XOMXOMEnergy · Oil & Gas Integrated

XOM Stock Forecast: ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$177
+1.68% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $178 — +0.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$727.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
40 / 100
Median analyst target
$178
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$114.5B+44.1% y/y
Operating income$18.2B
Net income$14.9B
Free cash flow$17.0B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.9%
1M
+7.2%
YTD
+50.0%
1Y
+62.2%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+64.6%
$108
$177
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

XOM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Oct 2026
40 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
89
Revisions
84
Accruals
64
Issuance
62
Growth
57
Quality
23
Volatility
17
Value
1
Size
0

Momentum (89): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (1): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

XOM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XOM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26XOMHigh $200Median $178Low $142

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
9 Buy16 Hold0 Sell
Low $142Median $178High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
1 Oct 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight$182
28 Sept 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$168 → $180
3 Sept 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$158 → $185
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$168 → $177
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$182 → $177
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$155 → $168
4 Aug 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeHold—
4 Aug 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeHold$130 → $142
28 July 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral$154 → $158
28 July 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
23 July 2026Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$158
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$175 → $170
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$172 → $155
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XOM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

XOM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. returned +62.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

XOM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26XOMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

XOM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+14.4%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. (XOM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.8×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / book
2.8×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.1×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
44.1%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
105.1%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.5%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Net margin
9.1%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.6%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.3%

Higher than 82% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. (XOM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. has a market value of $727.8B and an enterprise value of $754.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $361.1B. The latest quarter grew 44.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $33.7B, a 9.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.77.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $30.6B.

  • ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. spent $20.5B on share buybacks and $17.2B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 4.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.8×; forward P/E: 15.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.33%, paying out 53% of earnings.

  • ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. employs 57,900 people — $6.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

XOM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Integrated
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corp.$727.8B
40
CVXChevron Corp.$430.2B
34
CVECenovus Energy, Inc.$58.7B
—
COPConocoPhillips*$174.1B
88
NFGNational Fuel Gas Co.$7.7B
30
VLOValero Energy Corp.*$135.5B
98
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.*$133.9B
97

* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas integrated companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest XOM news & analysis

New State Street Sector ETFs Give Biggest Stocks Full Weight

ETF Trends · 14 Oct 2026neutral

State Street Investment Management launched four sector ETFs designed to give each sector’s largest companies their full weight. The excerpt highlights XLKM’s 20.93% target weight for Nvidia, compared with 15.41% in the Select Sector counterpart, XLK.

Why it matters — The item concerns sector ETF design and does not provide specific information about ExxonMobil.

All You Need to Know About Exxon (XOM) Rating Upgrade to Buy

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Oct 2026positive

Exxon (XOM) was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects. The source says this might drive the stock higher in the near term.

Why it matters — XOM watchers may note the upgrade as an indication of increased optimism about the company's earnings prospects.

These 3 Oil Giants Make Money Beyond the Wellhead. That's Good News for Dividends

24/7 Wall Street · 14 Oct 2026positive

The article says three energy giants continued raising dividends despite a 14% drop in oil prices last year, citing their integrated business models. It also notes that analysts view one of the companies as the sector’s most recession-proof income stock.

Why it matters — XOM watchers may be interested in how integrated business models can support dividend increases when oil prices fall.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about XOM stock

What is the XOM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $178, with estimates ranging from $142 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is XOM stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp., 9 rate it a Buy, 16 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank XOM?

As at 13 Oct 2026, ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (89 of 100).

Will XOM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +0.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. 40 out of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the XOM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XOM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $142 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has XOM stock performed over the past year?

ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. returned +62.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. do?

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is an American multinational energy and chemical company headquartered in Spring, Texas. It focuses on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, along with the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of petroleum products, petrochemicals, and specialty materials.

What is the latest news on XOM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts". Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) closed at $177.01, up 1.68% from the previous trading session, while the market dipped.

Company

About ExxonMobil Holdings Corp.

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is an American multinational energy and chemical company headquartered in Spring, Texas. It focuses on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, along with the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of petroleum products, petrochemicals, and specialty materials. The company operates through core business areas that include upstream energy production, energy products, chemical products, and specialty products, serving industrial, commercial, and consumer markets worldwide. ExxonMobil also works on lower-emission and advanced energy-related activities such as carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, ammonia, lower-emission fuels, carbon materials, low-carbon data centers, and lithium-related opportunities. As a major integrated energy provider, ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation plays a central role in supplying fuels, lubricants, chemicals, and other materials that support transportation, manufacturing, and broader industrial activity.

CEO Mr. Darren W. Woods · 57,900 employees · United States · https://corporate.exxonmobil.com