PAGConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck DealershipsThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $210 — -3.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 59 of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Penske Automotive Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (93): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −3.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $170 → $215 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $166 → $210 |
| 24 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $190 → $210 |
| 24 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | $199 → $210 |
| 22 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $190 → $220 |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $167 → $192 |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $200 → $238 |
| 27 May 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 7 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 85% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Penske Automotive Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Penske Automotive Group beat Q2 earnings estimates, driven by growth in auto sales, service activity, and distribution that offset margin pressure and softer new-truck sales, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the earnings beat reflects resilient core revenue growth despite headwinds from margins and weaker new-truck demand.
Penske Automotive Group announced that the special committee of independent and disinterested directors has retained Moelis & Company LLC as its independent financial advisor and Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP as its independent legal counsel in connection with the take-private proposal.
Why it matters — This indicates the special committee is moving forward with independently evaluating the take-private proposal, which is a key development for PAG shareholders to monitor.
Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, said it is investigating whether the proposed buyout of Penske Automotive Group at $210.00 per share is fair to shareholders. The probe follows an unsolicited, preliminary, and non-binding proposal from Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co., which together with affiliates own approximately 72.6% of the company's stock, to acquire its remaining shares.
Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the investigation could cast scrutiny on the terms of the pending buyout proposal led by existing majority owners Penske Corporation and Mitsui.
Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC is investigating the proposed sale of Penske Automotive Group, Inc. to Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co., Ltd., under which PAG shareholders would receive $210.00 in cash per share. The firm is examining the adequacy of the price and the process of the proposed transaction.
Why it matters — PAG shareholders could face legal scrutiny over whether the $210.00-per-share cash deal adequately values their holdings.
A Business Wire announcement reports that investors in Penske Automotive Group, Inc. have the opportunity to join a fraud investigation being conducted with SBS Law. The notice invites PAG investors to take part in the investigation.
Why it matters — The fraud investigation notice signals potential legal scrutiny that PAG watchers would want to follow.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $210, with estimates ranging from $205 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 59 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Aug 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ranks 59 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies -3.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 59 out of 100 as at 10 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $205 to $220 over the next 12 months.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +27.2% over the 12 months to 11 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company that primarily operates automobile and commercial truck dealerships.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Aug 2026): "PAG Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Auto Sales and Service Growth". Penske Automotive Group beat Q2 earnings estimates, driven by growth in auto sales, service activity, and distribution that offset margin pressure and softer new-truck sales, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company that primarily operates automobile and commercial truck dealerships. The company's core business involves the sale and provision of new and used vehicles, automotive financing, repair services, and vehicle maintenance. In addition, Penske Automotive has a presence in the commercial vehicle distribution sector, providing a comprehensive suite of solutions through its global network of dealerships. It caters to a diverse customer base, including individual consumers, businesses, and governmental organizations. With operations spanning multiple continents, Penske Automotive plays a significant role in the transportation industry by maintaining a strong alignment with major automotive brands. Headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, the company is a significant player in the market, utilizing its expansive distribution network and deep industry expertise to cater to a broad array of customer needs, thereby supporting its strategic growth and market influence.
CEO Mr. Roger S. Penske Sr. · 28,600 employees · United States · https://www.penskeautomotive.com