GSHDFinancial Services · Insurance BrokersThe 13 Wall Street analysts covering Goosehead Insurance, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $72 — +25.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Goosehead Insurance, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (76): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Value (18): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GSHD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $70 → $72 |
| 23 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $72 |
| 23 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $55 → $58 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $52 → $72 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $55 → $60 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $52 → $55 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $67 → $76 |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $67 → $70 |
| 8 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GSHD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Goosehead Insurance, Inc. returned −29.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. has a market value of $2.0B and an enterprise value of $1.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $402.2M. The latest quarter grew 20.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $58.6M, a 14.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.37.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $60.8M, after $18.1M of capital spending.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. spent $80.2M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 41.7×; forward P/E: 21.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. employs 1,600 people — $251K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Goosehead Insurance, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A Goosehead Insurance director purchased 1,600 shares at $63.14 per share on July 31, 2026, representing a total commitment of roughly $101,000. The transaction established a new direct equity position of 1,600 shares for the insider.
Why it matters — Insider share purchases are often watched by GSHD investors as a signal of confidence in the company's prospects.
A company director acquired 1,600 shares of the insurance stock at $63.14 per share, a total capital commitment of roughly $101,000, on July 31, 2026. The transaction established a new direct equity position of 1,600 shares for the insider.
Why it matters — A GSHD watcher would note that an insider established a new direct equity position through a personal share purchase, which can be seen as a signal of confidence in the company.
Seeking Alpha reported on Goosehead Insurance's Q2 2026 results, noting 20% year-over-year revenue growth to $113.4 million and 86% client retention. The article highlighted the company's dual distribution model while flagging that its forward P/E of 36.7x leaves little room for error.
Why it matters — The report balances Goosehead's strong operational performance and scalable business model against significant valuation risk that could materialize if growth or retention declines.
Goosehead Insurance reported strong Q2 results with revenue up 21% and adjusted EBITDA up 30%, though shares remain pressured by AI disintermediation fears and pricing competition from direct insurance purchasing models.
Why it matters — GSHD watchers would care because the company's solid operational performance is being weighed against longer-term structural risks from AI and direct-to-consumer insurance models. Why it matters: The improved client retention and AI adoption show operational progress, but slower core revenue growth relative to premium growth signals lingering competitive headwinds.
The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Goosehead Insurance, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $72, with estimates ranging from $44 to $100. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 13 analysts covering Goosehead Insurance, Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Goosehead Insurance, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Sept 2026, Goosehead Insurance, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (76 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +25.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Goosehead Insurance, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Goosehead Insurance, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GSHD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $44 to $100 over the next 12 months.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. returned -29.4% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A Common Stock represents Goosehead Insurance, a holding company and insurance agency focused on independent personal lines insurance.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 6 Aug 2026): "Goosehead Insurance Director Buys $100K oif Shares. What Does This Signal to Investors?". A Goosehead Insurance director purchased 1,600 shares at $63.14 per share on July 31, 2026, representing a total commitment of roughly $101,000. The transaction established a new direct equity position of 1,600 shares for the insider.
Goosehead Insurance Inc. Class A Common Stock represents Goosehead Insurance, a holding company and insurance agency focused on independent personal lines insurance. Goosehead Insurance provides homeowners, auto, flood, wind and earthquake, umbrella, motorcycle, recreational vehicle, life, and other personal coverage, and also serves small businesses with selected commercial lines such as general liability, property, and auto insurance. The company distributes policies through a network of corporate and franchise locations, using a technology-driven model that helps match clients with offerings from multiple carriers. Headquartered in Westlake, Texas, Goosehead Insurance plays a notable role in the U.S. insurance brokerage market by combining local advisor relationships with centralized quoting and distribution capabilities.
CEO Mr. Mark K. Miller CPA · 1,600 employees · United States · https://www.goosehead.com
