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SRCE Stock Forecast: 1st Source Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$87
+0.54% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering 1st Source Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $87 — -0.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 94 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
94 / 100
Median analyst target
$87
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$118.2M+9.2% y/y
Net income$47.5M
Free cash flow$49.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.6%
1M
−1.0%
YTD
+41.9%
1Y
+38.7%
From 52W high
−4.0%
From 52W low
+55.1%
$56
$91
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SRCE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores 1st Source Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
94 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
97
Momentum
97
Volatility
95
Quality
92
Growth
73
Issuance
65
Accruals
43
Size
35
Value
33

Revisions (97): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Value (33): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SRCE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SRCE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SRCEHigh $100Median $87Low $82

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
1 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $82Median $87High $100

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$88 → $100
27 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$77 → $87
27 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$79 → $82
27 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
27 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$74
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$83 → $88
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
28 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
26 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
28 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
28 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform—
28 July 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
28 Apr 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
27 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
27 Jan 2025Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight—
29 July 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesMarket Perform—
29 July 2024Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral—
29 Apr 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
22 Jan 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SRCE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SRCE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, 1st Source Corp. returned +38.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SRCE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SRCES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SRCE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.7%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

1st Source Corp. (SRCE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.5×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.7×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.0%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
27.4%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
54.1%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Net margin
38.6%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.1%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.1%

Higher than 46% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

1st Source Corp. (SRCE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • 1st Source Corp. has a market value of $2.1B and an enterprise value of $2.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $452.8M. The latest quarter grew 16.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $170.9M, a 37.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.96.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $208.1M, after $6.8M of capital spending.

  • 1st Source Corp. spent $33.9M on share buybacks and $40.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 24.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.5×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.07%, paying out 23% of earnings.

  • 1st Source Corp. employs 1,190 people — $380K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SRCE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SRCE1st Source Corp.$2.1B
94
TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc. (Delaware)$2.1B
55
CHCOCity Holding Co.$2.1B
81
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial Corp. (Pennsylvania)$2.2B
86
NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc. (Pennsylvania)$2.3B
55
OFGOFG Bancorp$2.3B
98
EFSCEnterprise Financial Services Corp.$2.3B
44

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own 1st Source Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SRCE news & analysis

Why 1st Source (SRCE) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether 1st Source (SRCE) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, noting that finding a good dividend stock is not easy. The article asks whether SRCE has what it takes to meet that bar.

Why it matters — The report highlights SRCE's dividend appeal, signaling to investors that the company may warrant attention from income-focused shareholders.

Why 1st Source (SRCE) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting 1st Source (SRCE) as a top dividend stock for a portfolio, discussing the benefits of dividends as a shareholder and evaluating whether SRCE qualifies as a great dividend pick.

Why it matters — SRCE watchers would note that the company is being featured by a prominent research provider as a strong dividend stock, drawing attention to its shareholder-return profile.

What Makes 1st Source (SRCE) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research examines whether 1st Source (SRCE) qualifies as a strong momentum stock for investors. The article appears to highlight positive momentum characteristics of the stock.

Why it matters — A Zacks analysis focused on momentum can indicate how SRCE is perceived in the market relative to other stocks, which matters to shareholders tracking the company's trading performance.

1st Source Corporation: Strong Asset Quality Makes The Grade

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha assigned a soft "buy" rating to 1st Source Corporation, citing robust growth, strong asset quality, and margin expansion. The article notes that net interest margin improved to 4.24%, and net profits rose from $124.9M in 2023 to $158.3M last year.

Why it matters — SRCE watchers would care because the analysis highlights how the company's diversified lending, including specialty finance and renewable energy, supports above-peer returns on assets and equity.

1st Source (SRCE) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article evaluating whether 1st Source (SRCE) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, highlighting dividends as a key shareholder benefit and questioning what makes the company appealing on that basis.

Why it matters — A SRCE watcher would care because the article assesses the company's dividend attractiveness, a key factor for income-focused investors following the stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SRCE stock

What is the SRCE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering 1st Source Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $87, with estimates ranging from $82 to $100. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SRCE stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering 1st Source Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks 1st Source Corp. 94 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SRCE?

As at 12 Sept 2026, 1st Source Corp. ranks 94 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (97 of 100).

Will SRCE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies -0.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks 1st Source Corp. 94 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SRCE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering 1st Source Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SRCE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $100 over the next 12 months.

How has SRCE stock performed over the past year?

1st Source Corp. returned +38.7% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does 1st Source Corp. do?

1st Source Corp. is a bank holding company that provides a broad range of financial services through its principal banking subsidiary, 1st Source Bank.

What is the latest news on SRCE?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Sept 2026): "Why 1st Source (SRCE) is a Great Dividend Stock Right Now". Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether 1st Source (SRCE) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, noting that finding a good dividend stock is not easy. The article asks whether SRCE has what it takes to meet that bar.

Company

About 1st Source Corp.

1st Source Corp. is a bank holding company that provides a broad range of financial services through its principal banking subsidiary, 1st Source Bank. The company serves individuals, businesses, and institutions with commercial and consumer banking, trust and wealth advisory, insurance, treasury management, and specialty finance solutions. Its banking franchise is focused on relationship-based service in northern Indiana and southwestern Michigan, while its specialty finance operations extend nationwide through targeted lending niches. These include financing for aircraft, construction equipment, trucks, fleets, and other specialized assets. 1st Source Corp. plays a role in regional banking by supporting local deposit and lending needs, and it also participates in fee-based financial services that complement its traditional banking activities. Headquartered in South Bend, Indiana, 1st Source Corp. is recognized for combining community banking with specialized lending expertise.

CEO Ms. Andrea Gayle Short CPA · 1,190 employees · United States · https://www.1stsource.com