BSRRFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

BSRR Stock Forecast: Sierra Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$42
−1.25% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sierra Bancorp hold a median 12-month price target of $45 — +7.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 97 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$543.3M
Ticker Nerd rank
97/ 100
Median analyst target
$45
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$36.9M−0.3% y/y
Net income$9.9M
Free cash flow$5.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.4%
1M
+7.3%
YTD
+30.9%
1Y
+47.5%
From 52W high
−2.4%
From 52W low
+50.3%
$28
$43
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BSRR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sierra Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
97/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
98
Momentum
91
Revisions
89
Quality
82
Growth
77
Value
63
Accruals
60
Size
51
Volatility
26

Issuance (98): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (26): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

BSRR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BSRR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BSRRHigh $49Median $45Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
1 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $42Median $45High $49

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$47 → $49
3 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$40 → $39
28 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$44
28 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
2 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
3 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
29 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
28 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
29 Apr 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
4 Dec 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 July 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
15 May 2024Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral—
23 Apr 2024Janney Montgomery ScottUpgradeBuy—
23 Apr 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
25 July 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
7 June 2023Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$17
25 Apr 2023DA DavidsonUpgradeBuy—
25 Apr 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
31 Jan 2023Hovde GroupDowngradeMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

BSRR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

The AI build-out map
PDF
  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

BSRR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Sierra Bancorp returned +47.5% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BSRR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BSRRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BSRR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.9×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.4×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.8%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
57.6%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
47.0%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Net margin
32.1%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.0%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.6%

Higher than 83% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sierra Bancorp has a market value of $543.3M and an enterprise value of $648.5M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $148.3M. The latest quarter grew 15.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $45.0M, a 30.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.42.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $44.7M.

  • Sierra Bancorp spent $28.5M on share buybacks and $13.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 13.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.9×; forward P/E: 10.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.58%, paying out 27% of earnings.

  • Sierra Bancorp employs 447 people — $332K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 31 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BSRR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BSRRSierra Bancorp$543.3M97
NPBNorthpointe Bancshares, Inc.$546.0M26
PDLBPonce Financial Group, Inc.$539.8M56
SFSTSouthern First Bancshares, Inc.$554.0M55
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.$531.1M78
NRIMNorthrim BanCorp, Inc.$530.5M53
BSVNBank7 Corp.$558.1M61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sierra Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BSRR news & analysis

Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for October 29th

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research listed Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) among its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks on October 29, 2026, alongside BOOM.

Why it matters — The item notes that BSRR appeared on Zacks’ Strong Buy momentum-stock list on that date.

New Strong Buy Stocks for October 29th

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research added Sierra Bancorp (BSRR), along with ODD, BOOM, AIN and MUR, to its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List on October 29, 2026.

Why it matters — BSRR watchers may note that Zacks included the company on its Strong Buy list on that date.

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports on Sierra Bancorp’s Q3 earnings for the quarter ended September 2026, noting the headline results and the value of comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals.

Why it matters — These comparisons provide context for assessing BSRR’s quarterly performance against expectations and the prior-year period.

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Oct 2026positive

Sierra Bancorp reported third-quarter earnings of $1.18 per share, above the Zacks consensus estimate of $0.90. Earnings were $0.72 per share in the year-ago quarter.

Why it matters — The result gives BSRR watchers an update on quarterly earnings relative to analyst expectations and the prior-year period.

Sierra Bancorp Reports Record Quarterly Income

Business Wire · 26 Oct 2026positive

Sierra Bancorp reported record quarterly income.

Why it matters — The report highlights a quarterly income milestone relevant to investors following BSRR.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BSRR stock

What is the BSRR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sierra Bancorp have a median 12-month price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $42 to $49. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BSRR stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Sierra Bancorp, 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sierra Bancorp 97 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BSRR?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Sierra Bancorp ranks 97 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (98 of 100).

Will BSRR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +7.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sierra Bancorp 97 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BSRR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sierra Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BSRR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $49 over the next 12 months.

How has BSRR stock performed over the past year?

Sierra Bancorp returned +47.5% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sierra Bancorp do?

Sierra Bancorp is a bank holding company based in Porterville, California. Through Bank of the Sierra and its subsidiaries, Sierra Bancorp provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses across California.

What is the latest news on BSRR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for October 29th". Zacks Investment Research listed Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) among its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) momentum stocks on October 29, 2026, alongside BOOM.

Company

About Sierra Bancorp.

Sierra Bancorp is a bank holding company based in Porterville, California. Through Bank of the Sierra and its subsidiaries, Sierra Bancorp provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses across California. Its offerings include deposit accounts, lending products, and specialized agricultural credit services, supporting customers in sectors such as agriculture, real estate, construction, consumer banking, and small business finance. The company focuses on relationship-based banking through a regional branch network and dedicated lending operations, making it a significant provider of community and commercial financial services in its core markets.

CEO Mr. Kevin J. McPhaill · 447 employees · United States · https://www.bankofthesierra.com