XOMEnergy · Oil & Gas IntegratedThe 25 Wall Street analysts covering Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $170 — +7.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (77): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Value (1): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XOM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $158 → $185 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $168 → $177 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $182 → $177 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $168 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Hold | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Hold | $130 → $142 |
| 28 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | $154 → $158 |
| 28 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Neutral | $158 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $175 → $170 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $172 → $155 |
| 2 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 16 June 2026 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 26 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XOM appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 21 Sept 2026, Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. returned +44.3% against +15.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. has a market value of $672.5B and an enterprise value of $711.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $361.1B. The latest quarter grew 44.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $33.7B, a 9.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.77.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $30.6B.
Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. spent $20.5B on share buybacks and $17.2B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 21.0×; forward P/E: 15.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.52%, paying out 53% of earnings.
Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. employs 57,900 people — $6.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxonmobil Holdings Corp. | $672.5B | 33 |
| CVXChevron Corp. | $413.9B | 29 |
| CVECenovus Energy, Inc. | $61.0B | 85 |
| COPConocophillips* | $162.9B | 75 |
| NFGNational Fuel Gas Co. | $7.7B | 28 |
| VLOValero Energy Corp.* | $122.7B | 96 |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.* | $119.3B | 96 |
* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas integrated companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
ExxonMobil may return to Venezuela, where its assets were seized twice, most recently forcing it out in 2007. Political risks remain significant, though the venture could offer major rewards.
Why it matters — A potential return to Venezuela could affect ExxonMobil's growth prospects and risk profile, making it relevant to investors tracking the company.
ExxonMobil is expanding its Gulf Coast carbon capture and storage (CCS) network, targeting up to 100 million metric tons of CO2 storage capacity annually. The initiative positions carbon capture as a potential growth market for the company.
Why it matters — A XOM watcher would care because this expansion signals the company's push into carbon capture and storage as a new potential source of growth.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Valero Energy (VLO) as a potential competitor to ExxonMobil, citing its heavy-crude processing edge, strong refining margins, and cheaper valuation as possible advantages even amid higher crude costs. The article frames VLO as potentially offering more upside than ExxonMobil.
Why it matters — A XOM watcher would care because the piece positions a rival refiner as a more attractive energy investment, directly comparing it against ExxonMobil's prospects.
The Motley Fool article discusses how investors can generate $250 a month in income from ExxonMobil stock, highlighting the company's history as a reliable dividend payer and describing it as a strong income investment among energy companies.
Why it matters — A XOM watcher would care because the piece affirms the company's dependable dividend profile, reinforcing its appeal as an income-generating holding.
ExxonMobil shares are trading lower Monday morning as global benchmark crude prices retreat. The decline follows recovering Saudi Arabian export volumes, which offset weekend geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East.
Why it matters — Because ExxonMobil's stock tends to track crude prices, a retreat in oil benchmarks directly weighs on the company's share performance.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $170, with estimates ranging from $142 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering Exxonmobil Holdings Corp., 10 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 19 Sept 2026, Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (77 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +7.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. 33 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XOM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $142 to $200 over the next 12 months.
Exxonmobil Holdings Corp. returned +44.3% over the 12 months to 21 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Common Stock represents an ownership interest in ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation, a major integrated energy company focused on the exploration, production, refining, transportation, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and specialty chemicals. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation also participates in lower-emission and emerging energy-related businesses such as carbon capture, hydrogen, ammonia, lower-emission fuels, and other industrial solutions.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 21 Sept 2026): "Exxon Could Return to the Venezuelan Field It Was Forced Out of in 2007. Here's What Changed.". ExxonMobil may return to Venezuela, where its assets were seized twice, most recently forcing it out in 2007. Political risks remain significant, though the venture could offer major rewards.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Common Stock represents an ownership interest in ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation, a major integrated energy company focused on the exploration, production, refining, transportation, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals, and specialty chemicals. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation also participates in lower-emission and emerging energy-related businesses such as carbon capture, hydrogen, ammonia, lower-emission fuels, and other industrial solutions. The company serves a broad range of markets, including transportation, manufacturing, chemicals, aviation, and industrial customers, through a portfolio of upstream, downstream, chemical, and specialty product operations. ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is a large-cap energy stock that plays a prominent role in global energy supply chains and the broader integrated oil and gas market.
CEO Mr. Darren W. Woods · 57,900 employees · United States · https://corporate.exxonmobil.com
