HCIFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering HCI Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $235 — +20.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HCI Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (99): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (14): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HCI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.0% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $255 → $265 |
| 9 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Initiates | Overweight | $225 |
| 9 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Oppenheimer | Downgrade | Perform | — |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 May 2025 | Compass Point | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 19 May 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 9 May 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Citizens Capital Markets | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 17 Dec 2024 | Truist Securities | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Compass Point | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 15 Oct 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 8 Oct 2024 | Compass Point | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Sept 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 9 Aug 2024 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 9 May 2024 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HCI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, HCI Group, Inc. returned −0.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
HCI Group, Inc. has a market value of $2.4B and an enterprise value of $1.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $952.7M. The latest quarter grew 11.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $343.8M, a 36.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $23.20.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $409.4M.
HCI Group, Inc. spent $86.5M on share buybacks and $20.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.4×; forward P/E: 9.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.82%, paying out 7% of earnings.
HCI Group, Inc. employs 594 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HCI Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
HCI Group closed the most recent trading day at $195.76, down 1.57% from the previous trading session.
Why it matters — The closing price and daily decline provide a recent snapshot of HCI’s trading performance for investors following the stock.
HCI Group shares have begun gaining, and the excerpt says they might continue moving higher in the near term, citing solid earnings estimate revisions.
Why it matters — HCI watchers may note the positive estimate revisions cited alongside the recent share gains.
HCI Group has recently received notable attention from users of Zacks.com, according to Zacks Investment Research. The excerpt does not identify specific factors affecting the company’s stock prospects.
Why it matters — HCI watchers may note the recent investor attention, while the excerpt provides no details about its causes or implications.
HCI was included with SMCI and SM on Zacks Investment Research’s Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) value stocks list for October 8, 2026.
Why it matters — HCI watchers may note the company’s inclusion in this Zacks value-stocks list.
HCI Group closed at $186.73 in the latest trading session, up 1.25% from the previous day.
Why it matters — HCI watchers may note the stock’s gain in a session described as occurring despite a broader market slip.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering HCI Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $235, with estimates ranging from $225 to $265. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering HCI Group, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HCI Group, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, HCI Group, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +20.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HCI Group, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering HCI Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HCI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $225 to $265 over the next 12 months.
HCI Group, Inc. returned -0.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
HCI Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that focuses on residential coverage for homeowners, condominium owners, renters, and mobile home policyholders.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "HCI Group (HCI) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors". HCI Group closed the most recent trading day at $195.76, down 1.57% from the previous trading session.
HCI Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that focuses on residential coverage for homeowners, condominium owners, renters, and mobile home policyholders. HCI Group serves markets primarily in Florida, while also offering products in selected other U.S. states through its insurance subsidiaries. In addition to underwriting and policy administration, the company provides claims adjusting and processing services, along with insurance technology and operations solutions through its Exzeo platform and related systems. HCI Group also operates reciprocal exchange activities and maintains a real estate segment, giving it a diversified business mix within the insurance and property services landscape. Based in Tampa, Florida, HCI Group plays a specialized role in personal lines insurance by combining underwriting, technology, and operational services for carriers and agents.
CEO Mr. Pareshbhai Suryakant Patel · 594 employees · United States · https://www.hcigroup.com
