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CVNA Stock Forecast: Carvana Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$66
+6.05% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carvana Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $83 — +24.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 45 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$92.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
45 / 100
Median analyst target
$83
Analysts covering
24
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.3%
1M
−3.6%
YTD
−21.7%
1Y
−10.1%
From 52W high
−30.9%
From 52W low
+17.6%
$56
$96
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CVNA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Carvana Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
45 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
94
Growth
89
Revisions
73
Issuance
64
Momentum
46
Value
24
Accruals
16
Volatility
14
Size
4

Quality (94): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Volatility (14): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Carvana Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

CVNA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVNA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$70$80$90$100$110$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CVNAHigh $120Median $83Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says24 analysts
16 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $60Median $83High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 11 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$94 → $93
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$93 → $90
30 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsNeutral$86 → $69
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$97 → $87
30 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$103 → $83
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$86 → $75
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$102 → $90
30 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$120
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$85 → $82
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$85 → $80
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$93 → $94
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$95 → $85
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$95 → $90
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
11 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
5 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
5 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
2 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

CVNA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.7%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Carvana Co. (CVNA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
33.0×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / book
11.1×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.4×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
52.4%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
69.4%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.8%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.2%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
6.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
58.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.7%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

CVNA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CVNACarvana Co.$92.8B
45
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$14.3B
55
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$8.8B
38
KMXCarMax, Inc.$8.1B
63
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.3B
64
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$6.2B
95
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.9B
65
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CVNA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest CVNA news & analysis

Ca$htag$: CVNA Selloff Creates Opportunity

Schwab Network · 31 July 2026positive

Megan Brantley of LikeFolio stated on the Schwab Network that Carvana's consumer demand remains strong and that buyers are choosing the online used-car retailer at an increasing rate. She believes the stock was overly punished after its earnings reaction and that the underlying business remains strong.

Why it matters — The assessment offers a bullish outside view that counters the negative market reaction to Carvana's latest earnings, suggesting to watchers that the selloff may have been overdone.

Carvana: Profit Compression Makes This Stock Tougher To Bank On (Downgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026negative

Seeking Alpha downgraded Carvana, citing compression in gross profit per unit and declining adjusted EBITDA margins following Q2 results. The company's FY26 profit outlook also disappointed, forecasting adjusted EBITDA of $2.70–$3.0 billion with a margin drop to 10.2%.

Why it matters — CVNA watchers would care because the article challenges Carvana's valuation justification, arguing that rich multiples are no longer supported given weakening profitability and a lack of margin expansion.

Carvana Is Down 30% in 2026 While CarMax Is Up 50%. Should Investors Sell One and Buy the Other?

24/7 Wall Street · 30 July 2026negative

Carvana shares fell 11% in a single session after the company issued full-year guidance that underwhelmed investors. The stock is down 30% in 2026, contrasting with CarMax's 50% gain.

Why it matters — The sharp stock decline and weak guidance signal potential headwinds for Carvana's business outlook that current shareholders should monitor.

Carvana shares slide despite record quarterly profit

Proactive Investors · 30 July 2026negative

Carvana shares fell nearly 12% on Thursday even after the company reported record second-quarter net income of $513 million and record adjusted EBITDA of $769 million, as investors weighed a disappointing full-year earnings outlook.

Why it matters — The stock's sharp decline despite record quarterly results highlights that forward guidance can outweigh even strong operational performance in investors' assessment of Carvana's prospects.

Needham says Carvana stock could double as management lowers guidance

Invezz · 30 July 2026neutral

Carvana shares opened lower after management lowered guidance, tempering the company's record second-quarter results which included a 38% increase in retail units sold.

Why it matters — A CVNA watcher would care because the lowered guidance introduces uncertainty about near-term performance, even as the company reported record operational results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CVNA stock

What is the CVNA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carvana Co. have a median 12-month price target of $83, with estimates ranging from $60 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CVNA stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Carvana Co., 16 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Carvana Co. 45 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CVNA?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Carvana Co. ranks 45 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (94 of 100).

Will CVNA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +24.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Carvana Co. 45 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CVNA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Carvana Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVNA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has CVNA stock performed over the past year?

Carvana Co. returned -10.1% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Carvana Co. do?

Carvana Co. is a holding company that operates an e-commerce platform focused on buying and selling used cars in the United States.

What is the latest news on CVNA?

The most recent item we track (Schwab Network, 31 July 2026): "Ca$htag$: CVNA Selloff Creates Opportunity". Megan Brantley of LikeFolio stated on the Schwab Network that Carvana's consumer demand remains strong and that buyers are choosing the online used-car retailer at an increasing rate. She believes the stock was overly punished after its earnings reaction and that the underlying business remains strong.

Company

About Carvana Co.

Carvana Co. is a holding company that operates an e-commerce platform focused on buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company enables customers to browse a large inventory of vehicles online, arrange financing, value and trade in their existing cars, and complete purchases digitally. Carvana also provides delivery and pickup options designed to streamline the automotive retail experience. The business generates revenue primarily from retail used vehicle sales, complemented by wholesale vehicle sales and a range of related products and services. These include vehicle financing, sales of loans through securitizations or to financing partners, vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection (GAP) waiver coverage, and other ancillary insurance-related offerings. This integrated model positions Carvana within the consumer cyclical sector, specifically the auto and truck dealership industry, with a focus on online distribution and data-driven operations. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, Carvana Co. today serves consumers seeking a fully digital, end-to-end used car transaction experience.

CEO Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III · 23,100 employees · United States · https://www.carvana.com