and nicotine company focused on manufacturing and marketing smoke-free and combustible products worldwide. Headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, with major operational centers in Lausanne, the company serves a broad international customer base across the Americas, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. Philip Morris International Inc. offers a portfolio that includes traditional cigarettes and cigarillos, alongside smoke-free products such as heated tobacco systems, vapor devices, and oral nicotine pouches. Key brands include Marlboro in combustible products and IQOS and ZYN in smoke-free and oral nicotine categories. The company also provides related consumer accessories, as well as wellness and healthcare products through its specialized business segment. Organized into regional divisions such as Europe, Americas, South and Southeast Asia, CIS, Middle East and Africa, and East Asia and Australia, Philip Morris International Inc. plays a significant role in the consumer staples sector, supplying branded tobacco and reduced-risk products to adult consumers in numerous markets around the world.

CEO Mr. Jacek Olczak · 84,900 employees · United States · https://www.pmi.com