LUVLUVIndustrials · Airlines

LUV Stock Forecast: Southwest Airlines Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 13 Aug 2026
$45
−0.24% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Southwest Airlines Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $52 — +15.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$22.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
85 / 100
Median analyst target
$52
Analysts covering
25
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.4%
1M
−6.4%
YTD
+9.5%
1Y
+47.6%
From 52W high
−17.4%
From 52W low
+53.2%
$29
$54
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

LUV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Southwest Airlines Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
85 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
91
Quality
81
Value
80
Growth
77
Revisions
73
Issuance
63
Momentum
63
Accruals
59
Size
10

Volatility (91): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (59): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

LUV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LUV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26LUVHigh $67Median $52Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says25 analysts
11 Buy9 Hold5 Sell
Low $35Median $52High $67

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$59$60
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$55$50
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$60$59
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$44$55
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$60$65
6 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform
6 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$55$60
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$45$59
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$30$35
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$47$53
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform$40$45
30 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
30 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$44$50
26 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LUV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

LUV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+29.9%
Analysts raising
19
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
28.1×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.8×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.4%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.4%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.4%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.4%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Net margin
2.8%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.3%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.6%

Higher than 38% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

LUV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.$22.0B
85
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.$40.9B
69
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.$9.9B
62
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.$60.0B
83
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.6B
77
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$5.3B
27
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$4.2B
82

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Southwest Airlines Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LUV news & analysis

Why Southwest Airlines (LUV) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Southwest Airlines (LUV) as a top value stock for long-term investors, using its Zacks Style Scores system to identify strong, market-beating stocks.

Why it matters — The article positions LUV as a compelling long-term value pick, which could influence investor perception and interest in the stock.

Southwest Airlines Appoints Jason Liberty and Varun Krishna to Board of Directors

PRNewsWire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Southwest Airlines announced the appointment of Jason Liberty, Chairman and CEO of Royal Caribbean Group, and Varun Krishna, CEO of Rocket Companies, to its Board of Directors, effective immediately. The company stated the two additions bring public company leadership experience in technology, digital innovation, commercial strategy, and financial leadership.

Why it matters — LUV watchers would note that fresh board members with technology and commercial strategy expertise could factor into how the airline executes its strategic priorities.

We Just Had the Busiest Day for Commercial Air Travel Ever. Here's What It Means for Airline Stocks.

The Motley Fool · 7 Aug 2026neutral

The article reports that commercial air travel set its busiest day on record, and notes that three major carriers posted strong second-quarter results. However, it also highlights that a surge in fuel costs remains a risk factor for the airlines.

Why it matters — Record air travel demand and strong industry results point to a healthy environment for Southwest, but higher fuel costs could pressure its operating expenses.

Southwest Airlines is courting business travelers with a new offering: Here's everything you can get out of it

Fast Company · 5 Aug 2026positive

Southwest Airlines is introducing a new offering aimed at business travelers, described as making business trips easier. The details of the offering are being presented as a package of benefits, though specific components are not detailed in this excerpt.

Why it matters — Business travelers are a key growth segment for LUV, so a new offering targeting them could broaden the airline's revenue mix beyond leisure flyers.

Oil Just Lost its Inflation Premium: Here's Who Wins if Prices Stay Low

Benzinga · 5 Aug 2026positive

Oil prices fell for a second consecutive session after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's comments and other market developments reinforced expectations that inflation pressures may continue to ease.

Why it matters — Lower oil prices could reduce fuel costs for Southwest Airlines, a major operating expense for the carrier.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LUV stock

What is the LUV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Southwest Airlines Co. have a median 12-month price target of $52, with estimates ranging from $35 to $67. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is LUV stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Southwest Airlines Co., 11 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Southwest Airlines Co. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LUV?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Southwest Airlines Co. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (91 of 100).

Will LUV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +15.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Southwest Airlines Co. 85 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the LUV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Southwest Airlines Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LUV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $67 over the next 12 months.

How has LUV stock performed over the past year?

Southwest Airlines Co. returned +47.6% over the 12 months to 13 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Southwest Airlines Co. do?

Southwest Airlines Co. is a major U.S.

What is the latest news on LUV?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Aug 2026): "Why Southwest Airlines (LUV) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term". Zacks Investment Research highlighted Southwest Airlines (LUV) as a top value stock for long-term investors, using its Zacks Style Scores system to identify strong, market-beating stocks.

Company

About Southwest Airlines Co.

Southwest Airlines Co. is a major U.S. passenger airline that focuses on providing scheduled air transportation services for leisure and business travelers. The company operates an extensive point-to-point network, primarily within the United States, and also serves select destinations in the Caribbean, Mexico, and Central America. Southwest Airlines is known for its single-class cabin configuration, open seating policy, and inclusion of benefits such as no-charge checked bags on many fares, which differentiates its service model in the commercial aviation market. The airline generates revenue through passenger fares and a range of ancillary services, including early check-in options, upgraded boarding, and travel-related fees. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Southwest Airlines plays a significant role in the North American air travel industry by emphasizing high-frequency routes, competitive pricing, and operations at both major and secondary airports. Its business is positioned within the broader industrials and transportation sector, serving individuals, small businesses, and corporate travel customers across its network.

CEO Mr. Robert E. Jordan · 73,456 employees · United States · https://www.southwest.com