TICKERNERD
Menu
CVNACVNAConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

CVNA Stock Forecast: Carvana Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$72
+3.46% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carvana Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $83 — +14.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$104.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
43 / 100
Median analyst target
$83
Analysts covering
24
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.2%
1M
+19.6%
YTD
−14.3%
1Y
+1.1%
From 52W high
−24.4%
From 52W low
+28.6%
$56
$96
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CVNA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Carvana Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
43 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
95
Growth
86
Revisions
73
Issuance
65
Momentum
47
Value
18
Accruals
16
Volatility
13
Size
4

Quality (95): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CVNA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVNA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$70$80$90$100$110$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CVNAHigh $120Median $83Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
16 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $60Median $83High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 11 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$87
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$94 → $93
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$93 → $90
30 July 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsNeutral$86 → $69
30 July 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$97 → $87
30 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$103 → $83
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$86 → $75
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$102 → $90
30 July 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$120
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$85 → $82
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$85 → $80
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$93 → $94
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$95 → $85
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$95 → $90
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
11 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
5 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
5 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CVNA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

CVNA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Carvana Co. (CVNA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
37.9×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.2×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
12.8×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.5×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
52.4%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
69.4%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.8%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.2%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
6.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
58.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.7%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

CVNA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CVNACarvana Co.$104.0B
43
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$14.2B
62
KMXCarMax, Inc.$8.8B
64
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$8.5B
47
ANAutoNation, Inc.$6.8B
59
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$6.2B
92
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.3B
56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Carvana Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CVNA news & analysis

Carvana Shares Rebound as Mark Walter Selloff Fears Ease

PYMNTS · 19 Aug 2026positive

Carvana shares rose as much as 9.3% on Wednesday after dropping 14% over the previous two days, following a report that billionaire Mark Walter would not be able to immediately sell his stake in the online car retailer.

Why it matters — A sharp share rebound after an earlier selloff suggests concerns over a potential large stake sale by Mark Walter have eased, which is relevant to CVNA investors monitoring ownership and supply overhang.

Carvana shares on pace for 10% weekly loss as Mark Walter probe fuels investor jitters

CNBC · 19 Aug 2026negative

Carvana shares are on pace for a 10% weekly loss as investor jitters grow over a probe involving Mark Walter. The scrutiny has raised questions about what could happen to Walter's Carvana position if the investigation's fallout pressures him to raise cash.

Why it matters — CVNA watchers would care because uncertainty over a major investor's stake and potential forced selling could weigh on the stock's outlook.

Carvana Drops 7% With Bulls, Bears Split Over the Business Model

24/7 Wall Street · 18 Aug 2026negative

Carvana shares fell 7% to $65.50 on Tuesday morning, extending a slide that has left CVNA stock lower for 2026. The drop comes even as the used-vehicle seller recently reported its best quarter on record, and follow a period in which analysts remain split on the viability of its business model.

Why it matters — CVNA watchers would care because the stock is trading lower for 2026 despite a record quarter, highlighting ongoing disagreement among analysts over the sustainability of Carvana's business model.

Carvana Co. (CVNA) Presents at J.P. Morgan Automotive Conference Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Carvana Co. (CVNA) presented at the J.P. Morgan Automotive Conference, and a transcript of the presentation was published by Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — A CVNA watcher would care because the conference presentation transcript offers insight into management's remarks on the company's operations and strategy.

Carvana vs. Home Depot: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 12 Aug 2026neutral

The Motley Fool published a comparison of Carvana and Home Depot as consumer stock picks for 2026, noting Carvana's use of e-commerce and dealership acquisitions to expand in used and new car markets.

Why it matters — The piece highlights Carvana's strategy and market positioning against a widely held consumer bellwether, offering CVNA investors a frame for assessing the company's competitive outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CVNA stock

What is the CVNA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carvana Co. have a median 12-month price target of $83, with estimates ranging from $60 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CVNA stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Carvana Co., 16 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Carvana Co. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CVNA?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Carvana Co. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (95 of 100).

Will CVNA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +14.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Carvana Co. 43 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CVNA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Carvana Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVNA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has CVNA stock performed over the past year?

Carvana Co. returned +1.1% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Carvana Co. do?

Carvana Co. is a holding company that operates an e-commerce platform focused on buying and selling used cars in the United States.

What is the latest news on CVNA?

The most recent item we track (PYMNTS, 19 Aug 2026): "Carvana Shares Rebound as Mark Walter Selloff Fears Ease". Carvana shares rose as much as 9.3% on Wednesday after dropping 14% over the previous two days, following a report that billionaire Mark Walter would not be able to immediately sell his stake in the online car retailer.

Company

About Carvana Co.

Carvana Co. is a holding company that operates an e-commerce platform focused on buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company enables customers to browse a large inventory of vehicles online, arrange financing, value and trade in their existing cars, and complete purchases digitally. Carvana also provides delivery and pickup options designed to streamline the automotive retail experience. The business generates revenue primarily from retail used vehicle sales, complemented by wholesale vehicle sales and a range of related products and services. These include vehicle financing, sales of loans through securitizations or to financing partners, vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection (GAP) waiver coverage, and other ancillary insurance-related offerings. This integrated model positions Carvana within the consumer cyclical sector, specifically the auto and truck dealership industry, with a focus on online distribution and data-driven operations. Founded in 2012 and headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, Carvana Co. today serves consumers seeking a fully digital, end-to-end used car transaction experience.

CEO Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III · 23,100 employees · United States · https://www.carvana.com