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AGMAGMFinancial Services · Credit Services

AGM Stock Forecast: Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$204
−0.20% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $255 — +25.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
85 / 100
Median analyst target
$255
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$125.0M+21.7% y/y
Net income$67.0M
Free cash flow$40.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.3%
1M
−8.9%
YTD
+19.2%
1Y
+27.8%
From 52W high
−15.1%
From 52W low
+49.0%
$137
$240
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AGM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
85 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
90
Growth
90
Value
89
Volatility
86
Momentum
77
Quality
69
Issuance
37
Size
34
Accruals
15

Revisions (90): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AGM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AGM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220$240$260Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AGMHigh $262Median $255Low $254

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $254Median $255High $262

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$228 → $255
12 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
12 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$215 → $228
23 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
5 Nov 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform—
8 Aug 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
12 May 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform—
24 Feb 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
8 Aug 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform—
6 Aug 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
29 July 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 May 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesOutperform—
6 Sept 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesOutperform—
29 Mar 2023Sidoti & Co.UpgradeBuy—
23 Feb 2023Sidoti & Co.DowngradeNeutral—
23 Jan 2023Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
5 May 2022Sidoti & Co.UpgradeBuy—
7 May 2021Sidoti & Co.DowngradeNeutral—
18 Feb 2020Sidoti & Co.UpgradeBuy—
22 Feb 2019Compass PointUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AGM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AGM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. returned +27.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AGM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AGMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AGM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.0%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.2×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.4×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
22.1%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
69.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
56.0%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.5%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.6%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 86% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. has a market value of $2.2B and an enterprise value of $38.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $445.6M. The latest quarter grew 24.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $229.0M, a 51.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $310.1M.

  • Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. spent $20.0M on share buybacks and $94.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 10.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.2×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.13%, paying out 34% of earnings.

  • Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. employs 212 people — $2.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AGM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCredit Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AGMFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corp.$2.2B
85
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.$2.2B
28
ECPGEncore Capital Group, Inc.$2.2B
98
EZPWEZCORP, Inc.$2.0B
84
WUThe Western Union Co.$1.9B
63
ATLCAtlanticus Holdings Corp.$1.4B
78
BFHBread Financial Holdings, Inc.$4.0B
97

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AGM news & analysis

Federal Agricultural Mortgage: Locking In 7.28% With Preferred Shares

Seeking Alpha · 27 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha highlights Federal Agricultural Mortgage's preferred shares, noting Series G yields 7.15% with strong dividend coverage. The company reported Q2 net income of $67M and core EPS up 13.5% year-over-year, with preferred dividends covered at a low 12% payout ratio.

Why it matters — The report emphasizes strong earnings growth and dividend coverage for AGM preferred shareholders, while noting manageable credit metrics despite rising loan loss provisions.

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM) warrant close attention from investors, as the activity may signal expectations of a spike in the stock. The article highlights the significance of these options-market movements for AGM.

Why it matters — AGM watchers would care because options-market activity can signal shifts in investor expectations for the stock's near-term price movement.

3 Mortgage & Related Services Stocks to Watch Amid Industry Headwinds

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reported that high mortgage rates are likely to hurt the Mortgage & Related Services industry, but noted that companies including AGM, along with RKT and TREE, are positioned to navigate the challenges and are among stocks to watch.

Why it matters — AGM watchers would care because the report suggests the company is well-positioned to manage the industry headwinds created by elevated mortgage rates.

AGM or UWMC: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 15 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM) and UWM Holdings (UWMC) as value-stock candidates in the Financial - Mortgage & Related Services sector, examining which of the two is more attractive to value investors.

Why it matters — AGM watchers would care because this analysis directly evaluates AGM's appeal as a value stock relative to a peer in the same sector.

Farmer Mac Names Nader Pasdar as Executive Vice President - Chief Business Officer

PRNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Farmer Mac announced the appointment of Nader Pasdar as Executive Vice President – Chief Business Officer, effective August 17, 2026. Pasdar will report directly to Zachary N. Carpenter, who previously held the Chief Business Officer role and became President and CEO on July 1.

Why it matters — This fills a key leadership position at Farmer Mac, succeeding Zachary Carpenter after his promotion to President and CEO, and is relevant to AGM watchers tracking executive management changes.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AGM stock

What is the AGM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $255, with estimates ranging from $254 to $262. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AGM stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AGM?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (90 of 100).

Will AGM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +25.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. 85 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AGM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AGM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $254 to $262 over the next 12 months.

How has AGM stock performed over the past year?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. returned +27.8% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. do?

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Class C Common Stock is the non-voting common equity of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp., a federally chartered institution that provides a secondary market for agricultural real estate, rural housing, and rural infrastructure loans.

What is the latest news on AGM?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 27 Sept 2026): "Federal Agricultural Mortgage: Locking In 7.28% With Preferred Shares". Seeking Alpha highlights Federal Agricultural Mortgage's preferred shares, noting Series G yields 7.15% with strong dividend coverage. The company reported Q2 net income of $67M and core EPS up 13.5% year-over-year, with preferred dividends covered at a low 12% payout ratio.

Company

About Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp.

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. Class C Common Stock is the non-voting common equity of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp., a federally chartered institution that provides a secondary market for agricultural real estate, rural housing, and rural infrastructure loans. The company supports lending in rural America by purchasing, securitizing, and guaranteeing loans tied to farmland, agribusiness, rural utilities, broadband infrastructure, and renewable energy projects. Its operations are organized across business lines including Farm & Ranch, Corporate AgFinance, Rural Utilities, Broadband Infrastructure, Renewable Energy, Funding, and Investments. Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. serves lenders and borrowers by improving liquidity and credit access in specialized agricultural and rural finance markets. Headquartered in Washington, D.C. and founded in 1987, it remains a specialized financial services provider focused on the long-term financing needs of rural communities and related industries.

CEO Mr. Zachary N. Carpenter · 212 employees · United States · https://www.farmermac.com