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PAGPAGConsumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

PAG Stock Forecast: Penske Automotive Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$198
+1.97% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $210 — +6.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$13.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$210
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$8.5B+11.1% y/y
Operating income$337.6M
Net income$261.2M
Free cash flow$131.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.4%
1M
−8.7%
YTD
+28.1%
1Y
+21.5%
From 52W high
−10.8%
From 52W low
+43.0%
$138
$222
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Penske Automotive Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Momentum
82
Revisions
69
Value
58
Quality
52
Issuance
49
Growth
38
Accruals
31
Size
13

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PAG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PAGHigh $210Median $210Low $205

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
2 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $205Median $210High $210

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$220 → $225
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$170 → $215
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
3 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$166 → $210
3 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$190 → $210
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
23 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
23 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
23 July 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
23 July 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$199 → $210
22 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
22 July 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$190 → $220
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$167 → $192
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$200 → $238
27 May 2026UBSInitiatesNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PAG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +21.5% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PAG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26PAGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PAG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.7%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.0×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 85% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.1×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.0%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−2.3%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Gross margin
15.9%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.0%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
2.8%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.2%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.9%

Higher than 85% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. has a market value of $13.1B and an enterprise value of $22.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $32.9B. The latest quarter grew 6.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $938.1M, a 2.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $592.1M.

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. spent $74.2M on share buybacks and $364.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 65.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.0×; forward P/E: 14.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.91%, paying out 39% of earnings.

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. employs 28,600 people — $1.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PAG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto & Truck Dealerships
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.$13.1B
52
KMXCarMax, Inc.$7.6B
70
LADLithia Motors, Inc.$6.6B
43
ANAutoNation, Inc.$5.4B
38
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.$5.3B
88
OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.$4.4B
69
VVVValvoline, Inc.$3.9B
50

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Penske Automotive Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PAG news & analysis

2 Auto Retailers to Watch Amid Tight Inventory and Costly Loans

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Research reports that auto demand remains resilient, though rising prices, tighter inventory, and costly borrowing could test sales. The firm notes that LAD and PAG are worth holding due to their strategic efforts amid these conditions.

Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the report specifically highlights the company among auto retailers positioned to withstand ongoing inventory and financing pressures through its strategic initiatives.

Penske (PAG) Down 1.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026negative

Penske Automotive Group reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has declined 1.3% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.

Why it matters — PAG watchers would care because the earnings report has been followed by a modest stock decline, and the article assesses the company's near-term outlook.

Penske Automotive Sets Scene for Freedom 250 Grand Prix: NYSE Content Update

PRNewsWire · 21 Aug 2026neutral

The NYSE published a pre-market daily advisory from its trading floor on Aug. 21, 2026, in which Penske Automotive is noted as setting the scene for the Freedom 250 Grand Prix. The advisory is a routine exchange content update about the event.

Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the NYSE advisory highlights Penske Automotive's association with a major racing event, offering visibility into the company's motorsports-related brand activities.

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE: Kaskela Law Announces Probe into Adequacy of Proposed $210.00 Per Share Buyout Price – Fair or Inadequately Low for the Company's Shareholders?

Business Wire · 19 Aug 2026negative

Kaskela Law LLC announced it is investigating Penske Automotive Group on behalf of stockholders regarding the adequacy of a proposed $210.00 per share cash buyout from Penske Corp. and Mitsui & Co., who collectively own over 72% of the company's stock. The proposal was reported on July 22, 2026.

Why it matters — A shareholder law firm is probing whether the buyout price is fair or inadequately low, which could influence the outcome of the proposed acquisition for PAG stockholders.

PAG Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Auto Sales and Service Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026positive

Penske Automotive Group beat Q2 earnings estimates, driven by growth in auto sales, service activity, and distribution that offset margin pressure and softer new-truck sales, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — A PAG watcher would care because the earnings beat reflects resilient core revenue growth despite headwinds from margins and weaker new-truck demand.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAG stock

What is the PAG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $210, with estimates ranging from $205 to $210. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAG stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAG?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will PAG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +6.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Penske Automotive Group, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Penske Automotive Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $205 to $210 over the next 12 months.

How has PAG stock performed over the past year?

Penske Automotive Group, Inc. returned +21.5% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Penske Automotive Group, Inc. do?

Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company focused on automotive and commercial truck retailing.

What is the latest news on PAG?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Sept 2026): "2 Auto Retailers to Watch Amid Tight Inventory and Costly Loans". Zacks Research reports that auto demand remains resilient, though rising prices, tighter inventory, and costly borrowing could test sales. The firm notes that LAD and PAG are worth holding due to their strategic efforts amid these conditions.

Company

About Penske Automotive Group, Inc.

Penske Automotive Group Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company focused on automotive and commercial truck retailing. The company operates franchised dealerships that sell new and used vehicles, along with providing parts, maintenance, collision repair, reconditioning, and related aftersales support. Its business also includes commercial truck dealerships and the distribution of commercial vehicles, engines, power systems, and associated parts and services. Penske Automotive Group serves both retail consumers and commercial customers across multiple markets, with operations spanning the United States, Europe, and other international regions. The company plays a key role in vehicle distribution and dealership services, linking manufacturers, fleet operators, and end customers through a broad network of automotive and transportation businesses.

CEO Mr. Roger S. Penske Sr. · 28,600 employees · United States · https://www.penskeautomotive.com