VTEXVTEXTechnology · Software - Application

VTEX Stock Forecast: VTEX (Cayman Islands) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$4.06
−2.87% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering VTEX (Cayman Islands) hold a median 12-month price target of $4.75 — +17.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$664.6M
Ticker Nerd rank
97 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.75
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$64.4M+9.5% y/y
Operating income$9.7M
Net income$10.0M
Free cash flow$12.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.7%
1M
+10.6%
YTD
+8.0%
1Y
−6.2%
From 52W high
−10.6%
From 52W low
+41.5%
$2.87
$4.54
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VTEX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores VTEX (Cayman Islands) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
97 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
92
Value
89
Volatility
87
Issuance
76
Revisions
75
Accruals
73
Growth
68
Momentum
58
Size
48

Quality (92): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (58): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (48): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VTEX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VTEX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VTEXHigh $12.00Median $4.75Low $4.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $4.00Median $4.75High $12.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 Aug 2026Itau BBADowngradeMarket Perform$4.50
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$4.00 → $4.10
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
11 Mar 2026Banco Bradesco BBI S.AUpgradeOutperform—
15 Jan 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral—
10 Nov 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
16 Oct 2025Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy—
17 Sept 2025JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
22 Aug 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2025JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
23 June 2025CitigroupInitiatesBuy—
13 June 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
27 May 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
22 May 2025JefferiesInitiatesHold—
15 Apr 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 Jan 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
20 Dec 2024UBSMaintainsBuy—
5 Dec 2024CitigroupInitiatesNeutral—
7 Aug 2024JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
14 May 2024JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VTEX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VTEX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, VTEX (Cayman Islands) returned −6.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VTEX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26VTEXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VTEX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+11.0%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

VTEX (Cayman Islands) (VTEX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.3×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.5%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
235.2%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Gross margin
80.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.0%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Net margin
12.0%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.8%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

VTEX (Cayman Islands) (VTEX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • VTEX (Cayman Islands) has a market value of $664.6M and an enterprise value of $485.8M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $252.6M. The latest quarter grew 9.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $30.3M, a 12.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.17.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $44.1M.

  • VTEX (Cayman Islands) spent $73.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 165.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 25.1×; forward P/E: 14.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • VTEX (Cayman Islands) employs 1,139 people — $222K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VTEX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Application
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VTEXVTEX (Cayman Islands)$664.6M
97
MNTNMNTN, Inc.$694.9M
61
MITKMitek Systems, Inc.$715.5M
98
SMWBSimilarWeb Ltd.$716.1M
78
SPTSprout Social, Inc.$661.6M
90
PARPAR Technology Corp.$650.6M
61
PUBMPubMatic, Inc.$818.8M
88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own VTEX (Cayman Islands) — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VTEX news & analysis

VTEX or FFIV: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares VTEX and F5 Networks (FFIV) as Internet - Software stocks, asking which may be the better value option. The excerpt does not provide the comparison’s conclusion.

Why it matters — VTEX watchers may find the relative-value comparison relevant when assessing how the stock is discussed alongside FFIV.

VTEX or ADYEY: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing VTEX and Adyen N.V. Unsponsored ADR as value stock options in the Internet-Software sector, considering investors who may be choosing between the two companies.

Why it matters — The article places VTEX in direct comparison with a major payments peer, highlighting how investors are evaluating VTEX within the broader software sector landscape.

VTEX vs. ADYEY: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of VTEX and Adyen N.V. Unsponsored ADR, presenting both as potential value options for investors in the Internet - Software sector.

Why it matters — The article places VTEX in a value-focused comparison with another sector peer, which could inform how investors assess VTEX relative to similar companies.

VTEX or ADYEY: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing VTEX and Adyen N.V. (ADYEY) as potential value stocks in the Internet - Software sector. The piece examines which of the two companies offers the better value proposition for investors at this time.

Why it matters — A VTEX watcher would care because the article provides a direct valuation comparison between VTEX and a major sector peer, offering context on how the company is being assessed by analysts.

VTEX Margin Gains Impress, But Weak Growth Keeps Me On Hold

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reports that VTEX's revenue growth has lagged expectations despite improving margins and disciplined capital allocation, with growth challenged by weak economic conditions in Brazil and soft demand in Argentina. Management is focused on global expansion, cross-selling B2B, Ads, and CX offerings, and investing in AI capabilities.

Why it matters — VTEX watchers would care because the article highlights a mixed picture of margin expansion and operating leverage offset by underwhelming topline growth in key markets.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VTEX stock

What is the VTEX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering VTEX (Cayman Islands) have a median 12-month price target of $4.75, with estimates ranging from $4 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VTEX stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering VTEX (Cayman Islands), 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks VTEX (Cayman Islands) 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VTEX?

As at 14 Oct 2026, VTEX (Cayman Islands) ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (92 of 100).

Will VTEX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +17.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks VTEX (Cayman Islands) 97 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VTEX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering VTEX (Cayman Islands) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VTEX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $12 over the next 12 months.

How has VTEX stock performed over the past year?

VTEX (Cayman Islands) returned -6.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does VTEX (Cayman Islands) do?

VTEX Class A Common Shares represent equity in VTEX, a software-as-a-service digital commerce company focused on enterprise brands and retailers. VTEX provides a connected commerce platform that helps businesses build online stores, manage orders across multiple channels, and operate marketplaces for third-party sellers.

What is the latest news on VTEX?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "VTEX or FFIV: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?". Zacks Investment Research compares VTEX and F5 Networks (FFIV) as Internet - Software stocks, asking which may be the better value option. The excerpt does not provide the comparison’s conclusion.

Company

About VTEX (Cayman Islands).

VTEX Class A Common Shares represent equity in VTEX, a software-as-a-service digital commerce company focused on enterprise brands and retailers. VTEX provides a connected commerce platform that helps businesses build online stores, manage orders across multiple channels, and operate marketplaces for third-party sellers. The company also offers supporting services such as customer support, project management, solutions architecture, and implementation consulting. Its platform is used across consumer and retail categories including apparel, beauty and health, electronics, grocery, home appliances, department stores, toys, and home furnishings. VTEX is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, and was founded in 2000. VTEX Class A Common Shares are one class of the company’s equity structure, carrying one vote per share and serving as a public-market instrument for investors seeking exposure to the company’s commerce software business.

CEO Mr. Geraldo do Carmo Thomaz Jr. · 1,139 employees · Cayman Islands · https://vtex.com