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PAGPAGConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

PAG Stock Forecast: Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$212
−0.02% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $210 — -1.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$13.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
46/ 100
Median analyst target
$210
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$8.5B+11.1% y/y
Operating income$337.6M
Net income$261.2M
Free cash flow$131.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.0%
1M
+6.0%
YTD
+37.3%
1Y
+36.2%
From 52W high
−4.4%
From 52W low
+53.3%
$138
$222
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Penske Automotive Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
46/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
97
Momentum
88
Value
54
Quality
53
Revisions
51
Issuance
46
Growth
45
Accruals
28
Size
12

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

PAG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PAGHigh $212Median $210Low $210

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
2 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $210Median $210High $212

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$225 → $210
6 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$215 → $210
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$220 → $225
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$170 → $215
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
3 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$166 → $210
3 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$190 → $210
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
23 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
23 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
23 July 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$199 → $210
23 July 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
22 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
22 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$190 → $220
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$167 → $192

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

PAG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

PAG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +36.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PAG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PAGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PAG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.8×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.6×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.5%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−1.8%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Gross margin
15.9%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.6%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
2.8%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.5%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.2%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. has a market value of $13.9B and an enterprise value of $23.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $32.9B. The latest quarter grew 4.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $938.1M, a 2.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $592.1M.

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. spent $74.2M on share buybacks and $364.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 65.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.8×; forward P/E: 15.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.71%, paying out 41% of earnings.

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. employs 28,900 people — $1.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PAG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$13.9B46
KMXCarMax, Inc.$7.9B76
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$6.5B32
ANAutoNation, Inc.$6.2B27
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.3B82
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.8B67
VVVValvoline, Inc.$4.1B61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Penske Automotive Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PAG news & analysis

PAG Investigation Reminder: Penske Automotive Group's $212.00 per Share Take-Private Merger Is Under Investigation – Contact BFA Law if You Hold Shares

GlobeNewsWire · 30 Oct 2026negative

Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP said it is investigating the going-private merger in which Penske Automotive Group is being taken private by controlling stockholders Roger Penske and Mitsui & Co., Ltd. The headline identifies a $212.00-per-share merger.

Why it matters — PAG watchers may note the announced investigation into the company's proposed going-private merger.

PAG Merger Notice: BFA Law Notifies Penske Automotive Group Shareholders of the Ongoing Investigation into the $212.00 per Share Take-Private Merger

Newsfile Corp · 29 Oct 2026neutral

BFA Law says it is investigating the announced $212.00-per-share merger in which Roger Penske and Mitsui & Co., Ltd. are set to acquire Penske Automotive Group, and has notified current shareholders to contact the firm.

Why it matters — PAG shareholders may want to note the reported investigation concerning the announced take-private merger.

Penske (PAG) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research notes that Penske’s Q3 headline results for the quarter ended September 2026 can be assessed by comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals. The excerpt does not provide the results or comparisons.

Why it matters — These comparisons provide context for evaluating PAG’s quarterly performance, though the excerpt gives no specific metrics or outcomes.

Penske Automotive (PAG) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Oct 2026negative

Penske Automotive reported quarterly earnings of $3.42 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.44. Earnings were $3.23 per share in the year-ago quarter.

Why it matters — PAG watchers may note the slight miss against consensus alongside higher per-share earnings than a year earlier.

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Ultralife Corporation (Nasdaq – ULBI), QIAGEN N.V. (NYSE – QGEN), CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. (Nasdaq – CCC), Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE – PAG)

GlobeNewsWire · 28 Oct 2026neutral

Brodsky & Smith announced that it is notifying investors of an investigation involving Penske Automotive Group, alongside investigations involving three other companies. The notice invites PAG shareholders to contact the firm to discuss the investigation.

Why it matters — PAG watchers may want to note the announced investigation involving the company and its shareholders.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAG stock

What is the PAG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $210, with estimates ranging from $210 to $212. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAG stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAG?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

Will PAG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies -1.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 46 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $210 to $212 over the next 12 months.

How has PAG stock performed over the past year?

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +36.2% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Penske Automotive Group, Inc. do?

Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company focused on automotive and commercial truck retailing.

What is the latest news on PAG?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 30 Oct 2026): "PAG Investigation Reminder: Penske Automotive Group's $212.00 per Share Take-Private Merger Is Under Investigation – Contact BFA Law if You Hold Shares". Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP said it is investigating the going-private merger in which Penske Automotive Group is being taken private by controlling stockholders Roger Penske and Mitsui & Co., Ltd. The headline identifies a $212.00-per-share merger.

Company

About Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company focused on automotive and commercial truck retailing. The company operates franchised dealerships that sell new and used vehicles, along with providing parts, maintenance, collision repair, reconditioning, and related aftersales support. Its business also includes commercial truck dealerships and the distribution of commercial vehicles, engines, power systems, and associated parts and services. Penske Automotive Group serves both retail consumers and commercial customers across multiple markets, with operations spanning the United States, Europe, and other international regions. The company plays a key role in vehicle distribution and dealership services, linking manufacturers, fleet operators, and end customers through a broad network of automotive and transportation businesses.

CEO Mr. Roger S. Penske Sr. · 28,900 employees · United States · https://www.penskeautomotive.com