SEATCommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 9 Wall Street analysts covering Vivid Seats, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +211.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 25 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vivid Seats, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (99): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (5): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SEAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +211.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | $7.00 → $7.50 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $16 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $8.00 → $9.00 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 10 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $7.75 → $9.25 |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Craig-Hallum | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 Mar 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 23 Oct 2025 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 8 Aug 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SEAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Vivid Seats, Inc. returned −74.7% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 93% of US stocks
Cheaper than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Vivid Seats, Inc. has a market value of $37.7M and an enterprise value of $302.0M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $518.8M. The latest quarter shrank 9.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$477.3M, a −92.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−30.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$7.0M.
Vivid Seats, Inc. spent $2.4M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 46.5×; forward P/E: −0.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Vivid Seats, Inc. employs 557 people — $931K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vivid Seats, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Vivid Seats renewed its partnership with Make-A-Wish for National Fan Day and will match donations up to $50,000.
Why it matters — The announcement highlights the company’s charitable partnership and donation-matching commitment.
Vivid Seats Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings conference call, during which management discussed the company's quarterly financial results and operations.
Why it matters — Earnings calls provide SEAT investors with direct insight into the company's performance and strategic outlook.
Vivid Seats reported sequential growth in gross order value, revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2026, aided by demand related to the FIFA World Cup. Management said the event generated an unusually large concentration of marketplace activity, while the company continued to invest in its buyer experience, seller tools and private-label business.
Why it matters — A SEAT watcher would care because these results indicate the ticket marketplace sustained momentum into 2026 while maintaining investment in its platform ahead of major event demand.
Vivid Seats Inc. reported a Q2 loss of $1.30 per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $1.03 loss but above revenue estimates. The result compares unfavorably with earnings of $5.60 per share a year earlier.
Why it matters — A SEAT watcher would care because the quarterly loss came in larger than expected and marked a sharp reversal from the year-ago profit.
Vivid Seats Inc. announced its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, on August 4, 2026. The company, which operates a technology-based ticket marketplace connecting buyers and sellers, provided these results in a press release.
Why it matters — A SEAT watcher would care because this is the company's official quarterly financial disclosure, which reflects how it performed in the period.
The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Vivid Seats, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $7.5 to $16. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 9 analysts covering Vivid Seats, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vivid Seats, Inc. 25 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Vivid Seats, Inc. ranks 25 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +211.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vivid Seats, Inc. 25 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Vivid Seats, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SEAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7.5 to $16 over the next 12 months.
Vivid Seats, Inc. returned -74.7% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Vivid Seats Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Vivid Seats, an online ticket marketplace focused on live entertainment and sports.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 8 Oct 2026): "Vivid Seats Celebrates National Fan Day® by Giving Back and Granting Wishes". Vivid Seats renewed its partnership with Make-A-Wish for National Fan Day and will match donations up to $50,000.
Vivid Seats Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Vivid Seats, an online ticket marketplace focused on live entertainment and sports. Vivid Seats connects buyers and sellers of tickets through its website and mobile applications, with services centered on concerts, theater, comedy, and sporting events. The company also operates related digital brands and platforms, including marketplaces for travel and entertainment packages, broadening its role across event discovery and ticket access. Its business model is organized around marketplace and resale activities, making it a key intermediary in the secondary ticketing market. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Vivid Seats serves customers primarily in the United States, while also supporting activity in Canada and Japan.
CEO Mr. Lawrence C. Fey IV · 557 employees · United States · https://www.vividseats.com
