MOConsumer Defensive · TobaccoThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Altria Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $73 — -5.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Altria Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (97): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (64): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $58 → $60 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $70 → $72 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $71 → $77 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $79 → $83 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $64 → $58 |
| 7 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $76 → $79 |
| 7 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Jan 2026 | UBS | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 31 Oct 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, Altria Group, Inc. returned +44.8% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Altria Group, Inc. has a market value of $129.0B and an enterprise value of $151.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $20.4B. The latest quarter grew 3.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $8.0B, a 39.0% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.1B, after $296.0M of capital spending.
Altria Group, Inc. spent $735.0M on share buybacks and $7.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.0×; forward P/E: 13.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 5.72%, paying out 88% of earnings.
Altria Group, Inc. employs 5,900 people — $3.5M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| MOAltria Group, Inc. | $129.0B | 97 |
| PMPhilip Morris International, Inc. | $313.7B | 84 |
| MNSTMonster Beverage Corp.* | $93.7B | 71 |
| PEPPepsiCo, Inc.* | $195.1B | 67 |
| MDLZMondelez International, Inc.* | $86.2B | 62 |
| CLColgate-Palmolive Co.* | $79.6B | 96 |
| TGTTarget Corp.* | $71.5B | 95 |
* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few tobacco companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Altria Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Investors Business Daily reports that investors have shifted toward consumer staples for stability, and Altria has been a big winner amid that move.
Why it matters — The item highlights investor interest in Altria as a consumer-staples stock during a defensive shift.
A 24/7 Wall Street article says two stocks in a six-stock, high-yield portfolio account for much of the tax bill on a $750,000 portfolio, and discusses changing where those holdings are kept to reduce taxes.
Why it matters — The item concerns tax treatment of high-yield stocks, a topic relevant to MO watchers, but the excerpt does not identify MO as one of the stocks.
A 24/7 Wall Street article reviews five high-yield dividend stocks across telecom, tobacco, pharma, real estate and pipelines, focusing on payout coverage. It notes that one of the companies has debt that could threaten its streak of dividend increases.
Why it matters — The article includes a tobacco company among the dividend payers and highlights payout sustainability, a relevant consideration for MO watchers.
A Motley Fool article titled “3 Stocks Yielding Triple the S&P 500 to Buy in November” says tobacco’s eventual decline is much farther off than many may expect.
Why it matters — The excerpt frames the long-term outlook for the tobacco business, relevant to investors following Altria.
The article notes that the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.91% and says dividend stocks must justify their added complexity compared with that yield. The headline says four dividend stocks pay more.
Why it matters — MO watchers may compare the company’s dividend with the Treasury yield and weigh the additional complexity associated with dividend stocks.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Altria Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $73, with estimates ranging from $59 to $85. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Altria Group, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Altria Group, Inc. 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Nov 2026, Altria Group, Inc. ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -5.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Altria Group, Inc. 97 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Altria Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $59 to $85 over the next 12 months.
Altria Group, Inc. returned +44.8% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Altria Group, Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on the manufacture and sale of tobacco and nicotine products in the United States.
The most recent item we track (Investors Business Daily, 5 Nov 2026): "Altria Stock Trades In Buy Zone As Investors Shift To Defense". Investors Business Daily reports that investors have shifted toward consumer staples for stability, and Altria has been a big winner amid that move.
Altria Group, Inc. is a consumer staples company focused on the manufacture and sale of tobacco and nicotine products in the United States. The company’s portfolio includes smokeable products such as cigarettes, large cigars, and pipe tobacco, alongside oral tobacco products, oral nicotine pouches, and e-vapor offerings. Its brands include Marlboro, Black & Mild, Copenhagen, Skoal, on!, and NJOY, giving it a broad presence across combustible and smoke-free categories. Altria Group, Inc. serves adult tobacco consumers through distributors and large retail channels, with operations centered on established mass-market product segments. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, the company remains a major participant in the U.S. tobacco industry through its combination of legacy smoking products and newer reduced-risk nicotine formats.
CEO Mr. Salvatore Mancuso · 5,900 employees · United States · https://www.altria.com
