PAGConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck DealershipsThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $210 — -2.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Penske Automotive Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $220 → $225 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $170 → $215 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $166 → $210 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 24 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $190 → $210 |
| 24 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | $199 → $210 |
| 22 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Benchmark | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $190 → $220 |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $167 → $192 |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $200 → $238 |
| 27 May 2026 | UBS | Initiates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +20.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 84% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. has a market value of $14.2B and an enterprise value of $23.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $32.9B. The latest quarter grew 6.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $938.1M, a 2.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.58.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $592.1M.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. spent $74.2M on share buybacks and $364.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 15.7×; forward P/E: 15.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.67%, paying out 40% of earnings.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. employs 28,600 people — $1.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Penske Automotive Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Penske Automotive Group reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has declined 1.3% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.
Why it matters — PAG watchers would care because the earnings report has been followed by a modest stock decline, and the article assesses the company's near-term outlook.
The NYSE published a pre-market daily advisory from its trading floor on Aug. 21, 2026, in which Penske Automotive is noted as setting the scene for the Freedom 250 Grand Prix. The advisory is a routine exchange content update about the event.
Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the NYSE advisory highlights Penske Automotive's association with a major racing event, offering visibility into the company's motorsports-related brand activities.
Kaskela Law LLC announced it is investigating Penske Automotive Group on behalf of stockholders regarding the adequacy of a proposed $210.00 per share cash buyout from Penske Corp. and Mitsui & Co., who collectively own over 72% of the company's stock. The proposal was reported on July 22, 2026.
Why it matters — A shareholder law firm is probing whether the buyout price is fair or inadequately low, which could influence the outcome of the proposed acquisition for PAG stockholders.
Penske Automotive Group beat Q2 earnings estimates, driven by growth in auto sales, service activity, and distribution that offset margin pressure and softer new-truck sales, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the earnings beat reflects resilient core revenue growth despite headwinds from margins and weaker new-truck demand.
Penske Automotive Group announced that the special committee of independent and disinterested directors has retained Moelis & Company LLC as its independent financial advisor and Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP as its independent legal counsel in connection with the take-private proposal.
Why it matters — This indicates the special committee is moving forward with independently evaluating the take-private proposal, which is a key development for PAG shareholders to monitor.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $210, with estimates ranging from $205 to $225. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Sept 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies -2.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $205 to $225 over the next 12 months.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +20.3% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company focused on automotive and commercial truck retailing.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Aug 2026): "Penske (PAG) Down 1.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?". Penske Automotive Group reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has declined 1.3% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.
Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company focused on automotive and commercial truck retailing. The company operates franchised dealerships that sell new and used vehicles, along with providing parts, maintenance, collision repair, reconditioning, and related aftersales support. Its business also includes commercial truck dealerships and the distribution of commercial vehicles, engines, power systems, and associated parts and services. Penske Automotive Group serves both retail consumers and commercial customers across multiple markets, with operations spanning the United States, Europe, and other international regions. The company plays a key role in vehicle distribution and dealership services, linking manufacturers, fleet operators, and end customers through a broad network of automotive and transportation businesses.
CEO Mr. Roger S. Penske Sr. · 28,600 employees · United States · https://www.penskeautomotive.com
