XOMEnergy · Oil & Gas IntegratedThe 25 Wall Street analysts covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $177 — +4.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 39 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (88): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Value (1): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (0): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on XOM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $182 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $168 → $180 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $158 → $185 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $168 → $177 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $182 → $177 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $168 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Hold | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Hold | $130 → $142 |
| 28 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | $154 → $158 |
| 28 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Neutral | $158 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $175 → $170 |
| 9 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $172 → $155 |
| 2 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. XOM appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. returned +53.9% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. has a market value of $694.7B and an enterprise value of $713.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $361.1B. The latest quarter grew 44.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $33.7B, a 9.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.77.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $30.6B.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. spent $20.5B on share buybacks and $17.2B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 21.7×; forward P/E: 14.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.44%, paying out 53% of earnings.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. employs 57,900 people — $6.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corp. | $694.7B | 39 |
| CVXChevron Corp. | $418.8B | 34 |
| CVECenovus Energy, Inc. | $58.7B | — |
| COPConocoPhillips* | $165.7B | 86 |
| NFGNational Fuel Gas Co. | $7.5B | 29 |
| VLOValero Energy Corp.* | $128.8B | 97 |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.* | $127.8B | 96 |
* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas integrated companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods previously described Venezuela as “uninvestable,” but the company has since softened its stance.
Why it matters — XOM watchers may care because the company’s evolving stance on Venezuela is relevant to its position on the country.
A 24/7 Wall Street article highlights five blue-chip dividend stocks for retirement income, emphasizing the value of dividend consistency over simply pursuing the highest yield. It notes that one has paid shareholders every quarter since 1916.
Why it matters — XOM watchers may find the article’s focus on long-term dividend reliability relevant when considering dividend stocks, though the excerpt does not identify XOM as one of the five.
ExxonMobil blocked a proposal for partners in Kazakhstan’s Kashagan oil field to settle with the government over a disputed $5 billion environmental fine, Bloomberg News reported, citing people familiar with the matter.
Why it matters — The report concerns ExxonMobil’s role in the partners’ response to a major environmental fine dispute in Kazakhstan.
Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) closed at $168.56 in the most recent trading session, up 2.75% from the previous trading day. The headline notes the gain came as the broader market dipped.
Why it matters — XOM watchers may note that the stock rose during a session when the market declined.
ExxonMobil's low debt load and strong balance sheet are described as cushioning the effects of oil price volatility. They also support acquisitions and shareholder rewards amid market uncertainty.
Why it matters — XOM watchers may view the company's financial position as relevant to its ability to manage volatility and continue acquisitions and shareholder rewards.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $177, with estimates ranging from $142 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp., 9 rate it a Buy, 16 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. 39 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Oct 2026, ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. ranks 39 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (88 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +4.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. 39 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for XOM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $142 to $200 over the next 12 months.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. returned +53.9% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is an American multinational energy and chemical company headquartered in Spring, Texas. It focuses on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, along with the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of petroleum products, petrochemicals, and specialty materials.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 10 Oct 2026): "Why ExxonMobil's Venezuela Warning Could Matter for Energy Investors Right Now". ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods previously described Venezuela as “uninvestable,” but the company has since softened its stance.
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is an American multinational energy and chemical company headquartered in Spring, Texas. It focuses on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, along with the manufacture, trade, transport, and sale of petroleum products, petrochemicals, and specialty materials. The company operates through core business areas that include upstream energy production, energy products, chemical products, and specialty products, serving industrial, commercial, and consumer markets worldwide. ExxonMobil also works on lower-emission and advanced energy-related activities such as carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, ammonia, lower-emission fuels, carbon materials, low-carbon data centers, and lithium-related opportunities. As a major integrated energy provider, ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation plays a central role in supplying fuels, lubricants, chemicals, and other materials that support transportation, manufacturing, and broader industrial activity.
CEO Mr. Darren W. Woods · 57,900 employees · United States · https://corporate.exxonmobil.com
