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PAGPAGConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

PAG Stock Forecast: Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$218
+0.09% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $208 — -4.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$14.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
55 / 100
Median analyst target
$208
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.8%
1M
+21.2%
YTD
+39.8%
1Y
+33.6%
From 52W high
−2.7%
From 52W low
+56.0%
$139
$223
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Penske Automotive Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
55 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
97
Revisions
82
Momentum
70
Value
61
Quality
53
Issuance
49
Growth
38
Accruals
30
Size
12

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (30): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Penske Automotive Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

PAG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PAGHigh $220Median $208Low $166

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says10 analysts
2 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $166Median $208High $220

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −4.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$190 → $210
23 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
23 July 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$199 → $210
22 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$190 → $220
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$167 → $192
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$200 → $238
27 May 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—
7 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
6 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
4 May 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
8 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
7 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
20 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
17 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
21 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

PAG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.1%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.8×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.9×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−2.3%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Gross margin
15.9%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.8%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.8%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.2%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.6%

Higher than 57% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PAG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$14.3B
55
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$8.8B
38
KMXCarMax, Inc.$8.1B
63
ANAutoNation, Inc.$7.3B
64
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$6.2B
95
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.9B
65
ABGAsbury Automotive Group, Inc.$4.3B
53
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest PAG news & analysis

Penske Automotive Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 30 July 2026neutral

Penske Automotive Group reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $8.5 billion, up 6% year-over-year, citing growth across retail automotive, commercial trucks, and international operations. The company also disclosed that its board formed a special committee to evaluate an unsolicited buyout proposal from Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co. to acquire the remaining shares for $210 per share in cash.

Why it matters — PAG watchers would care because the earnings reflect ongoing operational growth while a special committee reviews a significant unsolicited buyout proposal from major shareholders.

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 July 2026neutral

Penske Automotive Group held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's financial results for the second quarter of 2026.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide direct insight into management's perspective on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

Penske (PAG) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026neutral

Penske Automotive Group reported its second-quarter 2026 earnings, and analysts are comparing key business metrics against Wall Street estimates and prior-year figures.

Why it matters — The comparison of Penske's Q2 2026 metrics to analyst estimates and year-ago results helps investors gauge the company's operational performance and market expectations.

Penske Automotive (PAG) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

Penske Automotive reported Q2 earnings of $3.62 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.38 per share, though down from $3.78 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat signals that PAG's quarterly performance exceeded analyst expectations, which could influence investor perception of the company's near-term financial health.

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP REPORTS QUARTERLY RESULTS

PRNewsWire · 29 July 2026positive

Penske Automotive Group reported its second-quarter 2026 results, showing a 5% increase in new and used automotive units delivered (over 125,000) and a 6% rise in quarterly revenue to $8.5 billion. Net income was $260 million, or $3.96 per share, with adjusted net income of $238 million, or $3.62 per share.

Why it matters — The results show growth in both unit sales and revenue for the quarter, providing a key update on PAG's financial performance and operational trends.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAG stock

What is the PAG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $208, with estimates ranging from $166 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAG stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAG?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

Will PAG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies -4.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 55 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $166 to $220 over the next 12 months.

How has PAG stock performed over the past year?

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +33.6% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Penske Automotive Group, Inc. do?

Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company that primarily operates automobile and commercial truck dealerships.

What is the latest news on PAG?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 30 July 2026): "Penske Automotive Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Penske Automotive Group reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $8.5 billion, up 6% year-over-year, citing growth across retail automotive, commercial trucks, and international operations. The company also disclosed that its board formed a special committee to evaluate an unsolicited buyout proposal from Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co. to acquire the remaining shares for $210 per share in cash.

Company

About Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company that primarily operates automobile and commercial truck dealerships. The company's core business involves the sale and provision of new and used vehicles, automotive financing, repair services, and vehicle maintenance. In addition, Penske Automotive has a presence in the commercial vehicle distribution sector, providing a comprehensive suite of solutions through its global network of dealerships. It caters to a diverse customer base, including individual consumers, businesses, and governmental organizations. With operations spanning multiple continents, Penske Automotive plays a significant role in the transportation industry by maintaining a strong alignment with major automotive brands. Headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, the company is a significant player in the market, utilizing its expansive distribution network and deep industry expertise to cater to a broad array of customer needs, thereby supporting its strategic growth and market influence.

CEO Mr. Roger S. Penske Sr. · 28,600 employees · United States · https://www.penskeautomotive.com