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CVNA Stock Forecast: Carvana Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$69
−1.59% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carvana Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $83 — +20.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 45 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$76.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
45 / 100
Median analyst target
$83
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$7.4B+52.4% y/y
Operating income$680.0M
Net income$513.0M
Free cash flow$187.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.8%
1M
−3.9%
YTD
−18.1%
1Y
−2.4%
From 52W high
−27.7%
From 52W low
+22.9%
$56
$96
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CVNA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Carvana Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
45 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
95
Growth
84
Revisions
72
Issuance
65
Momentum
54
Value
18
Accruals
16
Volatility
14
Size
4

Quality (95): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Volatility (14): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CVNA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVNA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CVNAHigh $120Median $83Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
16 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $60Median $83High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 11 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$87
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$94 → $93
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$93 → $90
30 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsNeutral$86 → $69
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$97 → $87
30 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$103 → $83
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$86 → $75
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$102 → $90
30 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$120
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$85 → $82
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$85 → $80
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$93 → $94
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$95 → $85
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$95 → $90
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
11 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
5 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
5 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CVNA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CVNA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Carvana Co. returned −2.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CVNA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CVNAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CVNA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Carvana Co. (CVNA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.1×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
12.3×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.3×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
52.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
69.4%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.8%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.2%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Net margin
6.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
58.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.7%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Carvana Co. (CVNA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Carvana Co. has a market value of $76.7B and an enterprise value of $53.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $25.1B. The latest quarter grew 52.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.1B, a 8.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.81.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $929.0M.

  • Shares outstanding: 719.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 36.6×; forward P/E: 30.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Carvana Co. employs 23,100 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CVNA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CVNACarvana Co.$76.7B
45
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$14.2B
62
KMXCarMax, Inc.$8.7B
61
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$8.2B
49
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.0B
58
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.7B
90
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.3B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Carvana Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CVNA news & analysis

US CPI today: 5 stocks that could explode if inflation delivers a surprise

Invezz · 11 Sept 2026neutral

Wall Street is awaiting Friday's CPI report, which could determine whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next week. August CPI is expected to rise 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core inflation forecast at 0.2% monthly and 2.4% annually.

Why it matters — A CVNA watcher would care because the CPI outcome and the Fed's rate decision next week could influence borrowing costs and demand in the rate-sensitive auto sector.

Why Carvana (CVNA) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026negative

Carvana (CVNA) closed at $70.28 in the most recent trading session, a -4.26% decline from the previous trading day, falling more than the broader market.

Why it matters — A sharper-than-market decline in CVNA stock is notable for investors tracking the company's share performance and volatility.

Carvana: There Is Still Room For More Growth

Seeking Alpha · 10 Sept 2026positive

Carvana has delivered a roughly 15% gain since early June 2026, defying persistent bearish sentiment and sharp volatility. The article notes that the company's stock trajectory has repeatedly proven bearish forecasts wrong, and that Carvana remains the go-to option for those seeking to avoid a traditional dealership experience.

Why it matters — CVNA watchers would care because the article highlights Carvana's resilience in outperforming bearish expectations, reinforcing its continued market position among car-buyers seeking an alternative to dealerships.

Carvana VP Stephen Palmer Sells 8,023 Shares

The Motley Fool · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Carvana Vice President Stephen Palmer sold 8,023 shares, with a total transaction value of approximately $576,000 based on a weighted average price of $71.79. The sale represented 6% of his direct equity holdings before the filing.

Why it matters — A CVNA watcher would note this insider sale as it reduces Palmer's direct stake in the company, though it is a routine disclosure of a partial position reduction.

Wall Street Analysts Think Carvana (CVNA) Is a Good Investment: Is It?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026neutral

The article from Zacks Investment Research discusses whether Wall Street analysts' recommendations on Carvana constitute a good investment signal, examining the general role of brokerage-firm analyst ratings in stock decisions while noting that such rating changes can influence stock prices.

Why it matters — Carvana watchers would care because the piece questions the reliability of analyst recommendations that often move the stock's price.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CVNA stock

What is the CVNA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carvana Co. have a median 12-month price target of $83, with estimates ranging from $60 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CVNA stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Carvana Co., 16 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Carvana Co. 45 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CVNA?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Carvana Co. ranks 45 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (95 of 100).

Will CVNA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +20.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Carvana Co. 45 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CVNA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Carvana Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVNA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has CVNA stock performed over the past year?

Carvana Co. returned -2.4% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Carvana Co. do?

Carvana Co. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Carvana Co., a used-vehicle retail and e-commerce business based in Tempe, Arizona.

What is the latest news on CVNA?

The most recent item we track (Invezz, 11 Sept 2026): "US CPI today: 5 stocks that could explode if inflation delivers a surprise". Wall Street is awaiting Friday's CPI report, which could determine whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rates next week. August CPI is expected to rise 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, with core inflation forecast at 0.2% monthly and 2.4% annually.

Company

About Carvana Co.

Carvana Co. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Carvana Co., a used-vehicle retail and e-commerce business based in Tempe, Arizona. Carvana’s platform enables customers to browse, finance, buy, trade in, and sell used cars online, with operations centered on digital vehicle retailing and related automotive services. The company’s business model also includes wholesale vehicle transactions and additional offerings tied to vehicle financing, vehicle service contracts, insurance-related products, and trade-in support. Carvana serves individual consumers through its online marketplace and logistics network, making it a notable participant in the broader automotive retail and online commerce sectors. As a Class A common stock, the security reflects the market’s view of a company focused on simplifying the used-car buying and selling process through an integrated digital experience.

CEO Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III · 23,100 employees · United States · https://www.carvana.com