CVXEnergy · Oil & Gas IntegratedThe 25 Wall Street analysts covering Chevron Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $227 — +9.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Chevron Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (87): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (7): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $205 → $215 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | HSBC | Maintains | Buy | $218 → $250 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $210 → $235 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $207 → $243 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $226 → $230 |
| 3 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $210 → $218 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $216 → $208 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $200 → $205 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $213 → $216 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform | $204 → $209 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $210 → $227 |
| 28 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CVX appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, Chevron Corp. returned +40.0% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Chevron Corp. has a market value of $405.0B and an enterprise value of $439.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $208.7B. The latest quarter grew 53.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $21.0B, a 10.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.43.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $27.0B, after $18.3B of capital spending.
Chevron Corp. spent $11.1B on share buybacks and $13.9B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.0×; forward P/E: 14.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.43%, paying out 67% of earnings.
Chevron Corp. employs 43,039 people — $4.8M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| CVXChevron Corp. | $405.0B | 32 |
| XOMExxonmobil Holdings Corp. | $681.7B | 41 |
| CVECenovus Energy, Inc. | $58.4B | 86 |
| COPConocophillips* | $159.8B | 87 |
| NFGNational Fuel Gas Co. | $7.4B | 30 |
| VLOValero Energy Corp.* | $124.5B | 97 |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp.* | $121.4B | 96 |
* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas integrated companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Chevron Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Chevron’s CEO warned that a diesel export ban would be “unwise” and could make the situation worse.
Why it matters — The comments signal Chevron’s position on a potential policy affecting diesel exports.
Chevron said Tuesday it was transporting non-essential personnel from its Gulf of Mexico offshore platforms as a possible tropical storm approached the US Gulf Coast.
Why it matters — The evacuation of some platform workers is relevant to CVX watchers monitoring the company’s offshore operations amid the approaching storm.
Chevron said several subsidiaries signed agreements with Hess Midstream to restructure Bakken midstream contracts and create new midstream contracts in the DJ Basin. The headline says Chevron will divest ownership interests in Hess Midstream and DJ Basin crude midstream assets.
Why it matters — The agreements and stated divestiture concern Chevron’s midstream contracts and asset ownership in the Bakken and DJ Basin.
Chevron subsidiaries agreed with Hess Midstream to restructure Bakken midstream contracts and establish new DJ Basin midstream contracts. The revised Bakken agreements extend the contracts and are expected to reduce Chevron’s Bakken unit midstream costs by approximately 50%.
Why it matters — The revised terms could lower Chevron’s Bakken costs and support future earnings and return on capital employed.
Chevron increased its stake in PEL 90 ahead of the Nabba-1X well, highlighting its position in Namibia exploration acreage.
Why it matters — CVX watchers may track the increased stake as an update on Chevron’s exposure to the Namibia acreage and its exploration potential.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Chevron Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $227, with estimates ranging from $175 to $250. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering Chevron Corp., 20 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Chevron Corp. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Chevron Corp. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (87 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +9.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Chevron Corp. 32 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Chevron Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $175 to $250 over the next 12 months.
Chevron Corp. returned +40.0% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company focused on the exploration, production, transportation, and sale of crude oil and natural gas, along with the manufacturing of transportation fuels, lubricants, petrochemicals, and additives. Chevron Corporation also develops technologies that support its operations across upstream and downstream activities, serving industrial, commercial, and consumer energy markets worldwide.
The most recent item we track (CNBC, 7 Oct 2026): "Chevron CEO warns against 'unwise' diesel export ban, saying it could make things worse". Chevron’s CEO warned that a diesel export ban would be “unwise” and could make the situation worse.
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company focused on the exploration, production, transportation, and sale of crude oil and natural gas, along with the manufacturing of transportation fuels, lubricants, petrochemicals, and additives. Chevron Corporation also develops technologies that support its operations across upstream and downstream activities, serving industrial, commercial, and consumer energy markets worldwide. Its business spans key segments such as oil and gas production, refining, marketing, and chemicals, making it a significant participant in the global energy supply chain. The company operates in the United States and internationally, with a diversified portfolio designed to support large-scale energy needs across multiple markets.
CEO Mr. Michael K. Wirth · 43,039 employees · United States · https://www.chevron.com
