BSRRFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

BSRR Stock Forecast: Sierra Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$40
−0.26% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sierra Bancorp hold a median 12-month price target of $43 — +6.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 77 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$528.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
77 / 100
Median analyst target
$43
Analysts covering
5
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.2%
1M
−1.1%
YTD
+26.2%
1Y
+46.7%
From 52W high
−5.1%
From 52W low
+56.5%
$26
$43
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BSRR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sierra Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
77 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
94
Momentum
84
Quality
70
Value
68
Growth
61
Accruals
61
Size
52
Revisions
34
Volatility
25

Issuance (94): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Volatility (25): The share price moves around a lot.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sierra Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

BSRR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BSRR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35$40$45$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BSRRHigh $47Median $43Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says5 analysts
1 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $40Median $43High $47

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$44
2 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
3 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
29 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
28 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
30 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
29 Apr 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
4 Dec 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
23 July 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
15 May 2024Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral
23 Apr 2024Janney Montgomery ScottUpgradeBuy
23 Apr 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
25 July 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
7 June 2023Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$17
25 Apr 2023DA DavidsonUpgradeBuy
25 Apr 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
31 Jan 2023Hovde GroupDowngradeMarket Perform
14 Nov 2022Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform
7 July 2022Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform
26 Apr 2022Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

BSRR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−5.1%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.0×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.5×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−3.2%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.7%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
36.1%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
29.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.5%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 58% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BSRR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BSRRSierra Bancorp$528.4M
77
BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc.$536.8M
95
OBTOrange County Bancorp, Inc.$512.9M
75
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.$509.8M
90
HBCPHome Bancorp, Inc.$558.5M
88
BWBBridgewater Bancshares, Inc.$564.9M
73
GCBCGreene County Bancorp, Inc.$569.7M
50
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BSRR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest BSRR news & analysis

Compared to Estimates, Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 27 July 2026neutral

The article discusses Sierra Bancorp's Q2 2026 performance, comparing its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

Why it matters — Investors tracking BSRR can see how the bank's quarterly results measure up against analyst expectations and past performance.

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Lags Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 27 July 2026negative

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) reported Q2 earnings of $0.77 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.89 per share, and down from $0.78 per share a year ago.

Why it matters — The earnings miss fell short of analyst expectations, which may raise concerns about the company's near-term performance relative to forecasts.

Sierra Bancorp Reports Financial Results for Second Quarter and First Six Months of 2026

Business Wire · 27 July 2026neutral

Sierra Bancorp announced its financial results for the second quarter and first six months of 2026. The report covers the company's performance during those periods.

Why it matters — BSRR watchers would care because the financial results provide insight into the company's performance and financial health for the first half of 2026.

Sierra Bancorp Announces 4% Increase in Quarterly Cash Dividend

Business Wire · 24 July 2026positive

Sierra Bancorp announced a 4% increase in its quarterly cash dividend.

Why it matters — A dividend increase signals the company's confidence in its financial performance and rewards shareholders with higher income.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BSRR stock

What is the BSRR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sierra Bancorp have a median 12-month price target of $43, with estimates ranging from $40 to $47. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BSRR stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Sierra Bancorp, 1 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sierra Bancorp 77 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BSRR?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Sierra Bancorp ranks 77 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (94 of 100).

Will BSRR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +6.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sierra Bancorp 77 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BSRR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sierra Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BSRR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $47 over the next 12 months.

How has BSRR stock performed over the past year?

Sierra Bancorp returned +46.7% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sierra Bancorp do?

Sierra Bancorp is a bank holding company that provides a range of personal and business banking services through its subsidiary, Bank of the Sierra. Established in 1977 and headquartered in Porterville, California, this financial institution primarily serves communities throughout California's Central Valley and into the Southern California region.

What is the latest news on BSRR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 July 2026): "Compared to Estimates, Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics". The article discusses Sierra Bancorp's Q2 2026 performance, comparing its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

Company

About Sierra Bancorp.

Sierra Bancorp is a bank holding company that provides a range of personal and business banking services through its subsidiary, Bank of the Sierra. Established in 1977 and headquartered in Porterville, California, this financial institution primarily serves communities throughout California's Central Valley and into the Southern California region. The core function of Sierra Bancorp is to offer banking products that include loans, deposit accounts, and wealth management services. It caters to individuals, small businesses, and agricultural enterprises, reflecting its commitment to meeting the diverse financial needs within its operating region. Noteworthy features of Sierra Bancorp include its emphasis on community banking, which fosters strong local relationships and personalized customer service. The company holds a significant place in the financial market due to its focus on supporting local economies through financing and banking services tailored to regional market dynamics. Additionally, Sierra Bancorp's consistent performance in the banking sector underscores its role as a trusted financial partner in the communities it serves, providing essential services that bolster local economic growth and stability.

CEO Mr. Kevin J. McPhaill · 452 employees · United States · https://www.bankofthesierra.com